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Election predictions...


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2020 Oct 22, 7:17pm   2,676 views  82 comments

by Bd6r   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

Please go at it below.
I am not sure how it will go. I give it about 50/50...and what we should do is dependent on outcome. Biden win is good for gold immediately, and I have not made a mistake in stocking up on firearms/ammunition. If Trump wins, we will have status quo for a few more years and I overpaid for firearms.

BTW an interesting observation which may go against hardcore beliefs of patnetters of both left and right persuasions. I have 5 domestic minority students, one black, three Hispanic and one Asian. Black and 2 Hispanic already voted for Trump...I don't know whom Asian and third Hispanic voted for. In contrast, my FUCKING WHITE COLLEAGUES vote for Biden about 70/30 at least, if not more.
Edit: this is TX so it may be different elsewhere.

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12   zzyzzx   2020 Oct 23, 6:54am  

Trump will win every state that he did in 2016, plus at least one more (NH, possibly MN or NV and/or NM), and probably Maine at large. Plus Trump will do better in the states that he lost in 2016, meaning that Trump might win the popular vote as well.

If Obama and Bush #2 can get reelected, Trump can easily get reelected. The question really is how much better Trump is going to do this time around.
13   Tenpoundbass   2020 Oct 23, 7:29am  

Trump is going to win on election night, and the Democrats are going to huff and puff for the next three months afterwards pulling every stunt in the book to pad their votes.
And every back water two bit Judge, that Obama saw fit to put on the bench will oblige them.

Our Democrats family and friends are going to swear up and down, that Trump is trying to steal the election the Democrats legitimately won after 6 weeks of ballot harvesting.
14   Shaman   2020 Oct 23, 8:18am  

Trump is going to win. Easily. He will take Minnesota and Michigan, Florida and Pennsylvania.

Most if not all of the Congressmen the Dems picked up in California are going to revert back to GOP, and if we get a few more from other states, the House will go Republican. The Senate will stay Republican by a whisker.

I strongly predict boatloads of Leftist tears.
15   Ceffer   2020 Oct 23, 10:53am  

With Obama, the pride of the Deep (Shallow) State was that they could get a true Manchurian elected: sheep dipped by Columbia (Kommiekunt Central) and Harvard, taught to enunciate and recite from teleprompters, likely a dissociative personality from childhood sexual abuse. The tranny wife and fake kids were just frosting on the cake of deception successfully imposed in the name of puppet power.

With Biden, their pride will be elevating a senile mannequin sociopath. That kind of stuff really makes you believe the Satanist angle.

I can't make any prediction, because the depravity of the Deep (Shallow) State and the vassal MSM, combined with the blinking idiopolous, know no bounds. They might just pull it off. They may have more false flag stunts and election frauds up their sleeve besides staged fake impeachment, Covid Blue Pill tyranny, riots etc.

Trump has physically survived so far, which is kind of nice, and is a little more than I expected.
16   Patrick   2020 Oct 23, 7:25pm  

Ceffer says
The California infestation and diseasing of Texas, IT SPREADS!



A programmer friend of mine is leaving the Bay Area to work in Austin. Just an anecdote, but if I know one, there must be more.
17   Rin   2020 Oct 23, 7:30pm  

Look ... I just want to cast my vote in this swing state (my temporary residence) and then ... go back to Massachusetts to poke my RealDoll at home!

Seriously, I'm sick of jerking off!

I want to slide my pole in a tight, wet hole, while squeezing a pair of tits!
19   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Oct 23, 7:52pm  

Trump will win. FL, NC, TX for sure, and enough of either WI, MN, or PA to seal the deal.

Texas and Florida aren't in play - take it to the bank.
20   Bd6r   2020 Oct 23, 8:24pm  

Patrick says
A programmer friend of mine is leaving the Bay Area to work in Austin.

is he a libbiefuck, or a normal individual?
21   Blue   2020 Oct 23, 8:32pm  

NoCoupForYou says
Trump will win. FL, NC, TX for sure, and enough of either WI, MN, or PA to seal the deal.

Texas and Florida aren't in play - take it to the bank.


Georgia is going blue! Biden showed 'compassion' during second debate and looks like it is working for those young and too old who thinks virus is dangerous as per KQED political debate and they are voting in record number.
22   Patrick   2020 Oct 23, 8:53pm  

Dbr6 says
Patrick says
A programmer friend of mine is leaving the Bay Area to work in Austin.

is he a libbiefuck, or a normal individual?


He's pretty normal. Never heard him express any political opinions actually.

I think his motive for moving was taxes because he wants to cash out a lot of options and not pay CA state income taxes. So he has to cut all ties with CA.
23   MAGA   2020 Oct 23, 9:24pm  

Three metals you should own if Biden wins:

Gold
Silver
Brass

24   Blue   2020 Oct 23, 9:54pm  

rocketjoe79 says
Blue - sounds like a troll name. 1 post, 458 comments. So, a reactionary reader/lurker. Poking the bear. Fine. Play it that way. I'm on to your game.


I posted based on what I just watched - what is wrong?
25   GlocknLoad   2020 Oct 24, 6:07am  

My mother in law hates Trump, did from day one. She told my wife and I, just the other day, she will not vote for Biden. So she is either voting for Trump or not at all.
26   Booger   2020 Oct 24, 7:04am  

Ripped off from another thread:
27   WookieMan   2020 Oct 24, 8:46am  

Trump will win. It will be a landslide that won’t even allow Dems to question the votes. I actually hope they just admit defeat, the party implodes, and the they get out of the fringe SJW type shit that affects only 3-4% of the population. Go ahead and be gay, it’s only important to you and is attention seeking.

Fact is Biden is not capable regardless of any corruption rumors. He’s senile.
28   Booger   2020 Oct 24, 3:20pm  

Blue says
Georgia is going blue


That is what they said last time and it wasn't even close. Trump won GA by something like 5.1%, and will do better this time.
29   HeadSet   2020 Oct 24, 3:24pm  

Trump will win. It will be a landslide that won’t even allow Dems to question the votes.

I sure hope you are right. I am concerned that Trump may have scared a few politicians when asked Biden to explain how he could afford 4 houses and other wealth acquired on a government paycheck. These other politicians, plus the people who bribed them, will work very hard to scam the election to keep Trump out.
30   Ceffer   2020 Oct 24, 3:32pm  

I remember along with Saint Obama Dems used to tout how humble and pure Biden was, and they cited his low net worth compared to others in Congress. LOL, he was just running his bribes through his children and brothers as beards.
31   Bd6r   2020 Oct 24, 3:45pm  

GlocknLoad says
My mother in law hates Trump, did from day one. She told my wife and I, just the other day, she will not vote for Biden. So she is either voting for Trump or not at all.

This election may turn out even more strange than previous one...I also have anecdotal stories like this, but I am not sure how widespread such things are. Then again I see more Biden signs in my neighborhood than I saw Clinton signs 4 yrs ago.
32   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Oct 24, 3:49pm  

Blue says
Georgia is going blue! Biden showed 'compassion' during second debate and looks like it is working for those young and too old who thinks virus is dangerous as per KQED political debate and they are voting in record number.



No chance, the Senate Race has Perdue in a comfortable lead. Georgia is absolutely not in Play, neither is TX or SC.
33   Booger   2020 Oct 24, 3:49pm  

Dbr6 says
Then again I see more Biden signs in my neighborhood than I saw Clinton signs 4 yrs ago.


I see slightly more Biden signs around, but I view it as more of a sign of their desperation. I'm also inclined to think that a lot of the traditional dark blue states will end up being lite blue this time.
34   Bd6r   2020 Oct 24, 3:55pm  

rocketjoe79 says
Blue - sounds like a troll name.

nope, I think he is a real person and is not trolling - I had reasonable discussion with him in another thread
35   rocketjoe79   2020 Oct 24, 8:50pm  

Dbr6 says
rocketjoe79 says
Blue - sounds like a troll name.

nope, I think he is a real person and is not trolling - I had reasonable discussion with him in another thread

Ok, I retract my statement! Deleting my post and self cancelling :)
36   Blue   2020 Oct 24, 11:46pm  

I just had a long discussion with someone whose friend a business man a frequent traveler to Midwest, told him that Trump will win in landslide in those areas.
37   just_passing_through   2020 Oct 25, 12:05am  

Blue I think there is a rather large contingent of people from India in Atlanta. Maybe similar to Houston?

Anyhow, what do those people think? I'm assuming some decided to become citizens and can vote but I'm more curious about the overall opinion if that's something you're able to share.
38   GreaterNYCDude   2020 Oct 25, 12:20am  

HeadSet says
Trump in a narrow Electoral College victory.

That would mean Trump would lose is some states he won in 2016. I do not see that happening.


Up until this week I had Biden eeking out a victory in PA. Based on the last debate I'm not so sure.
39   porkchopXpress   2020 Oct 25, 8:27am  

As we get more educated, professional immigrants coming to this Country, they tend to vote Right-wing especially when they see the ridiculous Left-wing antics...it's embarrassing.
41   Blue   2020 Oct 25, 12:03pm  

just_adhom_preaching says
Blue I think there is a rather large contingent of people from India in Atlanta. Maybe similar to Houston?

Anyhow, what do those people think? I'm assuming some decided to become citizens and can vote but I'm more curious about the overall opinion if that's something you're able to share.


Unfortunately most of them are commies. My best guess is 30% Republicans. But a recent survey says 22% R who will vote for Trump. Interestingly, in my interactions many 'smart' and including U.S.-born went to top schools still commies!! with no tolerance (scary!) that is really puzzling. People who took citizenship tend to be less commie and turns right wing if they become entrepreneur in particular. Even more sad, this time some folks are attracted to Kamala Harris not realizing that she is fully against India because there is a right wing party in power and she is a lover and supporter of Islamic Pakistan along with her fellow Islamic lover Pramila Jayapal (WA-D) who chased an Indian diplomat last year with her Islamic views.
42   GreaterNYCDude   2020 Oct 25, 5:30pm  

I've been thinking about this. In 2016 I remember driving home from work on election night and the right wing am talk radio shows were imploring the base to get out and vote because "this thing isn't over".

With less people commuting and more early voting, will the Republicans be able to get their base out in equal or better numbers relative to four years ago?

I stand by that Trump will win, but I expect most states will be closer than they were four years ago.
43   Shaman   2020 Oct 25, 5:42pm  

GreaterNYCDude says
With less people commuting and more early voting, will the Republicans be able to get their base out in equal or better numbers relative to four years ago?


If they had reason to vote Trump in 2016, they have those reasons TIMES A THOUSAND to vote Trump today! The Deplorables will show up, don’t you worry!
44   Booger   2020 Oct 25, 6:04pm  

GreaterNYCDude says
With less people commuting and more early voting, will the Republicans be able to get their base out in equal or better numbers relative to four years ago?


Trump's popularity among Republicans is much higher this time. It won't be an issue.
45   Bd6r   2020 Oct 25, 6:52pm  

Blue says
many 'smart' and including U.S.-born went to top schools still commies!! with no tolerance (scary!) that is really puzzling. People who took citizenship tend to be less commie

I see the same in E. European contingent. Parents/grandparents ran away from commies and are reliably (80+%) quite right wing. They worked hard, started as janitors etc in 1950's/60's, became affluent after many yrs of hard work, now kids/grandkids went to Yale and are full blown fucking commies, ignoring fact that than granddads brother was killed by ideological twins of antifa.
46   HeadSet   2020 Oct 25, 7:00pm  

became affluent after many yrs of hard work, now kids/grandkids went to Yale and are full blown fucking commies

Looks like they became just like the rest of the Americans. If you look you will find most Socialist types are the spoiled offspring living off the productivity of their parents/grandparents.
47   Patrick   2020 Oct 25, 7:29pm  

Dbr6 says
People who took citizenship tend to be less commie

I see the same in E. European contingent. Parents/grandparents ran away from commies and are reliably (80+%) quite right wing.


In a previous job, I noticed some suspicious web traffic coming from Russia and said out loud "Nothing good comes out of Russia." But then I realized that one of the guys was a Russian immigrant. I apologized, but he said no need at all, he agreed completely. He loves America and calls himself "Americanski" if anyone asks about his accent.

I actually think Russia has given the world a lot, but the country itself has been very corrupt ever since the Communists took control. The Tsarists at least seemed to have a strong sense of honor and morals.
48   Patrick   2020 Oct 25, 7:36pm  

Human nature is full of riddles and contradictions; its very complexity engenders art—and by art I mean the search for something more than simple linear formulations, flat solutions, oversimplified explanations. One of these riddles is: how is it that people who have been crushed by the sheer weight of slavery and cast to the bottom of the pit can nevertheless find strength to rise up and free themselves, first in spirit and then in body; while those who soar unhampered over the peaks of freedom suddenly appear to lose the taste for freedom, lose the will to defend it, and, hopelessly confused and lost, almost begin to crave slavery. Or again: why is it that societies which have been benumbed for half a century by lies they have been forced to swallow find within themselves a certain lucidity of heart and soul which enables them to see things in their true perspective and to perceive the real meaning of events; whereas societies with access to every kind of information suddenly plunge into lethargy, into a kind of mass blindness, a kind of voluntary self deception.


― Alexander Solzhenitsyn, Warning to the West


It is astonishing that Communism has been writing about itself in the most open way, in black and white, for 125 years, and even more openly, more candidly in the beginning. The Communist Manifesto, for instance, which everyone knows by name and which almost no one takes the trouble to read, contains even more terrible things than what has actually been done. It is perfectly amazing. The whole world can read, everyone is literate, yet somehow no one wants to understand. Humanity acts as if it does not understand what Communism is, as if it does not want to understand, is not capable of understanding.


― Alexander Solzhenitsyn, Warning to the West

https://www.goodreads.com/work/quotes/3077236-warning-to-the-west
49   BoomAndBustCycle   2020 Oct 25, 11:28pm  

BayArea says
In 2016, Vegas betting odds were as high as -900 for Hillary Clinton on Election Day. Today they are -180 for Biden.

What that means is that Hillary was 4x more likely to win the election against trump than Biden to win the election against trump.


And every week vegas betting odds gets it very wrong on a lot of football games too. Raiders were suppose to get demolished by the chiefs last week. Vegas gets it wrong.
50   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Oct 26, 12:01am  

Patrick says
I actually think Russia has given the world a lot, but the country itself has been very corrupt ever since the Communists took control. The Tsarists at least seemed to have a strong sense of honor and morals.



The Tsarists always struggled with the nobility and bureaucracy, who creatively interpreted their instructions and squeezed the peasants like mad.

Ivan was "The Terrible" for executing those who disregarded his instructions or were venial; but to Everyday Russians he was Ivan the Great.

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