patrick.net

Let's take a gander, shall we?

This is pre-war strength if the Red Fleet in the Black Sea:



40 surface warships and 4 submarines (7 officially, but 2 are out in the Med and one - Alrosa - in non-functioning state for a decade).

And here are the confirmed losses:





15 combatants and one tug.

(Screenshots from here: https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html?m=1)

So, out of 44 warships and subs 15 are lost.

Does that mean the Soviet Black Sea Fleet has been decimated? Nope: decimation in Latin means 1 out of ten. Here we have 1 out of every 3. What's the Latin word for this situation?

Mind you, all this achieved w/o American weaponry: it's indigenous AShMs and USVs, Turkish drones, British and French cruise missiles, some AShMs from Norway, etc. Sleepy Joe is still waffling on ATACMS (that $35M from Baturina is working as intended) which could've helped finishing the job and ending the war much faster.

RWSGFY says

Does that mean the Soviet Black Sea Fleet has been decimated? Nope: decimation in Latin means 1 out of ten. Here we have 1 out of every 3. What's the Latin word for this situation?

But but but McGreggor said the Ukrainians have been "Bled White" and are going to fall any day now.

socal2 says

RWSGFY says

Does that mean the Soviet Black Sea Fleet has been decimated? Nope: decimation in Latin means 1 out of ten. Here we have 1 out of every 3. What's the Latin word for this situation?

But but but McGreggor said the Ukrainians have been "Bled White" and are going to fall any day now.

... back in March of 2022 no less.

You know it’s about over when the state-controlled media throws in the towel…

https://www.newsweek.com/we-can-no-longer-hide-truth-about-russia-ukraine-war-opinion-1826532

Plus up to 500,000 North Korean troops coming to the war on Putin’s side. In exchange for feeding them and providing tech NK wants.

RWSGFY says

Mind you, all this achieved w/o American weaponry: it's indigenous AShMs and USVs, Turkish drones, British and French cruise missiles, some AShMs from Norway, etc. Sleepy Joe is still waffling on ATACMS (that $35M from Baturina is working as intended) which could've helped finishing the job and ending the war much faster.

Yep:

* Explains why Russia is snippy over Crimea and NATO in the Black Sea

* A warning that the day of surface vessels is about over. The carrier and guided missile destroyer/cruiser is going to be like the Battleship in WW2. Build more subs.

AmericanKulak says

A warning that the day of surface vessels is about over. The carrier and guided missile destroyer/cruiser is going to be like the Battleship in WW2. Build more subs.

I think it's an over-simplification. For example Moskva was supposed to be the IAD umbrella for the whole Black Sea fleet, able to protect against aircraft, AShMs, cruise missiles, you-name-it. Yet, it was taken out by 2 AShMs. Then, there is another wunderwaffe - S-400 - which is supposedly able to shot down everything from aircraft and drones to cruise and ballistic missiles. Two of these have been destroyed by some combination of drone/missile attack in the last week. Two, Karl!

On the other hand we see fragile and overhyped Patriot practically closing the skies over Kyiv for everything Soviet threw at them, including the hypersonic Pukin wunderwaffe Kinzhal.

It's not just the concept, execution matters a lot. Soviets create lots of hype over their supposedly advanced military tech and its capabilites. When checked in battle (or brought in by defectors, as was in case of MiG-25) they sometimes fall way short of the hype. So if Soviets can't do missile destroyer thing properly, doesn't mean nobody can.

Shaman says

You know it’s about over when the state-controlled media throws in the towel…

What is state-controlled media here? Oryx? And all the photo/video there is CGI? Bless your heart...

Eric Holder says

On the other hand we see fragile and overhyped Patriot practically closing the skies over Kyiv for everything Soviet threw at them, including the hypersonic Pukin wunderwaffe Kinzhal.

You mean the one that was aimed at and hit the Patriot Battery?

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/16/politics/patriot-missile-damage-ukraine

This morning Black Sea Fleet HQ in Sevastopol was hit during high level meeting, no info on dead or wounded, but ambulances were responding to HQ from all over Sevastopol region. Also were hit units in Yevpatoria, Feodosia, and a few AA units mostly Pantsir-S1 or S2 were destroyed. S-300 and S-400 seem to survive this night.

AmericanKulak says

Eric Holder says

On the other hand we see fragile and overhyped Patriot practically closing the skies over Kyiv for everything Soviet threw at them, including the hypersonic Pukin wunderwaffe Kinzhal.

You mean the one that was aimed at and hit the Patriot Battery?

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/16/politics/patriot-missile-damage-ukraine

Yep. The Patriot is still up and running.

"What air defense doing?"

CGI! CGI!!! CGI!!!!

Multiple explosions in the port of occupied Sebastopol:

Rand Paul calls out Lindsey Graham over Ukraine aid

"In order for us to give more money to Ukraine, we have to first borrow it from China."

Sen. Paul vows to stop any spending bill with Ukraine aid attached to it.
https://rumble.com/v3jkwoj-rand-paul-calls-out-lindsey-graham-over-ukraine-aid.html

Seymour Hersh Claims Ukraine ‘War Effort’ Is ‘All Lies’: ‘The War Is Over – Russia Has Won’

“The war is over. Russia has won,” a senior U.S. intel official reportedly told Hersh.

“There is no Ukrainian offensive anymore, but the White House and the American media have to keep the lie going.

“The truth is if the Ukrainian army is ordered to continue the offensive, the army would mutiny.

“The soldiers aren’t willing to die anymore, but this doesn’t fit the B.S. that is being authored by the Biden White House.”
https://slaynews.com/news/seymour-hersh-claims-ukraine-war-effort-all-lies-war-over-russia-won/

More CGI for your viewing pleasure:

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1705272408620277986/mediaViewer?mode=profile

That AI-generated stuff is getting gooood!

RayAmerica says

“The soldiers aren’t willing to die anymore, but this doesn’t fit the B.S. that is being authored by the Biden White House.”
https://slaynews.com/news/seymour-hersh-claims-ukraine-war-effort-all-lies-war-over-russia-won/

I'm doubtful because why would Seymour Hersh give the story to another reporter, instead of just report on it?

Bunch of unsourced quotes in there.

Aaaaand the remaining three landing ships are out of Sebastopol and the Black Sea alltoghether, hiding in the Nazi Sea ... err... I mean Azov Sea:

https://twitter.com/tom_bike/status/1703838577740705859



They started the SCHMO with 7 of these, btw.

Explosion reported near Russian Black Sea Fleet shipyard in Sevastopol

6:30 am, September 23, 2023
Source: Meduza
According to independent publication Agenstvo, residents of the city of Sevastopol in annexed Crimea reported hearing an explosion in the city’s Troitska Bay district on the morning of September 23.

According to local residents, there was a strike near Henerala Zhydylova Street, which is located near a shipyard and the 13th Ship Repair Plant, where ships that are part of the Russian Navy undergo repairs. Agenstvo’s sources noted that it’s not clear whether the missile hit the plant’s structure.

Head of annexed Sevastopol, Mikhail Razvozhayev, said that air defense systems shot down a missile and its debris fell near the pier in the Sukharnaya Bay (located opposite Troitskaya Bay on the other side of the larger Sevastopol Bay).

The Telegram channel Crimean Wind posted photos which appear to show smoke in the Sukharnaya Bay district.

Ceffer says

🤡
Oh, Ceffer is now worried about Clihmate Chaaange. How cute.

You know who can turn everybody's attention to that precious AGW you and Greta are so worried about? The Cretin of Kremlin. All he needs to do is to take his war criminals back to their already very generous internationally-recognized Lebensraum ... err.. borders, pay reparations and allow prosecution of all military crimes (including the forced detention and deportation to the Reich of thousands of children and whatever was done to them there). And presto - the world will be back to that AGW of yours in no time.

PS. Oh, and you know who else think the Cretin's of Kremlin adventure is a "distraction from AGW"? John fucking Kerry.

Neutering as seen from space:

RWSGFY says

Ceffer says

🤡
Oh, Ceffer is now worried about Clihmate Chaaange. How cute.

I think the point being made is that our governments don't really care about Climate Change other than as a distraction. If they did, they wouldn't be spending the majority of their resources on war.

Fun facts:

Cruiser Moskva was the first flaghip sunk since 1904.
Admiral Sokolov is the first fleet commander killed since 1904.
The current flagship of the Soviet Black Sea Fleet (which replaced Moskva in that role) "Admiral Makarov" which is the name of that that admiral who was killed onboard that flaghip sunk in 1904.

RWSGFY says

What submarine?

The Kilo hit in dry docks by the drone strike was barely scratched, let alone 'damaged'.

Trollhole says

RWSGFY says

What submarine?

The Kilo hit in dry docks by the drone strike was barely scratched, let alone 'damaged'.

You sure 'bout that? And the two gaping holes will just "buff right out"? Bless your heart.

Neutered and beheaded:

https://twitter.com/UKikaski/status/1706692184295059623

The demilitarization, denazification and desatanisation of Sevastopol is almost complete:

The Exodus of Russian ships from Sevastopol

Russian Black Sea Fleet moved most of its ships from Sevastopol to Novorossiysk.

All three operational submarines of Project 06363 (Kilo-class), both frigates of Project 11356 (Admiral Grigorovich-class) & one patrol ship moved to Novorossiysk.

Project 1135M (Krivak-class frigate), five large landing ships, and, apparently, the bulk of small missile ships are also in Novorossiysk.

Another part of the ships - one large landing ship, two small missile ships and both new minesweepers of Project 12700 (Alexandrit-class) - moved from Sevastopol to Feodosia.

Some CGI: https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1709463466874982723

Denazification and demilitarization of Sevastopol confirmed by Soviet source and even an excuse is provided:

https://twitter.com/UKikaski/status/1710264985811570767

It wasn't so hard, was it? Turns out the Red Fleet can happily exist w/o a base in Sebastopol and all that silly talk about nukes if fleet in Sevastopol is threatened was just that - silly talk.

PS. Would YOU stay if your HQ looked like this?

Remember how Pukin exited the grain deal and declared a naval blocade? What came out of that?



PS. Resumption of food exports is a solid anti-inflationary move on Ukies part, bringing relief to these poor Americans buckling under the ginormous cost of nominal 21 cents per day per US person provided as aid to Ukraine over the last 20 month.

BREAKING: Unconfirmed reports about the Russian patrol ship “Pavel Derzhavin” having been blown up near Sevastopol today https://t.co/7al82RXEUp

All drydocks in the Black Sea are now occupied: https://youtu.be/JauEhJ8y8Ac

If Derzhavin is indeed blown up it will have nowhere to go for repairs (unless it has joined Moskva in the growing Red Flotilla submarine detachment).

Eric Holder says

All drydocks in the Black Sea are now occupied: https://youtu.be/JauEhJ8y8Ac

then all is lost for russia...they might as well surrender.

Eric Holder says

Remember how Pukin exited the grain deal and declared a naval blocade? What came out of that?

I remember our "news media" claiming that.

Hunted like rabbits at the entrance to what used to be their home base:

https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1712920949484380428

The neutering continued in Kerch:

The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched 15 Storm shadow cruise missiles at the small missile ship Karakurt in Kerch. 13 missiles were allegedly shot down. This means that at least two missiles with a warhead of 450 kg each hit the ship, which means Karakurt either received heavy damage and was disabled for a long time, or it was destroyed and cannot be restored. The words about 15 missiles raise many questions, since earlier the Russian Defense Ministry itself stated that it had destroyed all Ukrainian Su-24 bombers capable of carrying cruise missiles. And now it turns out that at least 15 Su-24s were raised for the strike at the same time.

https://t.me/ButusovPlus/6021

The moment of the destruction of the small missile ship of the Russian Navy Karakurt at the dock in Kerch by Storm Shadow cruise missiles of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on November 4. As you can see, Russian air defense was probably able to shoot down two cruise missiles, but the other two broke through and accurately hit the target. The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that 13 missiles were allegedly shot down. The relatively high flight altitude of Storm Shadow is noteworthy. This is what allows Russian air defense to detect and hit a certain number of missiles using stealth technology. Reducing altitude requires more precise programming of the rocket's flight parameters. Obviously, the shipyard is covered by air defense, since it has already been hit before, and is located next to the Kerch Bridge, which the occupiers smoked. This shows that the enemy has established early warning and warnings against missile attacks, but Russian air defense is still unable to fully protect its Kerch facilities.

https://t.me/ButusovPlus/6022