patrick.net

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stereotomy says

I guess now that the Uky operation is a lost cause, a new front, replete with $billions in money-laundering activities

I suspect the West will push Zelensky to accept a cease fire and let Russia control Donbas and Crimea. If not, then they'll figure out how to make Zelensky lose in the 2024 election.

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I think Israel is going to go in with force to Gaza and basically take it over, and occupy it, and dismantle the local (corrupt) government. Palestinians are going to reduced to a very low 2nd class status.

richwicks says

I think Israel is going to go in with force to Gaza and basically take it over, and occupy it, and dismantle the local (corrupt) government. Palestinians are going to reduced to a very low 2nd class status.

Easier to just fire bomb it to hell. Like we did to Dresden and Tokyo.

PedoIwog says

richwicks says

I think Israel is going to go in with force to Gaza and basically take it over, and occupy it, and dismantle the local (corrupt) government. Palestinians are going to reduced to a very low 2nd class status.

Easier to just fire bomb it to hell. Like we did to Dresden and Tokyo.

They can't just genocide them, if they did, it would be war with the Middle East. Really Egypt Jordan, Lebanon, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, etc. etc. etc don't care about the Palestinians but they won't just let a genocide happen.

My hope is that the Israelis impose an actual Liberal government, replacing the usual Palestinian Ba'athist, Socialist, or Islamist groups, that agrees to be the terminus of a pipeline and a freeport, which would make them a shit ton of money.

Then less barriers and more signatories to the Abraham Accords and bit more peace in the Middle East.

Not totally solved though because contrary to propaganda, the vast majority of the MENA fighting is Sunni vs. Shi'a, Arab vs. Persian, and Lots of Other ethnicities (Kurd, Turk, Assyrian, Druze, etc.) as well as Rivalries for regional leadership.

PedoIwog says

Easier to just fire bomb it to hell. Like we did to Dresden and Tokyo.

The bombing was a means to an end - the occupation and change of government for Germany and Japan. Not an attempt at genocide.

richwicks says

Palestinians are going to reduced to a very low 2nd class status.

No fucking way. Watch the street interview of the average Jew and what they think of Gaza. You guys are so quick to spot in genocide in Africa, but blind as fuck to it in the Middle East. Seems the Zionist propaganda is working, you're blinders are fully engaged.

NuttBoxer says

richwicks says

Palestinians are going to reduced to a very low 2nd class status.

No fucking way. Watch the street interview of the average Jew and what they think of Gaza. You guys are so quick to spot in genocide in Africa, but blind as fuck to it in the Middle East. Seems the Zionist propaganda is working, you're blinders are fully engaged.

I'm not saying I want to see this happen, I'm just predicting it.

Look, I used to care about this conflict, so I learned enough to understand it. Israel has no intention of having a 2 state solution. That's just what they claim to Americans

If Israel wanted a two state solution, they can just declare their borders and whatever is outside of those borders us "Palestine". They could have done this 4 decades ago or tomorrow. They never will

richwicks says

I think Israel is going to go in with force to Gaza and basically take it over, and occupy it, and dismantle the local (corrupt) government. Palestinians are going to reduced to a very low 2nd class status.

Put in Israeli soldiers as an occupying force. One tank every city block with at least 100 IDF soldiers every square mile. So 140 square miles of Gaza means 14,000 IDF soldiers occupying it.

Put in their puppets or stooges if there are any on the Palestinian side; perhaps pay them off enough and provide enough security from them from being assassinated by their own kind.

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richwicks says

If Israel wanted a two state solution, they can just declare their borders and whatever is outside of those borders us "Palestine". They could have done this 4 decades ago or tomorrow. They never will

The perpetual Arab slums of Gaza are walled off even more by Egypt.

The Arab world tolerates them more than Israel but would not be as tolerable if Hamas directed their hostilities at them.

Saudi Arabia is within 10 miles of Israel's southern border. Look at what they do to their own kind.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-executes-two-military-personnel-treason-spa-2023-09-14/

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Prediction: Netanyahu & Likud is political toast.

PedoIwog says

Prediction: Netanyahu & Likud is political toast.

Unless there is an "emergency" government and elections are postponed.

PedoIwog says

Prediction: Netanyahu & Likud is political toast.

In a few weeks, after the Gaza Ground Invasion.

Then there's going to be some hearings and the intel fuckups will be revealed, and that will be the end of Bibi.

AmericanKulak says

PedoIwog says

Prediction: Netanyahu & Likud is political toast.

In a few weeks, after the Gaza Ground Invasion.

Then there's going to be some hearings and the intel fuckups will be revealed, and that will be the end of Bibi.

Oh, the knife stabbings have already started.

Being reported that the reason why that area was light on IDF was because Bibi redeployed many to protect the settlements of the hard core religious members of his coalition.

PedoIwog says

Being reported that the reason why that area was light on IDF was because Bibi redeployed many to protect the settlements of the hard core religious members of his coalition.

The settlements are probably a lot more heavily armed then the kibuttz around Gaza.

That is because the settlements have religious fundamentalists who do not fuck around like the tech-and manufacturing (or secular or sectarian) kibbuttz.

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Ok, I will put out another prediction:

Truth Bombs about the crappy shape the TBTF banks are in in the US ripple across DC this weekend, and stocks crater on 10/30/23.

Methinks Gaza has some underground terrors waiting for when the Israelis attempt tunnel penetrations. Something low tech but highly effective?

HeadSet says

PedoIwog says

Prediction: Netanyahu & Likud is political toast.

Unless there is an "emergency" government and elections are postponed.

They already have the emergency coalition with the opposition. Bibi will stay until Hamas is sorted out and then he's out, just like Golda in 1974.

The parallels are too glaring and too obvious.

RWSGFY says

HeadSet says

PedoIwog says

Prediction: Netanyahu & Likud is political toast.

Unless there is an "emergency" government and elections are postponed.

They already have the emergency coalition with the opposition. Bibi will stay until Hamas is sorted out and then he's out, just like Golda in 1974.

The parallels are too glaring and too obvious.

Yep, right down to the intel failure on Yom Kippur.

PumpingRedheads says

Being reported that the reason why that area was light on IDF was because Bibi redeployed many to protect the settlements of the hard core religious members of his coalition.

I heard this as well.

Again, notice how QUIET the West Bank is. Reason: It benefits Fatah either way: Hamas is destroyed, leaving them the default Palestinian Political Force; or Hamas prevails, leaving them as the go-to Moderate Force.

Misc says

Ok, I will put out another prediction:

Truth Bombs about the crappy shape the TBTF banks are in in the US ripple across DC this weekend, and stocks crater on 10/30/23.

Close, but no cigar: they dipped, not cratered, and on 27th, not 30th:

RC2006 says

They are going to replace Biden with Newsom and take Trump off balllets.

All 50 of them? Nah, that's impossible.

Patrick says

They might also do the same as with Hunter and simply delay trial for 7 years so that the Statute of Limitations runs out.

Aaaaaand the trial is over. Guilty on all charges. Still gonna walk somehow?

PumpingRedheads says

RWSGFY says

Conservative commentator Ian Miles Cheong had this prediction for SBF:

“SBF is going to walk. Just watch.”

He will get some misdemeanors and have to serve community service or some crap like that. For appearances sake.

Guilty on all 7. Still think he gets community service or willing to amend the prediction?

Onvacation says

richwicks says

I expect Ukraine to be divided up into East and West Ukraine, West Ukraine will be deeply in debt to the IMF. I'm not even certain it will survive as a country. Crimea will remain Russian, I'm not certain to what extent Western Ukraine will be Russian - anything with resources most likely.

The area we call Ukraine has been dominated by other countries since time immemorial.
https://www.dailymotion.com/embed/video/x22bv4m

... and the country you call "Ruscia" has been dominated by Mongols for centuries. Means really bupkes for the modern nations.

RWSGFY says

RC2006 says

They are going to replace Biden with Newsom and take Trump off balllets.

All 50 of them? Nah, that's impossible.

Don't need all 50. Just a couple of battleground states. No need to truck in phony ballots to PA, MI, GA, WI, and AZ when you can remove Trump from the ballot.

On soon-to-be-fried bankman:

Misc says

Biden is going to pardon him because there is no way Biden is going to give back his campaign contributions.

https://twitter.com/shitbiscuit/status/1051154366042951680

RWSGFY says

Retired USN captain, defence analyst and historian Jerry Hendrix preficts Chyna getting froggy next summer if Sleepy Joe keeps sleeping at the wheel:

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=u7HTzZWbFzs

Another prediction from our favorite false prophet and a stupid cunt made exactly one year ago:



https://twitter.com/ChristineJameis/status/1597667917700640768

https://tobyrogers.substack.com/p/thinking-points-december-6-2023

Covid was an American Chernobyl

I believe that the U.S. is going to collapse just like the USSR did. The similarities between the late 1980s USSR and present day USA are uncanny — the endless lies, the corruption, the hollowing out of institutions, the censorship, and the decrepit leadership that is despised by the public.

So what will that look like going forward?

A century of decline (there is a lot more wealth to extract from the USA than there was from the USSR so the collapse will take longer).

Every city starts to look like the version of Los Angeles depicted in Blade Runner (or Elysium if you prefer) with dysfunction and chronic illness everywhere.

With high unemployment, Universal Basic Income becomes the only way for millions to survive. But UBI will be tied to following the vaccine schedule, SSRI schedule, and birth control schedule so the poor will die anyway.

The mafioso oligarchs gain even more power and dictate all aspects of our daily life but run a constant propaganda campaign to emphasize their benevolence (“Am I not merciful!?”).

Culture becomes even more grotesque with some variation of Squid Game on every channel.

Pharma uses AI to identify future leaders and arranges for their demise before they reach adulthood (Operation Herod).

Pharma openly assassinates political leaders who question their power and blames it, via their control of the media, on a lone gunman (Operation Oswald).

Florida and Texas will eventually get tired of losing elections, so they will withdraw to form their own Republics. The rest of the U.S. will be too sick and tired to bother with a response.

China will take Taiwan and become the new global hegemon.

That’s the present course that society is on. Unless the resistance rises up now and takes power back from the monsters.

PeopleUnited says

The war in Israel could indicate that God will only allow them 10 more years to repent before he returns to set up the new millennial kingdom here on earth.

Patrick says

Culture becomes even more grotesque with some variation of Squid Game on every channel

So we are getting the groin injury TV channel as per Idiocracy?

Bd6r says

I PREDICT THAT AFTER RUSSIAN WITHDRAWAL FROM KHERSON, PATNET PUTINOPHILES WILL CONTINUE BENDING TOGETHER WITH PARTY LINE AND REITERATE WHATEVER WILL BE THE OFFICIAL RUSSIAN EXPLANATION FOR WITHDRAWAL, WHICH MAY BE ONE OR MORE OF THE FOLLOWING:

A. ORDERLY WITHDRAWAL FOR [INSERT REASON HERE]
B. A GESTURE OF GOOD WILL TO [SAVE CIVILIAN LIVES OR SOMETHING ELSE]
C. NEED TO CONCENTRATE ON LIBERATION OF LUGANSK AND DONECK REGIONS
D. ANOTHER CREATIVE REASON

Nailed it.

Eric Holder says

https://patrick.net/post/1346294/2022-06-20-the-terrible-consequences-of-the?start=80#comment-1876974

False: Europe did not commit "suicide by sanctions" and nobody "froze to death" last winter. Is Ron Paul a ... gasp! ... false prophet and a stupid cunt?

PS. Revisiting the starting pages of this thread is tons of fun.

GreaterNYCDude says

How's this for bold (or stupid, take your pick)?

Kamal Harris will be remvoed as VP. Hillary will be appointed the new VP by Biden. Biden will then step down. All before the Ides of March 2023.

(Taking a page from the Nixon playbook)

Hillary will then run (and win) in 2024 AND be eligible to run again in 2028.

Didn't happen.