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Florida Real Estate Collapse


               
2023 Mar 29, 10:07pm   11,334 views  212 comments

by DemoralizerOfPanicans   follow (9)  

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/640-Pelican-Dr-Satellite-Beach-FL-32937/43447731_zpid/

2015 - Sold For $155k

2/8/2019 Sold $209,000

Now? Asking $400,000
So we're to believe in 4 years, that this house legit went up almost double. Or in a decade went up almost triple.

Another one:
https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3802-Sunbeam-Ct-Merritt-Island-FL-32953/43404282_zpid/?mmlb=g%2C13

11/25/2013 Sold
$193,500
-3.2%
$98/sqft

2/14/2023 Listed for sale
$514,900
+166.1%
$261/sqft
Source: DBAMLS #1105834 Report a problem

Both of these houses were minimally updated. The first one was built in the 1960s.

I got half dozen more examples. Here's another, it was just under $250k in what looks like a Steelolanogranite Realtor Flip Special in 2019, before COVID. It was purchased late 2018 for under $172k. Now they want almost $500k for it just 5 years later.
https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/356-W-Dover-St-Satellite-Beach-FL-32937/43448773_zpid/

If you're curious, check out Palm Bay and Melbourne on the mainland. 1950s/1960s Space Program small cinderblock specials, some with no Central Air, are going for almost the same as brand new construction much larger and more modern.

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161   AD   2025 Jun 12, 11:01am  

AmericanKulak says


I had to rub my eyes. In 2021 I was looking for a 2 bed and they were all $1900. $2100 for the new apartments.

Now, I see homeloaners and ex-BNBers trying to rent their townhouse or 3 Bed (1960s converted, so no garage), 1.5 for $1600 and laughing.

The new multifamilies are offering 2 months free rent at $1400 for 900-1100 sq ft 2-3 bedrooms.

Knock 'em down.


Yep, every asset will likely return to the mean

I think that means go back 15 years and examine rent per square foot and it should only increase by about 3% annually in Panama City Beach

.
163   AD   2025 Jun 12, 11:34am  

.

I think the fire sale of 8113 Annabellas Ct in Panama City Beach is using the below site to sell

https://www.flatfee.com/

.
164   Patrick   2025 Jul 9, 2:42pm  

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/real-estate/article-14864837/condo-prices-record-slide-crisis-hits-breaking-point.html


Condo prices make record slide as crisis hits breaking point

Condo prices across the US are plummeting — with some areas seeing values sink by a staggering one-third in just a year.

The average condo sale price in the US fell 2.2 percent year over year to $354,100 in May, a new report shows — making it the second largest drop in records dating back to 2012.

The only steeper drop occurred in April 2023, shortly after the market’s post-pandemic peak, according to Redfin.

The biggest condo price drops are hitting Florida and Texas. In May, Deltona, Florida saw prices fall over 32 percent year-over-year — the steepest decline nationwide.

Crestview, Florida (down 32 percent), Houston, Texas (down 23 percent), Tampa, Florida (down 19 percent), and Oakland, California (down 20 percent) also faced sharp drops.

Seven of the top ten metros with the largest price declines were in Florida, two in Texas. Sellers in parts of Florida have had to drop prices below $10,000.

Sales are sliding just as fast. Markets like Dallas, Palm Bay, Port St. Lucie, and Orlando saw condo sales drop over 30 percent year-over-year, with Florida again dominating the list of hardest-hit areas.

Condo prices are falling for a number of reasons. One major factor is that the market is flooded. There are 80 percent more condo sellers than buyers.
165   MolotovCocktail   2025 Jul 9, 3:30pm  

Patrick says

Condo prices across the US are plummeting — with some areas seeing values sink by a staggering one-third in just a year.


But...the 'coasts'!
166   WookieMan   2025 Jul 9, 3:43pm  

MolotovCocktail says

Patrick says


Condo prices across the US are plummeting — with some areas seeing values sink by a staggering one-third in just a year.


But...the 'coasts'!

Lol dude. You're losing it. They're coastal areas..... They're urban areas.... Let me know when I'm wrong. I've said it's urban areas AND coastal areas where the prices will drop. These are all places within 2 hours of the beach AND urban. Prices in my region have increased, and that includes Chicago, so I'm wrong there. See it's okay to admit you're wrong.

Just own up to the fact I've been 90% correct. It's okay. Millennials are starting families, own condos and are leaving urban areas. For every smart ass comment you make you look more like the fool. What real estate have you ever done? My guess is none and you're just a sad renter. Jealousy is a bad look.

Keep attacking people though and changing user names so people don't put you on ignore. You've never had an intelligent real estate comment besides criticizing other users. It's bull shit and you're a troll. You know nothing about real estate. 10 markets mean nothing beside what I've explained over and over. People are moving out of cities in coastal areas and/or buyer are going elsewhere. This isn't difficult.

You want a crash because you didn't buy. Sad really. It's not coming, unless you want a shitty city condo.
167   HeadSet   2025 Jul 9, 3:57pm  

WookieMan says

You want a crash because you didn't buy.

I did buy, but I want a crash so I can buy more.
168   Tenpoundbass   2025 Jul 9, 4:07pm  

Condos in Florida are a hard sell. Thanks to the new 10,20, and 30 year inspections. The assessments are driving potential buyers away.
Since two story condos are exempt and don't have such requirements. Investors are buying up every house in Hollywood that comes up for sell, to demolish and build a Brutal square box quadplex in their place. They are hideous, just a cookie cutter box. It's the new thing.
169   clambo   2025 Jul 9, 7:57pm  

In Florida, there's no real estate crash in some places which I frequent when I am not in fucked up sunny Mexico.
170   WookieMan   2025 Jul 9, 8:28pm  

HeadSet says

WookieMan says
You want a crash because you didn't buy.

I did buy, but I want a crash so I can buy more.

Wasn't directed at you.
171   MolotovCocktail   2025 Jul 10, 11:04pm  

WookieMan says


I've said it's urban areas AND coastal areas where the prices will drop.


Oklahoma prices are dropping. That's not an urban AND costal area.

WookieMan says


Just own up to the fact I've been 90% correct.


Can't when you are not and only dig a deeper hole for yourself.
172   WookieMan   2025 Jul 10, 11:51pm  

MolotovCocktail says

Can't when you are not and only dig a deeper hole for yourself.

Huh? I am right. You've proven nothing wrong. Look below on Chicago Metro and Oklahoma. You're wrong.

https://www.timeout.com/chicago/news/chicago-area-home-prices-are-rising-four-times-faster-than-the-rest-of-the-u-s-062725

MolotovCocktail says

Oklahoma prices are dropping. That's not an urban AND costal area.

When I use the word AND it means coastal areas are losing value. So are cities that could be inland. It doesn't have to be both. One AND/OR the other. A retard would have understood that.

Looking at national and statewide values is quite possibly the dumbest counter argument there could be. I've shared the above link multiple times. You've shown me nothing. I think just a map of where statewide prices have dropped is all you've posted with no backing data. That fucking means nothing. Give data and not photos. My link above is from June 27, 2025.

Give me up to date stats, not just a colored map where one city can change the entire state. Here, I'll give you data on Oklahoma State. Up 2.1% the last year. https://www.zillow.com/home-values/45/ok/

I'm not wrong. You are and I just proved it with data in two locations. And even IF OK was down the home prices are next to nothing. Next I bet you'll bring up Minnesota. Or Colorado. Give me facts or shut the fuck up.
173   zzyzzx   2025 Jul 11, 5:27am  

MolotovCocktail says

Oklahoma prices are dropping. That's not an urban AND costal area


Oklahoma has insurance issues due to things like hail damage to the extent it might actually be worse than Florida / California / Hawaii / Colorado. That's going to cause housing prices to drop.
174   WookieMan   2025 Jul 11, 7:15am  

zzyzzx says

Oklahoma has insurance issues due to things like hail damage to the extent it might actually be worse than Florida / California / Hawaii / Colorado. That's going to cause housing prices to drop.

IL has rising property taxes yet the major metro region, 3rd largest in the country is appreciating with high interest rates. Usually it's just a roof with hail. I've only seen one roof in my town this year replaced and we've had hail.

Let's call it $8k as I know the home sizes here. There's 800 homes and probably 40 other non-res buildings. I'd guess 95% pay home owners insurance or have insurance on their commercial property. 10 houses easily cover that. The insurance companies are making money and are able to invest that. For OK the tornado fear is the bigger factor, not hail.

Total home replacement is the biggest fear for insurance companies. Plus they might be making up for lost revenue in states like CA and FL where they backed out insuring there. So they raise rates to generally low risk states for total loss. OK is just roofs and the rare tornado that hits a relatively rural area of the country.

Basically it shouldn't move the needle on housing prices in OK since housing replacement values are comparatively low with the rest of the country. So a $900/yr rate might go to $1,100/yr. $200/yr is not going to stop you from buying a house if you want one.
175   MolotovCocktail   2025 Jul 11, 9:32am  

WookieMan says

When I use the word AND it means coastal areas are losing value. So are cities that could be inland. It doesn't have to be both. One AND/OR the other. A retard would have understood that.


Nope. AND is not AND/OR.

If you don't know how to express conditional logic properly, why even try?
176   B.A.C.A.H.   2025 Jul 11, 10:00am  

zzyzzx says

Oklahoma has insurance issues due to things like hail damage to the extent it might actually be worse than Florida / California / Hawaii / Colorado. That's going to cause housing prices to drop.

Yeah but my Red State Bubbas over there tell me that Climate Change Is A Hoax.
177   B.A.C.A.H.   2025 Jul 11, 10:04am  

MolotovCocktail says

WookieMan says

I've said it's urban areas AND coastal areas where the prices will drop.

Oklahoma prices are dropping. That's not an urban AND costal area.

WookieMan says

Just own up to the fact I've been 90% correct.

Can't when you are not and only dig a deeper hole for yourself.


Oh jeez, give it up. You'll never get the best in a disagreement with a person who already knows everything about everything.

Just kick back and enjoy for comedic relief the hilarious ridiculousness of his assertions, like about military vet Tammy Duckworth, values of Boeing top leadership, day to day living of Californians, competence of commercial airline pilots and all else.

Just kick back and enjoy!
178   mell   2025 Jul 11, 10:08am  

B.A.C.A.H. says


zzyzzx says


Oklahoma has insurance issues due to things like hail damage to the extent it might actually be worse than Florida / California / Hawaii / Colorado. That's going to cause housing prices to drop.

Yeah but my Red State Bubbas over there tell me that Climate Change Is A Hoax.


It is a hoax. Insurances have gotten used to extorting federal and state governments by threatening not to provide services if they aren't backstopped. When was the last time an insurance went bankrupt due to nature causing too much damage? The irony is that states like CA mandate insurance for everything so people cannot opt out of premium racketeering. Try running an HOA and you will figure out it's a state govt + insurance racket. People should be free to decline insurance for pretty much anything, then the market would regulate accordingly.
179   DemoralizerOfPanicans   2025 Jul 11, 10:13am  

Nothing makes insurance costs drop faster than making it optional.

Obamacare really did a job.
180   mell   2025 Jul 11, 10:32am  

PanicanDemoralizer says


Nothing makes insurance costs drop faster than making it optional.

Obamacare really did a job.

In CA an HOA needs dishonest people insurance, often in the millions, to "protect" against embezzlement. This is similar to shoplifting insurance except for that the hoas don't have any pull on the premiums as it's mandated. Back in the days you would have flogged and possibly hanged the looter so that the recurrence was so minimal that no insurance was ever needed. Even with the lax criminal laws significant embezzlement is rare and can get caught early these days with modern tech/automation. But there's no escaping the hefty premiums and the insurance makes out like a fat cat.
181   WookieMan   2025 Jul 11, 1:59pm  

B.A.C.A.H. says

Oh jeez, give it up. You'll never get the best in a disagreement with a person who already knows everything about everything.

Name one thing? Name one thing I'm wrong about. Oklahoma prices are not going down. My prices are going up. Coastal areas and/or urban areas in SOME places inland are in decline. Does that make you guys feel better for not owning a home? I own a house. I get why you guys are here. Rent vs. Own. Jealousy is a bitch.
182   WookieMan   2025 Jul 11, 2:03pm  

Also no evidence of anything. No link. AD at least posts Florida information for his area. You guys post nothing as far as data. You guys are wrong because you can't be. You provide nothing to the conversation. It's a kindergarten conversation and i think I'm out on this one and will ignore this thread. Can't deal with stupid and no data.
183   B.A.C.A.H.   2025 Jul 11, 6:03pm  

WookieMan says

Does that make you guys feel better for not owning a home? I own a house. I get why you guys are here. Rent vs. Own. Jealousy is a bitch.



184   MolotovCocktail   2025 Jul 11, 6:44pm  

WookieMan says

Jealousy is a bitch.


Jealousy has nothing to do with your poor command basic comparative logic.
185   DemoralizerOfPanicans   2025 Aug 2, 10:19pm  

Just heard that Florida Realtors are starting to refuse unrealistic seller's listings, like people trying to pawn off 1950s concrete block ranches in meh neighborhoods at $300k.

The reason given was it's $500 just for photography and a cleanup, not including staging. Nobody is going to pay $300k for a 1100 sq ft with no garage/carport, old fashioned accordion door closets (which really can't be expanded), beige toilet and tub, and ancient carpet where you can see where the bed and sofa was for 30 years...

... when they can buy 1500 sq ft all new construction with a garage for a couple of $10k more AND get a two-year incentive on the rate from a builder. Not to mention the roof and HVAC are brand new and under warranty. Alot of these older houses were very poorly converted to central air with serious wet and dust problems in the vents.

No walk-in closets is fine when you're retired or a snowbird and only bringing fair weather clothes. It's not okay when you plan to live there for decades, esp. with a family, and you can't store papers, albums, kid's drawings, and such in a 90F 80% humidity garage. And of course there is no basement. I had a copy of Camp of the Saints before it got to be $100+ for a copy, and I accidentially left it at my mothers. She put it in her outdoor locker and it's greener and more moldy than an SJW's hair in just a year. Cover is the consistency of an abandoned aquarium and most of the pages are illegible.
186   AD   2025 Sep 18, 12:55am  

.

Just read Florida is now attracting skilled professionals (to compensate for end of Baby Boomer migration to Florida)

https://www.mypanhandle.com/news/florida-leads-u-s-in-skilled-workforce-attraction-and-growth/

.
187   Misc   2025 Oct 27, 5:42am  

I wrote about some proposals that were being floated about DeSantis doing away with property taxes as a way to help homeowners cope with rising costs of owning property. Well, sounds like they are getting more serious. However, unless government spending is cut and it never is, taxes will rise in other areas. A bunch of those taxes would fall on renters. Nothing says social cohesion like changing tax policy to benefit the rich over the poor. This would also help keep property prices up. When that fails, the nuclear option is to have negative property taxes -- Just wait ! ! !
188   zzyzzx   2025 Oct 27, 6:06am  

DemoralizerOfPanicans says

It's not okay when you plan to live there for decades, esp. with a family, and you can't store papers, albums, kid's drawings, and such in a 90F 80% humidity garage.


Exactly what can you store in a 90F 80% humidity garage? Or even in a shed? I mean I think that there are plenty of sheds in Florida, but I'm not sure what you can store in them (may be dependent on where in Florida).
189   DemoralizerOfPanicans   2025 Oct 28, 2:01pm  

zzyzzx says


Exactly what can you store in a 90F 80% humidity garage? Or even in a shed? I mean I think that there are plenty of sheds in Florida, but I'm not sure what you can store in them (may be dependent on where in Florida).

Plastic shit, lawn mower, tools, washer fluid, oil, car stuff etc.
190   DemoralizerOfPanicans   2025 Oct 28, 2:02pm  

MAMDANI to stop Florida Real Estate Decline! Yet another man-made disaster makes New Yorkers run South!
191   Tenpoundbass   2025 Oct 29, 8:47am  

There's nothing left in Florida but 5th Gen Flippers looking for a sucker.
Or you might could get into one of those tiny condo apartments they are squeezing in a 8 family units on a SFH lot.
If brutal and commercial architecture is your style.
192   Tenpoundbass   2025 Oct 29, 8:51am  

zzyzzx says

Exactly what can you store in a 90F 80% humidity garage? Or even in a shed? I mean I think that there are plenty of sheds in Florida, but I'm not sure what you can store in them (may be dependent on where in Florida).


In the utility plastic shed I store Holiday decorations in 40 and 50 gallon plastic tubs. I store all my tools and heat and humidity sensitive stuff in my mancave shed. It's airconditioned.
193   RWSGFY   2025 Oct 29, 9:11am  

B.A.C.A.H. says

zzyzzx says


Oklahoma has insurance issues due to things like hail damage to the extent it might actually be worse than Florida / California / Hawaii / Colorado. That's going to cause housing prices to drop.

Yeah but my Red State Bubbas over there tell me that Climate Change Is A Hoax.


OK hail is not a new thing.
194   Misc   2025 Nov 21, 11:54pm  

So, DeSantis, not exactly thinking long term is pushing forward on having no property tax in Florida. Great if you have a $1million plus property, but unless spending is cut, and he ain't for that, those taxes gotta come from somewhere. He's out to curry the vote of the large landowners. Renters just get screwed, and taxes aren't included in CPI figures. This pushes up property prices and takes monthly savings from renters looking to buy a home because of higher sales taxes. It'll take a 60% majority vote of the population to pass come next year. So, he proposed an immediate relief of a $1k rebate to property owners for this year. Gotta love that reverse Robinhood vibe, give landowners extra coin, renters get extra taxes and inflation.

A little extra push to keep homeownership out of the hands of those without.

People wonder why a Mamdani gets elected by the young.

https://www.newsweek.com/ron-desantis-property-tax-plans-2028-election-florida-republican-11067682
195   AD   2025 Nov 22, 1:16am  

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/1874-Pointe-Dr-Panama-City-Beach-FL-32407/251474936_zpid/

asking rent price is $1900 and so far 9 days on marking

asking rent was $2000 in May 2022

so rent is around 2021 levels
196   SunnyvaleCA   2025 Nov 22, 7:50am  

Misc says

DeSantis, not exactly thinking long term is pushing forward on having no property tax in Florida

Maybe he's just floating something out there in order to gauge public perception. Or maybe to troll other govonors in states with high taxes.
197   AD   2025 Nov 22, 10:58am  

SunnyvaleCA says

Misc says


DeSantis, not exactly thinking long term is pushing forward on having no property tax in Florida

Maybe he's just floating something out there in order to gauge public perception. Or maybe to troll other govonors in states with high taxes.


DeSantis is trying to make it more liveable for the retiree living in a $250K to $700K home on a limited income such as Social Security and a small self-funded pension like IRA.

He's also trying to force Democrat city councils like in Gainesville and Orlando to stop the reckless spending increases and passes this onto home owners through property tax and assessment increases.

They will waste money on Democrat causes like green initiatives while neglecting infrastructure upkeep like local road maintenance.
198   zzyzzx   2025 Nov 26, 11:43am  

https://www.fox13news.com/news/tampa-foreclosure-florida-nation-housing-distress

Tampa becomes foreclosure epicenter as Florida tops nation in housing distress
199   HeadSet   2025 Nov 27, 6:21am  

zzyzzx says

Tampa becomes foreclosure epicenter as Florida tops nation in housing distress

Sounds like all those retirees cannot afford the upkeep on inflated homes (taxes, insurance, etc.).
200   AD   2025 Nov 27, 9:41am  

HeadSet says

Sounds like all those retirees cannot afford the upkeep on inflated homes (taxes, insurance, etc.).


My property insurance (HO-3, ~$275K replacement value, 5% deductible, within 2 miles of beach in Florida panhandle) was to be renewed at $2350 in September 2025 by Olympus Insurance.

I was able to lower that to around $1625 by switching to Ovation Insurance. That is same price I paid for Olympus Insurance back around 2022.

HOA is lowering the regular assessment from $420 to $385 per month for 2026. There has never been a special assessment during the HOA's 20 year history.

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