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Is that your conclusion "Einstein" or do you have reference to the link.
"Confirmed cases" is not at all the total number of exposures.
You are on a roll "Einstein"
Anti-poverty programs could prevent such poverty.
annoyed1 saysI haven't been on this site long, but I get the distinct impression that if the democrats were in power, the people here would be calling the pandemic the worst thing in all of history.
WookieMan saysReality says"Confirmed cases" is not at all the total number of exposures.
Good luck. I fear you're talking to a wall at this point.... Links would be nice, but your reasoning is logical in my opinion and non-political. I like the counter argument though... lol.
Considering I was acknowledging that fact in the post he quoted, these comments are hilarious.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ (scroll down to the graphs)
We're about to hit the 0.0003 (a.k.a., 10,000 deaths) by the end of the weekend. The US is continuing its exponential climb in both infections and deaths -- a rate higher than either Italy's or Spain's -- without any downward shift.
Conservatives, please take this seriously. There's a "nothingburger" denialism on the right, similar to the left's "hug a Chinese person / fight xenophobia" laxity. The US is doing none of the mitigation efforts, beyond "self-quarantine," that east Asian countries have. We may doubt China's numbers (and I do, to some extent), but South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore report similar successes in keeping COVID under control. It wasn't herd immunity, either, accounting for the low infection and death rates -- S Korea tested 338,000 as of Mar...
Mandate everyone wears a mask outside of their house and send them back to work. Practice social distance at work. Those who are sick, stay home and self quarantine. This SIP is BS and is killing people and the economy.
Trump downplaying the concerns of healthcare workers is shameful. If 2-3% of otherwise healthy nurses and doctors die from being overly exposed to this virus that's on poor logistics.
Just be grateful this is basically a dry run for a far worse pandemic in a few years.
BoomAndBustCycle saysTrump downplaying the concerns of healthcare workers is shameful. If 2-3% of otherwise healthy nurses and doctors die from being overly exposed to this virus that's on poor logistics.
Really? Trump is responsible for the (hypothetical) deaths of health workers that die from the Corona virus? If I were a health care worker I would be responsible for my own safety. And Trump can't be blamed for the lack of gloves and masks as much as the people that allowed so much of our economy to be outsourced to China and other polluting slave labor countries.
If Trump had been in office the last 20 years we'd be producing many more goods in the US and having far fewer supply chain issues.
+1,000
Really? Trump is responsible for the (hypothetical) deaths of health workers that die from the Corona virus? If I were a health care worker I would be responsible for my own safety. And Trump can't be blamed for the lack of gloves and masks as much as the people that allowed so much of our economy to be outsourced to China and other polluting slave labor countries.
You said yourself you knew almost nobody confirmed with CV yet.
Sadly, lifting the lid would make everywhere look like New York in pretty short order.
Is this a hoax or what? https://ncov2019.live/data/asia Check out India 1 of the most filthiest, congested, near zero personal space not to mention the raw sewage and feces laden trails with a population of 1,352,642,280. How is this so?
SHoot all the old people in the face and RALLY!
The stars on this graph show when national lock downs started.
They lock downs do not look like they changed the arc of the disease at all.
From
They lock downs do not look like they changed the arc of the disease at all.
I guess it does appear to be true that doing the lock down didn't change the future from being what it would have been with the lock down.
These are log based graphs
A year or 2 from now you should get a good fit of this infection history, for example, with a third or fourth order polynomial curve.
These are log based graphs. Fixed exponential growth looks like straight lines. Reduction in the steepness of the slope shows the exponent dropping.
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Why not fit it to a logistic model. Isn't that what it is ?
Malcolm saysThreeBays saysThree Bays said that, not meThese are log based graphs. Fixed exponential growth looks like straight lines. Reduction in the steepness of the slope shows the exponent dropping.
I'm not sure if reliving calculus class or getting Corona virus would be worse.
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Yeah, entirely different use of the word. What kind of company do you work for now ?
We did do linear regression, but that was to determine correlations, nothing to do with graphing, per se.
While MSNBC hosts were busy spreading conspiracy theories, the doomsday forecasters were revising their numbers again:
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) model cited by the White House Coronavirus Task Force lowered its projections for coronavirus deaths in the U.S. by 25 percent from 81,766 to 60,415 early Wednesday morning.
The IHME model has come under withering criticism for vastly overstating projections of regular and ICU hospital beds needed, but its death projections to date have closely tracked with actual data.
Wednesday’s dramatic reverse in the model’s projection of U.S. deaths was made without a press release from IHME explaining the reasons for the reduction. It marks the second reduction in the model’s U.S. deaths projections since April 1, when it forecast 93,765 U.S. fatalities.
On April 5, the death projections were lowered to 81,766.
As of April 8th, the Covid 19 virus has risen to be the single leading daily cause of death in America (note NOT year to date or accumulated, but daily).
https://ritholtz.com/2020/04/leading-daily-cause-of-death/
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Wait, 3 percent of 1 percent?
Yes, 100 times smaller than 3 percent.
Say 100,000 die out of 300M people (actually, the population is even larger than that). That's 0.0003.
So, since 0.0086 of the US dies every year on average, this could bump up the US death rate by 3 / 86 = 3.5% this year.
Except not it wouldn't even be that much, because a large fraction of those who die weren't going to make it through a normal 2020 anyway.
It's still not at all clear that this was worth imploding the economy for. Remember that 81,000 died of the flu in 2018 and no one even blinked.