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Today is the day! Sell stocks, invest bonds!
invite response
2022 Nov 11, 8:30am 8,874 views 74 comments
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14
SunnyvaleCA
2022 Nov 11, 1:55pm
Hircus says
Several friends and I all use our retirement accounts for gambling. It's ironic that the tax rules push us to gamble with the retirement funds!
To scratch my trading itch, I do use my roth
Several friends and I all use our retirement accounts for gambling. It's ironic that the tax rules push us to gamble with the retirement funds!
15
Misc
2022 Nov 11, 5:50pm
Mathematically, the vast majority of people must lose value on their "investments".
--- Good luck to all ! ! ! ! !
--- Good luck to all ! ! ! ! !
16
Booger
2022 Nov 11, 6:03pm
Booger
2022 Nov 11, 6:03pm
I don't try to time the market. Just still collecting my dividends. Someday I'll have enough dividends to live in Caligulan splendor without touching the principal.
17
EBGuy
2022 Nov 11, 6:45pm
I need some accountability to set some trailing stops on a couple of stocks. Anyone have a favorite method? 10%? 11%? 12%?
Already losing the will to do this when I get home...
Already losing the will to do this when I get home...
18
DD214
2022 Nov 20, 1:51pm
The US economy may not be screwed after all — but the stock market sure is
https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-crash-wall-street-2023-us-economy-avoids-recession-2022-11
https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-crash-wall-street-2023-us-economy-avoids-recession-2022-11
19
stereotomy
2022 Nov 20, 3:00pm
stereotomy
2022 Nov 20, 3:00pm
Over time, I've come to embrace the "Permanent Portfolio." It's an even mix of cash, treasuries/bonds, stocks, and commodities/precious metals (preferably physical). It performs really great when the shit hits the fan (so I'm less likely to bail out of panic),but underperforms stocks during "the good times."
At a certain point, capital preservation becomes more important than capital appreciation. The older you are, the less chance you have to recover from a financial wipeout.
At a certain point, capital preservation becomes more important than capital appreciation. The older you are, the less chance you have to recover from a financial wipeout.
20
pudil
2022 Nov 20, 3:14pm
Misc says
Not true. Value of the stock should roughly approximate the value of the company. Because the economy has to grow, overtime everyone has to make money if they stay in and are diversified. If you’re talking about crazy trades like selling all stock and going to bonds for a few years then jumping back over to stocks, then yeah, one side of that trade has to lose because you aren’t investing, you’re hoping you get lucky.
Mathematically, the vast majority of people must lose value on their "investments".
--- Good luck to all ! ! ! ! !
Not true. Value of the stock should roughly approximate the value of the company. Because the economy has to grow, overtime everyone has to make money if they stay in and are diversified. If you’re talking about crazy trades like selling all stock and going to bonds for a few years then jumping back over to stocks, then yeah, one side of that trade has to lose because you aren’t investing, you’re hoping you get lucky.
22
FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden
2022 Nov 20, 7:43pm
Patrick says
so would my old cat
WookieMan says
You live once.
Buddhists would say you are being too optimistic.
so would my old cat
23
1337irr
2022 Nov 21, 11:01am
1337irr
2022 Nov 21, 11:01am
I'm leaning towards YOLOing and taking out a loan ala John Templeton and buy some assets.
24
Shaman
2022 Nov 21, 11:52am
Shaman
2022 Nov 21, 11:52am
1337irr says
LOL lemme know how that works out!
I'm leaning towards YOLOing and taking out a loan ala John Templeton and buy some assets.
LOL lemme know how that works out!
25
1337irr
2022 Nov 21, 12:49pm
1337irr
2022 Nov 21, 12:49pm
Shaman says
Will do, with any luck you'll know my name, just like John Templeton :)
There will be no loss porn...only value picks!
1337irr says
I'm leaning towards YOLOing and taking out a loan ala John Templeton and buy some assets.
LOL lemme know how that works out!
Will do, with any luck you'll know my name, just like John Templeton :)
There will be no loss porn...only value picks!
26
Misc
2022 Nov 21, 11:09pm
pudil says
Pick any reasonable long period of time...let's say 2000 years. Compound 1 gold coin at a reasonable rate of interest...say 3%. You can do the math. How many planet's of gold do you end up with? --- The system simply breaks. This must happen to pretty much everyone.
You see Westerners make fun of Muslims because 80% of their scholars study "Religious Studies". Muslims make fun of Westerners because the West's entire society is based on compound interest (something fatally flawed).
Misc says
Mathematically, the vast majority of people must lose value on their "investments".
--- Good luck to all ! ! ! ! !
Not true. Value of the stock should roughly approximate the value of the company. Because the economy has to grow, overtime everyone has to make money if they stay in and are diversified. If you’re talking about crazy trades like selling all stock and going to bonds for a few years then jumping back over to stocks, then yeah, one side of that trade has to lose because you aren’t investing, you’re hoping you get lucky.
Pick any reasonable long period of time...let's say 2000 years. Compound 1 gold coin at a reasonable rate of interest...say 3%. You can do the math. How many planet's of gold do you end up with? --- The system simply breaks. This must happen to pretty much everyone.
You see Westerners make fun of Muslims because 80% of their scholars study "Religious Studies". Muslims make fun of Westerners because the West's entire society is based on compound interest (something fatally flawed).
27
Zak
2022 Nov 21, 11:45pm
EBGuy says
Instead of trailing stops and waiting to lose 10% plus, why not just buy some put options, and lock in (some or all of) your gains for a known premium? You can also sell covered calls to fund some portion of the premium if you are willing to limit your upside.
Also, instead of "buying the dip", you can "option the dip". Far cheaper to get the option to buy stock(s) that may fall further (catch a falling knife), than to tie up your capital in a market that may be drained of liquidity and be suffering a sell off despite inherent value. I'm just saying.. if you are going to speculate.. then use the tools!!!
I need some accountability to set some trailing stops on a couple of stocks. Anyone have a favorite method? 10%? 11%? 12%?
Already losing the will to do this when I get home..
Instead of trailing stops and waiting to lose 10% plus, why not just buy some put options, and lock in (some or all of) your gains for a known premium? You can also sell covered calls to fund some portion of the premium if you are willing to limit your upside.
Also, instead of "buying the dip", you can "option the dip". Far cheaper to get the option to buy stock(s) that may fall further (catch a falling knife), than to tie up your capital in a market that may be drained of liquidity and be suffering a sell off despite inherent value. I'm just saying.. if you are going to speculate.. then use the tools!!!
28
Zak
2022 Nov 22, 12:12am
Misc says
It's not the gold that breaks. It's your mental model. Gold represents work already done. It took a man a week to dig stone from a mountain, haul it, crush it, classify it, separate it, refine it, and come out with an ounce of pure metal. The slug represents completed work that need not be completed again to access the refined metal. Similarly, a bushel of grain took tilling, planting, weeding, watering, harvesting, drying, threshing, and separating to come up with a basket of food you can actually eat. It's not a promise to do work in the future, it is results you can use without promise.
What you see as "compounding 3%" is not the AMOUNT of gold, it is the PRICE in promises (FIAT currency). FIAT currency is a promise to do work in the future. 1 oz of gold represents the same amount of work over time (reduced by technological improvements). As does a bushel of wheat. Promises can be made all day long without doing anything. When you see the "price" of gold rise 3%, what you are seeing is more promises to do work enter the system, devaluing the existing promises to do work.
On a very small scale, think of it like this. You grow your bushel of wheat. It takes you all year, and you get 12 bushels. So you kind of have 1 month of work per bushel "invested". If someone comes along and offers you 5 chickens for one of your bushels, and it took them all year to raise 60 chickens, you might trade 1 bushel of your wheat for those 5 chickens. You don't have to guess if the chickens will be grown, they are right in front of you. You can inspect if they are healthy and a good weight.
But if someone comes along and says, "hey give me a bushel of wheat, I'll give you 5 chickens in 3 months", you might pass, and wait for another person to come along because you want to stop eating wheat, and have some chicken for dinner before that. But if they say "hey, i'll give you 6 chickens.. no? how about 7 chickens? 8?" and then you agree, you've just introduced interest and inflation. You've taken on a risk that you will never get those 8 chickens, and you've accepted a premium for that risk. If you write that promise down, and agree that anyone holding the piece of paper can come pick up the 8 chickens in 3 months, you've now introduced a currency.
If you now add a "bank", and say they can make promises to deliver chickens or bushels of wheat, even though they don't raise chickens, or grow wheat, and with no controls on how many promises they can make, you've introduced a FIAT currency.
"Wait!", you exclaim. "Why would anyone ever take promises from a bank that doesn't actually make or build or grow ANYTHING, and can just promise as much as they want to without anyone ever limiting them?" . And the answer will be: "Because we told you it is good for you."
"Ahh," you say, "It's good for me!". And then you go merrily on your way, collecting a paycheck denominated in US dollars, and having crazy ideas about gold being a strange thing that would have multiple planets worth of mass due to some strange "inflation or interest or something".
Pick any reasonable long period of time...let's say 2000 years. Compound 1 gold coin at a reasonable rate of interest...say 3%. You can do the math. How many planet's of gold do you end up with? --- The system simply breaks. This must happen to pretty much everyone.
It's not the gold that breaks. It's your mental model. Gold represents work already done. It took a man a week to dig stone from a mountain, haul it, crush it, classify it, separate it, refine it, and come out with an ounce of pure metal. The slug represents completed work that need not be completed again to access the refined metal. Similarly, a bushel of grain took tilling, planting, weeding, watering, harvesting, drying, threshing, and separating to come up with a basket of food you can actually eat. It's not a promise to do work in the future, it is results you can use without promise.
What you see as "compounding 3%" is not the AMOUNT of gold, it is the PRICE in promises (FIAT currency). FIAT currency is a promise to do work in the future. 1 oz of gold represents the same amount of work over time (reduced by technological improvements). As does a bushel of wheat. Promises can be made all day long without doing anything. When you see the "price" of gold rise 3%, what you are seeing is more promises to do work enter the system, devaluing the existing promises to do work.
On a very small scale, think of it like this. You grow your bushel of wheat. It takes you all year, and you get 12 bushels. So you kind of have 1 month of work per bushel "invested". If someone comes along and offers you 5 chickens for one of your bushels, and it took them all year to raise 60 chickens, you might trade 1 bushel of your wheat for those 5 chickens. You don't have to guess if the chickens will be grown, they are right in front of you. You can inspect if they are healthy and a good weight.
But if someone comes along and says, "hey give me a bushel of wheat, I'll give you 5 chickens in 3 months", you might pass, and wait for another person to come along because you want to stop eating wheat, and have some chicken for dinner before that. But if they say "hey, i'll give you 6 chickens.. no? how about 7 chickens? 8?" and then you agree, you've just introduced interest and inflation. You've taken on a risk that you will never get those 8 chickens, and you've accepted a premium for that risk. If you write that promise down, and agree that anyone holding the piece of paper can come pick up the 8 chickens in 3 months, you've now introduced a currency.
If you now add a "bank", and say they can make promises to deliver chickens or bushels of wheat, even though they don't raise chickens, or grow wheat, and with no controls on how many promises they can make, you've introduced a FIAT currency.
"Wait!", you exclaim. "Why would anyone ever take promises from a bank that doesn't actually make or build or grow ANYTHING, and can just promise as much as they want to without anyone ever limiting them?" . And the answer will be: "Because we told you it is good for you."
"Ahh," you say, "It's good for me!". And then you go merrily on your way, collecting a paycheck denominated in US dollars, and having crazy ideas about gold being a strange thing that would have multiple planets worth of mass due to some strange "inflation or interest or something".
29
Misc
2022 Nov 22, 12:28am
I am simply stating that for the vast majority of people, they mathematically must lose value on their "investments".
It doesn't matter what a person "invests" in. The system simply collapses.
It doesn't matter what a person "invests" in. The system simply collapses.
30
Zak
2022 Nov 22, 12:55am
Misc says
What do you even begin to think that means? If you make yourself a spoon, the spoon will wear away with time. If you make your spoon from metal, it might take 10,000 years to wear away. If you make it from paper, it might be gone in a day. The term of art for this is depreciation. However, if your spoon enables you to scoop 100 gallons of water per day out of a bucket onto your plants, where before you could only scoop 10 gallons per day, and the yield of your crop rises with better moisture for a larger area, then the increase in your crop yield is your return on investment in the time you took to make the spoon.
You have time, every day. You invest your time. It's truly the only thing you really "have". You choose to make yourself a spoon for watering your crop, or working in a factory to earn dollars, or listening to the local shogun warrior's directions to avoid having your time "cut short". Assuming you don't have a local shogun to worry about, and are working in a factory or office for a paycheck denominated in dollars, you are choosing to trade your time for a FIAT currency that is being eroded from inflation. You are also choosing a place to live, presumably paying rent or a mortgage to purchase an abode. The dollars are an output of your time investment in your job. You are choosing to invest them in shelter, food, medicine, and the conveniences of modern living. You MAY also choose to invest some of them in a stock, bond, CD, mutual fund, real estate, or building a business.
Some of your "personal investment" in shelter, food, health, education etc pays off handsomely. You become more capable, earn more money, have a stress capacity for larger decisions and responsibilities, and potentially take on larger investments, while not dying of an infected mosquito bite. Part of this is because those who came before you invested in science, technology, logistics, infrastructure, etc, and made the world a better place so you as a peasant today can actually live better than a king did a mere 200 years ago.
Today, investing in "just your job" with a basic healthcare plan gives you access to child mortality rates orders of magnitude lower than just 100 years ago. Yes, by investing your time in a job, you can save a few of your potential kids lives basically. That is beyond precious to the majority of the world. What a morbid view to think otherwise.
As for "they(the majority) mathematically must lose value on their "investments" ". ... it's just such a disconnected thought it doesn't even mean anything. If you are trying to say "the stock market is a zero sum game, and those making money necessarily take money from those losing it" you're simply bonkers. That does happen, and it is true that a fool and his money are soon parted, but you simply fail to understand what investment and wealth are. And as Warren buffet says, don't invest in something you don't understand.. So I well and fully recommend you not invest in the stock market.
I am simply stating that for the vast majority of people, they mathematically must lose value on their "investments".
What do you even begin to think that means? If you make yourself a spoon, the spoon will wear away with time. If you make your spoon from metal, it might take 10,000 years to wear away. If you make it from paper, it might be gone in a day. The term of art for this is depreciation. However, if your spoon enables you to scoop 100 gallons of water per day out of a bucket onto your plants, where before you could only scoop 10 gallons per day, and the yield of your crop rises with better moisture for a larger area, then the increase in your crop yield is your return on investment in the time you took to make the spoon.
You have time, every day. You invest your time. It's truly the only thing you really "have". You choose to make yourself a spoon for watering your crop, or working in a factory to earn dollars, or listening to the local shogun warrior's directions to avoid having your time "cut short". Assuming you don't have a local shogun to worry about, and are working in a factory or office for a paycheck denominated in dollars, you are choosing to trade your time for a FIAT currency that is being eroded from inflation. You are also choosing a place to live, presumably paying rent or a mortgage to purchase an abode. The dollars are an output of your time investment in your job. You are choosing to invest them in shelter, food, medicine, and the conveniences of modern living. You MAY also choose to invest some of them in a stock, bond, CD, mutual fund, real estate, or building a business.
Some of your "personal investment" in shelter, food, health, education etc pays off handsomely. You become more capable, earn more money, have a stress capacity for larger decisions and responsibilities, and potentially take on larger investments, while not dying of an infected mosquito bite. Part of this is because those who came before you invested in science, technology, logistics, infrastructure, etc, and made the world a better place so you as a peasant today can actually live better than a king did a mere 200 years ago.
Today, investing in "just your job" with a basic healthcare plan gives you access to child mortality rates orders of magnitude lower than just 100 years ago. Yes, by investing your time in a job, you can save a few of your potential kids lives basically. That is beyond precious to the majority of the world. What a morbid view to think otherwise.
As for "they(the majority) mathematically must lose value on their "investments" ". ... it's just such a disconnected thought it doesn't even mean anything. If you are trying to say "the stock market is a zero sum game, and those making money necessarily take money from those losing it" you're simply bonkers. That does happen, and it is true that a fool and his money are soon parted, but you simply fail to understand what investment and wealth are. And as Warren buffet says, don't invest in something you don't understand.. So I well and fully recommend you not invest in the stock market.
31
Zak
2022 Nov 22, 12:57am
Misc says
This is true 100% for every person no matter how well connected or high in society they may be. It's called death.
It doesn't matter what a person "invests" in. The system simply collapses.
This is true 100% for every person no matter how well connected or high in society they may be. It's called death.
32
stfu
2022 Nov 22, 4:11am
Misc says
You are describing a zero sum transaction. That is not investing. That is speculation.
Investing is purchasing future cash flows that are in excess of the current net value of your investment.
I am simply stating that for the vast majority of people, they mathematically must lose value on their "investments".
You are describing a zero sum transaction. That is not investing. That is speculation.
Investing is purchasing future cash flows that are in excess of the current net value of your investment.
33
DD214
2022 Nov 22, 4:20am
These stocks are burning cash fast and might need to raise capital soon, Goldman Sachs flags
With rates these high, the strategists put together a list of companies with high cash burn rates and also lofty valuations, all of which are losing money, as they advised investors to avoid unprofitable long-duration equities. The lists includes electric vehicle makers Lordstown Motors
https://newsbrig.com/these-stocks-are-burning-cash-fast-and-might-need-to-raise-capital-soon-goldman-sachs-flags/1015041/
With rates these high, the strategists put together a list of companies with high cash burn rates and also lofty valuations, all of which are losing money, as they advised investors to avoid unprofitable long-duration equities. The lists includes electric vehicle makers Lordstown Motors
https://newsbrig.com/these-stocks-are-burning-cash-fast-and-might-need-to-raise-capital-soon-goldman-sachs-flags/1015041/
34
fdhfoiehfeoi
2022 Nov 22, 11:55am
fdhfoiehfeoi
2022 Nov 22, 11:55am
Shaman says
Bond market has been signalling major problems for at least a year. If you can't bring yourself to diversify outside of the fiat system, the result will be the same.
I reinvested my investments in bonds yesterday, and switched my kids’ 529 college savings plan investments to bonds today. So I’m putting my own money on this bet, and I’m going all in.
Bond market has been signalling major problems for at least a year. If you can't bring yourself to diversify outside of the fiat system, the result will be the same.
35
Misc
2022 Nov 22, 9:45pm
Keep "saving" and "investing" most people don't like the end results.
As I said, "Good Luck".
As I said, "Good Luck".
37
DD214
2022 Dec 16, 1:07pm
If The Stock Market Doesn’t Go Down, Or Stays Unchanged, It Will Absolutely Go Up.
38
DD214
2022 Dec 24, 9:27am
Investors just pulled a record $42 billion from stocks in one week in an attempt to cut their tax bill after grim 2022 losses, BofA says
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stocks-taxes-equities-tax-loss-harvesting-irs-capital-gains-investors-2022-12
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stocks-taxes-equities-tax-loss-harvesting-irs-capital-gains-investors-2022-12
39
clambo
2022 Dec 24, 9:34am
I had an RMD of an IRA which I inherited, that was $12,000 so I'm one of the sellers I guess.
Next week I will convert some of my IRA to a Roth IRA.
Next week I will convert some of my IRA to a Roth IRA.
40
Eman
2022 Dec 24, 9:35am
Eman
2022 Dec 24, 9:35am
Misc says
@Misc,
Saving and investing is making a bet. Use the money to take risk rather than saving is also making a bet. One can become financially free if their bet is successful, or start allover if not. This is why the wise ones suggest people to take risks when they’re young. They have time to start over if things don’t work out.
As I get older and look back, a lot of good life lessons from older folks, especially the successful ones. Money can’t buy our youth back so the earlier we can become financially free, the better off we are. Now that I have experienced what it’s like to live my current life, I’d rather die at 50 than to live to 75 working a W2.
Merry Christmas! 🎄
Keep "saving" and "investing" most people don't like the end results.
As I said, "Good Luck".
@Misc,
Saving and investing is making a bet. Use the money to take risk rather than saving is also making a bet. One can become financially free if their bet is successful, or start allover if not. This is why the wise ones suggest people to take risks when they’re young. They have time to start over if things don’t work out.
As I get older and look back, a lot of good life lessons from older folks, especially the successful ones. Money can’t buy our youth back so the earlier we can become financially free, the better off we are. Now that I have experienced what it’s like to live my current life, I’d rather die at 50 than to live to 75 working a W2.
Merry Christmas! 🎄
42
richwicks
2022 Dec 24, 11:24am
richwicks
2022 Dec 24, 11:24am
Eman says
I guess Sam Bankman Fried, Bernie Madoff, Ghislane Maxwell, Jeffrey Epstein, Nancy Pelosi, Joe Biden, Jeff Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Bill Gates, etc are just really good people doing quite well. It's not like they are just criminals or something...
DD214 says
As much as some don’t like to admit, this is partially true.
I guess Sam Bankman Fried, Bernie Madoff, Ghislane Maxwell, Jeffrey Epstein, Nancy Pelosi, Joe Biden, Jeff Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Bill Gates, etc are just really good people doing quite well. It's not like they are just criminals or something...
43
AD
2022 Dec 24, 2:21pm
AD
2022 Dec 24, 2:21pm
In 2022 the S&P 500 dropped 27.5% from its all time high of 4818.
It is now down about 20.5%.
The S&P 500 has a real (or inflation adjusted) return of around 0% since February 2020.
I can see it trading in a range for the next few months between being 25% to 15% down from 4818.
It is now down about 20.5%.
The S&P 500 has a real (or inflation adjusted) return of around 0% since February 2020.
I can see it trading in a range for the next few months between being 25% to 15% down from 4818.
44
Eman
2022 Dec 24, 2:46pm
Eman
2022 Dec 24, 2:46pm
richwicks says
That was why I said it’s partially true as there will always be some exceptions. However, it’s generally true in most cases. 😂
Eman says
DD214 says
As much as some don’t like to admit, this is partially true.
I guess Sam Bankman Fried, Bernie Madoff, Ghislane Maxwell, Jeffrey Epstein, Nancy Pelosi, Joe Biden, Jeff Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Bill Gates, etc are just really good people doing quite well. It's not like they are just criminals or something...
That was why I said it’s partially true as there will always be some exceptions. However, it’s generally true in most cases. 😂
45
Shaman
2023 Mar 31, 3:55pm
Shaman
2023 Mar 31, 3:55pm
Supposedly, Pelosi sold her stock yesterday at a loss. Taking a loss isn’t something she does.
What’s coming?
Couldn’t have anything to do with the Federal reserve convening an emergency meeting of Congress about the banking system, could it?
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZTRcd16W5/
What’s coming?
Couldn’t have anything to do with the Federal reserve convening an emergency meeting of Congress about the banking system, could it?
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZTRcd16W5/
46
Shaman
2023 Mar 31, 3:59pm
Shaman
2023 Mar 31, 3:59pm
Btw my timing was obviously off in November. But the DOW is currently down $1500 from that point. It’s been up a bit and down a bit, but I’m still waiting.
47
clambo
2023 Mar 31, 4:30pm
Today the W5000 index is at 40,708
Once upon a time it was 48,500 or so.
I'm pissed off at the bank bullshit again, SBF bullshit, and absurd Democrat debt spending on bullshit.
I collect dividends so I am slightly immune to the vissitudes of stock prices.
Once upon a time it was 48,500 or so.
I'm pissed off at the bank bullshit again, SBF bullshit, and absurd Democrat debt spending on bullshit.
I collect dividends so I am slightly immune to the vissitudes of stock prices.
48
AD
2023 Mar 31, 9:31pm
AD
2023 Mar 31, 9:31pm
clambo says
S&P 500 needs to cool down over next week or so. VIX has been beaten up quite a bit lately. Check out CNN Fear and Greed Index.
Also, sell monthly covered calls with your Wilshire 5000 ETF.
.
Today the W5000 index is at 40,708
Once upon a time it was 48,500 or so
S&P 500 needs to cool down over next week or so. VIX has been beaten up quite a bit lately. Check out CNN Fear and Greed Index.
Also, sell monthly covered calls with your Wilshire 5000 ETF.
.
49
AD
2023 Mar 31, 9:32pm
AD
2023 Mar 31, 9:32pm
Shaman says
Insider trading. Pelosi is acting on privy info.
Supposedly, Pelosi sold her stock yesterday at a loss. Taking a loss isn’t something she does.
Insider trading. Pelosi is acting on privy info.
50
Eman
2023 Mar 31, 9:40pm
Eman
2023 Mar 31, 9:40pm
Shaman says
Sorry, but this guy’s information is not accurate. Last week, the US dollar index was trading at $103. Today, it closed at $102.60. Not sure where he got his USD lost 20% of its value in a week from.
Supposedly, Pelosi sold her stock yesterday at a loss. Taking a loss isn’t something she does.
What’s coming?
Couldn’t have anything to do with the Federal reserve convening an emergency meeting of Congress about the banking system, could it?
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZTRcd16W5/
Sorry, but this guy’s information is not accurate. Last week, the US dollar index was trading at $103. Today, it closed at $102.60. Not sure where he got his USD lost 20% of its value in a week from.
51
stfu
2023 Apr 1, 6:00am
clambo says
That implies you inherited north of $300k. That's material. I'm curious if you have lived your adult life knowing that you had this (and possibly more) inheritance and whether it affected your tolerance for risk in your own investments?
I ask because whereas I saved north of 25% of my gross income since my late 20's (knowing I had no inheritances in my future) I have friends in the same socio-economic situation that have always spent like drunken sailors ($15k annual vacations, new cars, boats, constant home remodels, etc...) while saving nothing for their retirement - but knowing that they would inherit bigley from previous generations.
Yes I'm a little bitter about it because now I have an inability to enjoy spending frivolous money.
I had an RMD of an IRA which I inherited, that was $12,000 so I'm one of the sellers I guess.
Next week I will convert some of my IRA to a Roth IRA.
That implies you inherited north of $300k. That's material. I'm curious if you have lived your adult life knowing that you had this (and possibly more) inheritance and whether it affected your tolerance for risk in your own investments?
I ask because whereas I saved north of 25% of my gross income since my late 20's (knowing I had no inheritances in my future) I have friends in the same socio-economic situation that have always spent like drunken sailors ($15k annual vacations, new cars, boats, constant home remodels, etc...) while saving nothing for their retirement - but knowing that they would inherit bigley from previous generations.
Yes I'm a little bitter about it because now I have an inability to enjoy spending frivolous money.
52
clambo
2023 Apr 1, 8:48am
@stfu
Actually, the inherited IRA was smaller than 300K and I inherited it in 2017; it was already invested for some capital appreciation so it grew in those few years.
I have saved and invested my entire life expecting not to receive much from my parents.
My father was not an astute investor; in fact he made some mistakes but he earned enough to eventually have money when he needed it.
My father's ancestor was a founder of Wachovia Bank; he had inherited shares. I told him "Go up to the Fidelity store on Broadway and sell it and buy a couple of stock mutual funds; it's better to be diversified than keep one stock."
He didn't follow my advice and in 2008 lost about $650,000 when Wachovia went bust and he got a few shares of Wells Fargo in exchange.
I previously got an inheritance from my mother and I rolled the dice with it and bought shares of AAPL; I have a large capital gain from this gamble.
I'm not bitter about the guys I know who won't save their money; I'm a little pissed off at my friends who get public pensions who pay no California tax on them. I'm also a bit pissed off at people who don't save a dime and get govt. money because they have some bastard children.
I have a frugal nature and have made arrangements to save even more money; it's just my habit and I can't quit.
I changed my state residence to Florida; next year I will depart Florida and be in Baja Sur, saving more since I won't be owning or renting in Florida for a decade or so.
Interestingly, others from up North (Canada, California, Washington, Oregon, etc.) are doing the same, so Baja housing prices are rising, but are still very reasonable.
At the rate I'm going, I'm never going to spend my money; it's a large enough nest egg that even if I spend 4X what I spend today, it will never run out.
My only frivolous spending it eating out but then the fun is finding places which are good but not expensive.
Actually, the inherited IRA was smaller than 300K and I inherited it in 2017; it was already invested for some capital appreciation so it grew in those few years.
I have saved and invested my entire life expecting not to receive much from my parents.
My father was not an astute investor; in fact he made some mistakes but he earned enough to eventually have money when he needed it.
My father's ancestor was a founder of Wachovia Bank; he had inherited shares. I told him "Go up to the Fidelity store on Broadway and sell it and buy a couple of stock mutual funds; it's better to be diversified than keep one stock."
He didn't follow my advice and in 2008 lost about $650,000 when Wachovia went bust and he got a few shares of Wells Fargo in exchange.
I previously got an inheritance from my mother and I rolled the dice with it and bought shares of AAPL; I have a large capital gain from this gamble.
I'm not bitter about the guys I know who won't save their money; I'm a little pissed off at my friends who get public pensions who pay no California tax on them. I'm also a bit pissed off at people who don't save a dime and get govt. money because they have some bastard children.
I have a frugal nature and have made arrangements to save even more money; it's just my habit and I can't quit.
I changed my state residence to Florida; next year I will depart Florida and be in Baja Sur, saving more since I won't be owning or renting in Florida for a decade or so.
Interestingly, others from up North (Canada, California, Washington, Oregon, etc.) are doing the same, so Baja housing prices are rising, but are still very reasonable.
At the rate I'm going, I'm never going to spend my money; it's a large enough nest egg that even if I spend 4X what I spend today, it will never run out.
My only frivolous spending it eating out but then the fun is finding places which are good but not expensive.
53
AD
2023 Dec 7, 8:19pm
AD
2023 Dec 7, 8:19pm
.
The CAGR for the S&P 500 is about 3.7% (each year) from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2022. It is inflation adjusted and accounts for dividends.
Historically the CAGR is around 6.5%. The last 22 years has been a dismal extended period for the S&P 500.
.
.
The CAGR for the S&P 500 is about 3.7% (each year) from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2022. It is inflation adjusted and accounts for dividends.
Historically the CAGR is around 6.5%. The last 22 years has been a dismal extended period for the S&P 500.
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I reinvested my investments in bonds yesterday, and switched my kids’ 529 college savings plan investments to bonds today. So I’m putting my own money on this bet, and I’m going all in.
BEAR MARKET alert!