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Stock market and housing bubble.


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2021 Jan 6, 11:11am   22,491 views  416 comments

by RC2006   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

With all that's going on how is stock market going up, is it inflation speculation driving it? Are we approaching housing bubble?

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16   Bitcoin   2021 Jan 7, 11:06am  

Zak says
If bitcoin is digital gold

Yes

Zak says
my balls are an oil well. Come drain them and take your profit.


Sorry, wrong forum for that talk. Take it somewhere else.

Bitcoin is digital gold or gold 2.0.
17   B.A.C.A.H.   2021 Jan 7, 11:16am  

G36 says
Sorry, wrong forum for that talk. Take it somewhere else.

Bitcoin is digital gold or gold 2.0.


Now I see why WookieMan lost it with G36.

I thought G36 had some helpful, insightful comments on his thread about cryptocurrency.

But WookieMan's right, he's a troll. Trolling others' threads with cryptoFanBoyisms.

Maybe Patrick can limit G36 to the posts that he created instead of trolling others'.
18   Bitcoin   2021 Jan 7, 11:24am  

@B.A.C.A.H.

rofl. This is what Zak said and what I responded to.

Zak says
my balls are an oil well. Come drain them and take your profit.

We can have a civil debate about investments / assets / bubbles etc. But we dont need to take the discussion below the belt.
If you take one sentence out of context and call me a troll because of it then you are the troll.
19   Zak   2021 Jan 7, 12:58pm  

hmm, there's nothing below the belt about it. You said that bitcoin IS digital gold. If you can make stupid equivalences like that, then so can I . Literally, my balls ARE an oil well. So they are no longer balls. They don't have the characteristics of balls or the shortcomings of balls that would give you pause about treating them like an oil well. They simply ARE an oil well, so come get your oil. I'm giving you free oil here.

Oh hmm, so balls are NOT oil wells you say, and I'm treating you like an idiot and insulting you by saying they are simply an oil well, when they have smelly and potentially disgusting characteristics to the general population?? Ahh, perhaps I am making an illustrative comment on your rhetoric then??? now we arrive at the explained joke which is no longer funny... sad day..

let me rephrase it then so its not directed at you..

gold as a store of value is to bitcoin
as an oil well as a producer of valuable commodity is to my balls

a very specific market, that if you don't have a technical reason why you are there is a waste of your time and energy (but probably great for me as the producer/seller!)
20   Onvacation   2021 Jan 7, 2:04pm  

G36 says
market cap

lol

Don't be the last fool out.
21   GlocknLoad   2021 Jan 7, 2:10pm  

Bitcoin's going to $300k+
22   Onvacation   2021 Jan 7, 2:16pm  

GlocknLoad says
Bitcoin's going to $300k+

Market cap? Or per coin? Not that there is a big difference.
23   Bitcoin   2021 Jan 7, 2:26pm  

@Zak
you might be new to the topic of cryptocurrency. There isnt really a debate about Bitcoin being digital gold or not. Institutions / Investors see it that way....just use your search engine.
My point is, I couldnt care less what some random guy on the web thinks about Bitcoin. All I care about is that we keep the posts civil.
https://www.reuters.com/article/crypto-currencies-jpm/bitcoin-emergence-as-digital-gold-could-lift-price-to-146000-says-jpm-idUSL8N2JG2MM
https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/news/bitcoin-digital-gold-traditional-currency-5-yrs-billionaire-novogratz-2020-10-1029720375
https://www.forbes.com/sites/steveforbes/2020/12/04/bitcoin-could-become-the-digital-gold/?sh=42648c6fe788
24   Bitcoin   2021 Jan 7, 2:38pm  

@onvacation
300k per coin would be crazy good but 100k-200k per digital gold coin (Bitcoin) would already be amazing.
I know some dont understand market cap. Its actually simple. Market price * circulating supply. Just like with stocks.
25   Onvacation   2021 Jan 7, 4:17pm  

G36 says
I know some dont understand market cap. Its actually simple. Market price * circulating supply. Just like with stocks.

Stocks represent a share of a companies profit or loss. We wouldn't say the market cap of a game of lotto is all the circulating tickets multiplied by the grand prize. Same with bitcoin.

I try to give you all of these simple examples to help you understand that you are gambling. You'll understand some day.
26   Bitcoin   2021 Jan 7, 5:49pm  

@onvacation,
its an investment in digital gold and the market cap of any cryptocurrency traded on exchanges is representing the market price times the circulating supply.
One day you will look back and say, dang, should have listened to G36, "Bitcoin under 50k would have been the investment of a life time."
27   Onvacation   2021 Jan 7, 6:48pm  

G36 says
circulating supply.

Currency circulates. Bitcoin is a distributed ledger.

I'm hoping you sell and take some profit soon. Until you trade your bits for money the only gains you will have is the ones you pay taxes on. Maybe just sell 30% or so to cushion the inevitable crash?

I'm Curious. Do you have to pay taxes on your unrealized gains? or can you wait until you actually realize gains?
28   Bitcoin   2021 Jan 7, 7:12pm  

Onvacation says
G36 says
circulating supply.

Bitcoin is a distributed ledger.


@onvacation
Yes! Blockchain is one type of a distributed ledger. Distributed ledgers use independent computers (referred to as nodes) to record, share and synchronize transactions in their respective electronic ledgers (instead of keeping data centralized as in a traditional ledger). Bitcoin is decentralized!

Onvacation says
I'm hoping you sell and take some profit soon.


mhm, not soon. I think in a few month when its trading above 100k I will start taking profits.

Onvacation says
Do you have to pay taxes on your unrealized gains?


My original plan was to only pay long term capital gains which occurs when you buy and then sell or exchange a crypto asset after holding it for a year or longer. I might even hold Bitcoin until it reaches 500k in the next few years. Which would mean I have to pay zero taxes until I sell or trade my precious digital gold coins.
29   ignoreme   2021 Jan 7, 7:53pm  

Patrick says
If people want to continue overpaying to make realtors and bankers rich, well, that's just stupid but I can only yell about it for so long.


It’s almost like Bitcoin. It’s only worth what you can buy with it (nothing). But I can only shout about it for so long.
30   ignoreme   2021 Jan 7, 7:59pm  

clambo says
The neighbor gets assessed at $3 million and because he’s 200 feet away, guess what?
Your little prefab house with a view is assessed for a couple of million bucks!


So because my grandma squatted on a piece of land in central Manhattan 100 years ago the heirs should never have to pay a step up in basis? That’s prop 13. Insane
31   mell   2021 Jan 7, 8:08pm  

ignoreme says
clambo says
The neighbor gets assessed at $3 million and because he’s 200 feet away, guess what?
Your little prefab house with a view is assessed for a couple of million bucks!


So because my grandma squatted on a piece of land in central Manhattan 100 years ago the heirs should never have to pay a step up in basis? That’s prop 13. Insane


Well said.
32   Bitcoin   2021 Jan 7, 8:09pm  

ignoreme says
It’s almost like Bitcoin. It’s only worth what you can buy with it


https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/bitcoin-hits-us-40k-mark-doubling-price-in-less-than-a-month-1.5258104

@ignoreme
you can buy a lot of beer and great food for 40k.

per the article "Bitcoin hits US$40K mark, doubling price in less than a month"
33   Patrick   2021 Jan 8, 5:40pm  

You know, one of the Rothschild's was famous for saying "Buy when there's blood in the streets."

And there is these days. Maybe that's why markets are up.
34   mell   2021 Jan 8, 6:18pm  

The last couple weeks were great for those in the market. Like mentioned earlier there is currently no recession on the horizon. Maybe late 2021 or 2022.
35   BoomAndBustCycle   2021 Jan 8, 7:25pm  

mell says
The last couple weeks were great for those in the market. Like mentioned earlier there is currently no recession on the horizon. Maybe late 2021 or 2022.

*****

How can entire industries be destroyed yet we aren’t in a recession? (Theater chains, hospitality, in restaurant dining, cruise and air travel) My ordinary family had $20k earmarked for disneyworld and Costs Rica this year ... both cancelled and spent squat!

We work from home so no gas cost. We don’t eat out, but admittedly do order in often. (That’s a lot of out of work waiters). We saved more this year than the last 10 years combined! But we have no plans to spend that saved money... it’s forever lost from going back in the economy... it’s a nice fat safety net and retirement savings. Simply because we couldn’t spend money and feared spending money. We will go on vacations and travel again, but we won’t dip deep into those savings to do it... that’s ours for experiencing a shitty year. The one good thing to come out of 2020.

I guess it’s all forward looking... but that was the quickest recession and fastest recovery in history!

36   ThatGuy   2021 Jan 8, 7:39pm  

Onvacation says
I'm Curious. Do you have to pay taxes on your unrealized gains? or can you wait until you actually realize gains?


This was one of my biggest concerns when I got out of Crypto, There was talk about taxing every crypto trade, I only traded once or twice but had friends trading daily, hourly even. could be a huge tax trap later on.

XRP paid off my student loans and bought me a Truck. If I had stayed in for 2 more weeks I would have held $6M... whoops. at that max valuation XRP was worth 3x more than Apple, definitely out of touch, didn't see that coming. With limited supply in BTC, large investors can create artificial demand and hodl the greater fools hostage, as long as its considered legal the price may represent the stupidity of people, infinity.
37   mell   2021 Jan 8, 8:56pm  

BoomAndBustCycle says
mell says
The last couple weeks were great for those in the market. Like mentioned earlier there is currently no recession on the horizon. Maybe late 2021 or 2022.

*****

How can entire industries be destroyed yet we aren’t in a recession? (Theater chains, hospitality, in restaurant dining, cruise and air travel) My ordinary family had $20k earmarked for disneyworld and Costs Rica this year ... both cancelled and spent squat!

We work from home so no gas cost. We don’t eat out, but admittedly do order in often. (That’s a lot of out of work waiters). We saved more this year than the last 10 years combined! But we have no plans to spend that saved money... it’s forever lost from going back in the economy... it’s a nice fat safety net and retirement savings. Simply because we couldn’t spend money and feared spending money. We will go on vacations and travel again, but we won’t dip de...

Small businesses have suffered greatly but most of them are not public companies. The big(ger) companies making up Wall Street are doing well at the expense if the smaller businesses. Also tech benefited hugely from the lockdowns and biotech from getting into focus. Overall employment is there if you have the skills and want to work for the man. That's why there's no recession yet.
38   HeadSet   2021 Jan 8, 9:20pm  

That's why there's no recession yet.

Also because government employees, welfare takers, government retirees and favored industries did not miss a paycheck.
39   mell   2021 Jan 8, 9:32pm  

HeadSet says
That's why there's no recession yet.

Also because government employees, welfare takers, government retirees and favored industries did not miss a paycheck.


That too.
40   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2021 Jan 10, 8:00pm  

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41   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2021 Jan 10, 8:10pm  

Single party rule coming, so stocks will take a hit since government is gonna go on borrowing spree.
42   Bitcoin   2021 Jan 11, 7:07am  

Fortwaynemobile says
Single party rule coming, so stocks will take a hit since government is gonna go on borrowing spree.


Before Trump was elected we were told the stock market will crash if Trump wins. The stock market soared.
Before Biden gets in we are being told the stock market will crash.
Before (insert next candidate) gets in, we will be told, the stock market will crash.
...

Low interest rates and money printing push asset prices higher.
43   RC2006   2021 Jan 11, 7:10am  

G36 says
Low interest rates and money printing push asset prices higher.


This unless a Bush or Clinton is around.
44   RC2006   2021 Jan 24, 4:15pm  

What are you guys doing with your 401k thinking about moving most to money market for a month, cant shake gut feeling of crash.
45   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2021 Jan 24, 4:27pm  

Already in MM..
46   B.A.C.A.H.   2021 Jan 24, 4:34pm  

Dunno about the 401, choices are limited.

But all the IRAs, considering G36 and Cash's posts: sell all positions, open Robinhood account, put it all in crypto's.

I reckon a tenfold increase by the end of the year.
47   Dholliday126   2021 Jan 24, 4:38pm  

If we get a single party I would seriously think about a strategy to get money out of that 401k. Those things are too tempting for the govey.
48   mell   2021 Jan 24, 4:50pm  

RC2006 says
What are you guys doing with your 401k thinking about moving most to money market for a month, cant shake gut feeling of crash.


Correction yes, crash no. Earnings are still more than intact. I'm having a hard time taking any gains because the market is pushing higher each week. Convert some of it but not all if you want to pay respect to your gut. I'm expecting new highs til 2H21 at least, cause the next euphoria will be re-opening of businesses and retail.
49   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2021 Jan 24, 4:55pm  

G36 says
Fortwaynemobile says
Single party rule coming, so stocks will take a hit since government is gonna go on borrowing spree.


Before Trump was elected we were told the stock market will crash if Trump wins. The stock market soared.
Before Biden gets in we are being told the stock market will crash.
Before (insert next candidate) gets in, we will be told, the stock market will crash.
...

Low interest rates and money printing push asset prices higher.


Single party rule, with Dems assets inflate and stocks deflate. It’s same pattern always.
50   RWSGFY   2021 Jan 24, 5:02pm  

Fortwaynemobile says
Single party rule


They don't have majority in the Senate, so it's not really one-party rule. Even with Kummalala's tie-breaking vote, it's still too slim to be useful for anything.
51   Patrick   2021 Jan 24, 5:08pm  

RC2006 says
What are you guys doing with your 401k thinking about moving most to money market for a month, cant shake gut feeling of crash.


Money Market accounts are not money.

They can lose value.

This was a big lesson of the 2001 crash.
52   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2021 Jan 24, 5:09pm  

FuckCCP89 says
Fortwaynemobile says
Single party rule


They don't have majority in the Senate, so it's not really one-party rule. Even with Kummalala's tie-breaking vote, it's still too slim to be useful for anything.


They just got majority, VP is tie breaker.
53   Patrick   2021 Jan 24, 5:11pm  

Dholliday126 says
If we get a single party I would seriously think about a strategy to get money out of that 401k. Those things are too tempting for the govey.


We have a single party. Democrats are more Republican than Republicans now, fuck the poor, outsource jobs, insource illegals, anything for profit.

Biden took far more money from Wall Street than Trump did.

Trump was his own party.
54   RC2006   2021 Jan 24, 5:13pm  

Patrick says
Money Market accounts are not money.

They can lose value.

This was a big lesson of the 2001 crash.


Can't they only loose money if rates go negative. What other fund is safer with 401?
55   Patrick   2021 Jan 24, 5:15pm  

mell says
cause the next euphoria will be re-opening of businesses and retail.



The greatly exaggerated "pandemic" was helpful in forcing a reversal of the economy, which was doing embarrassingly well under Trump.

It does seem likely that soon they will declare that they have achieved victory over the "invisible enemy" because there is no longer a threat to the elite.

On the other hand, the elite are getting so much out of this that they may keep it going literally forever.

- tech billionaires greatly increased their fortunes by wiping out small retail businessmen, forcing us to buy online
- the state has an excuse for tracking everyone you personally talk to, a Soviet dream scenario
- the recent "aid" pacakages went mostly to big businesses like airlines and banks, organizations with a log of influence; common people get almost nothing

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