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Downsizing Homedebtors


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2008 Apr 25, 12:49am   11,054 views  79 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (56)   💰tip   ignore  

tiny house

Dennis has a plan, and it is the fairest one I've heard:

My bail-out plan would be for the bankers/government to facilitate downsizing the homedebtors into a house they could really afford. Say homedebtor Joe is facing foreclosure in a “D” tranch house, but upon investigation it is determined Joe could actually afford a (smaller and cheaper) “H” tranch house. Since there would be numerous “H” tranch houses in Joes area, he would be offered to pick one, move in, and assume the loan.

I know the last thread has some discussion of this idea already, but it's such a neat idea that it deserves its own thread.

Patrick

#housing

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41   Patrick   2008 Apr 26, 10:46am  

Were the HMID to be reduced for typical families it would only serve to push the rich into complex tax avoidance schemes involving shell businesses holding title and the rich merely occupying the residence.

ALL tax avoidance schemes are very easily rendered obsolete with a flat land-value tax in place of all other taxes. No income tax, no sales tax, just a tax on land that neatly corresponds with geographic jurisdiction and is completely public information.

I do harp Henry George's ideas, but they have a really compelling logic to them.

42   Brand165   2008 Apr 26, 11:24am  

Patrick, the flat land-value tax seems appealing for its simplicity, but it is also somewhat obselete. It's best applied to farms and manufacturing. Suppose I started a fabless semiconductor company with overseas manufacturing? I could be generating several million dollars of profit every year, but my geographic footprint here would be tiny. Are you going to tax me at $1000/year because I have a 1500 sq.ft. office?

43   HeadSet   2008 Apr 26, 11:30am  

I think practically every owner of the 50% McMansions rented out on my block are claiming them as primary residences. (Us bitter renters know because they ask us to do silly things like “please just keep the water bill in my name and pay it on my behalf”).

That may not be motivated by tax cheating. The issue may be that the financing on those homes strickly stated "owner occupancy." The McMansion debtors may just trying to avoid the banks finding out about the renter and thus triggering a loan due clause.

44   HeadSet   2008 Apr 26, 11:42am  

Are you going to tax me at $1000/year because I have a 1500 sq.ft. office?

Why pay so much? Since the tax is only on unimproved land value, just buy a 1500 sq ft "condo office" in a multi-story building where that $1,000 tax is split among a multitude of condo owners.

45   Brand165   2008 Apr 26, 11:52am  

HeadSet: My point is that getting taxed only on the land value is absurd in many situations. Several classes of business can produce considerable returns without large-scale consumption of raw land or natural resources. By virtue of geographic size alone, a cornfield in Iowa would be taxed more than most mid-sized Silicon Valley companies.

46   Brand165   2008 Apr 26, 11:58am  

To which I might add, in our present technological era, George's theory would simply create a different type of freehold elite. Some corporations which occupy little geographic space would immediately become immensely profitable, at the expense of other businesses like farms, manufacturing and natural resource extraction.

No doubt many on this forum will applaud such a measure, but I see no value to society from elevating the technologists at the expense of those with more tangible holdings. Companies should be taxed on delivered value, and the best measure of delivered value is profit.

47   justme   2008 Apr 26, 12:47pm  

BAI,

>Maybe we should decide that everybody is a business.

Every few years I have been thinking the same thing. Or rather, I have been thinking the opposite: Why to businesses get so many tax advantages that indivuduals cannot enjoy? I think the simple answer is political influence, and not so much the usual claptrap about how they add value to society ("provide jobs", "create investment", etc). I won't say that it is all wrong, but quite a bit of the rationale is really just self-serving mumbo-jumbo by the business-owning class of the population.

Business taxation as currently implemented leads to all kinds of wasteful spending on everything from paper clips to airplane tickets to corporate jets and golf junkets to the Bahamas.

So, yeah, it might be a good idea to tax individuals in a way more similar to business taxation, although I can already see a few areas where that method also would create some bad unintended consequences. For starters, how would we get even close to balancing the federal and state budgets, given the very predictable drop in tax revenues.

Consider also that the typical model of business taxation penalizes savings and encourages debts, which is counter to what many people on this blog believe in.

Why? Because a business gets taxed on whatever profit is left after "expenses" and "capital investments" (modulo depreciation). If the business wants to save up tp buy a house, it has to pay tax on profits and then bank said profits as savings or non-capital investments.

48   Malcolm   2008 Apr 26, 1:22pm  

Randy, I posted this a while back but noticed you were asking about this for landlords evading taxes. The simple answer is yes, reporting tax evaders gets you a reward of 15-30% of the collected evaded taxes.

http://www.irs.gov/newsroom/article/0,,id=176632,00.html

49   Malcolm   2008 Apr 26, 1:24pm  

How come no one here is complaining about the renter's tax credit? Basically that is a bribe to list persons receiving rental income, but isn't that a subsidy as well?

50   EBGuy   2008 Apr 26, 2:29pm  

So much for "primary residence" cheats... :-(
To be eligible for an award under the new procedures, the tax, penalties, interest, additions to tax, and additional amounts in dispute must exceed $2 million for any taxable year and, if the taxpayer is an individual, the individual’s gross income must exceed $200,000 for any taxable year in question.

51   Brand165   2008 Apr 26, 2:45pm  

justme: This is a poor time to raise corporate taxes. Other countries are offering tax shelter status with very low requirements. Two years ago my company relocated its corporate HQ to Singapore from the Bay Area. We maintain a token presence in Singapore, and in return we pay 10-15% taxes. If you raised U.S. taxes, more companies would just move their income center offshore, and we'd get less tax revenue, not more.

And when the income center moves, it cannot be too far distant when many cost center operations move to Asia as well.

52   Peter P   2008 Apr 26, 2:57pm  

RE: corporate taxes

US corporate tax rate is already way too high. But it is impossible to get a liberal to understand the importance of low tax rates. Save your breath.

53   Peter P   2008 Apr 26, 3:00pm  

Business taxation as currently implemented leads to all kinds of wasteful spending on everything from paper clips to airplane tickets to corporate jets and golf junkets to the Bahamas.

Taxation itself leads to "all kinds of wasteful spending on everything from paper clips to airplane tickets to government jets and golf junkets to the Bahamas."

There is no such thing as "wasteful spending" in private enterprises because all corporate behaviors are blessed by Free Market.

Anyone who mocks private jets is either poor or unenlightned or both.

54   justme   2008 Apr 26, 10:05pm  

Brand,

>justme: This is a poor time to raise corporate taxes

I did not say anything about raising corporate taxes.

Peter P,

>Anyone who mocks private jets is either poor or unenlightned or both

How about arguing the issue instead of labeling the person? I simply made some observations about the structural properties and effects of common business tax policy, e.g. that business tax structure (as currently implemented) discourages business saving. Tell me instead whether you agree or disagree with said observations.

55   BayAreaIdiot   2008 Apr 27, 12:15am  

justme
I see the points you raise. I also see that you realize we can't go in that direction:

So, yeah, it might be a good idea to tax individuals in a way more similar to business taxation, although I can already see a few areas where that method also would create some bad unintended consequences. For starters, how would we get even close to balancing the federal and state budgets, given the very predictable drop in tax revenues.

I tend to side with Brand. In today's environment, when you squeeze your most productive businesses too much, you not only have to worry about stifliing them but also about them taking flight for a tax shelter. Naturally a country like the US has quite a bit of leverage beyond tax policy but I don't see us using it.

I have no idea how to present a complete solution to revamping tha tax code. All I was saying is that the HMID is a susbidy and that I can't see the benefit from it. Tax treatment of businesses is a separate issue for me. So is tax evasion..

56   Randy H   2008 Apr 27, 12:28am  

I tacitly already knew you couldn't get any green by reporting your tax-cheat landlord. That violates the first law of common sense: if it were true then everyone would be doing it.

There have to be some barriers, or else every single renter would fire off an email on their way out the door for the last time hoping to get a little payola. In reality no only does the infraction have to be large enough to pass muster, but you have to have some real evidence. Not just "he made me pay the water bill in his name" or "he bragged to me that he was a cheating sonofabitch", but something tangible the IRS can use to start after him with high confidence they aren't just playing bitter-renter-tool.

57   DennisN   2008 Apr 27, 12:56am  

That violates the first law of common sense: if it were true then everyone would be doing it.

I don't know about that Randy. It is true, for example, that getting into debt over your head is a stupid idea, but nowadays "everyone" appears to be doing that.

58   Peter P   2008 Apr 27, 2:08am  

That violates the first law of common sense: if it were true then everyone would be doing it.

Second law of common sense: the first law is true only if everyone has common sense. :)

59   Randy H   2008 Apr 27, 2:49am  

Knowing that debt != wealth isn't common sense. People have misunderstood personal finances for hundreds of years. Overcoming that ignorance requires education and/or government nannyship.

But people are surprisingly reactive to things that yield ca$h. If something pops up which appears to be making someone quick money with little effort and little to no (perceived) personal risk, then everyone quickly copies that. How do you think bubbles get started in the first place? All a bubble really is is a meme.

When you find something that seems to be an undiscovered/unknown way to make money just evaluate what barriers and risks exist. If the answer is none, then either you're the first person to ever have discovered it, so enjoy, and write a book. Or, more likely, you don't have all the necessary information.

60   OO   2008 Apr 27, 4:53am  

Patrick,

the forum link on this page http://patrick.net/wp/ is broken.

61   Malcolm   2008 Apr 27, 5:09am  

Randy H Says:
April 27th, 2008 at 7:28 am
"There have to be some barriers, or else every single renter would fire off an email on their way out the door for the last time hoping to get a little payola. In reality no only does the infraction have to be large enough to pass muster, but you have to have some real evidence. Not just “he made me pay the water bill in his name” or “he bragged to me that he was a cheating sonofabitch”, but something tangible the IRS can use to start after him with high confidence they aren’t just playing bitter-renter-tool."

Well, you would have to know for sure. You can't accuse someone of a crime and hope that it is true. That in itself would be a crime.

62   Brand165   2008 Apr 27, 6:23am  

On a different note, I'm pretty sure the picture is a Tumbleweed tiny house. Has anyone ever looked at their web site? The houses are fascinatingly tiny, but they also appear to be $400/sq.ft. and up. That's a pretty heft price when you're not including land.

63   Randy H   2008 Apr 27, 6:23am  

Therein lies the problem. It would be a very rare case that a renter would know *for sure* that his landlord is cheating on taxes. I'm 99% sure mine is, but I have no hard evidence. Even the circumstantial evidence isn't all that deep if I look at it objectively.

The whole IRS bounty thing is really meant to entice whistleblowers to come forward with substantial transgressions. If the landlord manages 150 units and is using someone in his office to facilitate dodging taxes, then that person could go to the IRS with a few photocopies of documents and makes some $. If one of his tenants knows the same basic thing (because maybe the landlord is an idiot and blurted it out drunk one night at a BBQ in the apt. complex), and he goes to the IRS, he ain't getting bunkus for reward even if the guy gets taken down.

64   Brand165   2008 Apr 27, 6:24am  

heft -> hefty

65   kewp   2008 Apr 27, 8:59am  

How about no plan at all and let the market sort itself out?

Just today I saw a priced to sell repo close at 60% off peak:

http://www.sdlookup.com/MLS-086024191-1341_Fern_St_San_Diego_CA_92102

People that can't afford houses should default so that those of us that *can* will be able to buy them. Banks that lend to people that can't afford to pay them back need to go out of business.

66   PermaRenter   2008 Apr 27, 10:05am  

Dulce Maya is worried that she won't be able to squeeze by much longer. The 27-year-old restaurant manager bought a three-bedroom, two-bath house in Fontana for $350,000 two years ago with a $5,000 down payment and an adjustable-rate mortgage.

This year, her $2,300 monthly payment will probably rise to $3,300 and her work hours were recently cut because business is slow. Maya has asked her bank to lower her payments so she can keep her house, which is now valued at $200,000, and expects to hear back in the next few weeks. If it doesn't agree, she says, she may have no choice but to hand the bank the keys.

"I don't know what happens next," Maya said. "I may try and rent an apartment for around what I'm paying, but rents are going up too."

67   PermaRenter   2008 Apr 27, 10:06am  

Kelly McAuliffe of Los Angeles can't believe how quickly she has gone from rushing to back-to-back business meetings to passing her days watching the Game Show Network and reruns of "Law & Order."

Since getting laid off from an online advertising company in February, the 34-year-old former sales director has stopped meeting friends for drinks and has pared her grocery list (less Whole Foods, more sales at Ralphs). She's scaling back her cellphone calls and where she drives because of rising gas prices.

To get by, she recently did the unthinkable: She borrowed money from her mother.

"It's hard to say it, but it's demeaning," said McAuliffe, who has had a handful of job interviews in the last month. "You work so long to make your parents proud, and this is the last thing you expect to be doing at my age."

68   PermaRenter   2008 Apr 27, 10:06am  

Jason Liebrecht used to write about his motorcycle adventures on his blog. But since early this month, the 36-year-old San Diego computer software engineer's daily musings have been about a less thrilling new experience: unemployment.

"Do I find a job, or do I head to Central and South America on the motorcycle?" he wrote on Day 4. By Day 7, he had become more realistic: "So far in the last week I've made $1,245 off of EBay sales. Mostly stuff I wasn't using, or don't need much. Nice way to clean the house up!"

After selling some stock and applying for unemployment, Liebrecht figures he can pay his $2,300-a-month mortgage and other bills for just two months. When his company health insurance runs out in a few weeks, he'll go uncovered because he can't afford the premiums.

"You have to just hope you land on your feet," Liebrecht said in an interview.

69   PermaRenter   2008 Apr 27, 10:09am  

Fannie warns homeowners who walk away
Kenneth Harney
Sunday, April 13, 2008

(04-13) 04:00 PDT Washington -- The country's two largest sources of mortgage money have a blunt warning for anyone thinking about joining the growing "walkaway" trend, where homeowners stop making payments and months later send the house keys back to their lender: You will feel the pain.

On March 31, Fannie Mae sent out new guidelines to lenders intended for walkaways and other foreclosure situations. Fannie will now prohibit foreclosed borrowers from getting another mortgage through the giant investor for five years, unless there are "documented extenuating circumstances." In those cases, the mortgage prohibition is for three years.

Even after five years, borrowers with foreclosures in their files will be required to make at least a 10 percent down payment, and will need minimum FICO credit scores of 680.

Freddie Mac, Fannie's rival, counts foreclosures as major credit blots for seven years, and a senior official said the company is now aggressively pursuing some walkaway borrowers "to preserve our deficiency rights" where permitted under state law.

The walkaway trend is particularly noteworthy in former housing boom markets - including California, Florida and Nevada - where many homeowners find themselves upside down on their loans, owing tens of thousands more than the current market value of their houses. If they invested little or nothing in down payments, some owners reason, continuing to make payments - even if they can afford to - may be throwing good money after bad.

70   PermaRenter   2008 Apr 27, 10:12am  

Home is where the heartache lies

TO AMERICAN home owners there are two lines on the graph that represents the biggest investment of their life: one heading north, the other on its way south.

The former represents the monthly mortgage payment, rising and rising, thanks to the terms of the adjustable rate mortgage that looked so enticing with its low initial interest rate when it was signed three or five years ago. Now the rate is indeed adjusting.

The other line is the value of the property. It can be either the family home or an investment property. Its price is falling. The point where those lines intersect and then head in opposite directions is known as negative equity, when a mortgage has a higher value than the house it helped pay for. If a graphic history of early 21st century America could be drawn, this place would be the graveyard.

Depending on where you are in California, say, or Florida, or even Kansas City, that fall can look like a plunge. In mega-rich Santa Barbara county, just north of Los Angeles, housing prices fell 46 per cent last year. Discounts of $US200,000 to $US400,000 ($216,800 to $433,700) can now be had on former million-dollar houses in Kansas City.

These numbers are dire, but only the beginning.

71   Brand165   2008 Apr 27, 11:02am  

Has anyone been reading the CNN Money series on America's Money: In their own words? Some of these folks have unfortunate tales, but there are so many where I just wonder what the hell people were thinking.

72   PermaRenter   2008 Apr 27, 12:46pm  

Sherry Kostenko: Starting over at 40
Stay-at-home mom, 40, Apopka, Fla.

We bought a home in Orlando, Fla., in February 2005, the height of the boom here. At the time, we could afford the home, the taxes and the insurance. It would be tight but we kept planning on "the bonus" or "the raise."

We got all caught up in the "square footage" of the home. Well, what we didn't realize was that with our BIG HOUSE comes BIG EVERYTHING! Big taxes, big insurance, big water bills, big electric bills. The anxiety at the end of the month caused health problems for both my husband, Victor, and I.

Last summer, we realized that we could not live like this any longer. We could not afford our home, we were prisoners of our mortgage. We couldn't enjoy life outside the house. We were literally trapped.

We decided to "downsize" our life, our lifestyle and our home. It was a lot of soul searching but we both realized that it's not all about "square footage" or bedrooms or full baths. It's about being able to afford a mortgage (and all the add-ons) and still have money at the end of the month.

Now, our timing could not be worse of course, for putting the big house on the market. We built a much smaller house, ranch style and I love it! My first electric bill was a third of what it used to be. Yes, we still have the big house, but we were able to rent it out and cover expenses.

We are not making a dime on the rental, and when the market comes back, we will put it back up to sell. We wiped out Victor's 401(k) to pay off debt and put a down payment on the new house. We have established a savings account and there is actually money left over at the end of the month....whew!

73   Brand165   2008 Apr 27, 1:41pm  

Yeah, the Kostenkos made me want to stick knitting needles in my eyes. So they're basically hosed on the first house, so they empty the 401(k) to put a downpayment on a second house?!? Oh, but it's smaller!

Maybe they could have rented the huge house, and then rented a smaller house themselves? How hard could it be to find in Florida, of all places?

74   Malcolm   2008 Apr 27, 1:58pm  

Randy, do you think your landlord is making money? It seemed that you had negotiated a pretty sweet deal when we were talking about it a while back. Are you still in the same place?

75   Malcolm   2008 Apr 27, 2:01pm  

PermaRenter, we were talking about that same article a couple of threads back. Funny as hell. The take away was that basically the sternest warning the government can give is that if you stick it to your bank now you will be subject to normal and reasonable lending standards in five years. You know, when it is all going to repeat itself again. LOL
What a world what a world.

76   Randy H   2008 Apr 27, 2:17pm  

malcolm

Yes, he's making money. He has a low cost basis. He built the house himself on an undeveloped lot in the early 90s.

My only worry is whether he's loaded it up with funny money mortgage since. But if he got foreclosed I'd consider it a blessing so I could be forced to find a nicer place to live. I really hate this frickin McCrapsion. Worst designed house ever.

77   Malcolm   2008 Apr 27, 3:04pm  

I'm learning secondhand how foreclosures affect renters. We know a couple going through it right now. It turns out, at least in California that banks have to do certain things when there is a lease involved. As I find out more details I'm going to pass them along. I find it pretty interesting since we've talked about it and tried to research it. I may have mentioned it before, but didn't expect to find out that the bank has to give them this much notice, or do this or that.

So you suspect he is having some financial problems. From what you are saying that would be a real waste. It is unbelievable how people that far ahead in the game manage to screw themselves up. There's just no reason, unless something tragic happened. Companies are still advertising mortgages to go on a vacation.

Are you looking to rent somewhere else or are you going to wait for the first notice to be nailed to the door before you start?

78   Randy H   2008 Apr 27, 3:38pm  

We're looking to buy soon. We've been actively writing lowball offers again after along lull. Unlike a year ago, this time we're getting serious counter offers. None good enough to consider yet. But getting closer.

We're also going to try doing a couple short sales and/or auction bids. We had to break down and bring on an agent to access the whole "private market" in Marin. There is a huge inventory of "off market", "pocket listing" and "private deals". Only an insider agent gets you access. But this guy is good and he's very positive on REO, short sales, and auctions. So we're actively involved in all that.

It's a real pain in the ass because it eats up so much time. Unfortunately, renting has been a serious burden given our circumstances the past 3 years. I had to move mom back east with other relatives as her situation degenerated so she can't climb stairs any longer (but like most of her generation would rather sit stranded on the stairwell half a day than admit she needs help).

So now we're stuck trying to lead the market pricing mechanism by getting involved in the more aggressive side of potential deals. Currently, my best bragging point is an offer we wrote for $550K less than the previous owners paid in 2005, during a feeding frenzy overbid which they "won" by overbidding $200K. They countered ... at $300K less than they paid! But I need that other quarter mil or else they can choke on their mortgage.

79   Malcolm   2008 Apr 28, 5:41am  

Good luck with your offers.
I know it's tough watching parents age. My mom has been drinking 'Mone Ve'sp? which my sister sells, and it seems to have really helped her out. I think there may be something to some of these natural remedies.

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