14
0

Inflation incoming


 invite response                
2021 Apr 14, 6:13am   21,194 views  262 comments

by RC2006   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

Who would have thought. With all the people collecting "free money" and non-stop printing.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/blog/2021/04/12/pandemic-prices-assessing-inflation-in-the-months-and-years-ahead/

« First        Comments 122 - 161 of 262       Last »     Search these comments

122   Bitcoin   2021 Nov 9, 5:58am  

For asset holders, inflation is a gift.....

House prices up
Stocks up (especially my tech stocks)
And CRYPTO! Bitcoin at 68k!

Do I really care about $5 per gallon if I make a million in profit on the other side (investments)?

The crypto market has grown to a 3 Trillion dollar market cap......and retail investors are not even flooding in yet.....
123   Patrick   2021 Nov 9, 6:25am  

True, my stocks seem to have nicely compensated for inflation, while my cash lost.
124   HeadSet   2021 Nov 9, 7:28am  

Patrick says
True, my stocks seem to have nicely compensated for inflation, while my cash lost.

Paper stock gains verses real cash purchase power losses?
125   HeadSet   2021 Nov 9, 7:32am  

Bitcoin says
House prices up

Yep, so now you get higher property taxes (except those under Prop 13) and higher insurance cost for the same house. Also, if you "cash out" in a sale, you will pay higher real estate fees on the sold house and your next house, in addition to the higher cost of the next house.
126   FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut   2021 Nov 9, 7:34am  

Bitcoin says
For asset holders, inflation is a gift.....

House prices up
Stocks up (especially my tech stocks)
And CRYPTO! Bitcoin at 68k!


not if it leads to widespread poverty and revolution...
127   Bitcoin   2021 Nov 9, 3:45pm  

FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut says
Bitcoin says
For asset holders, inflation is a gift.....

House prices up
Stocks up (especially my tech stocks)
And CRYPTO! Bitcoin at 68k!


not if it leads to widespread poverty and revolution...


you can say that about everything. What you would need to explain is HOW mild inflation is supposed to lead to widespread poverty.

Otherwise, it doesnt mean much. If I say, its a good thing that we are getting some rain in sunny California.
You can reply and say, Not if it leads to widespread poverty and revolution.
128   mell   2021 Nov 9, 3:51pm  

Bitcoin says
FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut says
Bitcoin says
For asset holders, inflation is a gift.....

House prices up
Stocks up (especially my tech stocks)
And CRYPTO! Bitcoin at 68k!


not if it leads to widespread poverty and revolution...


you can say that about everything. What you would need to explain is HOW mild inflation is supposed to lead to widespread poverty.

Otherwise, it doesnt mean much. If I say, its a good thing that we are getting some rain in sunny California.
You can reply and say, Not if it leads to widespread poverty and revolution.


The majority of people don't have the zero fucks given cash they can invest into a house or crypto or stocks, they mostly depend on paycheck increases. A sizable portion of lower and lower middle class becomes impoverished from inflation. And those in the upper middle and upper class who bet on the wrong horses. If you can't safely save money at a good enough rate to outpace inflation you're at the whim of speculation/investing or of your employer and savings account
129   Bitcoin   2021 Nov 9, 3:51pm  

HeadSet says
Bitcoin says
House prices up

Yep, so now you get higher property taxes (except those under Prop 13) and higher insurance cost for the same house. Also, if you "cash out" in a sale, you will pay higher real estate fees on the sold house and your next house, in addition to the higher cost of the next house.


yes, i am in CA and under prop13. so property taxes are capped.
I also have no interest in selling RE. Only holding and renting out.

Inflation is good for me as a homeowner. I dont like to pay off the house because a lender is lending me money at 2.75% for 30y. Instead of paying back the loan at once, i invest my cash at much higher returns. In the meantime, inflation is eating away the value of my debt. My debt is fixed and becomes less "valuable" while income rises.

We are in a prime situation......terrible for poor people. But best conditions for people with assets and cash to invest. This is the time to make a killing and set yourself up for early retirement and generational wealth.
131   Bitcoin   2021 Nov 9, 8:57pm  

mell says
If you can't safely save money at a good enough rate to outpace inflation you're at the whim of speculation/investing or of your employer and savings account


Totally, the poor are fucked. Middle class has to invest in stocks, crypto and RE. no other way to stay ahead.
132   Patrick   2021 Nov 9, 10:16pm  

HeadSet says
Patrick says
True, my stocks seem to have nicely compensated for inflation, while my cash lost.

Paper stock gains verses real cash purchase power losses?


Yes.
135   Patrick   2021 Nov 12, 2:29pm  

https://notthebee.com/article/president-biden-did-you-ever-think-youd-be-paying-this-much-for-a-gallon-of-gas


I didn't make it up. He really said that. And he said it on the day U.S. inflation came in at a 31-year-high.

Now THERE is a sound byte for the ages.
137   Misc   2021 Nov 12, 11:58pm  

Food prices going up...just increase the amount of food stamps some more.
138   FuckTheMainstreamMedia   2021 Nov 13, 12:37am  

Bitcoin says
mell says
If you can't safely save money at a good enough rate to outpace inflation you're at the whim of speculation/investing or of your employer and savings account


Totally, the poor are fucked. Middle class has to invest in stocks, crypto and RE. no other way to stay ahead.


You must live in some sort of bizarro alternate world.

It’s the average Joe that would be fucked. And your premise earlier that everyone’s underwater is not correct either. 2018 and 2019 financially were some of the best years in a couple decades for the average dude. It’s why wages were record setting. Of course Covid and a likely rigged election messed that up.

But anyway, yeah inflation now. Air flight are still underpopulated so not a good measure. Otoh US measured inflation is, as is noticeable price increases at the grocery store including with entirely domestic items like dairy and fresh meat. You’d be blind not to notice.

Good luck getting the unwashed masses to invest like you state. Better would be a federal government t hat raised interest rates substantially and quit printing money left and right.
139   clambo   2021 Nov 13, 6:32am  

Inflation is not a “gift” for investors, but investing provides some protection against it, unlike cash in the bank.
140   HeadSet   2021 Nov 13, 8:36am  

clambo says
Inflation is not a “gift” for investors

Correct. Inflation is a gift for irresponsible debtors.
141   AmericanKulak   2021 Nov 13, 9:29am  

HeadSet says
Correct. Inflation is a gift for irresponsible debtors.


Debtors, irresponsible or not.

Banks had over a decade of ZIRP. It's time to give to the debtors now.

6% inflation + 3.5% fixed rate = awesome for homebuyers (assuming they get some COLA)

Savers can finally get a decent CD or be in the stock market.
142   HeadSet   2021 Nov 13, 12:34pm  

CaptainHorsePaste says
Savers can finally get a decent CD or be in the stock market.

I see the inflation everywhere, but I have not see decent CD rates.
143   HeadSet   2021 Nov 13, 12:36pm  

CaptainHorsePaste says
Debtors, irresponsible or not.

More the irresponsible debtors. People who borrowed to invest in business see their daily costs for that business increase. People who overextended to buy consumer goods just see their folly rewarded a bit.
144   AmericanKulak   2021 Nov 13, 6:16pm  

HeadSet says
I see the inflation everywhere, but I have not see decent CD rates.


ZIRP will end and the CDs will have to offer above inflation to be worth a damn.

When the free bankster money stops.
145   Patrick   2021 Nov 13, 6:24pm  

HeadSet says
clambo says
Inflation is not a “gift” for investors

Correct. Inflation is a gift for irresponsible debtors.


Wage inflation is a gift for irresponsible debtors.

But do we have as much wage inflation as cost of living inflation?
146   HeadSet   2021 Nov 13, 6:42pm  

Patrick says
Wage inflation is a gift for irresponsible debtors.

True economic inflation includes both wages and prices. And yes, I would say the wage part is inflating. Around here, Job that were minimum wage are going begging at $15-$20 an hour. Government checks like Social Security will get a 5% increase this January.
147   Patrick   2021 Nov 15, 7:55pm  

Added comic to original post.
148   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2021 Nov 15, 8:03pm  

good one.
149   Hircus   2021 Nov 15, 10:35pm  




They seem to be taking this stance that the bill will help fight inflation. I think it will make it worse, at least in the short term, due to more spending. Infrastructure like new ports and roads will take years to build, and thus so will their contributions to supply chain efficiency that could give some inflation relief.

Either:
- They expect inflation to be short lived, which would allow them to falsely take credit for "fixing it" with their bill.
- They expect inflation to be long lived, and are positioning their rhetoric and actions accordingly, easing us into the new era of high inflation, making the poor more dependant on them, while enriching their rich asset-flush donors masters.

So far I've been more in the camp that the inflation will be short lived, but my left eyebrow is starting to rise. Our national debt is high, and I've heard many say that inflating the debt away is our only realistic option given that americans have zero appetite for austerity. I wouldn't be too surprised if we enter a period of engineered high inflation. Seeing our gas prices surge, while also seeing Xoe approve russian pipelines while stopping our pipeline projects and halting drilling smells bad.

Also, I was just at the grocery store. Beef and Bacon prices seemed about 30-40% higher than 2-3 weeks ago, although many other prices were about the same or less dramatic increases. Might be targeted supply restrictions on farting cows, so bill gates can sell us eco-safe boca burgers grown on his farmland holdings (staffed with all his newly hired illegals, supplied to him by the dems)? lol
151   Blue   2021 Nov 17, 1:00pm  

That means he is throwing gas on fire to control fire. There’s no credible reason to believe inflation will be controlled by firing people and intensify production and supply problems for his dangerous injections as a big pharma representative. All responsible savers get f* both by irresponsible spenders and gov.
153   Blue   2021 Nov 20, 12:51am  

"experts" are always wrong.
154   Patrick   2021 Nov 20, 4:23am  

I read this book back in college, and it was great:

https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/836773.The_Experts_Speak




It's just a book of quotes by "experts" being very wrong.
156   Bitcoin   2021 Nov 20, 6:57am  

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says
You must live in some sort of bizarro alternate world.


>>>>>nope, its not bizarre at all. money printing + long interest rates = asset inflation, add covid supply shortages and people who dont want to work to the equation and you have inflation across the board.

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says

It’s the average Joe that would be fucked.

>>>>>maybe we have a diff. definition of avg joe. I simplify: people who have' houses and stocks/crypto and have good paying jobs are just fine. The poor are fucked. poor means no stocks and no house. And people who wait for a crash and sit on cash are losing big time.


FuckTheMainstreamMedia says
And your premise earlier that everyone’s underwater is not correct either. 2018 and 2019 financially were some of the best years in a couple decades for the average dude. It’s why wages were record setting. Of course Covid and a likely rigged election messed that up.


>>>>>>when did i say everyone's under water? BTW 2020 was better than 2019.....i bought stocks left and right during the covid crash - a buying opportunity of a lifetime if you bought the lows.

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says
But anyway, yeah inflation now. Air flight are still underpopulated so not a good measure. Otoh US measured inflation is, as is noticeable price i...


>>>>>I flew twice to the east cost in the past few months. Airports are packed and flights are full. You can fly for 300 bucks with Alaska air to Newark and back to San Diego. Not that I care (the company pays for it) but its dirt cheap. Sure other items are up (groceries, gas) but my house, stocks and crypto also massively increased in value.

You just got to learn how to play the game in any market.
157   krc   2021 Nov 20, 8:19am  

I am not so sure we will see inflation. Some comments from a spat between Dorsey and Cathie Wood (where Dorsey said hyperinflation was coming)...
==============================
Wood said the three roots of deflation will be:

Technologically enabled innovation, which will be the "most potent source." This includes artificial intelligence, an industry whose training costs have been dropping 40%-70% at an annual rate, in what she called a record-breaking deflationary force. "AI is likely to transform every sector, industry, and company" over the next 5-10 years, she said.

Creative destruction due to disruptive innovation. Many companies, she said, have catered to short-term-oriented shareholders who mainly seek profit, instead of investing in innovation. These companies "will be forced to service their debts by selling increasingly obsolete goods at discounts: deflation," she added.

Cyclical factors. After shutting down, many business are still catching up to consumer demand that surged during the pandemic and are likely ordering double or triple what they typically need. But she predicted that wave will pass. "Once the holiday season passes and companies face excess supplies, prices should unwind," she said, adding that some commodity prices such as lumber and iron ore have dropped 50%.

She also said oil demand is below 2019 levels, and rising prices should weaken it. Meanwhile, the ESG trend is forcing energy companies to shift investments toward renewables, and banks are lending less to the sector. Plus, electric vehicles are taking off, "sowing the seeds of a serious oil price decline longer term."
158   komputodo   2021 Nov 20, 8:56am  

Bitcoin says
Sure other items are up (groceries, gas) but my house, stocks and crypto also massively increased in value.

You just got to learn how to play the game in any market.

So to stay ahead of the game, all you need to do is gamble and win!
159   Blue   2021 Nov 20, 11:08am  

After watching long enough, I am very convinced that deflation will never happen. Corrupt gov thinks it’s a gift to print even more money in additon to the regular printing. Imagine now with new “social spending” crap, it will bump up more inflammation. Every nation is devaluing their currency. Only difference is that it’s happening at faster rate now using “pandemic” tool.
160   mell   2021 Nov 20, 3:07pm  

Blue says
After watching long enough, I am very convinced that deflation will never happen. Corrupt gov thinks it’s a gift to print even more money in additon to the regular printing. Imagine now with new “social spending” crap, it will bump up more inflammation. Every nation is devaluing their currency. Only difference is that it’s happening at faster rate now using “pandemic” tool.


Agreed
161   Shaman   2021 Nov 20, 3:52pm  

For average Americans with debt, inflation is a gift. Sure it’s going to suck for a few years while wages adjust to the new fiscal reality, but everything you owe money on is going to become worth more while your debt depreciates.
Example: you owe $500,000 on your home valued at $600,000. You make $100,000 a year. After five years of this sort of inflation, the home is now worth $900,000 and the debt is the same. Thanks to market forces and employment being tight, you have managed to swing a commensurate 50% raise and now make $150,000 annually. Your income and house are now 50% greater, but your debt hasn’t changed much at all. In fact, it’s decreased slightly, meaning that the $3000 mortgage payment that used to tax you severely is now quite affordable and as a percentage of your salary has dropped from (100,000/$36,000=36% - 150,000/36,000= 24% = 36-24= 12%) 36% of your income to a mere 24%, a 12% drop, or 1/3 drop from where it used to be. You owe $465,000 now, about half what your house is worth, compared to the 83% that used to belong to the bank.
Yes, everything else is now more expensive as well, but none of your expenses are as much as your housing expense, and you have more of your income available to pay for them.
And your subjective wealth has grown by $400,000. You are now almost a half millionaire!

« First        Comments 122 - 161 of 262       Last »     Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   random   suggestions   gaiste