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I'm amused by people who don't understand exponentials.
I'm substantially closer to reality than whatever your math is.You have no basis whatsoever to say that.
An exponential is a geometric, only worse.
WookieMan saysI don't care what some Harvard snob saysYou will not find anyone better informed to report on the subject. Period.
Not even president sniffles, das gropenfuhrer.
So 40-70% of all people will be infected by this time next year.
One person out of every 1,000 - 2,000 is likely to die from this.
Events will be canceled and schools will be closed, but the virus is likely to not be contained regardless of all that.
That’s why one of the worst aspects is that many cases the symptoms are minimal. The other worst fact is our present inability to test.
Trump's USA - proving that border controls are more effective than "I'd like to teach the world to sing, in perfect harmony"
One person out of every 1,000 - 2,000 is likely to die from this.WookieMan says
You have no basis to say 5M people are going to die from this.
I predict that by this time next year most of us will have had corona virus, and gotten over it without much fanfare.
Jazz is actually right... it can’t be contained for long. It’s too fucking contagious and people walk around without symptoms for a week before they get a cough. It will spread
Shaman saysSo 1 in 1000-2000 out of 400 million is 200,000-400,000No, that’s incorrect.
The current prognosis is 1 in 1000-2000 members of the human race.
1,000-2,000? Is this a jokeNo, it’s ONE DEAD from every 1,000 to 2,000 humans.
jazz_music saysShaman saysSo 1 in 1000-2000 out of 400 million is 200,000-400,000No, that’s incorrect.
The current prognosis is 1 in 1000-2000 members of the human race.
1,000-2,000? Is this a joke? You're talking a 100% difference within the estimate. Just admit this is pure guesswork at this point. It's been around since December at least and we're mid March practically. If it was that contagious we'd have substantially more than 80-100k people infected. Again, only infected. Mostly in China. Check out population densities. You're not acknowledging the hype and relying on Chinese data. 1M out of 1B people should be infected in China alone if this was a problem.
It's not a problem. I think some are showing their age here....
they should be old enough to remember when mad cow disease was supposed to devour a big chunk of the human race according to "epidemiologists" - one of my friends had just gotten back from the UK and ate at a McDonalds there and he was in psychological agony for months and developed neurosis and social anxieties (of course instead of MCD) and such just from those "predictions". Ah yes and Trumps election was guaranteed to crash the stock market.
mell saysthey should be old enough to remember when mad cow disease was supposed to devour a big chunk of the human race according to "epidemiologists" - one of my friends had just gotten back from the UK and ate at a McDonalds there and he was in psychological agony for months and developed neurosis and social anxieties (of course instead of MCD) and such just from those "predictions". Ah yes and Trumps election was guaranteed to crash the stock market.
Y2K!!!
Mutating like a mofo. The bioinformatics here:
https://nextstrain.org/ncov
So the joke stands. A range of 1 out of 1,000 to 2,000 is fucking hysterical. Just admit that no one knows that data. Admit this isn't a big fucking deal. Put it this way, let's say it's 10 out of 10,000 to 20,000. That's a fucking 10k variance. That's complete guessing and not statistical data. That's where we're at with this. It's complete bull shit.
Like every poll too? And the data on amount of homeless? Pretty much all "data" from the MSM.
Been on the phone today, getting lots of event cancellations. People are telling me left and right that the illness responsible for 15-30% of the common cold diagnosis in the United States is like the Fucking Andromeda Strain.
I've got travel insurance, but I need to look at the policy. Not sure overhyped viruses are covered. If I catch CV and die on the beach, hells yes. So if you don't hear from Wookie by say April 10th or so, I've likely died from CV or am being quarantined in the Caribbean in a 2 bedroom suite... the horror.
This was on the news a few days ago and the reporter said in most cases travel insurance will not cover it unless the policy was for "cancel for any reason" which i guess is twice as much.
RC2006 saysThis was on the news a few days ago and the reporter said in most cases travel insurance will not cover it unless the policy was for "cancel for any reason" which i guess is twice as much.
Yup, I've read/heard the same. Just haven't looked at the damn policy. Not in the mood to read that much, too lazy.
Although I've heard most lines cancelling Asian cruises are giving future credit because of this. Would be bad business to not at least do that. The fucking Italians are the one's that introduced CV to the Dominican/Haiti. Problem is just one cruise ship in the Caribbean gets infected the entire fucking system will get shut down. Too many old people on these boats for the cruise lines or islands to risk it.
If the cruise line cancels it you should get a refund regardless of insurance. The question is for connecting flights and separate hotels, right?
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