patrick.net

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?

I think so

I wonder what the doctor's take would be?

Any math majors here? Is the variable discrete?

turtledove says

Any math majors here?

I was told there wan't going to be any math questions...

Call it Crazy says

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

You shouldn't give us math questions this late at night!

My apologies. I get caught up on the vocabulary sometimes. Not being a math major, I thought I'd ask... With all the techies on this site, I figured someone would know more about this than I do.

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

Depends what you are looking at.

The death toll will model a sigmoid while the infected population will peak, then crash.

Both exponential and geometric growth curves continue to infinity which obviously cannot happen here.

turtledove says

Any math majors here? Is the variable discrete?

It is exponential, the variable is not discrete. IOW be afraid be very afraid

http://modernsurvivalblog.com/pandemic/mindblowing-exponential-growth-of-a-pandemic/

bgamall4 says

He and Romney both employ Eugenics professors.

WTF, it has NOTHING to do with eugenics.

APOCALYPSEFUCKisShostikovitch says

Romney said to his donors 'FORTY SEVEN PERCENT OF AMERICA MUST FUCKING DIE!'

He said that? Obama is doing it, like all good democrats they getting us killed wholesale.

i think it's geometric only in europe...

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

I don't think patrick permits bisexual solicitation here...

turtledove says

Is the variable discrete?

humanity says

Right wingers tend to be motivated by fear more than anything else, and this is going to be a very huge story by November

A tour of the conservative quote book:

1950s: "Communism is scary. We need to give up our rights to fight it."

1980s: "AIDS is scary. Isn't it time we gave up all our civil rights?"

2001: "Scary Muslims are scary - time to get rid of the Bill of Rights!"

2014: "Ebola!? The Constitution is not a suicide pact!"

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same. People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

"You people have no balls - no guts. Now if anyone wants me, I'll be hiding under my coffee table with my AR-15, wetting myself in fear of the coming Iranian attack."

HydroCabron says

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same: People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

This mutt is pulling shit out of his ass

When it comes to diseases, geometric is bad enough. Exponential means the entire galaxy will have Ebola soon.

Gatlings and flame throwers will keep the progression linear.

FortWayne says

We should really ban flights from Africa. They never bring anything good here.

We should, don't really care that others think it is paranoia. There is almost nothing good that can come during this epidemic from Africa via open air travel. IMO, shut it down now!

Not enough, when you consider the 21 day incubation period.

http://www.youtube.com/embed/9bH_fCvNLCw

Call it Crazy says

WHO: 21,000 Ebola cases by November if no changes

LONDON (AP) — New estimates from the World Health Organization warn the number of Ebola cases could hit 21,000 in six weeks unless efforts to curb the outbreak are ramped up.

My guess would be ebola will reach a few hundreds thousands deaths a yr, after which it will sort of stabilize because sanitary quarantines will be enforced with machine guns.

This means no one here will notice, except a few unlucky people whose neighbors in a plane will start puking blood on them.

It will likely go on for a few years.

Sounds optimistic, this is an exponential situation, governments don't react until it is too late.

It's exponential at the beginning until it runs into limits. In this case some regions will be too sparse, some will take effective measures, some people will flee etc...

It cannot stay exponential or we would all die which is preposterous.

I know things tend to go to the negative when talking about disasters.

However the Spanish Flu infected 500 million people and killed between 50 and 100 million. The mortality rate was 10 to 20% with this it is 50%. There is no treatment for this, so technology will not help in fact it will make it worse by spreading it.

I hope your take is what happens.

indigenous says

However the Spanish Flu infected 500 million people and killed between 50 and 100 million. The mortality rate was 10 to 20% with this it is 50%. There is no treatment for this, so technology will not help in fact it will make it worse by spreading it.

The flu is more contagious.

Tens of thousand die of the flu in the US each year and we rarely hear about it.

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Ebola is not airborne, contact with fluids is the vector. The growth rate in the current areas, is due to a set of factors unlikely outside Africa.

HydroCabron says

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same. People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

"You people have no balls - no guts. Now if anyone wants me, I'll be hiding under my coffee table with my AR-15, wetting myself in fear of the coming Iranian attack."

I like the cut of your jib.

Vicente says

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Ebola is not airborne, contact with fluids is the vector. The growth rate in the current areas, is due to a set of factors unlikely outside Africa.

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

bob2356 says

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

Nothing you would ever be a vector of.

indigenous says

bob2356 says

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

Nothing you would ever be a vector of.

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

When it started as like 100+ victims, I made a thread about ebola here

http://patrick.net/?p=1244530
and....

Now y'all are in full panic mode.

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Exponential has nothing to do with how contagious it is.

Let's say it doubles every century: that's still an exponential.

bob2356 says

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

Ok grammar nanny how would you form that sentence?

Welcome to another edition of Austrians Wetting Themselves!

To amp up the scare factor, it helps to have a poor grasp of mathematics and proportion - these are qualities libertarians possess in abundance.

Boo! Scary Ebola! Bwahahahaha! This will probably kill 60 brazilian people like, totally dead.

Austrians: Wash everything that comes to your house with a solution of bleach and water. Large-cap mags, boxes of primers, casings and other reloading supplies, issues of Soldier of Fortune, shitty Ayn Rand tripe, copies of the collected works of Murray Rothbard, cases of adult fear diapers and AR-15 night vision scopes should all be thoroughly disinfected before use. Don surgical gloves before masturbating to images of Rand Paul at Austrian social gatherings - very important!

Trust no one.

Heraclitusstudent says

Exponential has nothing to do with how contagious it is.

Let's say it doubles every century: that's still an exponential.

Really?

indigenous says

Really?

Yes.

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

1131924">HydroCabron says

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

Said the mutt

indigenous says

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

Said the mutt

Hahaha!

Year after year: "Interest rates blah blah... fractional reserve banking evil evil evil blah blah... money supply blah blah... Keynes sux LOL... "

And yet he does not understand the exponential function.

Ladies and Gentlemen: This is the face of the Austrian follower.

HydroCabron says

Hahaha!

Year after year: "Interest rates blah blah... fractional reserve banking evil evil evil blah blah... money supply blah blah... Keynes sux LOL... "

And yet he does not understand the exponential function.

Ladies and Gentlemen: This is the face of the Austrian follower.

Good boy, now sit up come on sit up, good boy, now roll over ...

indigenous says

bob2356 says

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

Ok grammar nanny how would you form that sentence?

Properly.

bob2356 says

Properly.

That would be a first...

Call it Crazy says

a blunt

Another one of the mota smokers? makes sense