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Corona virus (more correctly, Wuhan virus)


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2020 Jan 24, 12:33pm   176,345 views  3,362 comments

by Heraclitusstudent   ➕follow (8)   💰tip   ignore  

Anyone wants to risk a bet on the eventual number of sick people? Dead people?

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162   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Feb 6, 5:42pm  

Zhejiang has like 1000 cases reported, but 0 deaths. In fact most places where cases happened have 0 death. So the percent death is likely below 1%.
This suggests that Hubei has more than the reported number of cases. They just detect people when they are already seriously sick.
163   Tenpoundbass   2020 Feb 6, 5:54pm  

I bet the folks dying are the ones that keep getting vaccinated. And those that get the flu once or twice a year, don't even get it.

zzyzzx says
164   just_passing_through   2020 Feb 6, 9:48pm  

There are now approximately the same number of people outside of China as was reported inside of China on Jan 19th who've become Coronavirus homes. That's about 2.5 weeks.

Possible cases in Africa now.
165   Hircus   2020 Feb 7, 8:38pm  

I uploaded my script to codepen. It uses live data, so you can check it any day to see an update: https://codepen.io/bijoho4929/full/NWqPpQo

The rate keeps falling, now down to about ~11%


Showing infected cases from China and World

Jan 20 to Jan 21 (1 days)
282 to 332 = 50 growth
CDGR 17.7%

Jan 21 to Jan 22 (1 days)
332 to 555 = 223 growth
CDGR 67.2%

Jan 22 to Jan 23 (1 days)
555 to 653 = 98 growth
CDGR 17.7%

Jan 23 to Jan 24 (1 days)
653 to 941 = 288 growth
CDGR 44.1%

Jan 24 to Jan 25 (1 days)
941 to 2019 = 1078 growth
CDGR 114.6%

Jan 25 to Jan 26 (1 days)
2019 to 2794 = 775 growth
CDGR 38.4%

Jan 26 to Jan 27 (1 days)
2794 to 4473 = 1679 growth
CDGR 60.1%

Jan 27 to Jan 28 (1 days)
4473 to 6057 = 1584 growth
CDGR 35.4%

Jan 28 to Jan 29 (1 days)
6057 to 7783 = 1726 growth
CDGR 28.5%

Jan 29 to Jan 30 (1 days)
7783 to 9776 = 1993 growth
CDGR 25.6%

Jan 30 to Jan 31 (1 days)
9776 to 11374 = 1598 growth
CDGR 16.3%

Jan 31 to Feb 1 (1 days)
11374 to 14514 = 3140 growth
CDGR 27.6%

Feb 1 to Feb 2 (1 days)
14514 to 17370 = 2856 growth
CDGR 19.7%

Feb 2 to Feb 3 (1 days)
17370 to 19881 = 2511 growth
CDGR 14.5%

Feb 3 to Feb 4 (1 days)
19881 to 23892 = 4011 growth
CDGR 20.2%

Feb 4 to Feb 5 (1 days)
23892 to 27636 = 3744 growth
CDGR 15.7%

Feb 5 to Feb 6 (1 days)
27636 to 30818 = 3182 growth
CDGR 11.5%

Feb 6 to Feb 7 (1 days)
30818 to 34392 = 3574 growth
CDGR 11.6%

Feb 7 to Feb 8 (1 days)
34392 to 34887 = 495 growth
CDGR 1.4%

*The numbers for the current day are usually low because the data hasn't been fully collected yet.
Wolfram Chart (https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=plot+18%2C67%2C18%2C44%2C115%2C38%2C60%2C35%2C29%2C26%2C16%2C28%2C20%2C15%2C20%2C16%2C12%2C12%2C1)
166   Ceffer   2020 Feb 7, 10:02pm  

Two pigs having a conversation next the Bioweapons lab around Wuhan: "Don't you really get pissed off when they keep blaming us for all this shit?"
168   just_passing_through   2020 Feb 8, 10:17am  

Ceffer says
http://www.abovetopsecret.com/forum/thread1256138/pg1


Doesn't appear to be man made at all. Here is a link to the rushed paper that insinuated just that:

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.30.927871v1

It's still downloadable. At first those "HIV" inserts seem dubious. (Page-4, translated RNA-> protein sequence of SARS vs. coronavirus)

The authors focused on those inserts. All of the blue are also variation. It looks natural to me but don't take my word for it, read the comments from the other scientists who are laughing the paper out of publication.
173   RC2006   2020 Feb 10, 10:33am  

Latest Study Suggests The New Coronavirus Is Also Spreading Via Feces. How bad will this spread in India and SF?

https://www.sciencealert.com/latest-coronavirus-study-suggests-it-can-also-be-spread-through-poop
174   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Feb 10, 11:38am  

"Five British citizens contracted the virus in the French Alpine town of Contamines-Montjoie"

(You can't make up the name of this place. )

"Eleven Britons are thought to have been infected by a man who caught the virus in Singapore then went to France and the UK."

This thing seems to be spreading like wildfire.

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-coronavirus-cases-double-as-four-more-test-positive-11930618
175   RC2006   2020 Feb 10, 11:44am  

I've heard it has spread much more than anyone knows through the 3rd world because there is no testing..
177   Shaman   2020 Feb 12, 7:04am  

https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/482528-a-virus-is-crippling-chinas-economy-and-threatening-the-worlds#

Looks like the world will be feeling China’s pain shortly.
I personally will be affected as my job depends on shipping from China.

I talked to a dad on the baseball team I coach last night, he said they are running out of inventory (auto parts) and their chinese factory has been shut down for two weeks.

Looks like the worst case scenario for economic disruption is in play.
178   zzyzzx   2020 Feb 12, 8:39am  

Shaman says
I talked to a dad on the baseball team I coach last night, he said they are running out of inventory (auto parts) and their chinese factory has been shut down for two weeks.


Yet still another reason why we need to make everything in USA.
179   socal2   2020 Feb 12, 9:18am  

My company can't ship any hardware this month because our modems are built in China. We will probably miss our Q1 forecast due to this delay.

We are definitely re-thinking our supply chain plans.
181   SunnyvaleCA   2020 Feb 12, 4:10pm  

RC2006 says
Latest Study Suggests The New Coronavirus Is Also Spreading Via Feces. How bad will this spread in India and SF?

https://www.sciencealert.com/latest-coronavirus-study-suggests-it-can-also-be-spread-through-poop
We already have Typhus, Hepatitis, and Leprosy.
182   just_passing_through   2020 Feb 12, 4:55pm  

Just jumped from 45k cases to 60k.
183   mell   2020 Feb 12, 5:00pm  

The Chinamen owned up to the testing problem, but they simply labeled all pneumonias dxed via CT as CV cases to come closer to the real number of infections. Still this thing is overblown like nothing else. The majority of cases are so mild that we may indeed have more than we think and still the infection rates outside of Wuhan have been declining. While the supply chain problems are real, this is still a nothing-burger compared to the yearly influenza. I also suspect these "news" are used by short-sellers who have been desperately trying to bring the market down while getting their asses handed on a daily basis if you except the first few CV panic days. And that - while I do acknowledge there is quite some fluff in select stocks in this market - I don't support.
184   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2020 Feb 12, 5:12pm  

Publicly traded?

Short before the earnings call.

socal2 says
My company can't ship any hardware this month because our modems are built in China. We will probably miss our Q1 forecast due to this delay.

We are definitely re-thinking our supply chain plans.
185   HeadSet   2020 Feb 12, 8:05pm  

Latest Study Suggests The New Coronavirus Is Also Spreading Via Feces.

Just like cholera, the disease of the poor.
186   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Feb 12, 10:01pm  

"Fatalities in Hubei climbed by 242, while the number of infections jumped by 14,840, sending the total number of cases in China toward 60,000."

"The number of officially diagnosed coronavirus cases in the Chinese province of Hubei surged by 45% to nearly 50,000 after the Hubei provincial government began adding cases that were confirmed via imaging scans, alongside those confirmed with the previous method of nucleic acid testing kits.

The abrupt spike reversed the declining growth trend of previous days. The Hubei national health commission said it would now start including cases confirmed by “clinical diagnosis,” which refers to using CT imaging scans to diagnose patients."
189   Eman   2020 Feb 14, 9:20pm  

It’s naive to think the novel coronavirus was from eating bats or snakes or the sea food market like the Chinese government claimed.

“The CDC has been eager to help China in its efforts to fight this outbreak. Nearly six weeks after the CDC first offered to help China with the coronavirus outbreak, the offer still has not been accepted.”

China is hiding 💩. That’s why they don’t want outsiders to come in to help. They’re afraid people would know that they were making bioweapon, and it leaked out.

https://apple.news/ASHmJQ4yjTuargf6tTkp_TA
191   RC2006   2020 Feb 17, 12:29pm  

Only a Chinese cat would allow that.
194   Misc   2020 Feb 18, 8:22am  

People should stop focusing on the number of deaths and instead look at how China has greatly reduced its greenhouse emissions.
195   HeadSet   2020 Feb 18, 10:33am  

Misc says
People should stop focusing on the number of deaths and instead look at how China has greatly reduced its greenhouse emissions.


I dunno, how much carbon and methane is produced by burning all those bodies?
197   Shaman   2020 Feb 18, 12:03pm  

Sure, just rub some essential oils on it!
198   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Feb 18, 12:17pm  

Too many comments on this board are just first degree racists.
Booger says
200   Booger   2020 Feb 20, 5:27am  

Heraclitusstudent says
Too many comments on this board are just first degree racists.
Booger says


Facts are considered racist now.

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