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2005 Apr 11, 5:00pm   138,833 views  117,730 comments

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115375   B.A.C.A.H.   2022 Apr 6, 9:47am  

And the Millenium Tower in SF was recently found to be tilting an additional seven inches since restabilization efforts began.
115376   Blue   2022 Apr 6, 9:57am  

WineHorror1 says
Politicians have caused all of these divisions. Its being done on purpose.

Now we know why people love “democracy”.
115377   Ceffer   2022 Apr 6, 10:00am  

Since the Great Pyramid of Giza, architecture has been all down hill.

Maybe the FBI heard McAfee kept his backups there, and they need to bring the building down.
115378   AmericanKulak   2022 Apr 6, 10:04am  

Goran_K says
You can't have it both ways. You can't complain that there aren't any rentals on the market, or that the market rate is too high, and at the same time argue that companies like Lennar should be taxed into oblivion for literally helping to fix the problem by increasing supply.

California is the poster child of anti-development sentiment, and look what it has brought for residents of the SF Bay Area or SoCal? Extremely high prices, limited supply, and overwhelming demand that cannot be satisfied because the regulatory environment has made it difficult to increase supply.


This.

I looked at the area around Disney and the convention Center in Anaheim, I couldn't believe how close SFHs were to the Downtown.

Why haven't they been knocked down and replaced with denser housing decades ago?

Anti-development mentality.
115379   AD   2022 Apr 6, 10:20am  

50 years old building near the beach of Miami.

I wonder what the maintenance logs show of the concrete structure.

How bad is the spalling and disintegration of the concrete, as I'd love to see photos.
115380   Ceffer   2022 Apr 6, 11:25am  

A squirrel box for every squirrel. Maybe a squirrel box for every ten squirrels. Get ready to be dorm-ed up.
115381   Ceffer   2022 Apr 6, 11:37am  

I thought God invented hurricanes and Ukrainian Nazis for this work.
115382   Goran_K   2022 Apr 6, 11:52am  

AmericanKulak says
Goran_K says
You can't have it both ways. You can't complain that there aren't any rentals on the market, or that the market rate is too high, and at the same time argue that companies like Lennar should be taxed into oblivion for literally helping to fix the problem by increasing supply.

California is the poster child of anti-development sentiment, and look what it has brought for residents of the SF Bay Area or SoCal? Extremely high prices, limited supply, and overwhelming demand that cannot be satisfied because the regulatory environment has made it difficult to increase supply.


This.

I looked at the area around Disney and the convention Center in Anaheim, I couldn't believe how close SFHs were to the Downtown.

Why haven't they been knocked down and replaced with denser housing decades ago?

Anti-development mentality.


Yup.

I think a bigger offender is the Sunset District in SF. Old 70-80 year old 2-story box homes, most of them roach infested, run down fire hazards that insurance companies barely insure. One might wonder what more modern, taller, safer, apartment buildings could do to help in alleviating the housing crunch in SF.

Here's the thing, I'm not anti development, or pro-gentrification. I'm just saying you can't have it both ways. If you want the growth, you have to make hard choices that may in the end change the entire face of a neighborhood. If you want to "maintain" the neighborhood, then you have to give up the growth. Something at some point has to give.
115383   keeprubbersidedown   2022 Apr 6, 12:01pm  

I do not have an MBA but grew my business in LA year after year by double. I hired several Harvard MBAs. Super nice people but they wanted super high pay and were of little benefit. Great at writing papers, poor at motivating other employees.
115384   Goran_K   2022 Apr 6, 12:27pm  

MBA = More Bad Advice

As someone who has an MBA, I'd take a person with 10+ years of market specific experience over a $150,000 MBA grad any day and twice on Sunday.
115385   AD   2022 Apr 6, 12:47pm  

Yeah, "luxury apartments" which means overpriced housing with vinyl plank flooring is the norm from what I've seen recently in Panama City Beach, Florida.
115386   Rin   2022 Apr 6, 1:20pm  

I call in MBA-ology. In other words, the most useless of all academic accolades. I mean sure, you may find a PhD Physicist or JD Attorney, not be able to manage but at least they know something about the physical sciences or legal issues in question.
115387   Rin   2022 Apr 6, 1:24pm  

keeprubbersidedown says
wanted super high pay


I live in Boston & the word about HBS is that their grads don't underbid each other for pay. This is why many simply opt for a McKinsey or Goldman Sachs career track because those starting salaries are guaranteed, meritorious or not. So if you find 'em outside of the big management consulting or financial services houses then they're not among the insiders league but regular HBS grads looking for a paycheck to measure up to their more well-endowed (no penis pun intended) classmates.
115388   richwicks   2022 Apr 6, 2:44pm  

DooDahMan says
A few watts of power are necessary for lighting at night. The device used in the research generated 50 milliwatts per square meter, meaning just over 215 square feet of solar cell area would be required for nighttime lighting.


That's 10 watts. You could light a single light bulb with that or charge a couple of phones. That's a lot of surface area to run a light bulb.
115389   richwicks   2022 Apr 6, 2:59pm  

DooDahMan says
richwicks says
That's a lot of surface area to run a light bulb.


Reading the papers from Stanford and U.C. Davis this is still in the infancy stage. Kind of suspect this will get attention worldwide and a mad scramble will be on - there are $$ to be made here.


I was really interested in Peltier junctions at one point and Stirling Engines. The amount of energy you can get from minor temperature differentials is low, even with 100% efficiency.

But then again, there's madness in hype. Even if you know something isn't feasible doesn't mean you can't cash in on it.
115390   HeadSet   2022 Apr 6, 3:02pm  

DooDahMan says
“The solar cell is a pretty good thermal emitter, meaning it likes to emit heat a bit at night,”

So is a plain old roof. Why not just put these thermo-electric modules on any surface that re-radiates heat at night? Even bricks radiate heat at night.
115391   EBGuy   2022 Apr 6, 3:07pm  

It's all fun and games until someone wraps you in copper mesh and tells you that you're the "hot side" of a TEG...
115392   tanked   2022 Apr 6, 3:38pm  

richwicks says
DooDahMan says
A few watts of power are necessary for lighting at night. The device used in the research generated 50 milliwatts per square meter, meaning just over 215 square feet of solar cell area would be required for nighttime lighting.


That's 10 watts. You could light a single light bulb with that or charge a couple of phones. That's a lot of surface area to run a light bulb.


in other words a battery array works better
115393   Shaman   2022 Apr 6, 3:52pm  

richwicks says
DooDahMan says
richwicks says
That's a lot of surface area to run a light bulb.


But then again, there's madness in hype. Even if you know something isn't feasible doesn't mean you can't cash in on it.


I’ve been watching “The Dropout” on Hulu with the wife. Elizabeth Holmes basically took an idea for a blood test machine and talked a bunch of scientists and engineers into working for her company to design and produce it. She monetized the company with investment after investment while hyping the product that hadn’t even been created yet! This went on for like ten years and escalated so far that she was “worth” 4 billion dollars because she scared up so very much investment in her company. But it was all a fraud and the device was never created, only hyped. And eventually the scheme came crashing down when a whistleblower sounded fraud. She lost it all and went to jail.
115394   RWSGFY   2022 Apr 6, 4:27pm  

5 days late, mate.
115395   Misc   2022 Apr 6, 4:33pm  

She's not in jail yet. Sentencing isn't until September 26.

Sure, the fraud was reported and investigated years ago, but for some people the justice system just seems to work for themShaman says
richwicks says
DooDahMan says
richwicks says
That's a lot of surface area to run a light bulb.


But then again, there's madness in hype. Even if you know something isn't feasible doesn't mean you can't cash in on it.


I’ve been watching “The Dropout” on Hulu with the wife. Elizabeth Holmes basically took an idea for a blood test machine and talked a bunch of scientists and engineers into working for her company to design and produce it. She monetized the company with investment after investment while hyping the product that hadn’t even been created yet! This went on for like ten years and escalated so far that she was “worth” 4 billion dollars because she scared up so very much investment in her company. But it was all a fraud and th...


She's not in jail yet. Sentencing isn't until September 26.

Sure, the fraud was reported and investigated years ago, but for some people the justice system just seems to work for them. She was finally convicted in January, but you know sentencing in September. I think that will get postponed, as well. I'm sure she has coin hidden from the government that she can use for bribes. Probably everything postponed until after her appeals (in a few more years).

Do you really think anything except maybe a wrist slap is going to happen to her?
115396   NuttBoxer   2022 Apr 6, 4:40pm  

DooDahMan says
A Dallas neighborhood that's being demolished for high-rise condos shows how the housing crisis is changing the face of American cities


I've been renting my entire life, and never once have I had a crises in housing.

Long game here is government housing for all, you'll own nothing and be fucking delirious!
115397   HeadSet   2022 Apr 6, 5:20pm  

DooDahMan says
possession of a machine gun

"Machine gun?" As in a fully automatic weapon? Tommy gun? AK-47? M-4?
115398   Eric Holder   2022 Apr 6, 5:22pm  

DooDahMan says
Middle East oil that now goes to China will have to be redirected to Europe, again spending more time on the water.


Huh? That guy needs to see the map pronto.
115399   Someone_else   2022 Apr 6, 7:04pm  

Speaking of Credit Suisse, Putins invasion covers banking scandal. Always take care of their own.
Can hardly stop listening to his sons piano: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTa4QHXAviU&source=patrick.net
115400   AD   2022 Apr 6, 7:19pm  

Exactly, Biden and Democrats are promoting demand side economics only. Think about him postponing student loan payments. That is like dropping cash from a helicopter onto the masses of freeloader Democrat voters.

Reagan was right as far as focusing on supply side economics. We are being destroyed cause we don't value production and supply. All we want to do is drop cash from a helicopter.

AD
115401   clambo   2022 Apr 6, 10:08pm  

I remember a concrete lighthouse in Baja California Sur Mexico, in Guerrero Negro.

It had a concrete spiral staircase which was crumbling.

Evidently concrete is porous and salt air gets to the rebar, which rusts and expands, degrading the concrete.

I once knew a woman who sold a concrete sealer to towns (parking structures) and builders, it’s a big market in Florida.
115402   AD   2022 Apr 6, 10:29pm  

clambo says
Evidently concrete is porous and salt air gets to the rebar, which rusts and expands, degrading the concrete.


Yep that is why you want to properly seal it and make sure it is coated. This may mean re coating it every 7 to 10 years.
115403   Hircus   2022 Apr 6, 10:59pm  

richwicks says

But then again, there's madness in hype. Even if you know something isn't feasible doesn't mean you can't cash in on it.


So true. To this day, people still buy those hydrogen conversion kits for automobiles which promise them "free energy" and "increased MPG". They do work, but the amount of hydrogen produced is so miniscule ... I'm not even sure it's enough to boost your speed idle by 50 rpm.
115404   Booger   2022 Apr 7, 3:38am  

The new 40 year mortgages will make housing "affordable" again.
115405   WookieMan   2022 Apr 7, 6:47am  

Who cares? It's like Allen Iverson's practice press conference. "We're talking about spreadsheets? I mean really, spreadsheets...."
115406   WookieMan   2022 Apr 7, 7:15am  

I love humidity. I've been saying for a while that Mississippi is underrated, unless you really actually don't like black people. 5 hours from the Gulf from anywhere in the state. Tornados are a bitch for sure. If you're inland 50 miles hurricanes really shouldn't be a factor. Mostly warm (and humid) year round. But you can get cheap as fuck property. Maybe something 30-50 miles or so outside of Jackson. Rural. But still have a decent sized airport if you like travel.

Georgia is the blueprint for it. Only difference is easier access to the Atlantic versus Mississippi. MS just needs better economic development. From Tennessee to the Gulf the MS river is kind of a ghost town. I've never understood why the river cruise business has not gotten bigger here. From MN down to MS, the Mississippi river valley is beautiful. I guess people are just that averse to humidity.
115407   WookieMan   2022 Apr 7, 7:16am  

DooDahMan says
WookieMan says
Who cares?


Going to be some outward ripples here and more than a handful of hopeful people will experience some real financial pain.

Eh... you take gambles in life. I've said you can make money in crypto, but it's not a logical gamble in my mind. I'd rather play roulette before messing with crypto.
115408   GNL   2022 Apr 7, 7:29am  

In essence, BlockFi would become or is a bank? If so, I'd think this could be a winning investment...invest in BlockFi stock?
115409   AD   2022 Apr 7, 9:49am  

Go back to around 2012 when most home prices were stabilizing after the housing crash of 2007-2008.

The market price should be about 4% to 5% annual appreciation from the 2012 price levels.
115410   Ceffer   2022 Apr 7, 10:39am  

"The Californians are coming. We're going to need a bigger can of RAID!"
115411   Ceffer   2022 Apr 7, 10:45am  

Instead of selling life insurance policies to older people with bad vision, making me their beneficiaries on the policies they don't read and killing them, I think I'll start torturing crypto holders for their passwords. It seems a lot more profitable and quick.
115413   AmericanKulak   2022 Apr 7, 12:45pm  

Florida is ending the 10-15 year cycle "Peak Phase". Probably accelerated by Yankees fleeing COVID rules, Weak Law Enforcement, taxes (as usual), and Wokeness.

5 years ago I brought a studio and got my Mother into a 1Bed/1Bath. Both were in the mid $70k range including some flooring and paint upgrading.

Today, my studio is $125k, and the 1 Bedroom is $159,000.

The studio rent (Space Coast) is $1600/month from $1200 last year (I lowered to $1500 so it would be snapped up fast, 9 showings last week which is unheard of going into Summer). Efficiency Bungalows for rent in my neighborhood in somebody's backyard are getting $1500+ also, so my price is market or better. The 1 Bedroom (Broward) is also $1600 for comparables.

In a couple of years, when rising rates and the inevitable crash happens (30% of new Floridians leave the state within 2 years), properties like these will probably decline 20-30% easy in price, and maybe $100 in rent if at all. That's when I'm a buyer.

One reason Florida has a big Yankee Leave Rate is that neither Trades nor Government Employees get within 20% of their IL/NY/NJ pay. If you make $30/hr as a carpenter or $80k as a teacher in NY, expect $22/hr and $65k in Florida. Part of the reason DeSantis is offering a $5k bonus is that Florida cops make 20-30% less than NY/NJ cops. While home prices used to be much cheaper, the recent COVID onslaught has caused a bubble making the wage differential less do-able.

There are a ton of 3-bed/2.5 bath homes, built in the 80s and 90s, going for $300k than were around $150k 2-3 years ago. Everybody knows they're ridiculously overpriced and will crash.

Meanwhile, spit out your window and hit the neighbor's wall Zero Lot homes - "Palmetto Springs: Luxury Living starting in the $400s" types are being built all over Central Florida. $500k in South Florida, way the hell out West far from work. Wouldn't touch with a ten foot pole.

Buy condos near the water when the market collapses in Florida. The Prices may swing, but the rents go up over the years.

EDIT: This $300k one will be ~$200k in 3 years, I'd bet. It was in the Upper $100k just a few years ago.
https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3799-S-Banana-River-Blvd-APT-112-Cocoa-Beach-FL-32931/54607786_zpid/?
115414   clambo   2022 Apr 7, 1:39pm  

I think house prices in Florida will drop when the boomers die off in 25 years.

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