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Exponential: Ebola Cases Now Double Every 3 Weeks; CDC Warns As Many As Half A M


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2014 Sep 19, 10:53am   38,577 views  89 comments

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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-19/exponential-ebola-cases-now-double-every-3-weeks-cdc-warns-over-half-million-may-be-

The Ebola crisis has evolved into a complex emergency, with significant political, social, economic, humanitarian and security dimensions.  The suffering and spillover effects in the region and beyond demand the attention of the entire world.

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19   indigenous   2014 Sep 19, 1:48pm  

That is a problem.

If the people want to attack health workers maybe it is time to use force and flame throwers. Or violate quarantines force would be in order.

21   indigenous   2014 Sep 19, 2:04pm  

Call it Crazy says

So, do you think this will end well?

Like I said...

22   indigenous   2014 Sep 19, 2:11pm  

Damn that video shows some nasty shit, spread by mosquitoes too?

23   Bubbabeefcake   2014 Sep 20, 1:30am  

Does this count as a Black Swan?

--------------------------------------------------------

Modern Bio-weapon orchestration......who would've thunk!!!

Mandatory RFID micro chipping is the next agenda
http://m.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/09/18/executive-order-combating-antibiotic-resistant-bacteria

24   New Renter   2014 Sep 20, 4:38am  

JodyChunder says

I had ebola once. I shook it. Gotta rub your entire body down in kerosene and eat three full-size raw onions a day for a week. Presto. Good as new.

Well that explains what you've been up to for the past few months.

Call it Crazy says

Based on the incubation time and the connectivity with air travel, my bet is that's it's here before the end of the year.

Its already been here:

http://www.cnn.com/2014/08/21/health/ebola-patient-release/

Call it Crazy says

When has anything the government put it's hands on gotten better instead of worse?

Libraries.

Bubbabear says

Does this count as a Black Swan?

--------------------------------------------------------

Modern Bio-weapon orchestration......who would've thunk!!!

Mandatory RFID micro chipping is the next agenda

http://m.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/09/18/executive-order-combating-antibiotic-resistant-bacteria

Well we still have bacteriophages:

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3278644/

Lets see, Ebola is a virus... baceriophages are viruses.

Hmmm....

25   humanity   2014 Sep 20, 6:09am  

indigenous says

Geometric progressions and all.

Mindblowing Exponential Growth Of A Pandemic

Math troll if I ever saw one. Or maybe it's just the usual, indigenous pretending to be smarter than he is, and accidentally revealing his ignorance to us.

Some of the talk quoted in the OPs piece seems alarmist "doubling in three weeks" but then again, it might not be that much of an exaggeration.

I wonder why the previous outbreaks since 1976 weren't as bad.

Here's a graph of the 2014 outbreak from Wikipedia.

So even if Tyler's quote is an exaggeration, it does seem that this is about to become a much bigger and much worse story. As for coming here ? Somehow I doubt it. I think it's a tropical thing, at least so far.

You right wingers can find a silver lining in this. Right wingers tend to be motivated by fear more than anything else, and this is going to be a very huge story by November, maybe getting the base out in record numbers because of the alarming talk of this blowing up into a global thing.

In any case, let's all hope that the curve doesn't continue looking so exponential, if for no other reason than the plight of so many Africans.

26   humanity   2014 Sep 20, 6:24am  

zzyzzx says

It's all Obama's fault!!!

Or at least black people's fault!!!

What an asshole.

27   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 6:27am  

humanity says

ndigenous pretending to be smarter than he is

How would you know?

humanity says

Right wingers tend to be motivated by fear more than anything else, and this is going to be a very huge story by November, maybe getting the base out in record numbers because of the alarming tal of this blowing up into a global thing.

Yup you saw through the straw man, hard to out smart you.

As far as Nov goes the conservative are far more frightened of Obama than any virus...

28   humanity   2014 Sep 20, 6:47am  

indigenous says

humanity says

Right wingers tend to be motivated by fear more than anything else, and this is going to be a very huge story by November, maybe getting the base out in record numbers because of the alarming tal of this blowing up into a global thing.

Yup you saw through the straw man, hard to out smart you.

I guess he doesn't know what straw man means either ?

I can only guess that you are implying that I am implying that this isn't real. It's obviously real, and nowhere did I imply that it isn't. Just noting that if you think people are getting alarmed now, just wait a month (that is if the growth pattern holds). Hopefully it won't, but the numbers will be way way worse by then, even if it doesn't.

29   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 6:54am  

humanity says

Just noting that if you think people are getting alarmed now, just wait a month (that is if the growth pattern holds). Hopefully it won't, but the numbers will be way way worse by then, even if it doesn't.

Tremendous grasp of the obvious.

30   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 7:06am  

humanity says

zzyzzx says

It's all Obama's fault!!!

Or at least black people's fault!!!

What an asshole.

You fail to see that z is waxing ironic, much as you mutts do about the lefties.

31   humanity   2014 Sep 20, 7:15am  

indigenous says

you mutts

What ? Do you see yourself as some kind of a pure bred or something ?

My guess is,...more like inbred.

I heard that when you and your girlfriend broke up, she said you could still be cousins though.

32   bob2356   2014 Sep 20, 7:20am  

humanity says

indigenous says

you mutts

What ? Do you see yourself as some kind of a pure bred or something ?

My guess is,...more like inbred.

Not fair, his family didn't always marry brother and sister. Sometimes they wed to first cousins. There are area's where people honestly don't realize there is an age where you are supposed to stop sleeping with your parents.

33   New Renter   2014 Sep 20, 11:50am  

humanity says

In any case, let's all hope that the curve doesn't continue looking so exponential, if for no other reason than the plight of so many Africans.

Exponential trends are a limited time offer, otherwise humanity would have already died of AIDS.

34   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 12:31pm  

New Renter says

Saved for posterity.

Taken out of context I see...

35   JodyChunder   2014 Sep 20, 12:36pm  

Quigley says

Yeah, I had that whole star crunch skin-thing going on, too. Make you up a liniment of chimney soot mixed with bacon fat -- slather it on. Gone.

I really think this is just a case of media sensationalization. No big deal, gang.

Next up -- Bovine Spongiform and how to cure that overnight with paint thinner and buttermilk

36   Y   2014 Sep 20, 12:44pm  

If we are doomed, then no need for affairs to be in order.
they'll be no one around to appreciate it.

indigenous says

You're right we are doomed, time to get the affairs in order.

37   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 12:48pm  

SoftShell says

If we are doomed, then no need for affairs to be in order.

they'll be no one around to appreciate it.

50% do survive

38   Y   2014 Sep 20, 12:49pm  

depends on the temperature of the air.
each drop would evaporate given sufficient heat in a minute.
and would escape through the roof.
you didn't say "air tight"...

indigenous says

To make things more interesting, imagine the stadium is completely water-tight.

The question is, if a drop of water is added to the stadium and then one minute later it doubles in size to two drops, and then one minute after that it doubles again to 4 drops, and so on.. doubling in size every minute, how much time do you have to leave your seat and get out of the stadium before the water reaches your seat at the very top?

Think about it for a moment. Is it hours, days, weeks, months?

39   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 12:53pm  

SoftShell says

depends on the temperature of the air.

each drop would evaporate given sufficient heat in a minute.

and would escape through the roof.

you didn't say "air tight"...

Doesn't change the point, a lot of people could be infected in short order.

40   Y   2014 Sep 20, 1:05pm  

then "we" are not doomed.

indigenous says

SoftShell says

If we are doomed, then no need for affairs to be in order.


they'll be no one around to appreciate it.

50% do survive

41   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 1:09pm  

SoftShell says

then "we" are not doomed.

I think most people underestimate the danger in this.

42   Y   2014 Sep 20, 1:12pm  

maybe we could send the libtards to ebolaville to test the "marijuana as a vaccine" hypothesis.

43   turtledove   2014 Sep 20, 1:13pm  

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

44   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 1:15pm  

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?

I think so

I wonder what the doctor's take would be?

45   turtledove   2014 Sep 20, 1:21pm  

Any math majors here? Is the variable discrete?

46   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 1:26pm  

turtledove says

Any math majors here?

I was told there wan't going to be any math questions...

47   turtledove   2014 Sep 20, 1:31pm  

Call it Crazy says

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

You shouldn't give us math questions this late at night!

My apologies. I get caught up on the vocabulary sometimes. Not being a math major, I thought I'd ask... With all the techies on this site, I figured someone would know more about this than I do.

48   New Renter   2014 Sep 20, 1:34pm  

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

Depends what you are looking at.

The death toll will model a sigmoid while the infected population will peak, then crash.

Both exponential and geometric growth curves continue to infinity which obviously cannot happen here.

49   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 1:36pm  

turtledove says

Any math majors here? Is the variable discrete?

It is exponential, the variable is not discrete. IOW be afraid be very afraid

http://modernsurvivalblog.com/pandemic/mindblowing-exponential-growth-of-a-pandemic/

50   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 1:39pm  

bgamall4 says

He and Romney both employ Eugenics professors.

WTF, it has NOTHING to do with eugenics.

51   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 1:49pm  

APOCALYPSEFUCKisShostikovitch says

Romney said to his donors 'FORTY SEVEN PERCENT OF AMERICA MUST FUCKING DIE!'

He said that? Obama is doing it, like all good democrats they getting us killed wholesale.

52   Y   2014 Sep 20, 2:20pm  

i think it's geometric only in europe...

turtledove says

Is it really exponential growth?.... or is it geometric growth?

53   Y   2014 Sep 20, 2:23pm  

I don't think patrick permits bisexual solicitation here...

turtledove says

Is the variable discrete?

54   HydroCabron   2014 Sep 20, 2:54pm  

humanity says

Right wingers tend to be motivated by fear more than anything else, and this is going to be a very huge story by November

A tour of the conservative quote book:

1950s: "Communism is scary. We need to give up our rights to fight it."

1980s: "AIDS is scary. Isn't it time we gave up all our civil rights?"

2001: "Scary Muslims are scary - time to get rid of the Bill of Rights!"

2014: "Ebola!? The Constitution is not a suicide pact!"

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same. People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

"You people have no balls - no guts. Now if anyone wants me, I'll be hiding under my coffee table with my AR-15, wetting myself in fear of the coming Iranian attack."

55   indigenous   2014 Sep 20, 3:01pm  

HydroCabron says

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same: People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

This mutt is pulling shit out of his ass

56   Ceffer   2014 Sep 20, 3:54pm  

When it comes to diseases, geometric is bad enough. Exponential means the entire galaxy will have Ebola soon.

Gatlings and flame throwers will keep the progression linear.

57   ChapulinColorado   2014 Sep 21, 12:48pm  

FortWayne says

We should really ban flights from Africa. They never bring anything good here.

We should, don't really care that others think it is paranoia. There is almost nothing good that can come during this epidemic from Africa via open air travel. IMO, shut it down now!

58   indigenous   2014 Sep 21, 3:20pm  

Not enough, when you consider the 21 day incubation period.

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