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Exponential: Ebola Cases Now Double Every 3 Weeks; CDC Warns As Many As Half A M


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2014 Sep 19, 10:53am   38,583 views  89 comments

by indigenous   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-19/exponential-ebola-cases-now-double-every-3-weeks-cdc-warns-over-half-million-may-be-

The Ebola crisis has evolved into a complex emergency, with significant political, social, economic, humanitarian and security dimensions.  The suffering and spillover effects in the region and beyond demand the attention of the entire world.

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50   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 1:39pm  

bgamall4 says

He and Romney both employ Eugenics professors.

WTF, it has NOTHING to do with eugenics.

51   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 1:49pm  

APOCALYPSEFUCKisShostikovitch says

Romney said to his donors 'FORTY SEVEN PERCENT OF AMERICA MUST FUCKING DIE!'

He said that? Obama is doing it, like all good democrats they getting us killed wholesale.

52   Y   2014 Sep 20, 2:20pm  

i think it's geometric only in europe...

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

53   Y   2014 Sep 20, 2:23pm  

I don't think patrick permits bisexual solicitation here...

turtledove says

Is the variable discrete?

54   HydroCabron   2014 Sep 20, 2:54pm  

humanity says

Right wingers tend to be motivated by fear more than anything else, and this is going to be a very huge story by November

A tour of the conservative quote book:

1950s: "Communism is scary. We need to give up our rights to fight it."

1980s: "AIDS is scary. Isn't it time we gave up all our civil rights?"

2001: "Scary Muslims are scary - time to get rid of the Bill of Rights!"

2014: "Ebola!? The Constitution is not a suicide pact!"

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same. People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

"You people have no balls - no guts. Now if anyone wants me, I'll be hiding under my coffee table with my AR-15, wetting myself in fear of the coming Iranian attack."

55   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 3:01pm  

HydroCabron says

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same: People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

This mutt is pulling shit out of his ass

56   Ceffer   2014 Sep 20, 3:54pm  

When it comes to diseases, geometric is bad enough. Exponential means the entire galaxy will have Ebola soon.

Gatlings and flame throwers will keep the progression linear.

57   ChapulinColorado   2014 Sep 21, 12:48pm  

FortWayne says

We should really ban flights from Africa. They never bring anything good here.

We should, don't really care that others think it is paranoia. There is almost nothing good that can come during this epidemic from Africa via open air travel. IMO, shut it down now!

58   indigenous   2014 Sep 21, 3:20pm  

Not enough, when you consider the 21 day incubation period.

59   Y   2014 Sep 22, 2:07pm  

http://www.youtube.com/embed/9bH_fCvNLCw

Call it Crazy says

WHO: 21,000 Ebola cases by November if no changes

LONDON (AP) — New estimates from the World Health Organization warn the number of Ebola cases could hit 21,000 in six weeks unless efforts to curb the outbreak are ramped up.

60   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Sep 22, 2:52pm  

My guess would be ebola will reach a few hundreds thousands deaths a yr, after which it will sort of stabilize because sanitary quarantines will be enforced with machine guns.

This means no one here will notice, except a few unlucky people whose neighbors in a plane will start puking blood on them.

It will likely go on for a few years.

61   indigenous   2014 Sep 22, 3:29pm  

Sounds optimistic, this is an exponential situation, governments don't react until it is too late.

62   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Sep 22, 3:41pm  

It's exponential at the beginning until it runs into limits. In this case some regions will be too sparse, some will take effective measures, some people will flee etc...

It cannot stay exponential or we would all die which is preposterous.

63   indigenous   2014 Sep 22, 3:54pm  

I know things tend to go to the negative when talking about disasters.

However the Spanish Flu infected 500 million people and killed between 50 and 100 million. The mortality rate was 10 to 20% with this it is 50%. There is no treatment for this, so technology will not help in fact it will make it worse by spreading it.

I hope your take is what happens.

64   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Sep 22, 4:03pm  

indigenous says

However the Spanish Flu infected 500 million people and killed between 50 and 100 million. The mortality rate was 10 to 20% with this it is 50%. There is no treatment for this, so technology will not help in fact it will make it worse by spreading it.

The flu is more contagious.

Tens of thousand die of the flu in the US each year and we rarely hear about it.

65   indigenous   2014 Sep 22, 4:06pm  

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

66   Vicente   2014 Sep 22, 4:15pm  

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Ebola is not airborne, contact with fluids is the vector. The growth rate in the current areas, is due to a set of factors unlikely outside Africa.

67   Vicente   2014 Sep 22, 4:16pm  

HydroCabron says

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same. People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

"You people have no balls - no guts. Now if anyone wants me, I'll be hiding under my coffee table with my AR-15, wetting myself in fear of the coming Iranian attack."

I like the cut of your jib.

68   bob2356   2014 Sep 22, 7:46pm  

Vicente says

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Ebola is not airborne, contact with fluids is the vector. The growth rate in the current areas, is due to a set of factors unlikely outside Africa.

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

69   indigenous   2014 Sep 22, 8:37pm  

bob2356 says

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

Nothing you would ever be a vector of.

70   bob2356   2014 Sep 23, 12:01am  

indigenous says

bob2356 says

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

Nothing you would ever be a vector of.

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

71   Vicente   2014 Sep 23, 1:00am  

When it started as like 100+ victims, I made a thread about ebola here

http://patrick.net/?p=1244530
and....

Now y'all are in full panic mode.

72   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Sep 23, 1:25am  

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Exponential has nothing to do with how contagious it is.

Let's say it doubles every century: that's still an exponential.

73   indigenous   2014 Sep 23, 1:56am  

bob2356 says

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

Ok grammar nanny how would you form that sentence?

74   HydroCabron   2014 Sep 23, 2:07am  

Welcome to another edition of Austrians Wetting Themselves!

To amp up the scare factor, it helps to have a poor grasp of mathematics and proportion - these are qualities libertarians possess in abundance.

Boo! Scary Ebola! Bwahahahaha! This will probably kill 60 brazilian people like, totally dead.

Austrians: Wash everything that comes to your house with a solution of bleach and water. Large-cap mags, boxes of primers, casings and other reloading supplies, issues of Soldier of Fortune, shitty Ayn Rand tripe, copies of the collected works of Murray Rothbard, cases of adult fear diapers and AR-15 night vision scopes should all be thoroughly disinfected before use. Don surgical gloves before masturbating to images of Rand Paul at Austrian social gatherings - very important!

Trust no one.

75   indigenous   2014 Sep 23, 2:11am  

Heraclitusstudent says

Exponential has nothing to do with how contagious it is.

Let's say it doubles every century: that's still an exponential.

Really?

76   HydroCabron   2014 Sep 23, 2:16am  

indigenous says

Really?

Yes.

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

77   indigenous   2014 Sep 23, 6:47am  

1131924">HydroCabron says

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

Said the mutt

78   HydroCabron   2014 Sep 23, 7:00am  

indigenous says

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

Said the mutt

Hahaha!

Year after year: "Interest rates blah blah... fractional reserve banking evil evil evil blah blah... money supply blah blah... Keynes sux LOL... "

And yet he does not understand the exponential function.

Ladies and Gentlemen: This is the face of the Austrian follower.

79   indigenous   2014 Sep 23, 7:04am  

HydroCabron says

Hahaha!

Year after year: "Interest rates blah blah... fractional reserve banking evil evil evil blah blah... money supply blah blah... Keynes sux LOL... "

And yet he does not understand the exponential function.

Ladies and Gentlemen: This is the face of the Austrian follower.

Good boy, now sit up come on sit up, good boy, now roll over ...

80   bob2356   2014 Sep 23, 7:27am  

indigenous says

bob2356 says

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

Ok grammar nanny how would you form that sentence?

Properly.

81   indigenous   2014 Sep 23, 7:28am  

bob2356 says

Properly.

That would be a first...

82   indigenous   2014 Sep 23, 7:30am  

Call it Crazy says

a blunt

Another one of the mota smokers? makes sense

83   Vicente   2014 Sep 23, 2:02pm  

Call it Crazy says

Exactly... The CDC is just doing this to keep the conservatives cowering in their houses so they don't walk the street...

Why would Teabaggers care if Africans die in the millions? They haven't shown much evidence of being overly concerned about this in past.

84   indigenous   2014 Sep 23, 2:13pm  

Vicente says

Why would Teabaggers care if Africans die in the millions? They haven't shown much evidence of being overly concerned about this in past.

Actually quite the opposite.

Enlightened self interest

Something I rarely see in the Ds

85   Vicente   2014 Sep 23, 4:40pm  

indigenous says

Enlightened self interest

Go on....

86   indigenous   2014 Sep 23, 4:44pm  

Vicente says

indigenous says

Enlightened self interest

Go on....

Look it up

87   MisdemeanorRebel   2014 Sep 24, 1:39am  

Typhoid, Malnutrition, Cholera, all much worse than Ebola so far...

Unless you are walking around through sewage and waste barefoot, I see little reason to trouble about Ebola.

"What if it goes airborne"

Diseases don't just go "Airborne" at the drop of a hat. "Hey Herpes, you wanna go airborne this morning?" "Sure, Ebola" If it hasn't happened in tens of thousands of years, it's unlikely to happen tomorrow.

88   Shaman   2014 Sep 24, 3:15am  

thunderlips11 says

Typhoid, Malnutrition, Cholera, all much worse than Ebola so far...

Unless you are walking around through sewage and waste barefoot, I see little reason to trouble about Ebola.

"What if it goes airborne"

Diseases don't just go "Airborne" at the drop of a hat. "Hey Herpes, you wanna go airborne this morning?" "Sure, Ebola" If it hasn't happened in tens of thousands of years, it's unlikely to happen tomorrow.

Yah, I don't think those are worse. More widespread, certainly, and also more of a clear and present danger to populations.
Unless Ebola comes to town. Then all bets are off. From all reports, the infection can happen if you so much as touch something an infected person touched. Here, can you imagine using an ATM or card reader at a store? Imagine how many thousands have touched that device. Ebola is scary not just because of this, but because of its high kill rate of 60%, with children and older adults at higher risk. To anyone with children, it's a worst nightmare.

89   Vicente   2014 Sep 24, 3:26am  

There was a good Frontline documentary following healthcare workers in Sierra Leone, it's only 27 minutes watch it online it's very good.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/ebola-outbreak/

Of course at that time, they predicted only 20K cases. Healthcare in Africa is overwhelmed and unable to cope. The lack of any sort of real treatment means people don't see any HOPE in going to the hospital.

Meanwhile we drop million-dollar bombs on 3 people in a pickup truck.

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