patrick.net

Bitcoin says

Onvacation, could I have your dose instead?
I got the J&J shot but I am thinking of getting the pfizer shots and the moderna shots soon to be triple safe this year.

There’s a hefty surplus right now. Drug stores are wasting more vaccine than they’re jabbing into the arms of an adoring public.

I dropped out of the back and forth on this convo a long while ago because it seemed more like people are just saying, "yeah but i'm not gunna!" "it's experimental, we don't know its safe", and "if you get the jab you are sheeple".

So I'm back, but only to provide data, and not to challenge your idea that you aren't sheeple.

https://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-and-biontech-conclude-phase-3-study-covid-19-vaccine

The phase 3 study start date was July 27th. That puts us a little over 9 months post trial injections. Is anyone hearing reports of serious side effects starting to pop up?

This was a study of over 40k people.

Also, this means phase 2 and phase 1 clinical trials started much earlier. Anyone getting any reports of side effects in those populations?

I'll reiterate, i still respect everyone's right to not get the vaccine, but I will keep repeating that the higher the number of transmissions, the greater the chance for deadlier mutations, and mutations that the vaccine does not block against.

I still disagree with mask requirements post vaccine, and I still disagree with mandatory shutdowns, and a whole bunch of the economic policies, and even health codes that have been put in place. But I do really like a lot of the voluntary steps that businesses have engaged in, and disagree with the idiots who try to force their way into stores without masks. It's a private business, and if you disagree with the policy, you are free not to shop there.

As far as making fun of people who do wear masks, even outdoors... or take the vaccine... I don't know what anyone hopes to accomplish. It's a free country, and someone wants to behave differently without affecting you, so.. revert to schoolyard bullying/mocking tactics? Seems pretty childish and ignorant to me. Then again.. bullying/mocking is still a thing because it "works" as a societal pressure to conformity.

I appreciate when commenters like OnVacation says "good to know.. still not doing it." shows a level of maturity, respect, and agreement to disagree based on a different risk analysis.. As far as "what the fuck is wrong with these people" , maybe he can just recognize that they have a different risk profile than him as well.

You really have to ask yourself, Why does the government want every man, woman, and child to get injected with an experimental biologic agent for a cold that is asymptomatic or has minor symptoms for most? AND they are trying to pass it off as a "safe and effective vaccine" when it has caused many deaths and injuries, does not confer immunity, and will not stop you from spreading the disease.

Something nefarious is going on above and beyond all the nefarious stuff that is going on all the time.

Zak says

The phase 3 study start date was July 27th. That puts us a little over 9 months post trial injections. Is anyone hearing reports of serious side effects starting to pop up?

This was a study of over 40k people.

Also, this means phase 2 and phase 1 clinical trials started much earlier. Anyone getting any reports of side effects in those populations?

Wow! Are you implying that they created a vaccine for a "pandemic" sometime within the next month after we got locked down for 2 weeks on March 13 2020 so that phase one and phase two could start at the end of July?

Let's say they finished creating the experimental biologic agent on June 1st and started jabbing the human test guinea pigs. That would mean that the first jabbed hasn't even had a year to develop long term effects.

I suppose you know how the animal studies on these kind of treatments turned out?

I'm still going to stay part of the no experimental biologic agent control group.

Zak says

I do really like a lot of the voluntary steps that businesses have engaged in, and disagree with the idiots who try to force their way into stores without masks. It's a private business, and if you disagree with the policy, you are free not to shop there.

What about many states suspension of the first amendment? Are you OK with that?

Zak says

Is anyone hearing reports of serious side effects starting to pop up?

This was a study of over 40k people.

Also, this means phase 2 and phase 1 clinical trials started much earlier. Anyone getting any reports of side effects in those populations?

It's not like such information could be suppressed, right? I mean, anyone can post anything on the most popular social platforms and be sure his account won't be suspended and content wiped out, right? And remember how the deaths in the old folks homes were immediately and accurately reported by the NY state government? Nah, I'm sure if there were serious side effects starting to pop up we would know for sure. Take that Tiffany Dover situation: every silly trumpanzee has assumed she had suffered from serious side effects after vaccination and then died, but the string of video interviews with her released by all major network has put that stupid theory to rest in mere days. Hours, actually!

Zak says

. As far as "what the fuck is wrong with these people" , maybe he can just recognize that they have a different risk profile than him as well.

Do you believe that every man woman and child should take an experimental biologic agent?

Follow the science!
Onvacation says

Especially since they offer no immunity and little protection from the Wuhan.

What the fuck is the matter with people?

Onvacation says

What the fuck is the matter with people?

To answer my own question, many people have bought the propaganda and see the jab as route back to normal. They trust that the government has their best interest and is here to help them. They believe all of the "publications" they have trusted their whole life. They think that the people who are fighting for stupid shit like "liberty and freedom" are impeding the return to normal.

"Why does the government want every man, woman, and child to get injected with an experimental biologic agent for a cold that is asymptomatic or has minor symptoms for most? "
The same reason lots of people want this to happen?
my few basic reasons:

- Because the transmission rate is astronomical, and with a mutation, the affected populations can expand stupidly fast.
- Because even if it is old people filling up hospitals, hospitals still become full and unable to deal with other healthcare issues
- because i have older relatives, and I give a shit about their safety
- because fuck cuomo stuffing infected people back into nursing homes ( in other words, the choices government makes when the ARE a bunch of sick people are fucking terrible)
- because if there do become situations where dead people are overwhelming the burial system, other diseases can take hold
- because an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure
- because I know lots of doctors, and not one of them is the pharma shill that people seem to want to make them out to be
- because doctors i know are also skeptical, but after reviewing the available data also decided it was sensible in terms of risk
- because your basic statement is wrong, and if you already had covid, you don't need the vaccine
- because the flu is less bad than covid and we still recommend a vaccine for that for most of these same reasons, and even though it has lower efficacy
- because a meteor might hit tomorrow, but that is a terrible evaluation of what might actually happen in terms of actual probability
- because nefarious activity isn't supported by much reliable evidence.. mostly we just see a bunch of scared and stupid/uneducated people acting in an uncoordinated fashion (because being coordinated, and smart, and consistent across an entire country is pretty dang hard)
- Because covid is actually worse for most people across most demographic categories for most symptoms by a factor of about 40 or greater (death, side effects, etc)
-because covid REPLICATES and SPREADS.. the vaccine does not. If I get the vaccine and get symptoms, i can't transmit it to you. The same is not true of getting covid.
-because the vaccine does not mutate !!!!
-because the vaccine had the same spike protein generation as the virus. If the "experimental biological agent" is going to cause you long term problems, then they are the same problems the virus would cause you because it is the same protein. But , the virus will be worse, because it will keep pumping out those proteins in greater quantity and at an increasing rate without giving your immune system a chance to respond.

- because if its no big deal to get covid and for your immune system to respond to the spike protein there, then what in the world would you be worried about the same protein from the vaccine for?

- because covid is also "an experimental biological agent", and one created outside of vaccine safety protocols..
- because if an "experimental biological agent" with vaccine safety protocols and mostly no side effects might have worrisome long term side effects, why wouldn't the vaccine with the same spike protein that is also "mostly minor" also have those same potential long term side effects that you appear worried about?

- because herd immunity has a positive personal benefit to me and my family
- because if I take it, and I'm ok, then it will probably be ok for my kids when they are older
- because I know there IS a possibility of death or complications.. 8 cases of bloodclotting disorders per million for instance.. and those odds are really fucking good

And lastly:

- because no one I've heard argue against it addresses any of these points, and instead just says "there might be a conspiracy tho!!!"

Zak says

- because no one I've heard argue against it addresses any of these points, and instead just says "there might be a conspiracy tho!!!"

Really? You think that no one has addressed any of your points?

What about the first amendment question?

Zak says

just says "there might be a conspiracy tho!!!"

Here is one transparent conspiracy that sticks out for me. A conspiracy to get fucking rich.
The COVID-19 vaccines for coronavirus were developed more rapidly than any vaccine in history, using technology that has never been approved before, by companies with extensive histories of criminal fraud. The process has minted a handful of instant billionaires and enriched countless others, no Jonas Salk to be found in this cash grab. Big Pharma CEO’s have acknowledged the Once-in-a-Lifetime nature of this “opportunity”.

Zak says

Because the transmission rate is astronomical, and with a mutation, the affected populations can expand stupidly fast.

How fast is stupid fast? can you quantify? Or is this point, like most of your points, just fear mongering?

A few months ago an old pal of mine said “I don’t know for sure, but I just trust the system”. It was epiphanal to me because it made me realize that I may trust individuals but I don’t trust ANYTHING about The System. I don’t trust the self-dealing, rationalizing, greed of humans that are sheltered by any corporate structure. And I don’t trust what is going on here at all.
Mass media in this country has been transparently complicit in great crimes, in service to the elite, all my life and so are not to be trusted on any of their reporting on Covid or the vaccines. I honestly don’t understand how anyone has faith in any of the power structures in America today.
Anyway, this is a great dividing line, those with no faith have a really hard time communicating with the faithful.
We truly live in different worlds.

@mell - Your mom's case is the thing that makes me so irritated with regards to the vaccine. All the evidence I've seen says you are absolutely correct with respect to immunity and not needing the vaccine if you were infected. The lack of education on how immunity works keeps spreading mistakes like this that only lead people to question if this whole thing is a big conspiracy. We have these stupid "keep wearing your mask after vaccination" requirements. The lack of consistency and education on just what the hell is going on basically leads everyone to question everything all the time, and just take a deferential attitude to some other expert who must be right.

There IS a basic set of facts and logic and knowledge about medicine and biology that applies here. It's pretty much criminal the way Fauci has engaged when questioned if for instance there are mutated strains of covid that are not blocked by the vaccine. The answer is no. There could be a mutation, but there is not a mutation yet. Avoiding stating this clearly in hopes that if there is a mutation that it will be blocked by masks, but trying to obfuscate that as the thinking is basically a TM "big fucking lie". It makes the people not trust anything from anybody.

I guess fortunately, if your mom does get the vaccine, it should pretty much just not do anything...

@Zak

When do you think the pandemic will end?

@onvacation - its not fear mongering. you are correct in that any mutation that does occur might NOT be a "bad" mutation.

As far as the probablity of mutation.. 100% . In fact, we know of I think at least 8 variations so far.
The probability of "bad" mutation.. this is my basic take:

In the past ~100 years, there have probably been between 1000 or 100,000 different strains of the flu (I have no idea) as a projection, given that we currently have about 27 types:

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/viruses/types.htm

Of those, 1 strain was the spanish flu, and that killed 120 million+ people.

Feel free to refine these estimated numbers if you think my logic is unsound.

so to me, there is a 1 in 1000 to 1 in 100,000 chance that we have a mutation that turns into something like the spanish flu.

There is probably a substantially greater chance that we get a mutation that will not be blocked by the vaccine.

So far we've had 8 known mutations. So on the high risk side, it's pretty fucking dangerous risk wise.

On the lower risk side, 1/100000, it's still way more beneficial in my estimation if people get vaccinated. 1 in 100,000 chance of a super deadly global catastrophe coming out of this already not too great situation, vs a mostly side effect free vaccine (maybe 1/1,000,000 chance of death)

Again, I have only my own logic generating these numbers from data that i know, and I try to be transparent about how I think about it. If you have better data, I would update my risk beliefs.. But to me the mutation thing looks pretty fucking risky at this point. (Better now that lots are getting vaccinated).

Zak says

So far we've had 8 known mutations. So on the high risk side, it's pretty fucking dangerous risk wise.

With survival rate north of 99% for people under 70? That's a very unconventional definition of "pretty fucking dangerous".

Onvacation says

Zak

When do you think the pandemic will end?

So we can get back to normal.

Stopped at the Service Center today on the FL Turnpike. Half were maskless. Male Whites and Hispanics, no masks. Women, Blacks and Asians, masked up (I did see two Black teen girls with no mask).

We gave each other the "Man Nod" and several obvious NY'ers and tourists were appalled as they walked into the area and saw people without masks. The "Mask wearing is mandatory sign" from months ago is now a small "Florida Department of Health recommends Masks."

Robert Sproul says

Zak says

just says "there might be a conspiracy tho!!!"

Here is one transparent conspiracy that sticks out for me. A conspiracy to get fucking rich.
The COVID-19 vaccines for coronavirus were developed more rapidly than any vaccine in history, using technology that has never been approved before, by companies with extensive histories of criminal fraud. The process has minted a handful of instant billionaires and enriched countless others, no Jonas Salk to be found in this cash grab. Big Pharma CEO’s have acknowledged the Once-in-a-Lifetime nature of this “opportunity”.

Yes, that.

Reeks of corruption, especially when you see Fauci's smirk.

Zak says

covid is actually worse for most people across most demographic categories for most symptoms by a factor of about 40 or greater (death, side effects, etc)

Where did you get that 40 number? Literally everything I see says it's on the order of 3x worse than the flu. For example, an infection fatality rate of 0.3% compared to the normal 0.1% IFR for the flu.

Zak says

- Because even if it is old people filling up hospitals, hospitals still become full and unable to deal with other healthcare issues

Experience shows that this is extremely rare (temporary episodes in Milan and NYC).

In fact, lots of hospitals went bankrupt because they were emptied by the fear-mongering about the CCP Virus. (I kind of like Epoch News' term CCP Virus.)

Zak says

if there do become situations where dead people are overwhelming the burial system, other diseases can take hold

Not happening. It's been over a year. How long do we have to wait for this particular event?

Zak says

an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure

But a few ml of foreign mRNA not approved by the FDA might really fuck you up for life.

Zak says

I know lots of doctors, and not one of them is the pharma shill that people seem to want to make them out to be

I think the majority of doctors are ethical, but I have come across some clearly pushing a profitable drug.

Zak says

the vaccine had the same spike protein generation as the virus. If the "experimental biological agent" is going to cause you long term problems, then they are the same problems the virus would cause you because it is the same protein. But , the virus will be worse, because it will keep pumping out those proteins in greater quantity and at an increasing rate without giving your immune system a chance to respond.

I'm not convinced that a mass injection of foreign mRNA is identical to virus replication.

ThreeBays says

The opposite of everything you wrote is true, so it's not likely the government is doing "nefarious stuff", but the ones who say the stuff you repeat probably are nefarious.

If we return to a non-Weathermen Media Era, it's going to be astounding at how many Mask Karens and Soys claim they never believed in the vaccine or the CCP Virus scam.

Zak says

Because covid is actually worse for most people across most demographic categories for most symptoms by a factor of about 40 or greater (death, side effects, etc)

That's a lie. In fact it is far less serious for all demographics because those numbers are made up by the senseless arithmeric that if one dies within 28 days, no matter of what, and has tested positive for covid within that time frame, then one counts as covid death. If you applied the same senseless arithmetic to hsv1, then herpes simplex 1 would be the most dangerous virus in the world. If you applied the same senseless arithmetic to the flu, the flu would be far more serious compared to covid. Especially considering how many more people covid has infected, of which many are asymptomatic.

I think what it comes down to is that the media and most of government (sadly, including corrupt "public health" officials) have squandered their credibility over the last four years with continuous and flagrant lies intended to remove Trump from office.

Why should anyone believe the media or government officials anymore? They have been lying to our faces for four feaking years! Russia? What bullshit.

They have an agenda:

- to prevent democracy by any means necessary lest an unapproved candidate get elected again
- to keep the half trillion dollars of Chinese imports flowing in every year no matter what it does to America
- to keep millions of illegal aliens coming over the border to drive down wages and have Democrat children
- to ruthlessly suppress all objection to the above through firings, BLM terrorism, and simple censorship on social media tightly linked to the NSA/CIA etc

So obviously one should be suspect of a "vaccine" which creates 50 new billionaires, is not approved by the FDA, and which Fauci keeps giggling about.

How many people have died of covid? How many people have died from the vaccine? I am perfectly happy for you to link me numbers and prove me wrong. Show me the senseless arithmetic??

If your only statement is "you lie" then you just sound like an ass. Because even in your own statement, I'm not lying, i'm using arithmetic with number sources you disagree with.

So it's just fucking rude and simple minded to say "you lie".

Hey, 2+2 = 4

YOU LIE.

ok asshat, go away.

ThreeBays says

The opposite of everything you wrote is true, so it's not likely the government is doing "nefarious stuff", but the ones who say the stuff you repeat probably are nefarious.

Do you personally know anyone healthy that has died from Covid? Honest question. Like you know them and could give them a phone call and they'd be like hey what's up Bob Doe. I don't know anyone that's died and my bullpen is 1k+ deep between the wife and I.

All the 2nd hand sources I've heard of were almost dead already. Sad, but every single one was close to death anyway. Yet we shut down the country. Whatever. Don't think I can change your mind.

Patrick says

Zak says

the vaccine had the same spike protein generation as the virus. If the "experimental biological agent" is going to cause you long term problems, then they are the same problems the virus would cause you because it is the same protein. But , the virus will be worse, because it will keep pumping out those proteins in greater quantity and at an increasing rate without giving your immune system a chance to respond.

I'm not convinced that a mass injection of foreign mRNA is identical to virus replication.

While it is true that the virus produces potentially harmful s-proteins during infection, it's actually a half-truth at best. The virus will produce spike proteins localized whereas the agent will produce spike proteins everywhere in the body when injected into highly vascularized areas such as the arm. It's moreso a lie that ADE will cause more serious outcomes in those "vaccinated". It happened in many of the lab animals.

WookieMan says

Do you personally know anyone healthy that has died from Covid? Honest question.

I still personally know no one at all who died from the CCP Virus, or who even got seriously ill.

Not a single person. The closest it gets it the father of a French friend. Her father was 90 and in a nursing home. His life expectancy was not good in any case.

Zak says

@mell - Your mom's case is the thing that makes me so irritated with regards to the vaccine. All the evidence I've seen says you are absolutely correct with respect to immunity and not needing the vaccine if you were infected. The lack of education on how immunity works keeps spreading mistakes like this that only lead people to question if this whole thing is a big conspiracy. We have these stupid "keep wearing your mask after vaccination" requirements. The lack of consistency and education on just what the hell is going on basically leads everyone to question everything all the time, and just take a deferential attitude to some other expert who must be right.

There IS a basic set of facts and logic and knowledge about medicine and biology that applies here. It's pretty much criminal the way Fauci has engaged when questioned if for instance there are mutated strains of covid that are not blocked by the vaccine. The answer is no. There could be a mutation, but there is not a mu...

So why are MDs and politicians peddling this lie and why would you believe anything else they say?

@patrick I'm not convinced that a mass injection of foreign mRNA is identical to virus replication.

It's not. It's definitely NOT identical. It's substantially less bad. the mRNA sequence encodes a SUBSET of the total protein mRNA sequences that the virus would generate. This is how they get the sequence to generate the spike protein without being the actual virus. The beauty of this, is that the layperson can understand it.

There is a great simple analogy too. If you want to train soldiers(your immune system) to fight a war, you train them to shoot at targets. But instead of putting in real soldiers that shoot back, you put up an outline. mRNA vaccine is just the description to produce that outline instead of the full virus that produces a real soldier shooting back.

It seems like everyone is worried that someone is sneaking in poison gas recipes along with the instructions to produce the outline. And then they say, "oh i'd rather have soldiers shooting at me, rather than some outlines, because there might be secret poison gas"

Zak says

How many people have died of covid? How many people have died from the vaccine? I am perfectly happy for you to link me numbers and prove me wrong. Show me the senseless arithmetic??

All righty then.

I just don't see a positive outcome from replacing healthy immune system with masks and a "Vaccine" regimen.

Currently you need to renew your vaccine card every six months. This biologic agent is programmable so every time the CCP releases a new variant we can quickly produce a new biological agent that will lessen the effects of the latest cold.

Masks will still be mandatory unless you are out in the wilderness with someone from your own currently vaccinated family or if you go see the Carters in Georgia.

Zak says

How many people have died of covid? How many people have died from the vaccine? I am perfectly happy for you to link me numbers and prove me wrong. Show me the senseless arithmetic??

If your only statement is "you lie" then you just sound like an ass. Because even in your own statement, I'm not lying, i'm using arithmetic with number sources you disagree with.

So it's just fucking rude and simple minded to say "you lie".

Hey, 2+2 = 4

YOU LIE.

ok asshat, go away.

You don't know how many people died of covid, just how many died with covid. You only know how many got infected, and that's anywhere between 40%-81% of the population (that's a fact from seroprevalence). Compare that to flu deaths and the flu is more dangerous since it infects far less, between 5%-20%. Ok, depending on which numbers you choose in those ranges, covid may be roughly equally serious than the flu, if you believe the death counts from senseless arithmetic.

Zak says

@patrick I'm not convinced that a mass injection of foreign mRNA is identical to virus replication.

It's not. It's definitely NOT identical. It's substantially less bad. the mRNA sequence encodes a SUBSET of the total protein mRNA sequences that the virus would generate. This is how they get the sequence to generate the spike protein without being the actual virus. The beauty of this, is that the layperson can understand it.

There is a great simple analogy too. If you want to train soldiers(your immune system) to fight a war, you train them to shoot at targets. But instead of putting in real soldiers that shoot back, you put up an outline. mRNA vaccine is just the description to produce that outline instead of the full virus that produces a real soldier shooting back.

It seems like everyone is worried that someone is sneaking in poison gas recipes along with the instructions to produce the outline. And then they say, "oh i'd rather have soldiers shooting at me, rat...

https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2021.640093/full

ADE is a real problem besides the soldiers silhouettes being deployed all over the body by the mrna and the body shooting at them everywhere, even in fragile environments prone to clotting.

@patrick

But a few ml of foreign mRNA not approved by the FDA might really fuck you up for life.

You are aware that covid is not FDA approved, right? If you get covid, you are getting that same little section of DNA that encodes the spike protein, but you are getting a bunch of other shit on top of it.. In fact, a whole self-replicating extra set of proteins.

mell says

You don't know how many people died of covid, just how many died with covid.

Not even that. Just how many had positive results from the very unreliable PCR test.

This is what Reiner Fuellmich is suing about.

@patrick
Not happening. It's been over a year. How long do we have to wait for this particular event?

you are correct. It was pointed out that I might be fear mongering. Does it seem like I am? I tried to lay out my approximations of what I think might be low probability vs high probability based on history. Did it seem off?

If this low probability event did come to pass, would you agree with my statement?
Do you at least agree that this would be one possible risk we can at least label and quantify in the event that the mutation did happen?

Again, not trying to oversell it or fear monger. I'm trying to reasonably look at risk.
https://www.livescience.com/worst-epidemics-and-pandemics-in-history.html

This counts 20 in a bit over 2000 years in the areas we can record history for.

Would it be fair to assume that with international travel this might be higher?