patrick.net

One of the few talking heads on TV that has an actual brain:

More of Nate Silver's last minute bait n' switch:



https://open.substack.com/pub/natesilver/p/24-reasons-that-trump-could-win

How the fuck do they get polling "extremely close"?
Don't they call land lines and usually welfare queens and other losers are home watching TV and answer the poll?
Welfare queens and assorted losers of course aren't going to be big Trump fans.

One would think they at least switched to calling cell phones by now... I mean, it's been 8 years since their last fuckup, enough time to learn.

On the other hand some party operative said that public polls have always been mostly useless and one should only pay attention to closed ones ordered by the parties and candidates. We, of course, have no access to such things.

Election isn't close by a longshit and everybody knows it. The DELUSION of close is the goal to make the cheat appear credible.

You can't hate these people enough.

RWSGFY says

one should only pay attention to closed ones ordered by the parties and candidates. We, of course, have no access to such things.

We don't have access to those things, but when you see Trump holding rallies in NY, that should tell you something.

zzyzzx says

one should only pay attention to closed ones ordered by the parties and candidates. We, of course, have no access to such things.

We don't have access to those things, but when you see Trump holding rallies in NY, that should tell you something.

I don't think it's impossible he could win NY. I'd be slightly shocked, but I do think it's a possibility. No one even voted for Kamala. Turnout is going to be abysmal for Dems.

If a man votes for her it should be automatic dick removal and jam it in a purple haired lesbians mouth.

I hate typing this stuff on the internet at risk of being correct and questioned, but I don't think Trump makes it to election day. I am voting for him to be clear to any bots scanning webpages. If anything he should pull a Biden and get in the basement now or just do podcasts for the next week.

Wisconsin he'd hit a home run with Charlie Berens and the You Betcha guy in WI and the Midwest if he jumped on that show. It would overlap MN, IL and MI. He's not really a podcaster, but if he can do 30 minutes with Trump he'll win some women over in the surrounding states. For whatever reason women find the act they put on to be hysterical. About 3M subs between the two and likely mostly midwest. It would be a good 30-60 minute interview bet if he has staffers that stumble upon patnet for some crazy reason.

Just did my ballot. RFK, Jr was on it.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

Just did my ballot. RFK, Jr was on it.

What state?

HeadSet says

What state?

CA

Booger says

What did that Miller dude predict for 2020 and 2016?

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

I think AI bots are out in the millions now, telling Republicans not to vote because it's hopeless, they'll cheat again, blah blah.

But we all MUST vote for Trump if only to indicate to the deep state scum how much we hate them all.

And I think there's a damn good chance of a Trump landslide, but only if we all vote.

Patrick says

And I think there's a damn good chance of a Trump landslide, but only if we all vote.

I'm voting in person. Likely won't make a difference in IL, but I'll be there 6am so I don't have to wait in line. As a former postal worker I'd never trust mail in voting. If you put it in your outgoing mail and have a Trump sign in your yard and have a Dem carrier, they'll toss it. Not joking. I also don't want to vote early because then the cheat becomes easier.

It's why mail in voting should be forbidden. Not gonna lie, outgoing mail if they have a Harris sign in the yard it would get lost on my former route. I don't work for USPS anymore, but I can promise you no one would know. I'd just set it in a separate container/bag and dump it at a gas station. I did nothing illegal with USPS, but if I was still there, I'd toss ballots if they were obvious. Hence why you should vote in person. There are a lot of butt hurt liberals that work in the post office. Unless it's certified there's no way to know if your vote got counted via mail in. At least in IL.

Patrick says

And I think there's a damn good chance of a Trump landslide, but only if we all vote.

Nope. No landslide. It's all crashing now.

We'll be lucky if it is a close win.

Suburbs are going full libtard.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

Patrick says

And I think there's a damn good chance of a Trump landslide, but only if we all vote.

Nope. No landslide. It's all crashing now.

We'll be lucky if it is a close win.

Suburbs are going full libtard.

It's going to be a decisive win without cheating. He will win NV where early voting has a republican lead for the first time, GA, and either WI, MN, or PA, or NH. Even in PA where dems outnumber repubs 2:1 in early voting, it was 3:1 in 2020. Without cheating it will be decisive, since there will be cheating I also predict a narrow win. PA is definitely not in the bag, more of a toss up with a slight Trump lead maybe, but he won't need it if he gets GA, NV and WI, MN or NH

Booger says

If that’s the map, Trump likely wins Colorado and Oregon also.

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says

If that’s the map, Trump likely wins Colorado and Oregon also.

Might be the map. I definitely don't see WI as a loss. MI I don't know as well, but I'd somewhat shocked if he lost there. All he needs is one or two of them though. PA would sink the Harris ship either way. She has to take Texas or FL somehow to win in my opinion. Low probability of that happening.

Booger says

No way he's carrying Minnesota and New Mexico.

I was at the gym today on a machine overlooking the intersection outside. I saw a guy acting very weird. He parked his car across from a small park where homeless hang out, walking across the street looking all around him while he did it, then tore something off of the telephone pole. I could see it was a vote Trump sign. He crumpled it up and took it back across the street to his car and drove away.

He coulda been one of those YouTube weirdos. Thing that's stranger yet is seeing a Trump sign anywhere out in public in Santa Cruz.

The pen is NOT mightier than the Dominion machine.

Like said, I don't think Trump would have campaigned if they didn't have a solid counter strategy for the cheat. Why they let 2022 go, I don't know, except the American public hadn't been educated enough. At least I hopium.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

No way he's carrying Minnesota and New Mexico.

I don't know New Mexico at all really. Only been once. Minnesota is a weird one though. I can't stand Minneapolis, so I really don't have a feel for that city. The biggie there is Somali's and blacks. If Trump gets a gain in that demo of 5-10 points, the state is for sure in play. I don't think the Somalian people living there will vote for a woman.

Duluth I know very well. Blue collar city. Not huge, I think 2nd biggest, but I'm betting that will be red this time. Biden's garbage comment really didn't help for anyone that is somewhat politically active or watches the news. And labor unions not endorsing Kamala is another biggie for MN. Duluth is a huge iron ore shipping hub. Tons of hunters with guns.

The Tony joke about Puerto Rico was a joke by a 3rd party. My Puerto Rican next door neighbor has Trump stuff all over. I can promise you he's still voting Trump. Also if you know any Puerto Ricans they love their country but they fully understand it's run like shit. Maybe a few Karen house wives got offended that couldn't even find the country on the map. But Trump doesn't poll well with women for the most part.

For MN if the rural vote gets out hard it's a possibility he wins it. I'm still predicting he wins MN, WI, MI and PA. Which means it's impossible for Kamala to win without TX and FL. Almost no chance she does that with MN being a swing state this time around.

WookieMan says

I don't think the Somalian people living there will vote for a woman.

WTF? They voted for Ilhan Omar.

HeadSet says

WookieMan says

I don't think the Somalian people living there will vote for a woman.

WTF? They voted for Ilhan Omar.

Because they want their type. They have neither with Trump or Harris. They won't vote for the woman is my point if she's not Muslim. They'll pick the man or not vote.

Her district was gerrymandered most likely to get the votes and the men are too lazy to run. But they won't vote for a non-muslim woman. That's fact.

What do you guys think the breakdown of switch hitters will be in this election?
I'm thinking 3% to 5% of registered Republicans will vote for Kamala, but 20% of the registered Democrats will be voting for Trump.
It's been well documented since the DNC that many Democrat voters have had a massive awakening to the current Democrat party.
I don't think many of those disenfranchised Democrats will reregister to be Republicans. What's the point, it's not like you can't vote for Trump if you're not a registered Republican?

When they report early voting and mail in results, they never mention the possibility of those Switch Hitter votes. I think the Democrats are in for a rude awakening. Those Switch Hitters are going to offset their bogus vote stealing operation.

I think the Independent voters are going to unanimously vote for Trump. Those that wouldn't are abstaining from voting.

In the last 2 years the only people that I have seen here in South Florida that are hardcore Democrats still willing to defend Joe Biden and Harris, are rich affluent white people, who probably got their Jumbo Loan house from the Public grift that is created in the Socialist Democrat ether.

Tenpoundbass says

but 20% of the registered Democrats will be voting for Trump.

The whole purpose registering as a Dem is to tell the entire world you are a fucking moron.

I mean, this is what we get from morons voting Dem:

https://patrick.net/post/1382403/2024-11-02-peanut-the-squirrel-murdered-by

So no. I don't think it will be 20%.

Hope you are right and I am wrong. But I doubt it.

We saw it in 2016. The country is not ready for a female POTUS. She won't win. My wife is right leaning but is for women empowerment given her career (not abortion and other shit like that). She won't vote for Kamala. 100%. Kamala turns off a lot of women. I think everyone is over the grab 'em by the pussy comment. Because they know it's right.

Brits are always at the bottom of every dogpile. Chatham House and RIIA, the Masonic Raj.

https://t.me/followsthewhiterabbit/100317

https://t.me/followsthewhiterabbit/100331

Just had this experience with my older liberal friend. He says that Trump was convicted of several proven crimes. I told him he was being brainwashed again.

How come they are always interviewing the wrong entities? They need to interview Dominion voting machines and summon the dead.

https://t.me/SGTnewsNetwork/78904

Is the key to the courthouse filing BEFORE the date of the election? Seems they are producing the groundswell so the courts can't fuck the public like they did in 2020.

https://t.me/MikeJaco/9669