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How long can stubborn homeloaners hold out?
Investors are pulling way back.
Property Insurance and Taxes have skyrocketed (Insurance is up 68% during the Scamdemic, most insurers left the state, and the 2 statewide companies remaining want another 53% increase)
Our HOA master insurance in Florida Panhandle went down. It was $310,000 now $258,000 based on replacement value of $35 million for 157 townhome units.
That would mean prices would bottom to 2020 levels for our townhome community in the Florida Panhandle.
That would wipe out the pandemic gains while income/wages have gone up about 21% during 2020 to 2024 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !
Castle Key, Amica Mutual seek 54% rate increase for Florida home insurance policies
Brandon Girod Pensacola News Journal
Two Florida property insurers are seeking approval for a 54% average rate increase from the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation (OIR).
Amica Mutual Insurance Company is asking the OIR to approve a 54.1% increase in rates for its dwelling fire policies, which covers about 500 insureds, according to the Insurance Journal. If approved, the rate increase would go into effect in July.
Castle Key Indemnity Company also filed a request to approve a 53.5% increase for its HO-6 policies, which are homeowners insurance policies for condominium units.
New Florida insurance companies:While many home insurance companies are leaving Florida, these 6 are opening soon
Castle Key, an insurance company owned by the Allstate Insurance Group, already raised the rates of as many as 105,247 HO-6 policyholders last May using the use-and-file approach, which allows insurers to raise their rates before getting approval from regulators.
However, should the Florida OIR find the increase unwarranted, Castle Key could be asked to refund some or all of it, according to the Insurance Journal.
The Florida OIR will hear Castle Key’s rate request at 9 a.m. on Feb. 21.
$2000+ on the panhandle for townhouses is an all-time high. How many servers at Ron & Sally's Beer and Fish Camp can afford $2000+ rents? Split between 2 roomates that's still $1000/month plus half of all utilities.
Average monthly utilities are about $50 internet, $45 water/sewer, and $100 electricity.
I've talked with one tenant (20 year old male, entry level worker) in my townhome community who is saving at least $300 a month in their 401k with mostly a S&P 500 fund.
AD says
Average monthly utilities are about $50 internet, $45 water/sewer, and $100 electricity.
My mom doesn't have property down there anymore, but I'm not buying that. Not sure if you have kids, but I'm double that on all three. And I shop prices constantly.
The starting hourly pay is $16 for entry level such as at The Blake (nursing home and assisted living), Walmart Front Beach Road, Pompano Joes and Bay Point Resort, plus expect to work overtime or about 50 hours a week from early May to mid September. They usually increase the hourly pay to $18 in 3 months.
I see. Using data to prove the point, but when the same data is being presented, it’s irrelevant as it doesn’t fit the narrative. No double standard at all. 👏👏👏
One other quick mention: The Florida 10-15 year cycle (which existed before the Fin Crisis of 2008 or COVID leap) always, but always, starts but doesn't end with Condos.
Always.
What is the Florida cycle?
AD says
The starting hourly pay is $16 for entry level such as at The Blake (nursing home and assisted living), Walmart Front Beach Road, Pompano Joes and Bay Point Resort, plus expect to work overtime or about 50 hours a week from early May to mid September. They usually increase the hourly pay to $18 in 3 months.
That's $2560 / month pre-tax/pre-health and other withholds.
Let's do a very generous $2250 after tax and benefit contributions.
If it's $700 to split a 3bed, that leaves $1550.
Then add phone, electric: $100
Now down to $1450
How much is groceries if you ate every meal in? $500 if you're super frugal and never eat out.
So they have about $1944 in pre-tax or gross income per month after rent and utilities.
Net 10, Mint , etc have no more than $20 plans per month for unlimited phone and text.
Groceries should be no more than $10 a day regardless if they get free meals where they work.
A rotisserie chicken at a local Publix (i.e., high end) is around $7.15 and lasts 2 days for 2 people.
Now, where's that car payment
I'd say $15/day is more accurate.
There is no car payment as most of the service workers living on the beach in the Florida panhandle use a bicycle or moped, and sometimes the county bus system. Some are more sophisticated and have electric bikes. But they live on the beach to only be within a 2.5 mile walk of any potential service job.
No, $10 is more accurate for Bay County, Florida especially the Walmart on 23rd Street in Panama City. I know first-hand from shopping around that $10 per person is very reasonable in the Florida panhandle. The county is very pro active as far as sidewalks and bike lanes.
You can eat well on $10 a day with Great Value, which is Walmart's brand like oatmeal, raisan bran cereal, cannelli beans, etc. 1 egg, wheat toast, and raisin bran cereal for breakfast would cost about $2, a can of Progresso soup is $2.25, and that leaves plenty (+$5) for dinner like a half a rotissiere chicken.
Publix Subs are great but still $7 and up, and around 1200-1400 calories.
Are they walking to the Walmart and Publix too in that heat and carrying those bags home? Or a 2 hour round trip just to get there by taking the bus (.5 hour wait + .5 hour drive because stops, then back)
I think you're grossly undervaluing the utility of a car.
A 3 mile round trip carrying Groceries in a Florida summer (and having to cross at least one very busy road/street) is brutal.
Look, I've gotten $1500/month for my studio, which I think is insane. $31k was no great income 20 years ago when most daily needs were 1/3 the price.
You do not need a car to live and work on the beach here in the Florida panhandle. I see this firsthand with a lot of the tenants of the 3 bedroom townhomes in my community who do not have automobiles and rely on electric bikes. They only work 2 miles away and the stores are within 2 miles distance as well.
The problem is you are seeing everything from your South Florida perspective
The decline of living standards in the USA is such that we're talking about this.
Next to Patrick SFB. Yeah, they're no longer AFB.
Its Space Force, not an Air Force base. I use to live not far from Patrick AFB about 5 blocks from Ron John and the pier.
That and I got to see the record 2 of 3 spaceX launches in 24 hours (the third was at Vanderburg)
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pimco-kiesel-called-housing-top-160339396.html?source=patrick.net
Bond manager Mark Kiesel sold his California home in 2006, when he presciently predicted the housing bubble would pop. He bought again in 2012, after U.S. prices fell more than 30% and found a floor.
Now, after a record surge in prices, Kiesel says the time to sell is once again at hand.