patrick.net

AD says

What matters is the voting in less liberal states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and Michigan.

Trump wins them all. Election over. You can't cheat your way out of that hole. You forgot MN in there as well. That's my prediction. I eat it if I'm wrong. Half of those states are my part of the country that I've been to recently.

Trump is pro-Israel. But he's worked with Muslims. Got us out of their territory overseas. Biden/Harris have done nothing but send Israel a ton of money and a shitty dock to Gaza. You lost Dearborn, MI and Minneapolis with that. They vote as a community. 20-30k votes in one state is all it takes.

I don't care about polls. It's paid for by the parties. There are less R's than D's registered. So polling is oversampled. Harris is toast. Don't forget she's a "black" woman. She lost most of the male votes out of the gate. I don't think women can lead and I think most men think the same. They can be successful, but I'll never vote for a woman for POTUS. There's a lot like me in fly over country. Hence why she loses MN, WI, MI, and PA. Which is a Trump win.

WookieMan says

20-30k votes in one state is all it takes.

Correct, which is why 50,000 "found" votes and a partisan judge is all it takes to pull off a cheat. Remember, Al Franken won from votes found in the trunk of a car.

I "akshually" saw my first Kummalala bumper sticker today.

RWSGFY says

I "akshually" saw my first Kummalala bumper sticker today.

Lol. My kid knows of the two Kamala signs in town finally. Since this is anonymous, said signs will be removed. By my kids. As long as they're crafty and don't get caught I'm all game for it. Good/bad father, I don't care. Enjoy life. It's a fucking sign.

I think it's fun because the owners are pussies and won't take down a Trump sign knowing they could get shot.

Asshole down the street has a massive Kamala/Walz flag hanging from the porch along with a never before seen Stars and Stripes.

My neighborhood is almost split down the middle in voter registration. That remains the one and only pro Kamala anything. Here in So Cal.

As might be expected, KamWalz signs going up, but not a yuge number so far. Two in my immediate hood, a handful in a 55 yo and over park next door where they should be old enough to know better. I did drive behind a car with a Trump sticker. I think putting out anything Trump is inviting property damage in Santa Cruz, not just signs being removed. Too many lesbos, people on the dole, section 8, etc. etc.

RWSGFY says

I "akshually" saw my first Kummalala bumper sticker today.

You see Ukeys taking out the Death Star, too.

Biden won the popular vote by about 4.7%, and barely won Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin, and won by about less than 1.5% for Pennsylvania and less than 2.9% for Michigan.

See latest Real Clear Politics composite poll below. Notice that Biden and Clinton were way ahead on 21 September for their election years.

About a 2:1 or better Trump:Harris ratio in the San Antonio neighborhood I just moved into. More and more of each are popping up.

AD says

See latest Real Clear Politics composite poll below. Notice that Biden and Clinton were way ahead on 21 September for their election years.

No chance she wins WI. I wouldn't put a huge bet on it because of cheating, but I see no way she wins it. Trump wins MI and PA. So basically over with one or two of the three. Might or probably should win MN as well.

Even in rural IL there are still a lot of liberals/dems. Almost non-existent support for Harris. Walz was an awful choice which may cost MN. Wake the citizens up and be like "shit, we voted for this weirdo for governor." Harris is/will LOSE 5 points at least because of him in MN. You got the largest Somali population #muslim in the country. Israel, Hamas and Hezbollah issues ain't gonna be liked.

There's no path to victory for Harris. The margin of error is 4. Florida and Ohio shouldn't even be on the list anyway. He gets 3 of those she's toast. I see WI, PA, MI, AZ, NV, NC, GA all going Trump.

This is why we have the electoral college. I don't want CA policies in my area. The only reason most democrats are ever in play is CA, IL and NY. The rest don't have enough EC votes to really move the needle. Trump needs 2 of those state and it's over. Hence why they're trying to kill him.

Do you believe that this election will be stolen by the Democrats?

Yes - 99%
No - 0%
Undecided - 1%

Do you believe that the Republicans will do anything significant to stop the steal?

Yes - 0%
No - 100%

WookieMan says

I see WI, PA, MI, AZ, NV, NC, GA all going Trump.

With everyone concentrating on those states to stop a steal, watch a totally unexpected cheat come in and unwatched Texas goes for Harris. Maybe another surprise like the known swing states are cheated for Harris, but New York negates that by voting for Trump.

RayAmerica says

Do you believe that this election will be stolen by the Democrats?

Yes - 99%
No - 0%
Undecided - 1%

Do you believe that the Republicans will do anything significant to stop the steal?

Yes - 0%
No - 100%

I hereby vote this to be the most accurate poll I have seen on this thread so far.

But then again, I am a certified cynical GenX ratbastard.

Apparently, the Amish is really pissed at the Dems. In PA, Gov. Shapiro sent goons to raid their farms for unprocessed milk.

https://spectator.org/why-is-kamala-still-losing/

https://open.substack.com/pub/stevecortes/p/battleground-voters-dont-trust-harris

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

Apparently, the Amish is really pissed at the Dems. In PA, Gov. Shapiro sent goons to raid their farms for unprocessed milk.

I hope they have busses and enough drivers to take Amish people to the polls. Also, I'm guessing pollsters aren't asking the Amish who they are voting for. They should turn this into a literal Trump Train. https://www.strasburgrailroad.com/

Trump should be running away with this election based on the fundamentals and it should be well outside the range of the cheat.

I believe (hope) the polls are still undercounting support for Trump based on history and the Media's desire to suppress Republican enthusiasm.

But if Trump manages to lose this thing, that will be on us for nominating a candidate that had unique and very high unfavorable ratings capable of losing to someone as weak as Kamala and Waltz.

How come there's not a column for the voting machines and drop off containers?

Ceffer says

How come there's not a column for the voting machines and drop off containers?

@AD, hope all is well and no problems.

AmericanKulak says

AD, hope all is well and no problems.

I appreciate that

fortunately the track line of category 4 Hurricane Heline was about 120 miles east of here