patrick.net

One of the few talking heads on TV that has an actual brain:

More of Nate Silver's last minute bait n' switch:



https://open.substack.com/pub/natesilver/p/24-reasons-that-trump-could-win

How the fuck do they get polling "extremely close"?
Don't they call land lines and usually welfare queens and other losers are home watching TV and answer the poll?
Welfare queens and assorted losers of course aren't going to be big Trump fans.

One would think they at least switched to calling cell phones by now... I mean, it's been 8 years since their last fuckup, enough time to learn.

On the other hand some party operative said that public polls have always been mostly useless and one should only pay attention to closed ones ordered by the parties and candidates. We, of course, have no access to such things.

Election isn't close by a longshit and everybody knows it. The DELUSION of close is the goal to make the cheat appear credible.

You can't hate these people enough.

RWSGFY says

one should only pay attention to closed ones ordered by the parties and candidates. We, of course, have no access to such things.

We don't have access to those things, but when you see Trump holding rallies in NY, that should tell you something.

zzyzzx says

one should only pay attention to closed ones ordered by the parties and candidates. We, of course, have no access to such things.

We don't have access to those things, but when you see Trump holding rallies in NY, that should tell you something.

I don't think it's impossible he could win NY. I'd be slightly shocked, but I do think it's a possibility. No one even voted for Kamala. Turnout is going to be abysmal for Dems.

If a man votes for her it should be automatic dick removal and jam it in a purple haired lesbians mouth.

I hate typing this stuff on the internet at risk of being correct and questioned, but I don't think Trump makes it to election day. I am voting for him to be clear to any bots scanning webpages. If anything he should pull a Biden and get in the basement now or just do podcasts for the next week.

Wisconsin he'd hit a home run with Charlie Berens and the You Betcha guy in WI and the Midwest if he jumped on that show. It would overlap MN, IL and MI. He's not really a podcaster, but if he can do 30 minutes with Trump he'll win some women over in the surrounding states. For whatever reason women find the act they put on to be hysterical. About 3M subs between the two and likely mostly midwest. It would be a good 30-60 minute interview bet if he has staffers that stumble upon patnet for some crazy reason.

Just did my ballot. RFK, Jr was on it.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

Just did my ballot. RFK, Jr was on it.

What state?

HeadSet says

What state?

CA

Booger says

What did that Miller dude predict for 2020 and 2016?

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

I think AI bots are out in the millions now, telling Republicans not to vote because it's hopeless, they'll cheat again, blah blah.

But we all MUST vote for Trump if only to indicate to the deep state scum how much we hate them all.

And I think there's a damn good chance of a Trump landslide, but only if we all vote.

Patrick says

And I think there's a damn good chance of a Trump landslide, but only if we all vote.

I'm voting in person. Likely won't make a difference in IL, but I'll be there 6am so I don't have to wait in line. As a former postal worker I'd never trust mail in voting. If you put it in your outgoing mail and have a Trump sign in your yard and have a Dem carrier, they'll toss it. Not joking. I also don't want to vote early because then the cheat becomes easier.

It's why mail in voting should be forbidden. Not gonna lie, outgoing mail if they have a Harris sign in the yard it would get lost on my former route. I don't work for USPS anymore, but I can promise you no one would know. I'd just set it in a separate container/bag and dump it at a gas station. I did nothing illegal with USPS, but if I was still there, I'd toss ballots if they were obvious. Hence why you should vote in person. There are a lot of butt hurt liberals that work in the post office. Unless it's certified there's no way to know if your vote got counted via mail in. At least in IL.

Patrick says

And I think there's a damn good chance of a Trump landslide, but only if we all vote.

Nope. No landslide. It's all crashing now.

We'll be lucky if it is a close win.

Suburbs are going full libtard.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

Patrick says

And I think there's a damn good chance of a Trump landslide, but only if we all vote.

Nope. No landslide. It's all crashing now.

We'll be lucky if it is a close win.

Suburbs are going full libtard.

It's going to be a decisive win without cheating. He will win NV where early voting has a republican lead for the first time, GA, and either WI, MN, or PA, or NH. Even in PA where dems outnumber repubs 2:1 in early voting, it was 3:1 in 2020. Without cheating it will be decisive, since there will be cheating I also predict a narrow win. PA is definitely not in the bag, more of a toss up with a slight Trump lead maybe, but he won't need it if he gets GA, NV and WI, MN or NH

Booger says

If that’s the map, Trump likely wins Colorado and Oregon also.

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says

If that’s the map, Trump likely wins Colorado and Oregon also.

Might be the map. I definitely don't see WI as a loss. MI I don't know as well, but I'd somewhat shocked if he lost there. All he needs is one or two of them though. PA would sink the Harris ship either way. She has to take Texas or FL somehow to win in my opinion. Low probability of that happening.

Booger says

No way he's carrying Minnesota and New Mexico.

I was at the gym today on a machine overlooking the intersection outside. I saw a guy acting very weird. He parked his car across from a small park where homeless hang out, walking across the street looking all around him while he did it, then tore something off of the telephone pole. I could see it was a vote Trump sign. He crumpled it up and took it back across the street to his car and drove away.

He coulda been one of those YouTube weirdos. Thing that's stranger yet is seeing a Trump sign anywhere out in public in Santa Cruz.

The pen is NOT mightier than the Dominion machine.

Like said, I don't think Trump would have campaigned if they didn't have a solid counter strategy for the cheat. Why they let 2022 go, I don't know, except the American public hadn't been educated enough. At least I hopium.