There will be no "Blue Wave", change my mind!
invite response
2018 May 14, 8:51am 76,914 views 699 comments
« First « Previous Comments 233 - 272 of 699 Next » Last » Search these comments
233
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 4, 10:49am
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 4, 10:49am
Now I'm positive there won't be a blue wave.
The Democrats shot themselves in the foot REALLY badly. Their only hope to stop Kavanaugh's appointment, but at this point I don't think it matters.
Imagine, the Media no longer controls the narrative.
"Hit the Identity/Rape/Toxic White Male button again!"
"I can't"
"Why not?"
"It's jammed to the on position!"
Last week, I sued @realDonaldTrump & @senatemajldr to stop the unconstitutional Kavanaugh confirmation process. Today I filed a motion for a restraining order against Trump and McConnell to force immediate disclosure of the Kavanaugh record they’ve been working so hard to hide.
— Jeff Merkley (@JeffMerkley) October 3, 2018
The Democrats shot themselves in the foot REALLY badly. Their only hope to stop Kavanaugh's appointment, but at this point I don't think it matters.
Imagine, the Media no longer controls the narrative.
"Hit the Identity/Rape/Toxic White Male button again!"
"I can't"
"Why not?"
"It's jammed to the on position!"
235
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 4, 11:07am
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 4, 11:07am
Holy crap, look at Cramer vs. Heitkamp. A nobody is beating the crap out of a well-known Senator, RCP average is 8.7 pts - some have him leading by double digits!
236
Shaman
2018 Oct 4, 11:10am
Shaman
2018 Oct 4, 11:10am
New prediction, more specific this time. The GOP will pick up 8-10 seats in the Senate and 15 in the House. This will establish a supermajority in Congress while several GOPe congressmen were either primaried out or retired, and all the new GOP congressmen will be Pro-MAGA!
Trump will have a mandate.
Leftist tears enough to fill Lake Michigan!
Glorious!
Trump will have a mandate.
Leftist tears enough to fill Lake Michigan!
Glorious!
238
WookieMan
2018 Oct 4, 12:29pm
WookieMan
2018 Oct 4, 12:29pm
Quigley says
Careful. Lake Michigan is the fullest I've seen it on the Chicago shoreline in my lifetime. Just drove by on Sunday to the last regular season cubs game. Shit, she was bulging. Wisconsin has gotten tons of rain this summer, which of course all goes out over the lake. No tears please, it's full.
Leftist tears enough to fill Lake Michigan!
Careful. Lake Michigan is the fullest I've seen it on the Chicago shoreline in my lifetime. Just drove by on Sunday to the last regular season cubs game. Shit, she was bulging. Wisconsin has gotten tons of rain this summer, which of course all goes out over the lake. No tears please, it's full.
239
Evan F.
2018 Oct 4, 12:36pm
Quigley says
Not sure where you're drawing those conclusions from. Odds are good that the Repubs will pick up a couple seats in the Senate, but the House? Not quite.
The GOP will pick up 8-10 seats in the Senate and 15 in the House.
Not sure where you're drawing those conclusions from. Odds are good that the Repubs will pick up a couple seats in the Senate, but the House? Not quite.
240
Shaman
2018 Oct 4, 12:52pm
Shaman
2018 Oct 4, 12:52pm
The anger about the Kavanagh Kangaroo Kourt is real and will drive extra beatings than were already in store for the Democrats. Remember I predicted a red wave in May.
That red wave just got ten feet higher!
The Democrats just marginalized their party for a generation.
That red wave just got ten feet higher!
The Democrats just marginalized their party for a generation.
241
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 4, 1:11pm
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 4, 1:11pm
Official: Heitkamp is out of the Race for ND Senate. Vows to vote "No" on Kavanaugh.
https://twitter.com/AP/status/1047914985341558785
https://twitter.com/AP/status/1047914985341558785
242
Evan F.
2018 Oct 4, 1:22pm
TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
Heitkamp has been trailing Cramer since like May. The Kavanaugh hearings may have moved the needle infinitesimally but she's been in an uphill battle for at least 2 months before Kavanaugh was even announced.
In all likelihood she knows she's toast and is just voting her conscience.
Official: Heitkamp is out of the Race for ND Senate. Vows to vote "No" on Kavanaugh.
https://twitter.com/AP/status/1047914985341558785
Heitkamp has been trailing Cramer since like May. The Kavanaugh hearings may have moved the needle infinitesimally but she's been in an uphill battle for at least 2 months before Kavanaugh was even announced.
In all likelihood she knows she's toast and is just voting her conscience.
243
Goran_K
2018 Oct 4, 1:31pm
Goran_K
2018 Oct 4, 1:31pm
TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
Just like that, ND got a GOP senator in November.
Official: Heitkamp is out of the Race for ND Senate. Vows to vote "No" on Kavanaugh.
https://twitter.com/AP/status/1047914985341558785
Just like that, ND got a GOP senator in November.
244
curious2
2018 Oct 4, 4:31pm
curious2
2018 Oct 4, 4:31pm
Democrats' 2018 "Better Deal" leaves a lot of room for improvement. It seems mainly about adding government programs.
For example, to address absurdly high medical costs, "Prescription drugs that meet a test for an unconscionable price increase will be subject to new investigative and enforcement action by a new “price gouging” enforcer." Nevermind the already absurdly high baseline, and the routine increases: only an "unconscionable" increase will trigger review. And forget about market competition. Repealing the Rx requirement and import restrictions, so that people can shop around and buy what they want from wherever they want, would reduce costs dramatically and quickly, but that is not part of the deal.
I don't see huge numbers of people rallying around creating new government departments. The game plan seems to be primarily TDS, opposing the President and all of his works. That didn't work in 2016, so it seems unlikely to do better in 2018 when he isn't even on the ballot.
I would love to be proven wrong about this, because I do think divided government produces better judicial appointments, and for that reason I would like to see Democrats regain the Senate. I just don't see it happening with the current "deal".
For example, to address absurdly high medical costs, "Prescription drugs that meet a test for an unconscionable price increase will be subject to new investigative and enforcement action by a new “price gouging” enforcer." Nevermind the already absurdly high baseline, and the routine increases: only an "unconscionable" increase will trigger review. And forget about market competition. Repealing the Rx requirement and import restrictions, so that people can shop around and buy what they want from wherever they want, would reduce costs dramatically and quickly, but that is not part of the deal.
I don't see huge numbers of people rallying around creating new government departments. The game plan seems to be primarily TDS, opposing the President and all of his works. That didn't work in 2016, so it seems unlikely to do better in 2018 when he isn't even on the ballot.
I would love to be proven wrong about this, because I do think divided government produces better judicial appointments, and for that reason I would like to see Democrats regain the Senate. I just don't see it happening with the current "deal".
245
Goran_K
2018 Oct 4, 5:00pm
Goran_K
2018 Oct 4, 5:00pm
MockingbirdKiller says
True. Red State Democrats should really learn a lesson from Manchin (who will probably end up switching parties anyway).
She was screwed no matter how she voted. Vote 'yes' and lose her base. Lose her base, guaranteed to lose the election.
Vote 'no', she keeps her base but will probably lose the election anyway. Poll show that 50% of Likely Voters in ND support Kavanaugh.
True. Red State Democrats should really learn a lesson from Manchin (who will probably end up switching parties anyway).
246
Goran_K
2018 Oct 4, 5:01pm
Goran_K
2018 Oct 4, 5:01pm
curious2 says
What else do Democrats offer besides more Government programs mired by corruption and inefficiency?
I don't see huge numbers of people rallying around creating new government departments.
What else do Democrats offer besides more Government programs mired by corruption and inefficiency?
247
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 10, 1:29pm
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 10, 1:29pm
Only Progressive Activists, 8% of population, think Free Speech isn't an issue. Only Traditional Liberals (11%) and Progressive Activists (8%) think Hate Speech is more of an issue than Free Speech. Ignore the loud minority.
https://pjmedia.com/trending/80-percent-of-americans-oppose-political-correctness-study-finds/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
https://pjmedia.com/trending/80-percent-of-americans-oppose-political-correctness-study-finds/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
248
LeonDurham
2018 Oct 10, 4:30pm
https://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/410575-poll-dems-lead-gop-by-13-points-on-generic-congressional-ballot
Democrats hold a 13-point lead over Republicans among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot
Democrats hold a 13-point lead over Republicans among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot
249
Shaman
2018 Oct 10, 4:33pm
Shaman
2018 Oct 10, 4:33pm
That same very biased CNN poll said that 50% of the same people thought the GOP would retain the majority in the House.
252
RWSGFY
2018 Oct 10, 5:42pm
RWSGFY
2018 Oct 10, 5:42pm
LeonDurham says
Good. News like this usually lead to less turnout on the "winning" side.
Democrats hold a 13-point lead over Republicans among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot
Good. News like this usually lead to less turnout on the "winning" side.
253
LeonDurham
2018 Oct 10, 5:45pm
DASKAA says
Maybe. Dems seem pretty energized this time around. Predicting turnout is very difficult, however, so you could be right.
Good. News like this usually lead to less turnout on the "winning" side.
Maybe. Dems seem pretty energized this time around. Predicting turnout is very difficult, however, so you could be right.
254
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 10, 5:48pm
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 10, 5:48pm
LeonDurham says
Oh also, HRC holds a 13 point advantage over Trump. https://www.cnn.com/2016/10/23/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-presidential-polls/index.html
https://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/410575-poll-dems-lead-gop-by-13-points-on-generic-congressional-ballot
Democrats hold a 13-point lead over Republicans among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot
Oh also, HRC holds a 13 point advantage over Trump. https://www.cnn.com/2016/10/23/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-presidential-polls/index.html
255
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 10, 5:50pm
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 10, 5:50pm
"The ABC News poll was conducted October 20-22 and includes 874 likely voters. Its margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points."
Ok, so for anyone paying attention. A 12 point lead w a 3.5 % margin of error should almost NEVER result in a Trump victory.
Tell us again about those reliable polls?
Ok, so for anyone paying attention. A 12 point lead w a 3.5 % margin of error should almost NEVER result in a Trump victory.
Tell us again about those reliable polls?
256
Shaman
2018 Oct 10, 7:45pm
Shaman
2018 Oct 10, 7:45pm
What I’m seeing is this. people who’ve sidelined themselves from politics or voting for years or even decades because they don’t believe in the process are having a change of heart. They’re seeing things happen that could have never happened when one of the trained apes who usually run the world were in charge. They see that the Democrats are completely deranged and hostile to regular Americans. They deeply mistrust these Leftists and are ready to cast a vote they haven’t used in years to keep the idiots from getting back in power.
I’m predicting a MUCH larger Republican turnout than anyone expects. And I’m predicting a smaller Dem turnout than expected. It’ll be a bloodbath.
I’m predicting a MUCH larger Republican turnout than anyone expects. And I’m predicting a smaller Dem turnout than expected. It’ll be a bloodbath.
257
LeonDurham
2018 Oct 10, 7:50pm
TrumpingTits says
Was the election on October 22nd?
CBOEtrader says"The ABC News poll was conducted October 20-22 and includes 874 likely voters. Its margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points."
Yeah. Likely voters asked totally unlikely questions regarding the real world.
Was the election on October 22nd?
258
marcus
2018 Oct 10, 9:38pm
marcus
2018 Oct 10, 9:38pm
Democrats will take control of the house, but probably not enough of a blue wave for them to take the senate.
But I am praying that they do, and I hardly ever pray.
But I am praying that they do, and I hardly ever pray.
259
Patrick
2018 Oct 10, 9:59pm
Patrick
2018 Oct 10, 9:59pm
I'm betting Democrats lose even more seats. Not certain, just a feeling.
260
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 11, 4:43am
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 11, 4:43am
Patrick says
Yup. Only 3 times in history has the party w newly elected potus gained seats. Midterms lining up to be as historical as 2016 epection.
MSM ignores traditions and attacked trump from day 1. This backfired enormously since Trump circumvented then via twitter and rallies. Whatever negative influence the MSM originally had has turned on them as more red pilled Americans support trump than ever.
Oddly enough it is the left constantly attacking, constantly smearing, constantly oppressing any wrongthinkers that has become Trump's biggest asset.
I'm betting Democrats lose even more seats. Not certain, just a feeling.
Yup. Only 3 times in history has the party w newly elected potus gained seats. Midterms lining up to be as historical as 2016 epection.
MSM ignores traditions and attacked trump from day 1. This backfired enormously since Trump circumvented then via twitter and rallies. Whatever negative influence the MSM originally had has turned on them as more red pilled Americans support trump than ever.
Oddly enough it is the left constantly attacking, constantly smearing, constantly oppressing any wrongthinkers that has become Trump's biggest asset.
261
Shaman
2018 Oct 11, 6:28am
Shaman
2018 Oct 11, 6:28am
I’m just wondering what the next step will be for Democrats once the bloodbath of Midterms is over? Will they accept that America hates their stance on practically everything and make some changes? Or will they double down, increase the hate, and get even more radical?
I’m fearing that it will be the latter option. They aren’t sane.
I’m fearing that it will be the latter option. They aren’t sane.
262
HeadSet
2018 Oct 11, 7:43am
HeadSet
2018 Oct 11, 7:43am
Quigley says
I would like to see the sane elements left in the Democrat Party break off and form a new Labor Party. Imagine a Party that is pro worker by curtailing illegal immigration, tariffs on low wage high pollution imports, and supporting private sector unions. May even pull in some Trump supporters and even Trump himself.
I’m just wondering what the next step will be for Democrats once the bloodbath of Midterms is over? Will they accept that America hates their stance on practically everything and make some changes? Or will they double down, increase the hate, and get even more radical?
I’m fearing that it will be the latter option. They aren’t sane.
I would like to see the sane elements left in the Democrat Party break off and form a new Labor Party. Imagine a Party that is pro worker by curtailing illegal immigration, tariffs on low wage high pollution imports, and supporting private sector unions. May even pull in some Trump supporters and even Trump himself.
264
Bd6r
2018 Oct 11, 7:58am
Bd6r
2018 Oct 11, 7:58am
Patrick says
I frankly can't make up my mind on this. R's will hold Senate for sure, may be even gain a seat or two, but House is extremely unpredictable. My prediction is +/- same situation as now.
I'm betting Democrats lose even more seats. Not certain, just a feeling
I frankly can't make up my mind on this. R's will hold Senate for sure, may be even gain a seat or two, but House is extremely unpredictable. My prediction is +/- same situation as now.
267
Goran_K
2018 Oct 12, 12:54pm
Goran_K
2018 Oct 12, 12:54pm
Aphroman says
I want some.
How does matchbook work? Are we betting against each other or against the house? I'll only do this if I'm betting against your pocket book. I can bet on odds all day, that's not fun.
Goran: go to matchbook.com I’m offering up Ted Cruz vs Beto O’Rourke action, who wants some!
I want some.
How does matchbook work? Are we betting against each other or against the house? I'll only do this if I'm betting against your pocket book. I can bet on odds all day, that's not fun.
268
Goran_K
2018 Oct 12, 12:55pm
Goran_K
2018 Oct 12, 12:55pm
or lets just do a gentleman's $500 bet right now. I take Cruz straight up, you take Beta.
269
cmdrda2leak
2018 Oct 12, 1:53pm
cmdrda2leak
2018 Oct 12, 1:53pm
Goran_K says
pat.net feature request: current events wager book.
or lets just do a gentleman's $500 bet right now. I take Cruz straight up, you take Beta.
pat.net feature request: current events wager book.
270
Shaman
2018 Oct 12, 2:04pm
Shaman
2018 Oct 12, 2:04pm
Perhaps we could make bets and the loser has to donate to Patnet in the agreed upon amount?
I bet you a $100 donation to Patnet that there’s a Red Wave this November. That we end up with more Republicans in Congress than before the election.
Aphroman wanna take that bet? Patrick can ban any welshers!
I bet you a $100 donation to Patnet that there’s a Red Wave this November. That we end up with more Republicans in Congress than before the election.
Aphroman wanna take that bet? Patrick can ban any welshers!
271
Goran_K
2018 Oct 12, 2:32pm
Goran_K
2018 Oct 12, 2:32pm
MockingbirdKiller says
Blew Wave!
Full disclosure to @Aphroman: Democrat running in a Florida district Trump LOST by TWENTY points in 2016 is behind her GOP opponent.
Blew Wave!
272
Goran_K
2018 Oct 12, 2:49pm
Goran_K
2018 Oct 12, 2:49pm
cmdrdataleak says
I think this would be a good feature @patrick. Could plug into PayPal.
Right now a lot of people talk way too much shit because it's free.
I'd like someone to talk shit when $500 is on the line.
pat.net feature request: current events wager book.
I think this would be a good feature @patrick. Could plug into PayPal.
Right now a lot of people talk way too much shit because it's free.
I'd like someone to talk shit when $500 is on the line.
« First « Previous Comments 233 - 272 of 699 Next » Last » Search these comments
Yesterday former Bill Clinton advisor Dick Morris told radio host on New York's AM 970 that he believes the "blue wave" that Democrats are expecting to give them back the Senate and House will not materialize, and polling has backed him up.
Last week, CNN's mid term poll showed that Democrats only had a 3 point advantage, well within the margin of error, and considering that CNN is known for "oversampling" Democrats in its own polls, this is troubling for the DNC.
Additionally, a recent poll from Reuters (left leaning) has shown that Millennials are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Democrat membership in the 18-34 demographic (the bread and butter of the DNC) dropped 9% over the past 2 years, most of them becoming "independents".
"I think that [Democrats] see fool’s gold in these scandals," Morris said. "They’re putting everything behind the Stormy Daniels scandal and Michael Cohen … and the country doesn’t give a damn."
That's when Morris dropped his prediction.
"There is no blue wave coming," Morris exclaimed. "There is a red wave. And what makes it red is the blood of the Democratic Party."
Here's my official take. I believe the GOP will LOSE seats in the house but will not give it up to the DNC. I believe the GOP will GAIN seats in the senate, keeping their majority. This will mean that Trump will have both houses of congress for his entire term.