patrick.net

Let me guess: Joe has won?

Eric Holder says

Uh, didn't the Dems take the house in 2018's election?

"TRUMP LEADS BIDEN BY 4% POINTS IN NEW MICHIGAN STATE-WIDE POLLMEDIA DISAPPROVAL RATE AT 57%"

https://mirsnews.com/pdfs/poll_cross_tabs/1603227211.pdf

NoCoupForYou says

"TRUMP LEADS BIDEN BY 4% POINTS IN NEW MICHIGAN STATE-WIDE POLLMEDIA DISAPPROVAL RATE AT 57%"

Noooooooooooooo!

All 30 of the Media Run NC Polls had Hillary winning NC by 1-3pts.
Of the 4 Republican Pollster NC Polls in 2016, 3 had Trump winning by 2-3 pts.

We all know what actually happened.

More news from AZ: Kelly is down against McSally AND he dressed like Hitler in 1986

FL In Person Early Vote
Rs +206,372

Palm Beach is now down to a 1% gap.

Palm. Beach.

Miami-Dade, Hillsborough already flipped.

Joe will be conceding to Reagan any day now.

Blowout for the Trumpster?

NoCoupForYou says

AND he dressed like Hitler in 1986

while I want Trump to win, this is kinda lame: who cares what someone did in 1699

Florida isn't even in play. We should be pondering NV, MN, NH, VA. Yes, I said VA. Kaine isn't on the dem ticket this time, and Hillary only won by 5%. It should be a lot closer than that this time. I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting, unless nobody in VA voted for Hillary because Kaine was her VP pick. Plus Trump is going to do way better with Black voters, and VA is going possibly the only state where that is going to make a difference.

Booger says

Florida isn't even in play. We should be pondering NV, MN, NH, VA. Yes, I said VA. Kaine isn't on the dem ticket this time, and Hillary only won by 5%. It should be a lot closer than that this time. I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting, unless nobody in VA voted for Hillary because Kaine was her VP pick.

VA has a lot of voters who are on Fed Gov dole, so I don't think they will have much love for Donnie

Dbr6 says

VA has a lot of voters who are on Fed Gov dole, so I don't think they will have much love for Donnie

If Biden wins in VA, it's going to be by less than Hillary's 5% margin.

I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.

This is looking like Michael Dukakis, the 21st century version.

Think of Biden's Dementia (& lackluster "possibly corrupt" career as Senator/VP) as Dukakis's soft on crime (Willie Horton killing someone during his MA prison furlough) & infamous Tank Ride (soft on defense).

Realize, even in his home state, Dukakis got a mere 53% of the vote, losing Central MA and two counties in Cape Cod. Now, contrast that with Kerry's 62+% and Hillary's near 60%.

I suspect that most of Biden's blue state wins will be in those 0.5-4% categories and no more. So it's now a question of will there be enough 0.5+ to carry him over the line.

HeadSet says

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov

Which is the same in Maryland, but Hillary won by a 27% margin in MD vs 5% in VA.

Plus governor Blackface may have pissed off enough people.

Outside a Biden rally in PA. More Trump Protesters than Biden attendees.

www.youtube.com/embed/SkIoIsSbg1g

Today: Ohio, Wisconsin
Tomorrow: Manchester, NH
Monday: Allentown, PA - Lititz, PA - Martinsburg, PA
Tuesday: Lansing, MI - West Salem, MI - Omaha, NE

*Biden has pulled out entirely of Ohio according to Trump Interview between Rallies*

Record Turnout with strong double digit Republican Lead; Students 18-24 wayyy down from 2016 in Texas. This state is all but certain a Trump victory.

Rasmussen polls have approval from Black likely voters at 46%! It almost doubled in a few days!

I’m not trusting polls at all. I do think Trump will win handily though. But people still need to get out and vote for that to happen. There’s also a lot of local issues on the ballot. IL it’s an income tax amendment that lets the state do what they want through the legislature besides raising or lowering the current flat income tax.

It would be a shocking turn of events, but IL is going be closer than many think, or so I believe. Between the Pritzker lockdowns and now the tax hike amendment, R’s will come out strong here. It’s not worth the $ or time to poll here based on past elections.

TrumpingTits says

millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/sQ4lo6FB-s0

Onvacation says

millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/sQ4lo6FB-s0

---

LOL!

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Trump is polling with 32% to 33% of Hispanic vote. This is somewhat of an improvement in 2016 where he got about 29% of the Hispanic vote.

"Although Biden is outperforming Trump among Latinos in every swing state, surprisingly, Trump is doing better than expected in five electoral-rich swing states, including Florida (41%), Nevada (38%), Texas (35%), Georgia (35%), and North Carolina (28%). In Florida, another poll found Trump is taking 38% of Latino voters in Miami-Dade county, a key metropolitan for Biden."

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latino-support-for-trump-grows-to-john-mccains-levels-301140126.html

.

Here is a recent article that shows about 20% of black support and 35% of Hispanic support for Trump.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-losing-ground-with-white-voters-but-gaining-among-black-and-hispanic-americans/

.

.

HeadSet says

I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.

Doing some research I'm seeing that having Biden on the Presidential ticket makes a 7% difference in Delaware...
If that 7% is usual and customary (and I have nothing else to go by at the moment) then Trump should win in VA.

zzyzzx says

HeadSet says

I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.

Doing some research I'm seeing that having Biden on the Presidential ticket makes a 7% difference in Delaware...
If that 7% is usual and customary (and I have nothing else to go by at the moment) then Trump should win in VA.

That would be awesome. And I would like to see the voters knock out Luria and Warner while they are electing Trump.

Who won?

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct26

The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Democrat Joe Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) remain undecided.

Latest NY Times article has Trump at 47% and Biden at 43% in Texas. Also they state the following. This is favorable to Trump since Texas Hispanics are vastly Mexican and Central American. That tells me his policies on immigration have had a positive effect in regards to gaining support from this voting base.

"Mr. Biden has a lead of only 57 percent to 34 percent among that group, somewhat beneath most estimates of Mrs. Clinton’s support among Hispanic voters four years ago. The finding broadly tracks with national surveys, which have shown Mr. Trump improving among Hispanic voters compared with his 2016 standing. Similarly, Hispanic voters in the Times/Siena poll say they backed Mrs. Clinton by a margin of 60 percent to 29 percent."

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/26/upshot/poll-texas-hispanics-trump.html

ad says

This is favorable to Trump since Texas Hispanics are vastly Mexican and Central American. That tells me his policies on immigration have had a positive effect in regards to gaining support from this voting base.

TX Hispanics are very different from ones in the rest of country, so this may not extend to other states, at least in short term. TX Hispanics are to a large extent indigenous and are more assimilated than ones in other parts of US of A. They also work heavily in oil industry - so Biden's ideas about "cancelling oil" work wonders on them, while Clinton was keen on cancelling coal which they did not care much about.

NYT headline: "Hillary Clinton Says It’s Different This Time"

TrumpingTits says

Yeah? And millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

Just send in 2 additional ballots for Trump. That will cancel out the original vote and add one the correct column. Duh!

SunnyvaleCA says

TrumpingTits says

Yeah? And millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

I suspect the ones that submitted their votes early were motivated to vote for their candidate and would not change their mind for any suitable reason.

https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/

Trump Takes The Lead In Pennsylvania; +3 Per New Poll

ERECTION INTENSIFYING

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct26

Nationally, Trump is now leading 48% to 47%. Add five points for the sleeper Trump supporters.
It won’t be close.

Biden just put a lid on ALL Public Campaigning until Election Day. WOW.

Guess the Bidens are getting their cash transfers and Chinese visas in order. I wonder if they'll be snuck over in a shipping container.

NoCoupForYou says

Biden just put a lid on ALL Public Campaigning until Election Day. WOW.

He can't speak. His son is an embarrassment. He has no policy besides saying Trump is divisive. He's old and demented. What point is there to campaigning? Send some cash to his media friends for ads, hope the race is close and claim we're still waiting on mail in ballots because of Covid. Strategy will backfire though as I think it's going to be an absolute landslide.

I likely wouldn't have voted for any of them, but the Dems had substantially better candidates than Biden. They then pick Kamala, a CA Senator that was one of the first to drop out. WTF were they thinking? They couldn't find someone from WI, MI, OH, PA, etc? It's almost like they wanted to lose. It's weird. "Hey, let's pick a VP from a state we already have in the bag because she's black(ish) and a woman." Almost seems like they're going for the popular vote and don't care about the electoral. That didn't stick with Hillary and won't this time, though I think Trump takes both electoral and popular.

WookieMan says

the Dems had substantially better candidates than Biden. They then pick Kamala, a CA Senator that was one of the first to drop out. WTF were they thinking? They couldn't find someone from WI, MI, OH, PA, etc? It's almost like they wanted to lose. It's weird.

I was thinking that since they knew they couldn't win, may as well run candidates that can't win and save the better candidates for later when there is no incumbent running.