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New Bankruptcy law


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2005 Aug 23, 4:55pm   23,409 views  171 comments

by Peter P   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

Per Shmend Rick's request...

After October 17, the new bankruptcy law will come into effect. It will become more difficult for anyone to erase debt. How will this affect the credit market, the housing market, and the economy as a whole? Will this law change be the catalyst that pops the housing bubble?

#housing

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116   KurtS   2005 Aug 25, 8:17am  

There are tons and tons of wealthy people! And foreigners too! And the Marina is the only place they want to live in the entire world!

It’s going to get very crowded.

The place will sink under its own weight.
But wait, they could use a new sales angle:
Marina: Venice of the Future!â„¢

117   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 8:20am  

No offense, but Venice is not exactly a nice place to live. Water quality is often less than ideal...

118   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 8:22am  

More from Ben's blog:


"The FHLB of Pittsburgh said on Thursday it will restate over four years of financial results, mainly due to derivatives accounting errors."

...

"Half of the 12 FHLB regional member banks are now restating earnings for similar reasons." There was a time when talk of derivatives problems was taken more seriously. Any one of these banks could be a bigger mess than Enron.

Will there be OTC derivatives meltdown in October?

119   HARM   2005 Aug 25, 8:29am  

I think the potential for liquefaction in the Marina has been greatly overstated here. New Marina homedebtors can simply reinforce thier foundations using the tons of cash they've all made from the perpetually rising equity of their homes. It's a well known fact that fresh crisp new $100 bills can stop liquefaction dead in its tracks. Nuff said... :-P

120   sfbayqt   2005 Aug 25, 8:35am  

Harm,

You are TOO much! LOL!

BayQT

121   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 8:36am  

It’s a well known fact that fresh crisp new $100 bills can stop liquefaction dead in its tracks. Nuff said…

Handy tip.

Any other handy around the home uses for cash.
Are they any good for cleaning ovens? or maybe mulching in the garden?

122   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 8:48am  

Rick,

In AZ water = real estate

Maybe this is an oppurtunity for a forward thinking person to utilise eco friendly technologies in developments of unique properties. Sounds good.

123   laverty   2005 Aug 25, 8:49am  

Another article I notice on the Arizona Republic home page today is how Phoenix rents are going up thanks to their 45% increase in real estate just in the last 12 months alone.

124   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 8:51am  

Another article I notice on the Arizona Republic home page today is how Phoenix rents are going up thanks to their 45% increase in real estate just in the last 12 months alone.

Renters will be doomed. DIE RENTERS DIE :evil:

125   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 8:51am  

I must have been possessed by Bull$hitter.

126   sfbayqt   2005 Aug 25, 8:53am  

I must have been possessed by Bull$hitter.

Yeah, Peter! Snap out of it already!

BayQT~

127   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 8:53am  

If the US housing market bubble bursts, how much impact will be felt there?

Not sure. But they are smart enough to realize their own housing bubbles and are taking steps to contain them. Me think that they are aware of the US situation and are positioning themselves to bebefit from the bust.

128   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 8:56am  

Will the Chinese get bit by American greed? Or is there a more sinister plan in China’s hands to somehow economically destabilize America?

Huh?

I Think the American's will be hit by their own greed.
GREED IS BAD, should use that line in a movie someday.

The Chinese will probably be fine, as they have worked hard, and have not been greedy. (mmmm not totally sure on that one though).
After all, the new bankruptcy laws will probably protect them.

129   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 8:57am  

Renters will be doomed. DIE RENTERS DIE :devil:

Peter P,
What are you thinking. Not good for business.

Renters will be doomed. BLEED RENTERS BLEED. :devil:

130   KurtS   2005 Aug 25, 9:01am  

Will the Chinese get bit by American greed? Or is there a more sinister plan in China’s hands to somehow economically destabilize America?

Well, in the past few years, China has enjoyed a huge windfall from American consumption. I don't have precise figures on hand, but what do the produce that we consume? Electronics, furniture, home improvement stuff, etc. If America slows down their consumption binge, I think China will feel it. Haven't they also made us a few loans?

131   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 9:03am  

Rick,
they have better policy in tucson. you arent allowed certain plants, water usage limits, etc. the problem is the kinds of people in tucson allow for this( there arent so many big biz types ), phoenix people are a different story… most of them dont really know anything about living in the desert.

Maybe somebody has to step up and be a leader by example. After all, you can regulate till the cows come home but people will lose interest that way.
If you lead by example then people will probably try to duplicate what is done if it is successfull. It also becomes a marketing advantage because customers will like to feel as if they are doing the right thing.

132   HARM   2005 Aug 25, 9:07am  

@AntiTroll,

Any other handy around the home uses for cash.
Are they any good for cleaning ovens? or maybe mulching in the garden?

Intriguing suggestions. Not sure about oven cleaning, but I bet you can use it to grow cabbage & lettuce.

133   gabby   2005 Aug 25, 9:16am  

The Sydney Olympic stadium was built on landfill, it had sunk enough before the start of the 2000 games where the top seats in the stadium had the view blocked from the stadium roof overhang. Fun stuff.

One thing I did notice after being away from looking at RE for 4 weeks was that the prices had dropped in the areas we had been tracking - the peninsula to the Sth Bay.

Also - MP has to be a realtor, the way he talks about the market is way too realtor like...

134   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 9:20am  

Intriguing suggestions. Not sure about oven cleaning, but I bet you can use it to grow cabbage & lettuce.

I actually sleep better at night, when I snuggle under my dooner full of $100 bills.

135   gabby   2005 Aug 25, 9:23am  

Nice quote on people living in the Marina from this article:
http://tinyurl.com/7sxlz

Reality suggests that the only people qualified to live in the Marina are Olympic swimmers -- those capable of treading back to shore after the geologic forces turn the faux neighborhood to its original watery state.

136   HARM   2005 Aug 25, 9:24am  

Also - MP has to be a realtor, the way he talks about the market is way too realtor like…

Poser is more like it. Uh, oh --did I just violate my own standard about not getting personal? 8-O Me SO sorry....

137   KurtS   2005 Aug 25, 9:24am  

I could never live in an area that had little or no relationship to the outdoors. I need a tree at LEAST once in awhile! Other than the houses with bay views on the main drag across from the water, the place is wall to wall cement. Quite generic and character-less.

Jack-
Sounds like you're in a Primeâ„¢ location--at least for the likes of you and me.

138   gabby   2005 Aug 25, 9:28am  

Interesting historical trivia - at least I'd not heard this:

A couple of miles northwest along the city’s shore, the Marina District is also partly built on landfill—of a somewhat different kind. After the massive 1906 earthquake destroyed most of the city, developers needed someplace to dump all the rubble from the downtown area. They used the crumbled remains of buildings to extend yet another portion of the city out into the water, helping to create the site of the Panama-Pacific International Exposition to celebrate the opening of the Panama Canal in 1915.

139   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 9:38am  

The truth of the matter is people just don't care,'' said Aldo Congi, vice president of McGuire Real Estate. ``Those that want to live in the Marina are willing to take the chance. There is so much confidence among consumers now that nothing seems to matter -- and that includes earthquakes.''

MP,
It would appear that consumers of RE in Marina appear to have high confidence and tend not to care about risks?
Could it be they have been a little too easy with their spending?
Just like everybody else I bet.

140   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 9:38am  

I actually sleep better at night, when I snuggle under my dooner full of $100 bills.

The aroma of a fresh $100 stack is one of the most wonderful, almost as wonderful as the smell of BBQ lobster.

141   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 9:39am  

The aroma of a fresh $100 stack is one of the most wonderful, almost as wonderful as the smell of BBQ lobster.

Haven't tried sleeping with BBQ lobster.

142   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 9:51am  

How about barbequed 100 dollar bills you sick-o’s….

But... but you can neither eat them nor spend them...

143   SQT15   2005 Aug 25, 9:55am  

But… but you can neither eat them nor spend them…

But you can sleep with them apparently. :mrgreen:

144   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 9:55am  

How about barbequed 100 dollar bills you sick-o’s….

But… but you can neither eat them nor spend them…

Ahhhhhhhhh!

Got a love those intangibles.

145   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 9:55am  

BTW, AntiTroll, do you call them spiny lobsters or crayfishes down there?

146   KurtS   2005 Aug 25, 9:56am  

It sounds weird to some people probably, but I actually care more about having outside space (tree cover, yard, decks, views, greenbelt, etc) than I do about inside space. I would not give away too much of my yard for more square footage

Jack-
That's what's so Primeâ„¢ about our nabes. Even if our places are on the small side, our backyards are awesome! It's very cool to feel part of nature, vs. living in some gated, Orwellian community that strives to subdue it.

Just as an example:
http://tinyurl.com/9tnrz

Nature is Primeâ„¢

147   SQT15   2005 Aug 25, 9:58am  

As Farrah Fawcett so eloquently said in Cannonball run "I love tree's!"

Trees are Prime.

148   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 9:59am  

Peter P,

Generally, (in my humble experience) we have:-
Lobsters,
Balmain Bugs,
Yabbies,
Prawns,

Man, now i'm feeling hungry and it's only 10 in the morning.

149   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 10:00am  

As Farrah Fawcett so eloquently said in Cannonball run “I love tree’s!”

Back then, I would have liked to been a tree.

150   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 10:01am  

Man, now i’m feeling hungry and it’s only 10 in the morning.

Time for a cold lobster. ;)

151   Peter P   2005 Aug 25, 10:05am  

Kurt S, that is a nice view. Perhaps I should move to the Marin county.

152   gabby   2005 Aug 25, 10:06am  

People from New Zealand call them crayfish.

153   timiacono   2005 Aug 25, 10:08am  

On today's subject ... I wrote about the bankruptcy bill a bit today - figured it was one of many factors that may conspire to shake people up later this year, the others are:

Derivatives
Rising Home Inventory and Stalling Home Prices
Rising Oil and Gas Prices
Politics and War
Higher Short Term Rates
Greenspan Retirement

The excerpt:

The recent rise in bankruptcy filings and the potential for a mad rush to file for bankruptcy in October could have a chilling effect on the confidence that many people have in managing their debt. Many of the provisions of the new law take effect on October 17th and in the coming months there will be a stepped up campaign by bankruptcy professionals on afternoon television and radio to compel individuals to take advantage of this last opportunity to clean up their balance sheet without the pain that will be involved after October 17th.

The post:
When Confidence Fails

Cheers!

154   AntiTroll from Oz   2005 Aug 25, 10:08am  

OT: Toll’s great earnings did not help their stock much. When people sell on good news, they are expecting worse news.

Interesting how contrary the movements can be.
Maybe people are selling because they bought expecting the news.

Buy on rumour sell on fact.

155   KurtS   2005 Aug 25, 10:14am  

NICE view...That is your dock and or view, right? Now THAT’s prime!

Yeah--the views are incredible. Tam, clouds, sunsets--dramatic changes over a few minutes!
Nope, that's the neighbor's dock, which they never use. The birds love it though!
Ours dock is half the size of that, but I use it almost every day! For the record, our home is quite modest (2 BR condo). But, we love it here--and that's what matters.

"“Some gated, Orwellian community”. I would love to live THERE someday! "

Just you wait: courtesy of "Homeland Security"

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