patrick.net

Logan Mohtashami says

This is not your area

What is your area?.

Logan Mohtashami says

demographic economics

WTF is that?

Logan Mohtashami says

us Data Miners

Do you use a DOS prompt?

CBOEtrader says

demographic economics

WTF is that?

Prime age labor force growth... human supply, young people... = demand... as long as you have a younger work force coming in, you shouldn't see a Japan deflationary cycle

Older people 55 plus are net savers and their consumption levels are much lower than a young person. This is why demographics are #1

Prime age labor force growth was good in 1980's and 1990's but in 2007 it peaked and declined but now slowly growing and will really grow in the next cycle which is right when the Supposed Deflationary collapse of America will happen and 77.5 Million Americans will lose their jobs

Unlike Europe, Japan and China, we have a massive young workforce about to come in line

This cycle we are very old and very young.... 2008-2019

Am I reading that last chart correctly?

50+% increase in retirement age people working

errc says

50+% increase in retirement age people working

Census live map is the best data to look at things

Here is the website

http://www.census.gov/popclock/?intcmp=home_pop

We have a massive young workforce but still ages 21-26 really, not there yet to be added in full in the prime age labor force growth data in terms of the demand curve.. this is why I push a lot demand economic in the next cycle years 2020-2024... ages 28-42 in higher supply that is a consumption base... peak earners are running age 45-54

errc says

Am I reading that last chart correctly?

50+% increase in retirement age people working

IOW yes

Logan Mohtashami says

we have a massive young workforce about to come in line

but do we have jobs for them?

SubOink says

but do we have jobs for them?

The United States Of America had the single highest job openings print ever recorded in human history

We need more labor, if it was up to me I would be having a importing of labor from other countries right now because our labor shortage in certain industries is big

Now in a few years they will be filling them in and older people will be dying

The thesis of 77.5 Million jobs being lost is as bad as it gets...

We need more labor and educated and skilled Americans are working

High School drops outs drug addicts aren't as much

One of the issues going ahead is that older Americans are leaving the workforce in big numbers and some are dying this is why it's important to have a big young labor force to take their jobs

Plenty of Jobs out there and once the boomers leave in bigger force, our younger people step in

This is a problem in Japan, Europe and China .... lack of a younger workforce of scale

I call this the highlander theory and people who don't have a demographic economic background wouldn't even know what I am talking about

This is the thesis that a human being works from ages 16-95 or death

Because all humans work all the time to death, they don't allow the younger workforce to ever have a job

Now this terrible thesis has been destroyed in America in 2016

43 year lows in unemployment claims and the highest job openings ever even with mass scale older people working

I am telling you guys, you need to verse yourself in demographic economics, you're so on the wrong side of history here

I understand why all of you are afraid

I get it

Human fear and being scared is very common in those who don't understand...

It's going to be ok... this is America... we aren't Europe and Japan

thanks for that !

do you have a chart that shows jobs creation in the last decade?

Ironman says

two part time, minimum wage jobs..

Fallacy of logic is deep with those who hate the country they live in ....

Part time work is running at 18.2% and multiple part work is running at 20 year lows % wise

Logan Mohtashami says

It's going to be ok... this is America

Thanks to the king dollar as much as demographics.

You discount the fact the US rose to power through economic freedom and property rights an era that most consider "unstable" and "controlled" by robber barons.

Demographics are not the only factor at work, otherwise India and China would be # 1 & 2.

SubOink says

do you have a chart that shows jobs creation in the last decade?

last cycle run here

Going back decades, adjusting to population, everything looks right for a mature country

It makes 100% sense why unemployment claims are at 43 year lows and job openings are at world record highs

In fact in 2016

The U.S. had the biggest spread gap on claims and job openings even with 155 Million working people ... ever in human history...

I mean no one close to us ever .... that is what we did as a country in 2016 ...

We own this planet.. now if you moved to Europe you have every right to cry about Europe every day.. I am so with you guys there

But... this is America folks... not Europe

Breaking: DieBankOfAmericaPhukkingDie endorses Wall Street blow job giver & banking whore, Hillary Clinton, because she's accepted millions from BankofAmerica!

It is very interesting how financial pressure is being used lately to force conformity with specific political opinions. Sad, but interesting.

I hope the Berkeley showing will continue, but hey, it's Berkeley so I would not be surprised if not. They are very intolerant.

At least the internet continues to be an end-run around the blocks the certain groups put up hoping to prevent free speech.

Whudda shame!

Viewing audiences are entitled to roar at an entire feature of self-owning.

There's always a silver lining.

I can hardly wait for the IHLs outside the theater in Berkeley to capture pusillanimous males at random and toss them into large barrels. A pair of 500 pound IHLs with hairy pits and legs will hold hands while dancing them into chitlins like grape stomping fraus in Europe.

The remains will be mixed with kerosene and dumped on the attendees from the rooftop as they leave the theater then set alight.

It will be an IHL epic.

47% unemployment rate

Get a life ... all of you...

Like I said, you're all so cute with this American civilization crisis thesis .... It's really funny

Logan Mohtashami -

You guys aren't data people and it shows....

Short course on economics at a local junior college and you will then realize, how silly a deflationary collapse with 77.5 Million Jobs being lost is just silly

Logan Mohtashami is so successful, he's probably waiting to give a speech to the Indian-Iranian-LBGTQ Mortgage Brokers' Association right now, while posting to Patrick.net from his smartphones.

Is this all you guys got

A bunch of rag tag ultra right and ultra left economic theories

This hiding behind your fake names....

See, this act works when you all work together in your little Pat.net theme

It doesn't work with someone who tracks data.. But then again

You all hide behind fakes name and now I am speaking at economic conferences

http://www.americatalyst.com/content/2016-americatalyst-fast-forward

Panel 1 1.3 BREAKING BAD: Scoring the Housing Finance Market

Speaker(s)

Teresa Bazemore
President
Radian Guaranty

Sean Dobson
Chief Executive Officer | Chairman
Amherst Holdings

Mark Fleming
SVP | Chief Economist
First American Financial Corporation

Logan Mohtashami
Senior Loan Manager
AMC Lending Group

Ted Tozer
President
GNMA | Ginnie Mae

Panel 2 : 2.4 DEJA VU: House and Rent Price Projections

Speaker(s)
Douglas Bendt
SVP of Product Development & Research
Investability

Mark Fleming
SVP | Chief Economist
First American Financial Corporation

Logan Mohtashami
Senior Loan Manager
AMC Lending Group

Allan Weiss
Founder & CEO
Weiss Residential Research

This is why I have always said

Men.. don't hide behind fake names.... Men are brave they're mortal, which means they take risks... that's why the Gods always hate us....

You guys don't care...

Great American collapse...

This is why I don't believe any of you

You guys can't be this bad

and who made Mell the conservative in this group ...

You're an investment club ... stick to that

Price is all that matters...

leave the economics to me .....

Blah Blah BlahLogan Mohtashwarma, the GREATEST HELOC & REFI MORTGAGE BROKER IN YOIR NEIGHBORHOOD!

"CALL LOGAN AT 1-800-DOUCHBAG WHEN YOU NEED A HELOC TO PAY FOR THAT DECK!"

Let me explain this one more time

You guys are acting like a bunch of liberal MMT people ... they cry more than anyone

If you're going to present a deflationary collapse by 2020.. you need to have a reversal of demand curve

Into a stronger demographic patch

Look at it this way

You're fighting against America here

Zero deflationary collapse economics in America

We just had to great recession and we got out of it 18 months

Come on

You got to do better than this

The best case you have...

Is that for some reason rates explode much higher than inflation... some abnormal 2012 Europe bond yield event.. but even with that.. it wouldn't deflationary

You have no reason to talk about a deflationary collapse coming and a recession bigger than 2007

None what so ever

Logan Mohtshwarma is giving a seminar:

"Let me try to bore you into agreeing with me that it's 1929 and there are nothing but blue skies from here on using these 87,328 charts!"

Free popcorn, hot dogs & RC Cola!

"If I can't get you financed on a 5-year 2.47% ARM, no one can!"

The inequality is largely due to government spending and the inflation created benefiting investors.

Peddling Fiction ... your theories will get crushed by U.S. demographics

We are not Europe or Japan

When you can't read data properly you have these crazy American collapse theories

Wait.. what did President Obama say

You're peddling fiction

In other news, DieBankOfAmericaPhukkingDie LOVES HILLARY CLINTON BECAUSE SHE SUCKS WALL STREET'S ASS, AND TAKES HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS TO FINANCE HER CAMPAIGN FROM BANKS AND WALL STREET, INCLUDING ...

...BANK OF AMERICA !!!

(DBOAPD is a pro-Hillary twat-eating troll)

Your entire economic theory is based now on what oil ???

What... PMI recession bear thesis

lower gas prices are going to lead to the great American collapse

Logan Mohtashami says

What part of this do you dispute?

You're taking headline inflation on a oil collapse

This is a big no no

Rookie mistake

Dollar rises makes our imports cheaper

That's you're great American collapse thesis

Your Great American collapse is based on a inflation metric that everyone excluded ....

Hence why we have it called core inflation