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2005 Apr 11, 5:00pm   161,529 views  117,730 comments

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77201   Heraclitusstudent   2016 Nov 15, 12:30pm  

While the probabilities are biased toward risks, there are potentially good things that can still come out of this.
Sometime things don't change until something goes really bad.
The status quo is always less risky in the short term and more risky in the long term.

77202   MisdemeanorRebel   2016 Nov 15, 12:32pm  

Garrison Keillor still anti-Gay Marriage?

77203   MisdemeanorRebel   2016 Nov 15, 12:39pm  

Germans: We don't want any responsibility for the Euro or Debt Forgiveness or Financing our Customers, but the rest of you had better take your share of the migrants we unilaterally welcomed into Europe and keep buying our goods.

77204   dublin hillz   2016 Nov 15, 12:42pm  

Thunderlips is Tovbot2 says

Trump won the rust belt largely because of Union workers, for whom Hillary had nothing to say.

The Republicans haven't won Wisconsin and Michigan since what, 1988?

The union leadership did not endorse him because they looked at his history and realized that he supports right to work laws. The rank and file fell for demagoguery and voted against self interest.

77205   Ceffer   2016 Nov 15, 12:43pm  

I want to see Trigglypuff take out Trumpligula with a good Sumo Stomping Rampage and wipe that shit eating grin off his face.

77206   MisdemeanorRebel   2016 Nov 15, 12:47pm  

Rew says

No worries! Obama is going to give Trump extra after school tutoring. Trump should only need a two hour session. Being president ish zuper easy and T-Rump is bigly shmart. (wink)

It can't be that bad if a community organizer and one-term senator didn't fuck it all up in 8 years.

77207   Ceffer   2016 Nov 15, 12:50pm  

Yes, Monica Crowley's twins will have a place as facial battering rams in the New Trumpligula Order.

77208   Rew   2016 Nov 15, 12:52pm  

Thunderlips is Tovbot2 says

"Waaaah!!! I didn't get a job."

You are helping prove this line ...

“They think of these jobs as lollipops,” Mr. Cohen said. “I think we’re on the verge of a crisis here.”

Thunderlips is Tovbot2 says

It can't be that bad if a community organizer and one-term senator didn't fuck it all up in 8 years.

Obama is far more remarkable than you give him credit for.

77209   mmmarvel   2016 Nov 15, 12:55pm  

I like Garrison Keillor but he is flat wrong in the editorial. That's fine, we all have the right to be wrong, as was proved by the media and Hillary in this election. Reading through the piece Garrison is doing his own 'butt-hurt' however I never considered him one of the 'liberal elite' that he labels himself in this piece. He needs to go back to the Prairie Home Companion roots and get back in touch with 'the people' and leave the elite snobs.

77210   Rew   2016 Nov 15, 1:05pm  

Imagine yourself in Trump tower with protests in the street right outside and on your TV showing them in cities across the nation. There is infighting and jockeying within your team for positions, and as you try and build a new main administration, people are walking away for positions. What must that feel like?

Donald, I don't think we are 'sending you our best people' anymore.

Ranina ranina says

Libfucks have a hard time coming to grip with honesty in politics. It's just not the way they were raised...

Are you suggesting the presidency is easier than a more narrowly focused cabinet position? Are you suggesting the Presidency is simply a ceremonial and a figure head position? Have you seen the executive power creep of the past four decades or more?

Carson just crazily said he doesn't want a position on the administration, because he would do damage. Recap : Carson ran for President in the primaries.

77211   Y   2016 Nov 15, 1:08pm  

Presidential position these days is ceremonial at best.
Cabineteers run the show on a daily basis..

Rew says

Carson just crazily said he doesn't want a position on the administration, because he would do damage. Recap : Carson ran for President in the primaries.

77212   HEY YOU   2016 Nov 15, 1:11pm  

Keillor talks about what Dems can do while Trump's in office.
They can do all that &
BOYCOTT ALL Rep/Con/Teas too.

77213   Rew   2016 Nov 15, 1:11pm  

Ranina ranina says

Presidential position these days is ceremonial at best.

I see you have made the transition to the Post-fact era well.

77214   Y   2016 Nov 15, 1:14pm  

You don't think trump will be a ceremonial president?
He isn't going to grind over all the shit that occurs.

Rew says

Ranina ranina says

Presidential position these days is ceremonial at best.

I see you have made the transition to the Post-fact era well.

77215   MisdemeanorRebel   2016 Nov 15, 1:25pm  

Ranina ranina says

I see you have made the transition to the Post-fact era well.

Fact Checking 2016: Taking my opponents absolutely literally but not seriously.

77216   MisdemeanorRebel   2016 Nov 15, 1:26pm  

Al Capone: "Elliot Ness' repeated investigations ruined my chances of a future political career - even in Chicago!!"

77217   Ceffer   2016 Nov 15, 1:36pm  

How come IHLlary didn't release the Kraken hordes of IHL blue meanies in armors of political correctness to take back the election? She abused us of the spectacle we deserved, and just left us a tsunami of panty waisted, hankie twisting sobbing weenies.

77218   Rew   2016 Nov 15, 1:40pm  

Ranina ranina says

You don't think trump will be a ceremonial president?

I absolutely do and that's not normal. That's all Trump is capable of right now though. That doesn't mean that is all that position is capable of. It certainly wasn't ceremonial with Obama, Clinton, Bush, Regan ... and on and on ...

Thunderlips is Tovbot2 says

Taking my opponents absolutely literally but not seriously.

Anyone claiming they can interpret what Trump means through the outright lies and inflammatory rhetoric is deluding themselves.

Thunderlips is Tovbot2 says

He managed to turn a golden opportunity to roll back Pro-Wall Street Regulations and decided to push a massive Health Care Company Subsidy instead.

A good opportunity to delude yourself on Trump here now. You think Trump isn't this position to the extreme? You think this is the change he brings?

77219   MisdemeanorRebel   2016 Nov 15, 1:43pm  

Nothing says "Placating the White Working Class" than picking a Muslim as the new head of the DNC.

Rew says

Anyone claiming they can interpret what Trump means through the outright lies and inflammatory rhetoric is deluding themselves.

"You got to have borders."
"Law and Order"
"Wouldn't it be great to get along with Russia."

Rew says

A good opportunity to delude yourself on Trump here now. You think Trump isn't this position to the extreme? You think this is the change he brings?

I've said this for a long time, long before Trump was even dreamed of. And I've hated Hillary forever.

Obama isn't a horrible president, he was a Mediocre one who preserved the Status Quo when a great opportunity to fix the system was presented. Had the Republicans seriously shot down real Wall Steet reform loudly backed by the President, it would have been the hammer with which the Democrats would have swept back into power 2010-2012.

77220   Ceffer   2016 Nov 15, 1:44pm  

It's time we had a President who sucked bankruptcy lawyer cock instead of bankster cock.

77221   missing   2016 Nov 15, 2:39pm  

dublin hillz says

voted against self interest.

Not clear it is so. As a minimum they sent a message that their vote should not be taken for granted. The democrats need to do something to earn it. This may pay off eventually.

77222   Entitlemented   2016 Nov 15, 4:10pm  

Thunderlips is Tovbot2 says

Obama isn't a horrible president, he was a Mediocre one who preserved the Status Quo when a great opportunity to fix the system was presented.

The stock market was flat for 2 years with ZIRP, we have the Russians in Ukraine, ISIS is everywhere, more missile launches in Korea, and China rattling their sabres.

If a president who brings the US to the precipice of socialism, has flat GDP, and has us on the brink of 2-3 WWs is a good dude, what is you idea of bad POTHEADUS?

77223   MisdemeanorRebel   2016 Nov 15, 4:51pm  

SO Much Winning. It's amazing how much power the people had, and how it took a full court MSM press to beat them down as deplorable racist, sexist, misgynists who deserved everything they got all these years. Until Trump pointed out the Pundits have no Clothes.

I wonder how many thunderously incorrect pundits, like with the Bush Era Neocons, will be allowed to skate along at their jobs.

"You had one job pundit, tell a narrative that turned out to be somewhat more correct than wrong. You failed!"

77224   MisdemeanorRebel   2016 Nov 15, 5:09pm  

Entitlemented says

If a president who brings the US to the precipice of socialism, has flat GDP, and has us on the brink of 2-3 WWs is a good dude, what is you idea of bad POTHEADUS?

I actually believe Obama was keeping Hillary chained down as Sec of State. I feared that Hillary would unleash the dogs of war.

(However, I also believe Obama has sympathy for political Islam of the Muslim Brotherhood/Hizb ul-Tahrir variety).

77226   marcus   2016 Nov 15, 9:23pm  

""That’s right – Trump is so desperate to have people join his team that he’s seeking the Obama administration’s help in filling roles.

While it’s true that presidential transitions aren’t always flawlessly managed, Trump seems to be bungling his in a way that may be unprecedented. Those who voted for Trump last week may have wanted to “shake things up” in Washington, but it’s likely this wasn’t what they had in mind.

If the new president-elect can’t competently run a transition team and staff his government, why should any of us believe he’ll be able to lead the free world?""

Actually this doesn't sound that stupid. Who knows better what is involved in a job than the person currently doing that job ? And who would know better who might be a good republican replacement. Or possibly in some cases where party is irrelevant - people will be invited to keep jobs ?

I'm not convinced this is that terrible. Sound efficient in a way, to me. But I'm sure it's not the usual way it's done. It may be that what he's doing, is putting out feelers to get some of the talent that Hillary had lined up.

That would be smart.

77227   marcus   2016 Nov 15, 9:31pm  

Weird. Blockquote still works if you use the quote feature. That is if it's precedent by a reference link or whatever it's called. But if I just write the tags before and after some quoted text, it doesn't work. Is that intentional Patrick ?

77228   Ceffer   2016 Nov 15, 9:35pm  

Like, Duh, just because I won this stupid election, I still have to do shit? Motherfucker.

77229   Patrick   2016 Nov 15, 9:36pm  

jazz music says

Patrick It would have been better if there was a [delete comment] feature, I regret giving this comment any time at all.

@"jazz music" you should be able to delete any comment you made

77230   RealEstateIsBetterThanStocks   2016 Nov 15, 10:23pm  

Tenpoundbass says

He's done a fantastic job.

True. preventing crooked H from infesting the WH is already enough of a good job.

most blacks will reject a spot in Trump team because they don't want to be a "race traitor"

77231   RealEstateIsBetterThanStocks   2016 Nov 15, 10:33pm  

good now we need Apple to bring both jobs and cash here.

77232   Gary Anderson   2016 Nov 15, 10:55pm  

Ranina ranina says

Libfucks have a hard time coming to grip with honesty in politics. It's just not the way they were raised...

Racist farmers are going to have a hard time coming to grips with Trump's Willy shoved up their hind quarters:

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/us-markets/implications-for-the-agricultural-economy-of-fiscal-policies-proposed-by-president-elect-trump?post=112662&page=2&uid=4798

77233   Gary Anderson   2016 Nov 15, 11:11pm  

freespeechforever says

What Nassim Taleb is referencing are events like the invention of the steam engine or computers, effects of natural disasters like the Fukushima crisis, financial crashes such as 1987 Black Monday, 2000 dotcom bubble, and 2008 mortgage crisis, and cultural phenomena like the success of Harry Potter.

I don't necessarily think he included the housing bubble. He may include the subsequent meltdown. Clearly the housing bubble was contrived by David X Li and mispriced risk was adopted by the central banks. The bubble was planned, not a black swan. http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/us-markets/fed-premeditated-mispricing-of-risk-in-housing-oil-junk-bonds-and-other-markets?post=81636&uid=4798

And the meltdown was, I believe, planned too.

77234   bob2356   2016 Nov 15, 11:15pm  

jazz music says

Myron Ebell

Nice job picking the Exxon-Mobil financed climate change denier, who has a degree in political science, as head of the EPA. Who said trump has no sense of humor.

77235   curious2   2016 Nov 16, 1:47am  

Voters were not offered a fair choice. You can say what you want about the Republicans, but the Democrats did not offer any plan to gain control of the climate. That would require geo-engineering, e.g. maybe converting CO2 to calcium carbonate, or developing space elevators to move cargo and heat from the surface into space, or something else. (Current proposals have not been adopted by either major party due to being either dreadfully bad ideas, e.g. spraying H2SO4 into the upper atmosphere, or prohibitively expensive, e.g. orbiting mirrors.) Instead, Democrats proposed massive transfer payments to corrupt governments in backwards countries, including Muslim countries that would kill us if they get a chance. All the Democrats' complaints about Republicans merely illustrate the point: to be a winning party, you need to build a winning coalition and platform. Even a modestly sensible party with a reasonable candidate should have been able to win this election by a wide margin, but instead Democrats campaigned on Obamneycare, importing jihadis, and making Americans pay jizya. Somehow that sold in California, though turnout in CA was low. It didn't sell across the other 49 states, where turnout was higher.

77236   Tenpoundbass   2016 Nov 16, 5:55am  

Yeah and Obama put the WuTu Clan in his cabinet.

77237   GNL   2016 Nov 16, 6:24am  

Government agencies, filled with unelected dictators, make more laws that upend you life than elected politicians do. I hope Trump dismantles 50% of all government agencies through budget cuts.

Can I get a whoop whoop?!!!!

77238   junkmail   2016 Nov 16, 7:18am  

Is this in relation to another thread?

77239   junkmail   2016 Nov 16, 7:34am  

...well if the GERMANS are worried, perhaps we should be too.
Yeah, because Germans have a stellar voting record.

77240   mell   2016 Nov 16, 7:41am  

Der Spiegel turned into a rag long ago. Many Germans actually welcome the patriotic shift and it is likely that more countries in Europe will now follow tp put their interests before those of centralistic globalist sellout plutocrats.

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