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Russian Black Sea Fleet is practically neutered.


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2022 May 9, 11:06am   30,512 views  259 comments

by Eric Holder   ➕follow (5)   💰tip   ignore  


After the dramatic sinking of the missile-cruiser Moskva by a Ukrainian missile battery on April 14, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is down to just three major surface combatants. The best and most important of them might be the new missile-frigate Admiral Makarov.
...

On Thursday and Friday there were reports the Ukrainians had landed a blow with a Neptune and the frigate was on fire. There was no immediate hard evidence to back up the rumors, although one blurry video that circulated online does seem to depict a warship in flames.

Commissioned in 2017, Admiral Makarov is the third, last and most modern vessel in her class. All three of the Admiral Grigorovich-class frigates belong to the Black Sea Fleet. Armed with 24 Buk medium-range surface-to-air missiles and eight Kalibr cruise missiles, all in vertical cells, the frigates can escort other vessels and also attack targets on land.

Admiral Makarov and her sisters are not big ships. Displacing just 4,000 tons of water and accommodating 200 crew, they’re less than half the size of the U.S. Navy’s main surface combatants, the Arleigh Burke-class destroyers.

But the frigates are about as big as Russia can make a non-nuclear surface combatant these days, for reasons that—ironically—have everything to do with the current war. Throughout the Soviet era and for years after the USSR’s collapse, Russia acquired its big marine engines from Ukraine.

After Russia in 2014 invaded and annexed Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula—including the port of Sevastopol where Admiral Makarov now is based—Kyiv barred certain exports to Russia, including the marine engines Russia requires for any fast, conventional vessel displacing more than 5,000 tons or so.

Which is to say, after 2014 the Russian navy struggled to build big warships. That made it impossible to replace, like for like, the biggest Soviet-vintage ships such as Moskva, which displaced 12,000 tons.


...

Moskva’s sinking, along with the earlier destruction of the Black Sea Fleet landing ship Saratov following an apparent hit by a Ukrainian ballistic missile, spooked fleet commanders. They pulled back the surviving surface ships.

Many, including one Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate—it’s not clear which—were moored in Sevastopol as recently as Thursday. When the warships do sail from Crimea, they tend to stay 100 miles or so from the Ukrainian coast, potentially keeping them beyond the range of Kyiv’s Neptunes.

Keeping at a safe distance meant the frigates apparently were in no position to help when the Ukrainian navy last week mounted a furious drone assault on the Russian garrison on Snake Island. The tiny hunk of rock, 25 miles off the coast of southwestern Ukraine, helped Kyiv assert some control over the western Black Sea—until the Russians captured it on the first full day of the current war on Feb. 24.

Ukrainian TB-2 drones knocked out Russian air-defenses on the island then went hunting deeper at sea. On Monday, a TB-2 struck two Russian Raptor-class patrol boats with laser-guided missiles, heavily damaging if not destroying both of the 55-foot boats as they motored toward Snake Island.

Without the protection of a frigate, the Raptors were sitting ducks. In that sense, sinking Moskva—and scaring off the rest of the Black Sea Fleet’s major combatants—was as good as sinking the frigates, too. It doesn’t matter that Russia still has three powerful warships in the Black Sea if those ships can’t, or won’t, risk approaching the Ukrainian coast.
...



https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/05/06/the-russian-frigate-admiral-makarov-might-be-the-juiciest-target-in-the-black-sea/?sh=5439ecbb74d5&source=patrick.net

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165   AmericanKulak   2023 Sep 18, 9:07pm  

Patrick says

Hadn't heard of him before then, but I think he was the richest man in the world, and needed some good PR. It was a good deed for sure.

Around 1500 he personally owned at least 2% of Europe's GDP and was wealthy enough to pay for the Emperor's Army salaries, wages, and supplies.
166   RWSGFY   2023 Sep 19, 9:07am  

Let's take a gander, shall we?

This is pre-war strength if the Red Fleet in the Black Sea:



40 surface warships and 4 submarines (7 officially, but 2 are out in the Med and one - Alrosa - in non-functioning state for a decade).

And here are the confirmed losses:





15 combatants and one tug.

(Screenshots from here: https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html?m=1)

So, out of 44 warships and subs 15 are lost.

Does that mean the Soviet Black Sea Fleet has been decimated? Nope: decimation in Latin means 1 out of ten. Here we have 1 out of every 3. What's the Latin word for this situation?

Mind you, all this achieved w/o American weaponry: it's indigenous AShMs and USVs, Turkish drones, British and French cruise missiles, some AShMs from Norway, etc. Sleepy Joe is still waffling on ATACMS (that $35M from Baturina is working as intended) which could've helped finishing the job and ending the war much faster.
167   socal2   2023 Sep 19, 9:41am  

RWSGFY says

Does that mean the Soviet Black Sea Fleet has been decimated? Nope: decimation in Latin means 1 out of ten. Here we have 1 out of every 3. What's the Latin word for this situation?


But but but McGreggor said the Ukrainians have been "Bled White" and are going to fall any day now.
168   RWSGFY   2023 Sep 19, 10:02am  

socal2 says

RWSGFY says


Does that mean the Soviet Black Sea Fleet has been decimated? Nope: decimation in Latin means 1 out of ten. Here we have 1 out of every 3. What's the Latin word for this situation?


But but but McGreggor said the Ukrainians have been "Bled White" and are going to fall any day now.


... back in March of 2022 no less.
169   Shaman   2023 Sep 19, 11:13am  

You know it’s about over when the state-controlled media throws in the towel…

https://www.newsweek.com/we-can-no-longer-hide-truth-about-russia-ukraine-war-opinion-1826532
170   Shaman   2023 Sep 19, 11:14am  

Plus up to 500,000 North Korean troops coming to the war on Putin’s side. In exchange for feeding them and providing tech NK wants.
171   AmericanKulak   2023 Sep 19, 11:43am  

RWSGFY says

Mind you, all this achieved w/o American weaponry: it's indigenous AShMs and USVs, Turkish drones, British and French cruise missiles, some AShMs from Norway, etc. Sleepy Joe is still waffling on ATACMS (that $35M from Baturina is working as intended) which could've helped finishing the job and ending the war much faster.

Yep:

* Explains why Russia is snippy over Crimea and NATO in the Black Sea

* A warning that the day of surface vessels is about over. The carrier and guided missile destroyer/cruiser is going to be like the Battleship in WW2. Build more subs.
172   Eric Holder   2023 Sep 19, 11:59am  

AmericanKulak says



A warning that the day of surface vessels is about over. The carrier and guided missile destroyer/cruiser is going to be like the Battleship in WW2. Build more subs.



I think it's an over-simplification. For example Moskva was supposed to be the IAD umbrella for the whole Black Sea fleet, able to protect against aircraft, AShMs, cruise missiles, you-name-it. Yet, it was taken out by 2 AShMs. Then, there is another wunderwaffe - S-400 - which is supposedly able to shot down everything from aircraft and drones to cruise and ballistic missiles. Two of these have been destroyed by some combination of drone/missile attack in the last week. Two, Karl!

On the other hand we see fragile and overhyped Patriot practically closing the skies over Kyiv for everything Soviet threw at them, including the hypersonic Pukin wunderwaffe Kinzhal.

It's not just the concept, execution matters a lot. Soviets create lots of hype over their supposedly advanced military tech and its capabilites. When checked in battle (or brought in by defectors, as was in case of MiG-25) they sometimes fall way short of the hype. So if Soviets can't do missile destroyer thing properly, doesn't mean nobody can.
173   Eric Holder   2023 Sep 19, 12:02pm  

Shaman says


You know it’s about over when the state-controlled media throws in the towel…


What is state-controlled media here? Oryx? And all the photo/video there is CGI? Bless your heart...
174   AmericanKulak   2023 Sep 19, 12:02pm  

Eric Holder says

On the other hand we see fragile and overhyped Patriot practically closing the skies over Kyiv for everything Soviet threw at them, including the hypersonic Pukin wunderwaffe Kinzhal.


You mean the one that was aimed at and hit the Patriot Battery?

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/16/politics/patriot-missile-damage-ukraine
175   Eric Holder   2023 Sep 22, 11:22am  

This morning Black Sea Fleet HQ in Sevastopol was hit during high level meeting, no info on dead or wounded, but ambulances were responding to HQ from all over Sevastopol region. Also were hit units in Yevpatoria, Feodosia, and a few AA units mostly Pantsir-S1 or S2 were destroyed. S-300 and S-400 seem to survive this night.
176   Eric Holder   2023 Sep 22, 11:23am  

AmericanKulak says

Eric Holder says


On the other hand we see fragile and overhyped Patriot practically closing the skies over Kyiv for everything Soviet threw at them, including the hypersonic Pukin wunderwaffe Kinzhal.


You mean the one that was aimed at and hit the Patriot Battery?

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/16/politics/patriot-missile-damage-ukraine


Yep. The Patriot is still up and running.
177   Eric Holder   2023 Sep 22, 11:31am  




"What air defense doing?"
178   Eric Holder   2023 Sep 22, 11:33am  

CGI! CGI!!! CGI!!!!


179   Eric Holder   2023 Sep 22, 11:35am  

Multiple explosions in the port of occupied Sebastopol:


180   RayAmerica   2023 Sep 22, 1:33pm  

Rand Paul calls out Lindsey Graham over Ukraine aid

"In order for us to give more money to Ukraine, we have to first borrow it from China."

Sen. Paul vows to stop any spending bill with Ukraine aid attached to it.
https://rumble.com/v3jkwoj-rand-paul-calls-out-lindsey-graham-over-ukraine-aid.html
181   RayAmerica   2023 Sep 22, 8:38pm  

Seymour Hersh Claims Ukraine ‘War Effort’ Is ‘All Lies’: ‘The War Is Over – Russia Has Won’

“The war is over. Russia has won,” a senior U.S. intel official reportedly told Hersh.

“There is no Ukrainian offensive anymore, but the White House and the American media have to keep the lie going.

“The truth is if the Ukrainian army is ordered to continue the offensive, the army would mutiny.

“The soldiers aren’t willing to die anymore, but this doesn’t fit the B.S. that is being authored by the Biden White House.”
https://slaynews.com/news/seymour-hersh-claims-ukraine-war-effort-all-lies-war-over-russia-won/
182   RWSGFY   2023 Sep 22, 8:40pm  

More CGI for your viewing pleasure:

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1705272408620277986/mediaViewer?mode=profile

That AI-generated stuff is getting gooood!
183   richwicks   2023 Sep 22, 9:03pm  

RayAmerica says

“The soldiers aren’t willing to die anymore, but this doesn’t fit the B.S. that is being authored by the Biden White House.”
https://slaynews.com/news/seymour-hersh-claims-ukraine-war-effort-all-lies-war-over-russia-won/


I'm doubtful because why would Seymour Hersh give the story to another reporter, instead of just report on it?

Bunch of unsourced quotes in there.
185   RWSGFY   2023 Sep 23, 9:52am  

Aaaaand the remaining three landing ships are out of Sebastopol and the Black Sea alltoghether, hiding in the Nazi Sea ... err... I mean Azov Sea:

https://twitter.com/tom_bike/status/1703838577740705859



They started the SCHMO with 7 of these, btw.
186   RWSGFY   2023 Sep 23, 3:54pm  

Explosion reported near Russian Black Sea Fleet shipyard in Sevastopol

6:30 am, September 23, 2023
Source: Meduza
According to independent publication Agenstvo, residents of the city of Sevastopol in annexed Crimea reported hearing an explosion in the city’s Troitska Bay district on the morning of September 23.

According to local residents, there was a strike near Henerala Zhydylova Street, which is located near a shipyard and the 13th Ship Repair Plant, where ships that are part of the Russian Navy undergo repairs. Agenstvo’s sources noted that it’s not clear whether the missile hit the plant’s structure.

Head of annexed Sevastopol, Mikhail Razvozhayev, said that air defense systems shot down a missile and its debris fell near the pier in the Sukharnaya Bay (located opposite Troitskaya Bay on the other side of the larger Sevastopol Bay).

The Telegram channel Crimean Wind posted photos which appear to show smoke in the Sukharnaya Bay district.
188   RWSGFY   2023 Sep 23, 6:11pm  

Ceffer says






🤡
Oh, Ceffer is now worried about Clihmate Chaaange. How cute.

You know who can turn everybody's attention to that precious AGW you and Greta are so worried about? The Cretin of Kremlin. All he needs to do is to take his war criminals back to their already very generous internationally-recognized Lebensraum ... err.. borders, pay reparations and allow prosecution of all military crimes (including the forced detention and deportation to the Reich of thousands of children and whatever was done to them there). And presto - the world will be back to that AGW of yours in no time.

PS. Oh, and you know who else think the Cretin's of Kremlin adventure is a "distraction from AGW"? John fucking Kerry.
190   RWSGFY   2023 Sep 23, 6:15pm  

Neutering as seen from space:


191   richwicks   2023 Sep 23, 6:23pm  

RWSGFY says

Ceffer says





🤡
Oh, Ceffer is now worried about Clihmate Chaaange. How cute.


I think the point being made is that our governments don't really care about Climate Change other than as a distraction. If they did, they wouldn't be spending the majority of their resources on war.
192   Eric Holder   2023 Sep 25, 11:32am  

Fun facts:

Cruiser Moskva was the first flaghip sunk since 1904.
Admiral Sokolov is the first fleet commander killed since 1904.
The current flagship of the Soviet Black Sea Fleet (which replaced Moskva in that role) "Admiral Makarov" which is the name of that that admiral who was killed onboard that flaghip sunk in 1904.
194   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2023 Sep 25, 7:02pm  

RWSGFY says






What submarine?

The Kilo hit in dry docks by the drone strike was barely scratched, let alone 'damaged'.
195   RWSGFY   2023 Sep 27, 9:20am  

Trollhole says

RWSGFY says







What submarine?

The Kilo hit in dry docks by the drone strike was barely scratched, let alone 'damaged'.


You sure 'bout that? And the two gaping holes will just "buff right out"? Bless your heart.
197   RWSGFY   2023 Oct 6, 10:06am  

The demilitarization, denazification and desatanisation of Sevastopol is almost complete:

The Exodus of Russian ships from Sevastopol

Russian Black Sea Fleet moved most of its ships from Sevastopol to Novorossiysk.

All three operational submarines of Project 06363 (Kilo-class), both frigates of Project 11356 (Admiral Grigorovich-class) & one patrol ship moved to Novorossiysk.

Project 1135M (Krivak-class frigate), five large landing ships, and, apparently, the bulk of small missile ships are also in Novorossiysk.

Another part of the ships - one large landing ship, two small missile ships and both new minesweepers of Project 12700 (Alexandrit-class) - moved from Sevastopol to Feodosia.


Some CGI: https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1709463466874982723
198   RWSGFY   2023 Oct 9, 11:21pm  

Denazification and demilitarization of Sevastopol confirmed by Soviet source and even an excuse is provided:

https://twitter.com/UKikaski/status/1710264985811570767

It wasn't so hard, was it? Turns out the Red Fleet can happily exist w/o a base in Sebastopol and all that silly talk about nukes if fleet in Sevastopol is threatened was just that - silly talk.

PS. Would YOU stay if your HQ looked like this?


199   Eric Holder   2023 Oct 10, 11:00am  

Remember how Pukin exited the grain deal and declared a naval blocade? What came out of that?



PS. Resumption of food exports is a solid anti-inflationary move on Ukies part, bringing relief to these poor Americans buckling under the ginormous cost of nominal 21 cents per day per US person provided as aid to Ukraine over the last 20 month.
200   Eric Holder   2023 Oct 11, 5:13pm  

BREAKING: Unconfirmed reports about the Russian patrol ship “Pavel Derzhavin” having been blown up near Sevastopol today https://t.co/7al82RXEUp
201   Eric Holder   2023 Oct 11, 5:15pm  

All drydocks in the Black Sea are now occupied: https://youtu.be/JauEhJ8y8Ac

If Derzhavin is indeed blown up it will have nowhere to go for repairs (unless it has joined Moskva in the growing Red Flotilla submarine detachment).
202   komputodo   2023 Oct 11, 9:55pm  

Eric Holder says

All drydocks in the Black Sea are now occupied: https://youtu.be/JauEhJ8y8Ac

then all is lost for russia...they might as well surrender.
203   komputodo   2023 Oct 11, 9:56pm  

Eric Holder says

Remember how Pukin exited the grain deal and declared a naval blocade? What came out of that?

I remember our "news media" claiming that.
204   RWSGFY   2023 Oct 15, 10:55am  

Hunted like rabbits at the entrance to what used to be their home base:

https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1712920949484380428

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