patrick.net

jykiodfgr says

... but Ruscia still gets less money:

Bloomberg News
September 13, 2022, 6:16 AM PDT
Russia’s energy revenues shrank in August to the lowest in more than a year as Western sanctions over Ukraine prompted the Kremlin to sell discounted oil and squeeze gas flows to Europe.

The refusal to buy Russian oil by some traditional customers in Europe means Moscow has been forced to sell oil at a steep discount in Asian markets, depriving it of the full benefit of higher prices. While August saw record-high spot gas prices in Europe, gas levies, which take up a smaller share in the budget, couldn’t fully offset lower oil revenues. State-run Gazprom PJSC has significantly cut gas exports to Europe this summer, blaming sanctions for capped flows.

Russia’s oil and gas revenues, which account for more than a third of nation’s budget, fell to 671.9 billion rubles ($11.1 billion) last month, the lowest since June 2021, according to Finance Ministry’s data published Monday. That’s a drop of almost 13% from July. It’s also a 3.4% decline from a year ago, even though Urals crude prices rose almost 10%.

https://patrick.net/post/1343978/2022-03-05-sanctions-impact-in-russia?start=237#comment-1877188

That's "Russki business" in a nutshell, folks!

Shall we treat this as a prediction that Europeans are going to be extinct? Can we put a solid timeframe on this one, @jykiodfgr ?

Doesn't Matter.

The area will become The Islamic Republic of Europe soon enough if we're lucky.

European Caliphate if we're not.

jykiodfgr says

Sounds like they are desperate and not winning the way they thought they could, no? Seems like their military might was over exaggerated. So now they put out veiled threats like this. They have nukes, but at what speed and stealth could they be deployed? And will they work?

I don't care the take on Iraq and how it started, but we went in and managed to take the country rather quickly from across an Ocean across the earth. And sure there were pockets we didn't control and contain. Ukraine is right next door and they cannot get it done. I don't know, I don't think conventional warfare works anymore. Everything seems so established and you really cannot use a nuke.

It's like going to a car dealership in your used car and smashing into the new one you've just paid full price for. I don't have a pony in this race, but this whole conflict doesn't make sense to me at all. Ukraine is fucked, but Russia looks like the loser so far as warfare goes. You can't whine about the West sending weapons in and stalling what should have been a cakewalk. Gotta look in the mirror and realize you're not as powerful as you think.

ZipperTits says

Euro is taking hits, too.

If Russia stops selling/pumping to Europe. Both go broke. Russia will lose, Europe will get punched in the face. Neither side really has leverage over a senseless war. Have they not learned from the US or their own Afghan war?

I think we're far too advanced at this point for countries to give up territorial boundaries. Russia could have just thrown some cash at what they wanted. They don't have it since it's probably in the hands of like 10 Oligarchs. It's obvious Russia is insecure. Ukraine should have been easy pickings. I don't care about inflow of Western weapons. Russia is weak and outdated and probably drunk on vodka. And yes, Ukraine will get smashed, but it's absolutely embarrassing for Russia.

WookieMan says

If Russia stops selling/pumping to Europe. Both go broke.

Haha, well, we're about to find out if that statement is true.

Because Russia has shutdown the Nordstream. They are going to do it.

I don't get it, do you think Russia needs "money"? For what? So they can wipe their asses with it, when our unaudited Federal Reserve pulls it out of their ass at will? The whole thing is a fucking scam, and I really don't know why Russia and China play along so much, maybe it's just because they're afraid of nuclear weapons, maybe their part of the scam now, but it's a scam.

Nobody needs US "dollars". They are an asset that can be created in unlimited quantities, and ARE created in unlimited quantities.

The question is, what does Europe produce Russia even WANTS, much less needs? If nothing, they shouldn't be trading their valuable resources for it. Just let Europe freeze to death, and it's Lebensraum for the Russian citizens, or maybe the Chinese.

People keep fixating on "money", what the fuck is money, other than a bunch of counterfeit bullshit that's created at will, at no cost.

It's ironic, ethnic Europeans continue bickering about Euro-Centric issues, this time Gas Prices, while the wave of immigrants from Middle East keep making baby Europeans.

Bit by bit, household by household.

Before we know it, Islamic Republics over there.

jykiodfgr says

All Russia needs is Aliexpress. While Europe needs the energy of the Gods in order to survive.

It's easy to see what will happen next.

They’ll buy gas from China and India who got it from Russia. They’ll just pay four times more for it, enriching all three countries.
Brilliant!
/scoff

What happens next is a depression. Inflation will level off once that sets in, but nobody will rejoice. It’s inevitable at this point.

Make note: I wasn’t a perma bear. I have made statements of faith in the good economy until just now. Now it’s all slipping sideways. It wasn’t an accident. This was planned. I honestly am not sure what could have turned inflation around other than another depression. If I see it, our dear leaders have as well. They’re just not going to admit that their policies are just them steering for the ditch so we don’t go off a fiscal cliff.

Shaman says

They’re just not going to admit that their policies are just them steering for the ditch so we don’t go off a fiscal cliff.

Haha, the only thing our leaders do is steer the population into a ditch.

We've been in 2 decades of endless war, the "war on terror". How has this helped the United States - IGNORE any morality in it, how has our nation been advantaged by this?

They've been purposely destroying this nation for decades. Wars are fought for many reasons, I think one of them, was to impoverish the United States. They've been fighting a war against US citizens for decades. Being against war isn't just being a bleeding heart liberal screaming that "killing people is bad", although it is, there's long term economic consequences for the nation that engages in it. Severe ones.

The problem with the United States, in my estimation, isn't just that morality has been abandoned, economic principles have been as well. Our nation has murdered something like 9 million people (take that with a grain of salt!) in the last 20 years - for what? How is our nation, or you, better off for this? 7 nations bombed, and if you're a typical person, you can't name those 7 nations, much less the expenditure - and none of these nations attacked the United States.

Traitors run the US now, they were running it for at least 20 years, probably at least 30 - maybe far longer. All of our wars, betrayed this nation both morally and financially. Enjoy the bed that was made for you, that you couldn't be bothered to pay attention to being made. People have been warning about this outcome for 2 decades, while being called traitor, Putin Puppet, coward, communist, whatever. Here's your bed your government built. Our criminal government built. See the enemy now? It's not me, it's in DC.

Europeans will be replaced by Muslims rather quickly when the clot shot kicks in on a wide scale and the Muslims avoided it.

https://healthimpactnews.com/2022/smoking-gun-alleged-rand-corporation-leaked-document-written-before-ukraine-war-shows-u-s-planned-the-european-energy-crisis-and-economic-collapse-to-save-the-u-s-economy/

Supposed leaked document US set the whole conflict up with Europe and Russia to hurt Europe and especially Germany.

ZipperTits says

This is either Russian agiprop or domestic Swedish anti-NATO agiprop. Or both.

Haha, even if it is, the shoe fits doesn't it?

I don't have any FUCKING idea why Europe is allied with the United States. Europe's immigration problem is a direct result of US wars. None of the US wars have benefited Europe. I can't see how it's even conceivable that all the stupid shit that the US has done hasn't been designed to hurt Europe, and the United States.

No matter how much the US fuck's up, no matter how horrible the outcome, people just keep being promoted. Nobody gets fired for fucking up in the United States, they get promoted. The warden at the prison that Jeffrey Epstein "killed" himself at got promoted.

I wouldn't be surprised to see legitimate revolutions in Eastern Europe this winter.

EU is not a sovereign union. They are vassals of the US.

tomtomtom says

EU is not a sovereign union. They are vassals of the US.

Difficult to say who controls who. I suspect there's a power above both. US leaders don't act in US interests either.

Some people scream "The Jews", but I think that's a distraction as well. I don't see foreign policy actually being beneficial to Israeli citizens or the nation. If Israel acted on the behalf of their citizens, they'd be working for peace accords, and affirming peace through power. They would demand terms and conditions and forcibly hold to them, and fuck what the Palestinians want or the surrounding countries claim to desire.

richwicks says

If Israel acted on the behalf of their citizens, they'd be working for peace accords, and affirming peace through power.

And Israel would not have forced the vaxx on its citizens.

Might be a helluva lot more toasted if this analysis turns true: https://electroverse.co/carrington-like-coronal-mass-ejection-cme-to-strike-earth-on-friday-september-23/

If fastest CME will hit Earth in 15 hours or at 20 UTC. Would only give Cali folks until 1pm, Friday, to buy all the water and whiskey they can and back to hunkering down. Here at Cocoa Beach, 4 pm. All of USA wil be hit.

Average CME speeds will put it on Earth in 7 days, slwest CME rates.......18 days.

jykiodfgr says

300 million Europeans will die shortly.

They do own coats and blankets.

ZipperTits says

The warden at the prison that Jeffrey Epstein "killed" himself at got promoted.

He didn't fuck up. He did his job.

Just like Alec Baldwin ''did his job'. Walked away indemnified and exonerated, as planned aforethought by his Masonic connections. No mention even of negligence, or even hitting the other guy who survived.

jykiodfgr says

Nothing can save them at this point.

@jykiodfgr - link to this information? Anybody can make a graphic.

I suspect you're a glowie.

jykiodfgr says

LOL

It would be nice for some nation to make agreements with Africa, rather than just exploiting the shit out of them.

I doubt this doesn't have strings attached.

I've talked to Africans, they tell me China builds infrastructure but places the nation into debt, and the infrastructure is crap and falls apart so the nation ends up with a bunch of rubble, and a bunch of debt.

Is this fertilizer dead Ukrainians perchance?

Ceffer says

Is this fertilizer dead Ukrainians perchance?

Nah, takes too long for an alcohol laden corpse to decay.

richwicks says

jykiodfgr says

LOL

It would be nice for some nation to make agreements with Africa, rather than just exploiting the shit out of them.

I doubt this doesn't have strings attached.

I've talked to Africans, they tell me China builds infrastructure but places the nation into debt, and the infrastructure is crap and falls apart so the nation ends up with a bunch of rubble, and a bunch of debt.

Maybe China read the book...

jykiodfgr says

LOL

This is good: the USSR went down the tubes doing exactly this - giving out free shit all over Africa, Asia and LA.

Doing the same shit over and over and expecting different outcome is the definition of insanity.

Suck on this, Blyadimir!

DW:

German gas storage 90% full ahead of winter despite Russian cuts

German Economy Minister Robert Habeck said Germany has a chance of getting through the winter "comfortably" despite the lack of Russian gas. Germany is on track to meet a 95% storage capacity target by November.

Gas storage facilities in Germany are more than 90% full, according to data released by the Aggregated Gas Storage Inventory (AGSI), a European energy data platform.

The German government has planned for 95% of storage capacity to be filled by November. The storage is seen as essential for Germany to get through winter without Russian gas imports.

"If everything goes well, savings in Germany are high and if we have a bit of luck with the weather, we will have a chance at getting through the winter comfortably," Economy Minister Robert Habeck said on Monday.
...
Germany also receives natural gas via pipelines from Norway, the Netherlands and Belgium. Over the weekend, Germany expects to sign contracts for the delivery of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the United Arab Emirates.

France's energy regulator CRE said natural gas exports to Germany could start in October. Construction on one of Germany's new LNG terminals is also set to begin this week.

jykiodfgr says

If they get the coldest winter in history 100s of millions of Europeans are literally going to die.

Not so sure about that. A heat wave can kill Europeans (like the 10,000 French who died during the heat wave awhile back), but Europeans are acclimated to cold. I doubt we will see Germans freezing to death.

Which country introduced the first mass vaccinations against covid?
What is the vaccination% in Russia, which apparently is not going down the tubes, unlike rest of Europe, and which is conveniently omitted from the Table below?
jykiodfgr says

HeadSet says

They do own coats and blankets.

Nothing can save them at this point.

jykiodfgr says

This isn't even fucking that cold. This sarcasm? 48ºF? For real? Mountainous regions might be fucked, but it doesn't get that cold in most of Europe outside of an extreme event. Climate wise it's generally like TN. There's not going to be some mass casualty event. They'll just pay more for gas. They made their own bed.

This winter just giggle at the hypocrisy as the Green Europeans have pollution advisories from all the wood smoke. People will be amazed at how many fireplaces and wood burning stoves the Europeans have.

Misc says

This winter just giggle at the hypocrisy as the Green Europeans have pollution advisories from all the wood smoke. People will be amazed at how many fireplaces and wood burning stoves the Europeans have.

It's pretty obvious by now that all the Green Cunts were firmly on the Ruscist payroll for many decades.

PS. You are not going to cry "wood smoke baaaaad!" now, would you?

Since most of the upper echelons of the Euroweenie governments are super pro-green energy, and beat everyone with the climate change denier label if they talk rationally about energy as well as most of the American elites ---- Then you'd have to say that all these idiots were on the Russian payroll.

What happens to Russia when Europe gets through this winter?

It will certainly be a rough and expensive winter for Europe, but they will get through it without massive death - and Russia will be stuck having purposefully lost their richest customers for decades to come.

Russia can only use energy as a weapon once. Europe is busy building floating LNG facilities to take US natural gas, they are keeping nuke plants operating and firing up old coal power plants to make up for the loss of Russian gas.

Even the Germans aren't retarded enough to go back to relying so heavily on Russian energy after all this bullshit.

I plan to visit the UK on a Hipster Holiday around New Years.

As it'll be a holiday for me, I hope I won't see folks in misery.

My hope is that the locals will be too drunk to be miserable.

jykiodfgr says

Russian economy is projected to boom next year while Europeans face economic collapse next year.

Is Russia going to "boom" just selling to India and China having lost their European clients? China's population is starting to decline.

Who is going to want to buy crap Russian military hardware after seeing how poorly it performed in Ukraine?

ZipperTits says

Oil isn't crap. Wheat isn't crap. Chinese -- and lots of Africa -- desperately needs both.

Yeah - but they are all commodities that are impacted by demand. You think the shit-poor Africans and the Chinese are going to be paying a premium for energy and wheat like Europe would be doing?

Russia will certainly get some short term gain while Europe suffers over the next year, but I think Russia is killing themselves in the long term.

FWIW

German Chancellor Scholz: We Will Be Able To Face This Winter, The Question Of Supply "Looks Solved"
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/09/22/german_chancellor_scholz_we_will_be_able_to_face_this_winter_the_question_of_supply_looks_solved.html

socal2 says

Europe is busy building floating LNG facilities to take US natural gas, they are keeping nuke plants operating and firing up old coal power plants to make up for the loss of Russian gas.

Even the Germans aren't retarded enough to go back to relying so heavily on Russian energy after all this bullshit.

Until Germans start drilling deep under the Ruhr coal beds for natural gas (just like natural gas under the coal beds of Pennsylvania and OK/TX old oil fields), existing evidences seem to indicate that Europe is still run by puppets like Hitler and Napoleon, who were plucked out of obscurity to implement intentionally insane policies / wars in order to kill millions of people so that the banksters can have liabilities wiped off their books. So long as Germans have to import energy (due to deliberate policies preventing domestic production, like Green policies and anti-nuke policies), that import can be turned off and the savers can be frozen to death so that banksters never have to pay back the money.

socal2 says

Is Russia going to "boom" just selling to India and China having lost their European clients? China's population is starting to decline.

You can get rich two ways:

1) you can make more money than others
2) you can impoverish the others

Russia is doing #2 here.

Notice we can't invest in Russian corporations now - WE can't, but I guarantee American financial institutions are able to do it.

socal2 says

Who is going to want to buy crap Russian military hardware after seeing how poorly it performed in Ukraine?

Only the United States thinks war == economy.

China builds shit, and Russia provides energy to build shit. It's only the United States that still thinks the broken window theory is real.

Real war is nuclear annihilation. Nobody but an insane asshole thinks they can win that, unfortunately, we have a bunch of octogenarian insane assholes in control of this country. Mutually Assured Destruction is still in effect. Russia is still a nuclear super-power. How can you not realize this?

richwicks says

Only the United States thinks war == economy.

Of FFS.

Virtually the entire 3rd world bought weapons from Russia and China over the last half century.

The AK47 is the most ubiquitous weapon on the planet.