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Winter offensive of the Ukraines INCOMING


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2022 Sep 22, 5:29pm   10,710 views  86 comments

by jykiodfgr   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

Right when the EU runs out of energy for life.

"Funds for the 300,000 contract soldiers will be provided by the extra revenue Russia got thanks to western sanctions"

https://southfront.org/russia-preparing-for-winter-military-campaign/


North Korea negotiating to provide 100,000 troops to gain experience in the Ukraines for the upcoming South Korean campaign?

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12   Patrick   2022 Sep 22, 11:22pm  

I think the Russians look stupid for not executing the Powell Doctrine of going in with overwhelming force and a clear exit strategy, or not at all.

You never want to "ramp up" a war, because that gives the enemy time.
13   Ceffer   2022 Sep 22, 11:31pm  

Putin says Russia is in no hurry. They flipped the script on the West, so the mere ongoing dispute itself is serving them well. Their resources are that much more valuable, and their balance sheets will only go up There will be quite a few countries that will cave to get their gas and oil back. The citizens will rebel and run their Globalist governments out. Hasta La Vista, NWO.
14   AD   2022 Sep 23, 12:12am  

Putin is using threat of nukes to intimidate and stop the West from helping Ukraine. Its blackmail or extortion on Putin's part.

His legacy is on the line. He's got to deliver a war prize to the Russian masses by showing victory and annexation of new Russian states that were part of Ukraine.

With this announced mobilization, I see him wanting enough boots on the ground in the occupied regions and using some of them to push out toward Odessa and Kiev.

Its enough to keep Ukraine on the defensive so that Russia can further assimilate and absorb the new Russian states.

.
15   AD   2022 Sep 23, 12:15am  

Patrick says


I think the Russians look stupid for not executing the Powell Doctrine of going in with overwhelming force and a clear exit strategy, or not at all.


There is "no exit".

Putin wants to permanently occupy Ukraine as in "Stalinize" it. Its not just about Russian troops killing and looting, taking back stolen refrigerators and other valuable possessions to their Siberian homes.

I think he over extended himself and turned away many Ukrainians who were at least luke-warm pro-Russia. Now he has to rule over them with an iron fist for anyone of those that still remain in eastern Ukraine that borders Russia.

Russians being Russians, they'll likely try to get Russian citizens to move into these new annexed states.

,
16   richwicks   2022 Sep 23, 12:16am  

Patrick says


I think the Russians look stupid for not executing the Powell Doctrine of going in with overwhelming force and a clear exit strategy, or not at all.

You never want to "ramp up" a war, because that gives the enemy time.


The war isn't between Ukraine and Russia, it's between Russia and NATO/USA.

Ukraine is just in the middle. Russia has their excuse to cut off Europe for energy supplies now.



We are basically in World War III.

I've railed against the Neocons of the United States for 20 years. Here's the result of not decapitating all the mother fuckers.

I actually know an engineer that believes that if Europe dumps a few TRILLION into renewable energy, they'll be just fine. As if solar panels and wind turbines can heat all of Europe. I exchanged email with him a few months ago, and promised to send him a response in 2 years. It's confounding to me that an engineer doesn't understand something as simple as science. It's not that hard.

The details are hard, but science is nothing more than understanding reality. Models are frequently difficult to understand, but not really anymore. You can just look it up in a table, you don't need the damned equation anymore.

I think we're approaching the point where all the lies are starting to meet reality, but I NEVER expected science educated nerds to just believe "the government". Nobody thinks.
17   AD   2022 Sep 23, 12:45am  

richwicks says

As if solar panels and wind turbines can heat all of Europe. I exchanged email with him a few months ago


I rather wear extra layer of clothing and keep the thermostat at 50 degrees than have no air condition in 88 degrees Fahrenheit and 65% relative humidity.

Another thing is to get everyone in the same room at night and use a very efficient oil-filled electric heater.

And open each faucet a little to allow a little drip if there are concerns about the pipes freezing. Flush the toilet before going to bed.

But I can see where this will be the most challenging in northern Sweden, etc.
,
18   AD   2022 Sep 23, 12:47am  

richwicks says

I've railed against the Neocons of the United States for 20 years.


Cheney is gone, and so is Rumsfield and Wolfowitz. Who is left ? I don't think there are any stalwarts like McCain left.

Not even Lindsey Graham is that bad even though he said he wanted to see someone inside Russia to take out Putin.

So help me out here. Who are the Neocons in the current administration that you are alluding ?
19   richwicks   2022 Sep 23, 12:59am  

ad says


richwicks says


As if solar panels and wind turbines can heat all of Europe. I exchanged email with him a few months ago


I rather wear extra layer of clothing and keep the thermostat at 50 degrees than have no air condition in 88 degrees Fahrenheit and 65% relative humidity.

Another thing is to get everyone in the same room at night and use a very efficient oil-filled electric heater.

And open each faucet a little to allow a little drip if there are concerns about the pipes freezing. Flush the toilet before going to bed.

But I can see where this will be the most challenging in northern Sweden, etc.
,



Dude, people that haven't lived in a northern climate that don't have a non-winterized summer home have no idea what they are up against.

Their pipes will freeze, they will freeze, it will be hell on Earth for them. I grew up just south of Canada in New York, we had power outages that lasted days, the first thing we did was fire up a generator and the furnace in winter. We knew it was an emergency, shitty dwellers will have no clue.

I can, and have, camped out in the middle of winter in a tent. It's not exactly wonderful, but it's interesting, for a WEEKEND. Going through 4 months of that shit, would be misery.

Running water slowly will not prevent pipes from freezing, you do this to forestall it. Preventing incoming water from freezing isn't the huge concern, it's more the sewage pipes freezing. Your toilet trap freezes, you're fucked. Think you can pour hot water down it to unclog it, maybe, it the trap doesn't burst, if the toilet seal doesn't melt because its made from beeswax or synthetic wax. You have the same problem in the shower and the kitchen sink.

Living in subfreezing weather for days at a time, is exhausting without some power. I've done it. No thermostat, fire up the fireplaces, running a Coleman lantern, opening all doors to spread heat, horrendously cold showers. If power runs out in Europe's cities, there's going to be chaos. Not just burst sewage lines, not just people freezing to death, riots.

Bet many Russians have gone through this, they know what to do, but I doubt many Swedes or Germans have.

If your power and water are going to be out, drain the lines and blow them out with air pressure if you have it. That's the best chance. Flush your toilet, dump anti-freeze into it - do this with all drains. We used to move food from the freezer to outdoors, I remember that. Couldn't let the internal heat of the house with the fireplaces to ruin it. We had coolers, to keep it from freezing. We'd pack snow into the vegetable drawers to cool it for the fridge, but freezer food, that went outside.

Looking back, it was kind of fun, we all had to work together to secure the home, stay warm, and prevent damage. Not so fun if you don't know what to do, and my father was a furnace repairman. He knew PRECISELY what to do.
20   AD   2022 Sep 23, 1:10am  

richwicks says


If power runs out in Europe's cities


They may ration electricity such as rolling blackouts like I've seen before such as in Dominican Republic.

I've lived in northern Michigan (not far from Marinette, Wisconsin) during the winter. You run water like a drip rate on faucets helps a lot.

I doubt there is a large percentage of European homes. I bet they are preparing for this winter now as far as blackouts, etc. But we are talking about northern European countries/regions like Sweden and Denmark that will be the coldest, not southern France, Greece or Sicily.

Florida panhandle homes ultra-insulate. It gets 35 degrees outside for the entire evening and we still don't have to run the heat pump. The ground floor ceramic tiles stay steady at 63 degrees even during two to three weeks of the temp never getting above 49 degrees.

.
21   richwicks   2022 Sep 23, 1:15am  

ad says


I've lived in northern Michigan (not far from Marinette, Wisconsin) during the winter. You run water like a drip rate on faucets helps a lot.


Ever been deprived of power for, say, a week? We had a generator but it was for essentials, and that was for running a wood furnace.

Running the water slowly slows down the freeze, but doesn't prevent it. It will eventually freeze.

Northern rural areas have to deal with power outages, but I don't think shitties ever have. They'll have no clue, and when the damage is done, there will be chaos.

I'm in Silly Con Valley now, it doesn't freeze here, but people think food comes from supermarkets. I grew up in the sticks. power could literally be out for days, sometimes (very rarely) weeks, I understand the whole thing, most people don't. ESG is a big thing here, because they think electric cars are "clean", not realizing they are basically coal and natural gas powered vehicles. Ignorance is bliss.

In summer, during a long power outage, ice-cream was on sale. I remember that too. "Take it before it becomes soup!".
22   WookieMan   2022 Sep 23, 2:45am  

ad says

Another thing is to get everyone in the same room at night and use a very efficient oil-filled electric heater.

There are indoor propane heaters that are safe to use. I have this one. https://www.amazon.com/Mr-Heater-Corporation-MH18B-Portable/dp/B07Q82MG8S/ref=sr_1_6?keywords=indoor%2Bpropane%2Bheater&qid=1663923955&sprefix=Indoor%2Bpro%2Caps%2C219&sr=8-6&th=1

I assume Europeans have gas grills and camping propane at least, right? I'd get a couple of those heaters and make sure I have plenty of propane. Maybe get a 100lbs tank. Use it sparingly, but I think most could get by. Most people have a nat gas or propane heater/furnace in cold areas, so a couple little propane heaters could do the trick. I assume there'd end up being a shortage of them though.

And I get what Rich is saying about the cities. It could become chaos. I don't know European cities personally. There will always be a faction of people that are morons that did no preparation. Another reason to not live in cities. And there's also a lack of community.

The running water thing does work for long periods of time though. If connected properly it should be below the freeze line coming into the home or building. Water that is technically "warm" won't freeze if it's moving. It would take a long cold stretch with zero heat source. Basically you'd have to be lazy or a moron not to figure it out. I open my cabinets on all sinks and run a slow stream when we go on vacation in the winter.

I dealt with it in foreclosed (REO) properties in Chicagoland. ComEd (our power company) would pull the meter because the previous owner didn't pay. So furnace/boiler couldn't run. It would sometimes take 2 weeks to get it back in during the worst part of winter with days in a row of 0ºF-20ºF temps. Only had one pipe break during the housing crash and that was roughed in plumbing above a garage that was hidden for future usage that we didn't know about. That was in a heated home as well. We just didn't turn on the garage heater.

I think Europe will be fine. It's just what percentage of them are morons. If it's above 25% in the truly cold/freezing cities, then yes, they're fucked. There are solutions in urban areas for cold though. We'll see if Europe is smart enough.
23   richwicks   2022 Sep 23, 3:00am  

WookieMan says

There are indoor propane heaters that are safe to use. I have this one. https://www.amazon.com/Mr-Heater-Corporation-MH18B-Portable/dp/B07Q82MG8S/ref=sr_1_6?keywords=indoor%2Bpropane%2Bheater&qid=1663923955&sprefix=Indoor%2Bpro%2Caps%2C219&sr=8-6&th=1


Energy may not just become expensive, it may become unavailable.

Propane, it's just a crappier natural gas. We'll see, I hope everybody is OK, but Europe's government's leaders are traitors, literal traitors to their population. They could have easily avoided this mess - kick NATO out, no aggression with Russia, maintain the US' nuclear missiles. Detente, but instead they moved against Russia, and Russia is pushing back.

The "leaders" of Europe don't give a shit about their own populations. If (hopefully when) these mother fuckers get hung by lamp posts, I'm buying rounds of beer for anybody that wants to show up. I'd love to see Macron strung up, and I know a few Frenchmen that think the same.
24   richwicks   2022 Sep 23, 3:42am  

ad says


So help me out here. Who are the Neocons in the current administration that you are alluding ?


95% of our government are Neocons, Democrat and Republican.

We're still bombing Syria, Yemen, and Somalia, and we're itching for war with Russia. How does this advantage the United States, and why doesn't our government stop it?

Victoria Nuland is not executed, that tells you all you need to know. Fauci, a man that pushed to poison AIDs patients with AZT is still alive - that's a chemotherapy drug which killed the people that took it - is our "top doctor" still. That mother fucker isn't dead either.

Neocons are fascists, or really - authoritarians. They seek to destroy this nation for ultimate control, they are psychopaths. Why are they listening to Klauss Schwab? Who the FUCK is he? How did Schwab become a thing, and I mean a thing, to listen to? Name any accomplishment of that fuck? Why isn't George Soros in jail, at minimum?

Communism/Fascism - they don't care. As long as they have absolute control. They are moving us to own nothing and to eat bugs, and be happy. Who is speaking out against this in our federal government?
25   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2022 Sep 23, 7:24am  

i think all north korea stuff is fake news. it sounds too silly.
26   zzyzzx   2022 Sep 23, 7:44am  

FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden says

i think all north korea stuff is fake news. it sounds too silly.


It would be interesting to see who would surrender quicker. Unmotivated Russians vs North Koreans eager to defect in exchange for free transportation to South Korea.
27   RWSGFY   2022 Sep 23, 8:07am  

ad says

richwicks says


I've railed against the Neocons of the United States for 20 years.


Cheney is gone, and so is Rumsfield and Wolfowitz. Who is left ? I don't think there are any stalwarts like McCain left.

Not even Lindsey Graham is that bad even though he said he wanted to see someone inside Russia to take out Putin.

So help me out here. Who are the Neocons in the current administration that you are alluding ?


Putin, Patrushev and Shoygu, duh.
28   Tenpoundbass   2022 Sep 23, 8:09am  

ad says

His legacy is on the line. He's got to deliver a war prize to the Russian masses by showing victory and annexation of new Russian states that were part of Ukraine.


In the 80's it was conceded that if the US justified bombing Japan in 1945, then any country could justify using a Nuke to resolve unwinnable conflict.

IT was why the biggest Idiots leading the latest thing these days, were the creators of the "No More Nukes" movement in the 80's.

Oh then their campaign won, but not letting consensus power go waste, they then turned their attention to "No More Nukes" to mean no more cheap clean nuke energy.
29   RWSGFY   2022 Sep 23, 8:23am  

ad says

Patrick says



I think the Russians look stupid for not executing the Powell Doctrine of going in with overwhelming force and a clear exit strategy, or not at all.


There is "no exit".

Putin wants to permanently occupy Ukraine as in "Stalinize" it. Its not just about Russian troops killing and looting, taking back stolen refrigerators and other valuable possessions to their Siberian homes.

I think he over extended himself and turned away many Ukrainians who were at least luke-warm pro-Russia. Now he has to rule over them with an iron fist for anyone of those that still remain in eastern Ukraine that borders Russia.

Russians being Russians, they'll likely try to get Russian citizens to move into these new annexed states.

,


People still think that there is an "overwhelming force" hidden somewhere which hasn't been used yet? What was demonstsrated was it. They blew their load. If you hasn't achieved your objective with your most modern tanks, helicopters, missiles and professional troops, pulling T-62s out of storage and giving them to conscripts after 2 weeks of training won't do it either.
30   socal2   2022 Sep 23, 8:39am  

RWSGFY says

People still think that there is an "overwhelming force" hidden somewhere which hasn't been used yet? What was demonstsrated was it. They blew their load. If you hasn't achieved your objective with your most modern tanks, helicopters, missiles and professional troops, pulling T-62s out of storage and giving them to conscripts after 2 weeks of training won't do it either.


The "easy" part was supposed to be the shock and awe conventional part where they would quickly overthrow Zelensky's government assuming a big chuck on the Ukrainian population supported Russia. That is all out the window.

If Russia does manage to hang onto portions of Eastern Ukraine, I would think Russia and their puppets would be facing years of bloody insurgency.

I really fail to see any upside for Russia. They lost this thing in the first few weeks of the war. The sooner they wind this thing down the sooner the world can try to put this in the past and move on and get back to somewhat normal relations with Russia.
31   zzyzzx   2022 Sep 23, 8:48am  

socal2 says

The sooner they wind this thing down the sooner the world can try to put this in the past and move on and get back to somewhat normal relations with Russia.


I'm thinking that Putin has gotta go before that can happen. Putin will either be dead or moved to North Korea or Iran.
32   zzyzzx   2022 Sep 23, 8:52am  

RWSGFY says

People still think that there is an "overwhelming force" hidden somewhere which hasn't been used yet? What was demonstsrated was it. They blew their load.


People still think of Russians in terms of their late WW2 army, which was an anomaly.

RWSGFY says

pulling T-62s out of storage and giving them to conscripts after 2 weeks of training won't do it either.

Fixed:
pulling T-55'ss out of storage and giving them to conscripts after 2 weeks of training won't do it either.

And exactly how do you run out of tanks in storage when you have more than 10,000??? That must be some pretty shitty storage procedures / lack of oversight / lack of spare parts.
33   Eric Holder   2022 Sep 23, 9:10am  

zzyzzx says


And exactly how do you run out of tanks in storage when you have more than 10,000??? That must be some pretty shitty storage procedures / lack of oversight / lack of spare parts.


In Ruscia everything which is not bolted down gets stolen. Then there is the weather which is also the climate, LOL.... If trucks were not properly maintained in active duty professional outfits (as shown by the Feb-March disaster when tires were falling apart on Ruscists 6x6s and 8x8s whenever they aired down for off-road use) what do you think happening on some storage lot in the middle of Siberia?
34   Eric Holder   2022 Sep 23, 9:14am  

jykiodfgr says

I think the goal is to kill the maximum number of liberal Ukrainians.


Yep, it's the good old genocide and ethnic cleansing, nothing else. Laid bare with "NATO", "Nazis" and "bioWEAPONS labs" have been clearly proven to be horse shit and false pretense.
35   Eric Holder   2022 Sep 23, 9:15am  

socal2 says

I really fail to see any upside for Russia.


They are truly a low IQ country, that's all.
36   Booger   2022 Sep 23, 5:15pm  

Russia already doesn't have enough NCO's and officers. How are they going to manage another 300,000+ ???

They are already at the point of sending people into combat without weapons and just asking them to pick up a rifle
37   Booger   2022 Sep 24, 3:51am  

Putin now wants anyone with call of duty experience to report for draft immediately.
38   AD   2022 Sep 24, 11:33am  

Booger says

Russia already doesn't have enough NCO's and officers. How are they going to manage another 300,000+ ???


I see most of the 300,000 just boots on the ground to act as police force within regions that they already control. Its to solidify their control such as the region north of Crimea, as well as the water supply. I suspect they are trying displace anyone within those regions who do not toe the line as far as Kremlin takeover, and they'll bring in Russians to populate these areas following Stalin's playbook.

They may reinforce the border of this region with regular troops. I do not know if they will try to move further west within the next 12 months, but they may try to recover from this and eventually move toward Kiev.

.
39   Booger   2022 Sep 24, 11:58am  

Those 300, or more, extra troops aren't going to do much, if anything except strain Russia's crappy supply lines. Once Ukraine has F-16's and Abrams Tanks and more HIMARS (like 100), what do you think is going to happen? We are talking about early 2023 here.

If 100 HIMRS sounds like a lot, well Poland wants 500, and the US probably has a lot more than that.
40   PeopleUnited   2022 Sep 24, 12:51pm  

RWSGFY says


People still think that there is an "overwhelming force" hidden somewhere which hasn't been used yet?




Russia is not America in 1940. But it has nukes and as will be shown in the coming months, it can field a large Army if it has the will. In that regard Russia is Iike a sleeping giant. Probably stronger today than it was before world war 2. NATO is giving it little choice but to defend its territory, and let’s not pretend that Ukraine isn’t part of Russian territory.
41   AD   2022 Sep 24, 1:04pm  

PeopleUnited says


let’s not pretend that Ukraine isn’t part of Russian territory


The only pretending is you disingenuously thinking that towns such as in central Ukraine like Uman want to be under the thumb of the Kremlin.

I see Putin using nuclear weapons as extortion as he psychotically considers any attack on Russian soldiers invading Ukraine such as south of Kiev as an attack on Russian land and people.

Next he'll invade Alaska and threaten to use nuclear weapons if the attack is repealed or resisted.

.
42   PeopleUnited   2022 Sep 24, 3:05pm  

ad says

The only pretending is you disingenuously thinking that towns such as in central Ukraine like Uman want to be under the thumb of the Kremlin.


Did Ukraine build those nuclear power plants or was that the Soviet Union under direction of the Kremlin? Like it or not USSR created Ukraine’s infrastructure. Thus, the Kremlin sees it as theirs. Nobody has to like it. But they better realize it because that is how the Kremlin feels. They feel as if they lost a piece of their country. They want it back.
43   Booger   2022 Sep 24, 3:55pm  

PeopleUnited says

They feel as if they lost a piece of their country.


Russia is famous for being a shitty place to live, and treating it's people and neighbors poorly. Then they wonder why everyone hates them, and even most Russians want to leave the country.
44   Booger   2022 Sep 24, 6:18pm  

Those Russians fleeing the draft and going to places like Georgia (the country) and Serbia is the same as Californians moving to Texas.
45   richwicks   2022 Sep 24, 7:03pm  

Booger says

They are already at the point of sending people into combat without weapons and just asking them to pick up a rifle


Ukraine has been releasing prisoners since June to go to war.

At best, Ukraine will be destroyed, and Eastern Ukraine will be part of Russia and Ukraine will not be a landlocked country. That's the MOST they can hope for at this point. Europe will go through energy starvation this winter, how the population reacts to that, and their many migrants react to it, will be the wild card. I expect serious riots to break out in France. They largely avoided World War II, I don't think that population has been pacified.
46   richwicks   2022 Sep 24, 7:07pm  

Booger says

Once Ukraine has F-16's and Abrams Tanks and more HIMARS (like 100), what do you think is going to happen? We are talking about early 2023 here.


Nothing.

It will take months to train troops on it, the MIC builds garbage to make money, not weapons. Anything that is actually useful and works, Russia will soon have in their hands reverse engineering.
47   PeopleUnited   2022 Sep 24, 10:50pm  

Booger says

PeopleUnited says


They feel as if they lost a piece of their country.


Russia is famous for being a shitty place to live, and treating it's people and neighbors poorly. Then they wonder why everyone hates them, and even most Russians want to leave the country.

China is probably worse. But sure, everyone hates Russia. They are kind of like Ted Cruz.
48   Patrick   2022 Sep 24, 11:04pm  

I like Ted Cruz. He's amusing and makes a lot of good points.
49   clambo   2022 Sep 25, 8:02am  

Putin is now testing how much the Russians will tolerate; throwing the 300,000 unwilling conscripts along a 1000 kilometer front won’t accomplish much, a few hundred thousand more might be actually useful.
But, it’s proving the lie that the invasion and war is a “special operation”; any doubt about it is now gone.

Putin rolled the dice and lost; he’s rolling again because he knows Russian history.
He’s now thinking about self preservation, not the Russian people who will be worse off for decades.
Men of drafting age are trying to escape Russia, while others are getting passed out drunk before being loaded onto buses to go to military bases and later become cannon fodder.

Russia is incapable of gaining air superiority over Ukraine, so it cannot win.
Putin is able to terrorize Ukraine by sending cruise missiles to hit train stations, shopping malls, etc. but he can’t stop the precision artillery and missiles Ukraine is getting from the West.
Inexpensive drones can drop grenades on the Russians, while more capable drones can shoot missiles at them.
50   Tenpoundbass   2022 Sep 25, 8:09am  

clambo says

Putin rolled the dice and lost; he’s rolling again because he knows Russian history.

If he lost then why does Ukraine keep whining like a bitch?
Russia is in control of every town he rolled through, they have been held and the trek has gotten more difficult. But Ukraine certainly isn't in the position to expel Russia from their country. A few Ukraine cities just had a vote last week, to join Russia. That only happened because Russia is dominating those towns, and the vote would legitimize it.

But to be honest with ourselves, Ukraine didn't jump up and say "The Fuck You ARE!?"

So there's news reports then there's the reality of things. I look for the reality of things, for they are the better Walter Concrite on things.
51   PeopleUnited   2022 Sep 25, 10:29pm  

The special operation is now into the next phase, referendums asking residents if they want to join the Russian Federation. It would seem the Kremlin is getting what they wanted. I’m sure they would agree with this assessment. And they are making sure to defend their victory by calling up reserves fortify their position.

So as an American why should my government or countrymen have anything to do with this regional conflict? It would seem I have nothing to lose by avoiding any involvement at all, and everything to gain by keeping myself and my country neutral in the matter.

If Canada annexed Maine, would Ukraine send us money, weapons and mercenaries to try to take it back? No that is absurd. Just as absurd as us doing it for Ukraine. No the right solution is to negotiate peace with Canada in that hypothetical, and in this real world scenario the right solution is the same. The only involvement the west should have in this regional dispute is to negotiate peace.

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