patrick.net

NuttBoxer says

Tactical nuclear is not the Hiroshima bomb. And US better hope none of their proxy war opponents pull these out. We are way behind Russia and China in this area.

We don't really need them. We have MOAB which Trump used and no nuke fallout or international reaction. Nuke will kill civilians no matter what and war crimes ensue. We're also a huge land mass, but basically an island to most the world really. You'd have to lob ICBM's at us. Good luck with that. We have subs in every hot spot in the world and could retaliate once we knew where they came from.

Our government is corrupt, but they do get the MIC right. We occupied a country for 20 years and lost fewer soldiers than Chicagoans shooting and killing each other. Across the planet. Love or hate war mongering, we have far superior means to destroy people. Which is generally the only thing the federal government should be doing, well infrastructure, but that's about it.

Eric Holder says

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

I predict that this thread is a trap, and Eric Holder will mock you later and damage
your credibility when your predictions don't turn out to be 100% true.

apex says

Eric Holder says

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

I predict that this thread is a trap, and Eric Holder will mock you later and damage
your credibility when your predictions don't turn out to be 100% true.

WookieMan says

Our government is corrupt, but they do get the MIC right.

West has been selling military secrets and tech since the 50's. We would get destroyed. This would make more sense if you knew the history of the Rothschild's.

NuttBoxer says

WookieMan says

Our government is corrupt, but they do get the MIC right.

West has been selling military secrets and tech since the 50's. We would get destroyed. This would make more sense if you knew the history of the Rothschild's.

West might be selling but it doesn't look like Ruscia was buying much of its tech and secrets (beyond stuff like ready-made French NV and German diesels). Why didn't they buy any good secrets? Why Uragan is such a primitive shit compared to HIMARS?

I predict Western Florida will be hit by a large hurricane today.

RWSGFY says

West might be selling but it doesn't look like Ruscia was buying much of its tech and secrets (beyond stuff like ready-made French NV and German diesels). Why didn't they buy any good secrets? Why Uragan is such a primitive shit compared to HIMARS?

If that's true, why hide behind Ukraine like a bitch, using Ukrainians for cannon fodder? Why not just roll in and fuck Russia up like we've been doing in the Middle East for 20+ years?

NuttBoxer says

RWSGFY says

West might be selling but it doesn't look like Ruscia was buying much of its tech and secrets (beyond stuff like ready-made French NV and German diesels). Why didn't they buy any good secrets? Why Uragan is such a primitive shit compared to HIMARS?

If that's true

There is no if. It's true.

clambo says

Today Ukraine arguably has better (Western) missile and artillery technology than Russia, and its army is motivated while Russia's is forced to be there (conscript=not volunteer).

Ukraine has a conscription army as well.

Russia has committed less than 15% of its force to the conflict. They don't have to do anything other than retain lines, and really, they don't even have to do that. Time is on their side. Ukraine has 2.5 military people for every 1 Russia commits to this conflict.

Remember this isn't really a war between Ukraine and Russia, it's a war between NATO and Russia. Europe doesn't have the infrastructure to abandon Russian energy, and even if they did, the US cannot supply them. Europe is fucked and it was stupid traitorous leaders that fucked Europe.

The aim was obviously to use the Ukrainians to weaken Russia - and that might happen, but at the expense of destroying Europe. It's said that Henry Kissinger once remarked “It may be dangerous to be America’s enemy, but to be America’s friend is fatal”. Europe is about to find out.

There is no morality in war, there are no good guys, or bad guys, there's just devastation.

RWSGFY says

ZipperTits says

richwicks says

Ukraine will ultimately lose the conflict.

Criteria, please. Because I can see mental gymnastics like "sure, they restored their borders, but they still lost because I say so".

Ukraine will eventually settle on an unconditional surrender.

It will not become part of the EU, it will expel NATO, the biological weapons labs will be removed, Russian majority cities will become part of Russia and no longer Ukraine, Crimea will be unquestionably part of Russia.

Ukraine MAY become a landlocked nation, Ukraine will likely have a Russian puppet as their "leader", they may be forced to drop all ties with the West.

I expect it to be absolutely devastating for Ukraine, and painful for Russia as well.

I also think it's possible that Russia will quit exporting energy to Europe entirely.

I'm not happy about this, I just predict it. I think this war could have, and should have, been easily avoided. I blame a Jewish mafia for starting this stupidity, and the fucking CIA. Everybody that dies in this conflict will have died in vain, but Russian and Ukrainian. I expect Ukrainian Jews to be hated by non Jewish Ukrainians in the end.

I further predict that resentment toward the United States will raise greatly in Europe after friends and family members die this coming winter. The US, in the end, may have greatly reduced influence and reach although Europe will be dependent on US energy and Middle Eastern energy (controlled by the United States) far more.

Karloff says

richwicks says

It will become generally accepted by 2204 that the vaccines were neither safe nor effective.

I'm guessing you meant 2024. Or are you really that pessimistic about humanity?

You got me, I corrected it before I noticed your reply hoping people wouldn't notice it.

I don't know if by 2204 if the people living them will know any of our true history. I'm kind of working on that as a project. How can I absolutely preserve history?

We live in an incredible time, an insanely remarkable time. We live in a time where our lives and actions can be recorded, entirely accurately, and PROVIDED this data can be preserved, can be observed 2000 years from now. We have the technology now. Imagine being able to see what the Roman civilization was actually like in 0 AD, that's humanity in 4000 AD. It's possible today, and there are ways to have WORMS (Write Once Read Many) that will not just last 1000 years, but millions of years.

Storage density in crystals is so dense, you may have a hard disk in 2030 where you NEVER delete anything from it, you just keep adding data and you just invalidate old data - you'd mark it as "deleted" but the data would be retained.

I was just doing some simple math, 1GB/hour is 1080p video quality (high quality). On a 10 TB hard disk (around $200 now), that's 10,000/1GB/hr = 10,000 hours of video. If you watched video 8 hours a day, 5 days a week, that's 5 years of video. $200. I've probably not consumed that much video in my lifetime, and I'm 51. Hard disks have a limited lifespan, but this LAB crystal storage method, it's like 500 TB or 500,000 GB, or 57 years of video, at 1080p 1 GB/hr 24 hours a day 7 days a week, and the storage basically lasts forever.

We're getting to the point where there's no point in deleting data. Is this a fucked up time or what?

We are getting into weird WEIRD times. An entire life, every interaction, everything a person sees and hears over their entire lifetime, can be permanently preserved. Don't know what the cost of the technology is right now, but it will be below a current hard disk in time. People can't wrap their head around how nuts this is.

Every TV show, every radio show, every song, every phone call, every book you've read, every conversation you had, and NOW be stored on an affordable hard disk. Didn't think this would happen in my lifetime, but we're here now.

We are moving from storage density, to longevity. We may be able to permanently record our history, and make it independent of any authority. There's negatives too, we can be recorded entirely too by the government, but if we can preserve SOME freedom, we can record the government just as easily.

richwicks says

RWSGFY says

ZipperTits says

richwicks says

Ukraine will ultimately lose the conflict.

Criteria, please. Because I can see mental gymnastics like "sure, they restored their borders, but they still lost because I say so".

Ukraine will eventually settle on an unconditional surrender.

It will not become part of the EU, it will expel NATO, the biological weapons labs will be removed, Russian majority cities will become part of Russia and no longer Ukraine, Crimea will be unquestionably part of Russia.

Ukraine MAY become a landlocked nation, Ukraine will likely have a Russian puppet as their "leader", they may be forced to drop all ties with the West.

(Quoting so it doesn't get edited later)

Care to specify a timeline? Will it happen some time this year, this decade, this century?

cisTits says

Eric Holder says

Care to specify a timeline? Will it happen some time this year, this decade, this century?

Can we settle for "when the war is over"? I mean, I would be impressed if he gave dates and they proved out. But not going to ask.

That's too vague. Besides, what war? Its a Schepeshal Military Opereyshun (SCHMO), remember? With stated goals changed at least 23.5 times already...

cisTits says

Ukraine is at the end of its ropes as far as men is concerned.

Eh? They have 8 mil mobilisation potential. Some ropes, LOL.

cisTits says

submarines that aren't germane at all

This is like... your opinion... man.

But yeah, since the subject of pigs has been brought up the submarines do look less relevant.

cisTits says

Eric Holder says

This is like... your opinion... man.

No. It is fact. Just because you didn't read the article you wrote that response back to doesn't magically change reality.

You were lazy, got caught but acted like the WH spokes bitch saying "No, Biden didn't say/do that..."

What is the fact? I don't need no stinking articles to know that the idea of diving 70 meters with a pack of explosives and setting the whole thing up (times 6) w/o a surface support vessel which is bound to be detected and traced back is fucking looney tunes. It's either submarines or pigs, period.

PS. Argue on the merits, don't pull the whiny richwicks-style tangents filled "you... you... you". It's boring.

cisTits says

Eric Holder says

Care to specify a timeline? Will it happen some time this year, this decade, this century?

Can we settle for "when the war is over"? I mean, I would be impressed if he gave dates and they proved out. But not going to ask.

I expect the Ukraine Russian war to go on for multiple years. BOTH Nordstream pipelines were destroyed I'm hearing, but the Nordstream II wasn't active. The US wants to make Europe dependent on the United States, and perhaps destroy it, so they will keep this war going for as long as possible.

The US is run by total fucking madmen and people at this point are outright stupid to trust the US government. They are no longer "naive" or "mistaken", they are stupid. How many "mistakes" do these assholes have to make before people realize none of these are mistakes? They always want to be seen as incompetent instead of criminal, but they are criminal.

I hear the most stupid thing I'v heard in a while today. Condoleezza Rice said that "Russia would run out of cash before the Europeans run out of energy". Europe is going to be fucking burning money at some point just to stay warm.


original link


That's at 7:40.

I cannot believe that ANYBODY is so stupid as to think you're better off with "cash" than with the stuff you buy with cash. I can't believe anybody is really that stupid. Russia doesn't need cash for anything. There is literally NOTHING Russia needs to buy from Europe or the United States - NOTHING at all.

https://patrick.net/comment?comment_id=1883145

cisTits says

Eric Holder says

I don't need no stinking articles to know that the idea of diving 70 meters with a pack of explosives and setting the whole thing up (times 6) w/o a surface support vessel which is bound to be detected and traced back is fucking looney tune

Such dives and underwater work is well within the abilities of your typical commercial company that does this sort of thing.

Just because you can't accept that reality or acknowledge you didn't know that doesn't excuse your intellectually retarded bullshit. I am sorry. But that is the truth.

And so that also means you don't get to BS about 'merits' when you are being deliberately disingenuous.

Explain how your "typical commercial diving company" would avoid their support vessel being detected by various means of surveillance and traced back, my dear unretarded friend. The dive itself is piece of cake on tri-mix, doing it w/o very traceable dive boat is the trick.

cisTits says

RWSGFY says

Explain how your "typical commercial diving company" would avoid their support vessel being detected by various means of surveillance and traced back

Simple. They go over the area in the ship, let them dive over board. Keep on a going. Then come back.

Also, you seem to think that spot is under 24/7 survelliance. It wasn't. The gas leak wasn't detected until Danish fighter jets flew over it, for example.

It was not detected because nobody was looking for it. The data being collected is not automatically going in front of human eyeballs 100% of the time. But when they go into all the data looking for something they would find the weird vessel maneuvers over the spot of interest.

@RWSFGY

perhaps the most productive collection of predictions would be from early days of Russian attack on Ukraine. I believe most of PDS crowd made brilliantly flawed predictions, which makes me think that their current predictions will be wrong as well.

richwicks says

Ukraine will likely have a Russian puppet as their "leader"

Well, they already did, then the US replaced him with their own puppet who funneled lots of money to the Biden crime family.

It's never over.

Eric Holder says

What is the fact? I don't need no stinking articles to know that the idea of diving 70 meters with a pack of explosives and setting the whole thing up (times 6) w/o a surface support vessel which is bound to be detected and traced back is fucking looney tunes. It's either submarines or pigs, period.

How hard is it to make a robot that follows a metal pipeline and then explodes after travelling some pre-programmed distance?

This operation could have started on land. There's no need for a support vessel, or having divers do this. The only location I can get for where the rupture is Bornholm, which is about 50 miles from where the pipeline hits land at Lubmin. That's kind of a brute force way of doing it, it's easy enough to use a robot sub to find the point and then dive and find the pipe, and kaboom.

There's really no reason to involve people in these sort of operations in setting up the explosions. This isn't 1950. I would bet this could have been done remotely, quite easily, in 2000.

PREDICTION: PUTIN FACES 'IRREVERSIBLE’ DEFEAT: Russia’s retreat from a key logistics hub in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region in the face of advancing Ukrainian forces is not only another embarrassing defeat for Russian President Vladimir Putin but may also mark a fundamental shift in momentum in favor of Ukraine, say former U.S. commanders.

“No amount of shambolic mobilization, which is the only way to describe it, no amount of annexation, no amount of even veiled nuclear threats can actually get [Putin] out of this particular situation,” said retired Army Gen. David Petraeus on ABC on Sunday. “He is losing, and the battlefield reality he faces is, I think, irreversible.”

“The reality facing Russia now is that Ukraine, a country a third the size of Russia, has a bigger, much more effective army on the ground, and other assets as well,” said Petraeus. “He's already lost a really critical element in that, a critical city that would have been a very key supply hub had they been able to go farther. And that's just going to continue. He's going to continue to lose on the battlefield. And at some point, there's going to have to be recognition of that.”

The liberation rail hub of Lyman (pron: lee-MON) came as Russian forces melted away without a fight, taking up what the Russian Defense Ministry called “more advantageous positions.”

“This is a tremendous victory for the Ukrainians. And it's a victory that I think that they could turn into a cascading series of defeats of Russian forces,” said retired Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster on CBS. “What we might be at here is really at the precipice of really the collapse of the Russian army in Ukraine, a moral collapse.”

“They must really be at a breaking point, if you look at just the numbers of casualties, the vast area that they're trying to defend,” said McMaster, former President Donald Trump’s first national security adviser. “I think it's very important also to understand that these forces that are in full retreat now out of Lyman were really the first round of mobilization. … Those forces were hastily trained, thrown into that front, and these are the forces that are collapsing right now.”

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense-national-security/russian-army-on-precipice-of-collapse-say-us-generals-as-russian-retreat-from-lyman-marks-tipping-point-in-seven-month-war-in-ukraine

cisTits says

OMG total NeoCon propaganda.

Esp coming from Prataeus and WashEx.

Good thing it's registered in the predictions thread.

cisTits says

Established facts are not predictions.

Spoilsport.

cisTits says

Established facts are not predictions.

Let's not get ahead of ourselves: "PUTIN FACES 'IRREVERSIBLE’ DEFEAT" is not an established fact yet and is labeled as a prediction.

I understand the appeal of the underdog. I'm usually siding for them. But you guys have to know, whether you'll ever admit it or not, that thinking Ukraine can ever possibly defend itself against Russia is ludicrous right? Russia is a world power. Ukraine is a laundry mat, on it's way to a failed state that's sold all it's assets to foreign interests, a la Venezuela, Mexico, etc.

US advisors don't change that any more than they did in SE Asia. The only reason this isn't over is Ukraine may still have some assets that need to be positioned for sale, and NWO is desperately trying to third world US by offloading what's left of our wealth through Ukraine.

It's not a prediction, but my hope is this war ends as soon as possible, and the causalities end.

This is a hopeless war, it's like beating up a 10 year old kid. The sooner this ends, the better.

Russia will take control of Russian speaking areas, and Ukraine will be under their thumb again. Russia hasn't even deployed serious forces yet, nor used their best weaponry. This stupidity will just kill people at best, and at worst, will lead to World War III. Zelenskyy is nothing more than a quizzling. I hope the traitor is executed for what he's done. I hope he doesn't escape.

NuttBoxer says

Russia is a world power.

Was. It's not a peer for the US in anything except maybe nuclear capabilities and it's pretty damn clear but they still demand ridiculous concessions based on their former "glory". This is not how it works. If your army is that shitty, your navy is a fucking joke and your air force can't get air superiority over an adversary with a hodgepodge of old Soviet SAMs and some Western MANPADs after 7 months it's a sign that maybe, just maybe, you should stick to your borders and not go on grand imperial adventures to expand your (already biggest in the world) territory.

If you’re going to start a nuclear war, you’re wrong and nothing else matters. I feel like the Millennials never got the world crushing horror we Xers endured with our morning bowl of Wheaties in the what seemed inevitable end of the world with a nuclear exchange between the USA and Russia. So many books and movies written about what would or could happen. They all agreed on this point: that very few would survive and most of them would die over the next few years.

Shaman says

If you’re going to start a nuclear war, you’re wrong and nothing else matters.

Exactly. Ruscia is 100% wrong here. They should take their L and go home, just like US did in Vietnam. Throwing a temper tantrum and threatening everybody with nukes over failed attempt to expand their empire is the sign of complete delusion and mental weakness.

richwicks says

How hard is it to make a robot that follows a metal pipeline and then explodes after travelling some pre-programmed distance?

Some argument for an air launched attack:
https://www.monkeywerxus.com/blog/the-nord-stream-2-pipeline-sabotage

I grew up with fear of nuclear war. It was constant during the early 60's.
There were signs on buildings indicating nuclear shelter; we took drills in school and hid under our desks.
The Twilight Zone which we all loved had numerous episodes on nuclear war. Let me try to recall them.
1. After nuclear holocaust, the survivors in a town listened to an "oracle" in a cave to keep them alive. Some Mad Max guys rode into town and said "let's eat the canned food!" The oracle said not to and they all died; the oracle was a computer in the cave.
2. After the holocaust, Charles Bronson meets the enemy Elizabeth Montgomery. They first consider fighting then decide to become "Adam and Eve".
3. A guy has a fallout shelter in his basement; there is a report of nuclear attack and his neighbors all want to get in. Fighting ensues, and it's later just a false alarm.
4. Burgess Meredith loves to read during his lunch break; he goes inside the quiet bank vault with the huge door. The world is destroyed and he emerges but drops his glasses and breaks them, so he'll be unable to read in peace.
5. A group of people working on a rocket hear that nuclear war is imminent. They decide to escape with it and head to the "third planet from the sun", a twist ending since you assume they're on Earth.
6. A man who has a deep bunker to escape nuclear war (Dr. No actor) brings some people down and tells them they're all safe. He has a TV monitor of the situation above. They don't want to stay down with him and he goes up to "destroyed" earth which is actually not destroyed but he is delusional.
I may have left out an episode but those come to mind.
Putin launching nukes on Ukraine will have taken the final desperate step to his own final demise; the West and NATO will unleash a gigantic response. They won't have any choice.
I'm depressed lately; I grew up with assholes running a lot of the world; Mao, Castro, Johnson, Brezhnev, Ho, and others.
I had hopes of things improving but we still have some assholes like Putin, Xi, Biden, Fauci, Powell, etc. having power over people.
My younger friend at the gym asks me why I'm grumpy; I tell him "because everything sucks!"

RWSGFY says

Shaman says

If you’re going to start a nuclear war, you’re wrong and nothing else matters.

Exactly. Ruscia is 100% wrong here. They should take their L and go home, just like US did in Vietnam. Throwing a temper tantrum and threatening everybody with nukes over failed attempt to expand their empire is the sign of complete delusion and mental weakness.

Really? So if a neighboring state decides that a whole bunch of people who would rather be a part of your country than theirs should die in a purge, you should respect that state’s boundaries and not interfere with the planned genocide?

Because that’s the exact situation Russia was presented with. The Ukraine Nazi brigades surrounded the Donbas region and began shelling. They intended to wipe out ethnic Russian population or drive them over the border to never come back.

Putin said no and launched his war.

How many times has America gone to war to “save” a country of people from their dictator or another country which threatened it?
Can we even count that high?

If you’re going to be a war hawk, try to have some consistency, or we will have to assume you’re a mindless shill for the globalists.

Shaman says

try to have some consistency,

So Putin supports the legitimacy of Kosovo as an independent state?

https://patrick.net/post/1347658/2022-10-04-germans-to-dieoff-as-soon-as-this-winter

Shaman says

... if a neighboring state decides that a whole bunch of people who would rather be a part of your country than theirs should die in a purge,

What exact RL event are you referring to here? Or is it a pure hypothetical? Then yawn.

Don't know the guy's bona fides but here's a prediction in the form of "cock and balls plan":



https://mobile.twitter.com/ThreshedThought/status/1577033853180387328