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40000   tatupu70   2013 Dec 7, 9:06am  

Bellingham Bill says

Gotta tax land, first and foremost.

I don't necessarily disagree, but I don't see how you could ever implement such a tax policy from where we are now.

40001   curious2   2013 Dec 7, 9:08am  

Robert Sproul says

Are you familiar c2?

Yes, but because they don't take insurance, their patient base will be limited to people who still have enough left over after paying for the mandatory insurance.

40002   Reality   2013 Dec 7, 9:15am  

Robert Sproul says

One business model to deliver primary care that seems intriguing is Direct Primary Care. Similar in my understanding to "Concierge" practices but they take no insurance of any kind, strictly cash. Imagine the savings in staffing costs in a clinic with no insurance billing, hell no billing of any kind.

Are you familiar c2?

Of course skipping insurance paper pushing would make medical service less expensive. That's why the insurance lobby bought Obamacare -- to head off the cost savings by requiring everyone, especially those still have any money in their pockets, to buy useless insurance. The ideal medical insurance from the insurance company's view is one that covers every medical procedure, but has no doctor in the network available to render service . . . therefore you pay for the insurance but can never get the insurance company to pay for any bill. In order to sell such a policy, government mandate is necessary.

40003   Reality   2013 Dec 7, 9:21am  

Bellingham Bill says

Gotta tax land, first and foremost.

If you do that, you've fixed a lot; don't do that, and you haven't fixed much, since land is always the source and sink of all wealth, until we invent antigravity, teleportation, or all live in vats.

What is "land"? Even Henry George himself had to re-define in the second phase of his Georgism "land" as anything that is government granted monopoly; e.g. patent, exclusive license, etc. etc..

In today's world, talks about "land" is a distraction, when the biggest monopoly is "money." Even buying land usually necessitates the buyer to rent money.

Antigravity and teleportation are quite unnecessary for drastically more land to be available: self-driving cars will suffice for a long time. . . just like automobile and highways enabled drastic increase in home ownership in the mid-20th century: by making large tracts of formerly nearly useless land into metropolitan land.

40004   Tenpoundbass   2013 Dec 7, 10:00am  

FortWayne says

It's still fee for service model.

Damn right it is, but I think they are referring to the Medicare recipient reimbursements. Not those that were forced to buy on the wide wild exchange. They are jumping ship because millions signed up for free healthcare but there aren't many takers for the Ballbreaker monthly.

They'll end up doing far more colonoscopies for $25.00 than for $3500 that is just the coinsurance and another $3000 on the deductible. Not many young and invincible in need of a good look up the ole poopshoot.

40005   Homeboy   2013 Dec 7, 10:02am  

So let's see if I have this right. Complaints against ACA so far:

No cost controls on medical procedures.
Too many cost controls on medical procedures driving doctors away.

It's just an excuse to make the pharmaceutical industry rich.
It has unfair taxes on pharmaceutical industry that will hurt them.

Poor people will be forced to buy expensive insurance.
Poor people will get unfair government handouts.

It won't allow me to have the high deductible plan I want.
Deductibles will be too high.

Pretty hard to please people when their complaints are exact opposites of each other.

40006   curious2   2013 Dec 7, 10:07am  

Homeboy says

It has unfair taxes on pharmaceutical industry that will hurt them.

Who said that? PhRMA gets subsidies, its competitors get taxed.

Homeboy says

Pretty hard to please people when their complaints are exact opposites of each other.

Actually, the complaints tend to be consistent: prices are too high, government exacerbates that while pretending to help, etc.

40007   turtledove   2013 Dec 7, 12:26pm  

Doctors are the frontman for healthcare. They aren't the ones getting rich, but they sure as heck are the ones the hospital corps, pharma, and insurance companies would love to blame. It's entertaining how many regular Joes buy that BS. Take a look at who runs the big hospitals. Doctors haven't been running hospitals for years. They were run out by MBAs who promised greater returns to shareholders. There are plenty of stories of people paying absurd amounts for simple hospital procedures (eg, $13k for D&C after miscarriage).... Doctor's fees aren't the bank busters. The doctor got a couple of hundred from that procedure. As he should have! Where the rest goes is where the problem lies, but no one seems to want to look closely at that one. It's easier to blame the doctor because he/she is the person the patient associates with his/her care.

40008   HEY YOU   2013 Dec 7, 12:34pm  

Look at the report on Obamacare on 25 June 2013.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100840148

It's all Obamacare's fault from effective date: 2014

Pre-existing coverage will create a Global Financial Cataclysm.

Cannibal Anarchy will be knocking on the door, 1/1/2014.

40009   Robert Sproul   2013 Dec 7, 12:40pm  

curious2 says

Yes, but because they don't take insurance, their patient base will be limited to people who still have enough left over after paying for the mandatory insurance.

Maybe. I read today that the co-pay for some degraded new Kaiser Gold Obama(doesn't)Care plan was 50 bucks.
The Direct Primary office visit, in the article that brought this to my attention, was 60. (Although it would surely be more in some locales)
I just love the idea of striping the insurance predation out the primary care end of this bloated swindle.
I don't need insurance to see my accountant or call my plumber.
I should be able to afford to hire an MD for 20 minutes.

40010   HEY YOU   2013 Dec 7, 12:43pm  

bgamall4 says:"Sorry man."

Damnit! Learn the rules of this site.

WE NEVER APOLOGIZE, WE ONLY ATTACK! lol

40011   Dan8267   2013 Dec 7, 12:46pm  

Call it Crazy says

70% Of Calfornia's Doctors Expected To Boycott Obamacare

Someone wrote an unfounded conjecture on the Internet. It must be true. The great Internet gremlins don't allow anything untrue to be sent through HTTP.

No one, not even the smuck writing the article or the one he referenced, actually expects 70% of doctors to refuse to take patients whose insurance came through the exchange.

40012   curious2   2013 Dec 7, 1:05pm  

Dan8267 says

Someone wrote an unfounded conjecture on the Internet.

He cites an article in the Washington Examiner, which was also picked up and supplemented in the (unrelated) San Francisco Examiner. The reports are consistent with the WSJ report of McKinsey studies finding fewer than half as many doctors in Obamacare plans as other plans. All three of those newspapers tend to align with Republicans, so it is possible they may have coordinated an exaggeration, but their reporting seems to have significant corroboration.

40013   mell   2013 Dec 7, 1:26pm  

curious2 says

Who said that? PhRMA gets subsidies, its competitors get taxed.

Or locked out completely such as compounding pharmacies, not good.

40014   anotheraccount   2013 Dec 7, 2:01pm  

70% figure is BS as related to Obamacare plans. The article is taking about Medicaid which always had low doctor participation. Normal Obamacare plans will have normal doctor participation.

Have to be careful with ZH articles. A lot of things that they find are very interesting, but sometimes their headlines are more misleading than Huffington Post's.

40015   Bellingham Bill   2013 Dec 7, 3:00pm  

New Renter says

To me this indicates gold has a lower floor than $1200/oz

ISTM there's a lot of trucks waiting to be backed up in this market.

The system can't tolerate deflation.

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/TCMDODNS

Production isn't failing:

but at ~90M ounces/yr

there's not enough new supply to meet the demand of the global population of goldbug stockpilers/savers (taking the 1% meme seriously, the global 1% is 70M people now, and I'm sure they want to acquire more than one ounce of gold a year each).

40016   Ceffer   2013 Dec 7, 3:08pm  

turtledove says

Doctors are the frontman for healthcare. They aren't the ones getting rich, but they sure as heck are the ones the hospital corps, pharma, and insurance companies would love to blame. It's entertaining how many regular Joes buy that BS

Pretty much true. The insurance industry and managers are masters of remaining moving targets throwing up obstructive rules, paper and ever shifting standards. The doctors become the only non-shape shifting, constant entity, and are thus easy to blame, and that's the way the insurance companies like it and encourage it.

When patients call insurance companies complaining about their coverage, it is standard operating procedure, coached into the insurance representatives, to shift blame to the doctors.

Try telling people that their financial relationship with the insurance company is completely separate from their relationship with the docotor, it is distinct, they just don't believe the doctor and direct their wrath at who is immediately available instead of the faceless bureaucratic enemy who created the problem.

This contributes to the general malaise of the system and is contributory to practicing doctors choosing to bail out.

40017   New Renter   2013 Dec 7, 3:33pm  

Bellingham Bill says

New Renter says

To me this indicates gold has a lower floor than $1200/oz

ISTM there's a lot of trucks waiting to be backed up in this market.

The system can't tolerate deflation.

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/TCMDODNS

Production isn't failing:

but at ~90M ounces/yr

there's not enough new supply to meet the demand of the global population of goldbug stockpilers/savers (taking the 1% meme seriously, the global 1% is 70M people now, and I'm sure they want to acquire more than one ounce of gold a year each).

Demand can certainly keep gold costs well above $1200/oz. The events of the last 9 years proves that. My point was simply that the majority of global gold production will not cease below this value.

Of course they may also collectively decide platinum is the metal du jour...

40018   anonymous   2013 Dec 7, 3:56pm  

Everyone can look at the insurance companies all they want, but it's the cost of medical services that's the crux of the problem. If mechanics were to charge $15,000 to replace your windshield, you can bet that your auto insurance premiums would be a hell-of-a lot higher than they are today. Providers/hospitals are setting the prices...insurance companies just discount from there as much as possible, and Medicare/Medicaid pretends their prices never existed.

40019   Robert Sproul   2013 Dec 8, 12:06am  

debyne says

Everyone can look at the insurance companies all they want, but it's the cost of medical services that's the crux of the problem.

Yeah, it is a fierce competition, which racket amongst these interlocking corrupt cartels is the most egregious?
I imagine this entire predatory enterprise was teetering after years of exponential growth, feeding off the formerly prosperous middle classes.
Hence the government wing of Corporate America steps in and mandates participation.
I wonder how long this latest conscienceless wealth extraction will last.

40020   Strategist   2013 Dec 8, 12:57am  

Heraclitusstudent says

Tim Aurora says

1. Home is an appreciating asset while car is a depricating asset

How many 1oo yrs old houses do you see around you?

Houses do have a limited lifetime, and are in fact depreciating.

I don't know in what sense one could say that a home is an "appreciating" asset.

A home is a commodity. More can be built as needed. Building costs are not increasing faster than inflation. And there is a lot of land to build. There is absolutely no rational reason for home prices to "appreciate" over time, in real terms - except maybe from a speculative perspective.

Some places have a shortage of land and are always in high demand. Prices here will continue to outperform all other places. New York, London, Paris, coastal California to name a few. If you buy and hold in these locations, you will come out ahead in the long run.

40021   mell   2013 Dec 8, 1:20am  

Strategist says

Some places have a shortage of land and are always in high demand. Prices here will continue to outperform all other places. New York, London, Paris, coastal California to name a few. If you buy and hold in these locations, you will come out ahead in the long run.

Outperform like in 2008? This time is different! ;)

40022   bob2356   2013 Dec 8, 1:21am  

debyne says

Providers/hospitals are setting the prices...insurance companies just discount from there as much as possible, and Medicare/Medicaid pretends their prices never existed.

Sorry to interrupt you with reality but that's exactly backwards. M/M sets the rates which drives the insurance companies rates. Read up on Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

40023   Strategist   2013 Dec 8, 1:25am  

mell says

Strategist says

Some places have a shortage of land and are always in high demand. Prices here will continue to outperform all other places. New York, London, Paris, coastal California to name a few. If you buy and hold in these locations, you will come out ahead in the long run.

Outperform like in 2008? This time is different! ;)

Not different at all. Over a period of 10 to 20 years you will come out ahead, with the 2008 crash being the greatest buying opportunity since the Great Depression.

40024   mell   2013 Dec 8, 1:29am  

Strategist says

mell says

Strategist says

Some places have a shortage of land and are always in high demand. Prices here will continue to outperform all other places. New York, London, Paris, coastal California to name a few. If you buy and hold in these locations, you will come out ahead in the long run.

Outperform like in 2008? This time is different! ;)

Not different at all. Over a period of 10 to 20 years you will come out ahead, with the 2008 crash being the greatest buying opportunity since the Great Depression.

You can say that about everything that tracks inflation and is supported heavily by the Fed/gov. monetary "policies" (= counterfeiting). That's why the DOW is at all time highs. As long as there is no fundamental economic prosperity the next crash is always lurking around the corner. Stocks at least you can sell with the click of a button, houses are far more illiquid and therefore riskier. Of course if you have the time and the talent to be a landlord that can change the dynamic in your favor.

40025   Strategist   2013 Dec 8, 1:38am  

Mel says:
You can say that about everything that tracks inflation and is supported heavily by the Fed/gov. monetary "policies" (= counterfeiting). That's why the DOW is at all time highs. As long as there is no fundamental economic prosperity the next crash is always lurking around the corner. Stocks at least you can sell with the click of a button, houses are far more illiquid and therefore riskier. Of course if you have the time and the talent to be a landlord that can change the dynamic in your favor.

You probably could. The 2008 crash was a half off sale on something guaranteed to go up over time. It happened before, and no doubt will happen again.
I'll be waiting for the next one with a bag full of money. Hopefully 10 years from now.

40026   FortWayne   2013 Dec 8, 1:55am  

curious2 says

Once patients have paid for the mandatory insurance, they tend to stay in network, where co-payments may also be subsidized. It is very difficult for independent doctors to compete with insurance networks.

makes sense.

40027   mell   2013 Dec 8, 2:02am  

Tim Aurora says

mell says

Outperform like in 2008? This time is different! ;)

By taking a very small sample data of any asset you could make a case either way. However you need to average it out over a period of time.

The ones on this forum advocating continued monetary intervention and higher taxes for "wealth-redistribution" argue that a deflationary spiral would not make prices go up over a very long period of time. I'd be "worried" holding RE (or high-beta stocks) that when the Fed runs out of bullets, then it is entirely possible that prices come back down and stay low for a long time - which I would take as a good thing as they return to their intrinsic values.

40028   Homeboy   2013 Dec 8, 7:13am  

Oh god - the Cato Institute.

40029   monkframe   2013 Dec 8, 8:11am  

As flawed as the new law may be, it's better than nothing. It's obvious why low income people would sign up - they can't afford health care insurance under the broken, old system. Unless we do something about the 46 million without health insurance, we have no right to call ourselves an "advanced" country.

This may be the first step toward single-payer, which where we really want to go if this country is to be more equitable and less divided by class. Remove the bloodsucking insurance industry, change the laws so that Medicare can negotiate drug prices, limit the high-tech toys that add lots of cost and little value in terms of patient outcomes, and maybe we'll see even further slowing of health care inflation. It's already slowing down, probably in part because of this law.

40030   elliemae   2013 Dec 8, 8:30am  

It would give me a migraine to watch for an hour.

Personally, I like drugs. Drugs are awesome - and they work very well. Many insurance plans limit the amount they'll pay for to #4 per month - but if a pharmacy price matches the Walmart deal (most of the larger ones do), you can get a 30-day supply (which according to them is nine) for $4.00. This applies whether or not the patient has health insurance.

A true migraine is a horrible thing. It's not a chronic pain or headache problem - it is believed that there are many causes:

"The exact causes of migraines are unknown, although they are related to changes in the brain as well as to genetic causes. People with migraines may inherit the tendency to be affected by certain migraine triggers, such as fatigue, bright lights, weather changes, and others.

"For many years, scientists believed that migraines were linked to expanding and constricting blood vessels on the brain's surface. However, it is now believed that migraines are caused by inherited abnormalities in certain areas of the brain.

"There is a migraine "pain center" or generator in the brain. A migraine begins when hyperactive nerve cells send out impulses to the blood vessels, causing them to clamp down or constrict, followed by dilation (expanding) and the release of prostaglandins, serotonin, and other inflammatory substances that cause the pulsation to be painful."

There are many "triggers" as well. The OTC medications such as Tylenol migraine is a mixture of Tylenol, aspirin and caffeine. This is little consolation if you're sensitive to light and movement, puking your guts out and feel like you're dying inside.

http://www.webmd.com/migraines-headaches/guide/migraines-headaches-migraines

40031   RealEstateIsBetterThanStocks   2013 Dec 8, 8:33am  

i see how they use motion sickness to combat migraines. genius idea.

40032   Bellingham Bill   2013 Dec 8, 11:32am  

The $100B/yr new-gold market ($1200/oz x 90e6 oz) takes 0.14% of global GDP.

That's about the right asset allocation, a person clearing $100,000 should buy a $5 Eagle every year . . .

40033   marcus   2013 Dec 8, 11:42am  

tr6 says

I do not understand mining industry well and many pundits claim this as a reason that a supply of gold will go down sharply if prices drop below 1200.

Quite a support has been created at the 1200 level, or a little above.

I think it's going to be interesting to see the price action if and when when it drops below key support levels.

Have miners been stockpiling gold, to avoid causing a vicious price drop? Or because they are waiting for those higher prices to return? How about other interests propping up prices with futures or longer term forward contracts ?

If these things have been happening, and if the price needs to be lower, it could be a somewhat violent drop once it breaks through.

Has this little consolidation move of the past 6 months between $1200 ad $1400 been one of accumulation or distribution ?

40034   New Renter   2013 Dec 8, 2:40pm  

marcus says

Have miners been stockpiling gold, to avoid causing a vicious price drop? Or because they are waiting for those higher prices to return? How about other interests propping up prices with futures or longer term forward contracts ?

I'd assume Goldman Sacs has a few bars stashed somewhere...

40035   anonymous   2013 Dec 8, 11:52pm  

bob2356 says

Sorry to interrupt you with reality but that's exactly backwards. M/M sets the rates which drives the insurance companies rates. Read up on Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

Sorry to burst your pseudo-reality bubble, but providers set those prices.

http://www.marketplace.org/topics/life/health-care/world-health-care-pricing

40036   zzyzzx   2013 Dec 9, 1:45am  

curious2 says

Yes, but because they don't take insurance, their patient base will be limited to people who still have enough left over after paying for the mandatory insurance.

Or those who are paying the penalty since it's cheaper.

40037   mell   2013 Dec 9, 2:04am  

Almost all of the rise in the FIRE sector economy is due to the continued Fed action. I don't disagree that on a deep crisis like in 2008 the markets overshoot on the downside, but the majority of the pull is Fed action to this day. Look at the dollar which cannot even compete with a crap currency like the Euro, make no mistake the big debasement is afoot and there will be another crash due to these actions. It is irrelevant how deep that crash will be, it is likely that it will not reach the lows of 2008, but that is of no consolation as inflation made the dollar worth far less.

40038   tatupu70   2013 Dec 9, 2:06am  

Heraclitusstudent says

How many 1oo yrs old houses do you see around you?

Houses do have a limited lifetime, and are in fact depreciating.

I see quite a bit around me. In every area I've lived in there were always nice neighborhoods/towns that had 100+ year old homes. And they were very desriable.

In any event--the wood and nails don't appreciate. The land does.

40039   bob2356   2013 Dec 9, 2:10am  

debyne says

bob2356 says

Sorry to interrupt you with reality but that's exactly backwards. M/M sets the rates which drives the insurance companies rates. Read up on Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

Sorry to burst your pseudo-reality bubble, but providers set those prices.

http://www.marketplace.org/topics/life/health-care/world-health-care-pricing

Be nice is you actually read what you posted. The rvu committee sets a value. The CMS (medicare) sets the price, which may or may not be the rvu value. The vast majority of insurance companies follow medicare since doing their own calculations for thousands of procedures would very costly.

Someone has to calculate what things cost, the people doing the work are usually the best resource. Who do you think would do a better fairer job of setting prices or are you just someone who sees everything as a vast conspiracy to complain about?

What industry are you in and who sets your prices?

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