patrick.net

Ironman says

makes you wonder?

Only if you're a dumb breitbart faggot like you.

Ironman says

Can you see a pattern??

Homo says, "Whut?"

patriotgamer148 says

nly if you're a dumb breitbart faggot like you.

Aah the party and peace and tolerance shows their true colors.

To hell with peace and tolerance. We need kick some ass and faggots don't manage. Trmps a pussy and his Milo sucking nimrod lackeys can't think for themselves, they just need a Putin to pull on himself and talk like a big man.

Bitch has more balls than richie rich pussy boy. Wanna be Putin but cries at the drop of a hat.

Fat Birther now says that people who call him a sex offender are "rigging the election" - this isn't a joke.

Opposing a Republican on issues or character is "rigging" these days. What a pussy.

Dimwits will probably still vote for her-she knows that.

We need him to get power not to bitch like a diva. He could of waltz into the whitehouse but noooo he's got to whine about his jet and his cock. He's a fucking pussy who dosn't understand how it works. So many would hav e got behind him after the primary but he fucking blew it. Is he gonna brake a nail?? Hes like the bitch that wants the parade to slow down becasue she's too special to wear the right shoes. He's getting bicth slapped by the biggest bitch around because he doesn't fucking care enough to admit how shit works. He's a cunt that sandbagged you into sniffing his butt. Your a bunch of dumbass dogs.

The most plausibe explaination I've heard so far.

Probably a rotten feeling spying on the people in your country when you know it's the Politicians that needs watching. Ratting them out only makes you an enemy of the State.
BUT NOT the People!

Hey shit whistle he blew it with the othr people that matter to power. Power matters if your serious about it. He isn't. He wants to wear a pretty dress instead of doing a job. He sues but won't work. How many DC dickheads can he shit on and still win? He wants to find that out? He's still sandbagging and you're still sniffing his butt. Ever heard of Congrees yu dumbass? What do you want a president or a party dress?

Everyone that gives me crap about leaked information.
I remind them it used to be called "Investigative" journalism. Now it's called an Interpol offense and comes with Pedophile rap.

The police would never solve crimes if they couldn't do under cover investigations and obtain documents they weren't meant to see.

Their argument deflates after the 2nd "but".

But Trump is so....oooohhhh, that masher!

Wallace is turning old school on us. The type of guy that makes you feel good about America's future when he reports the news.

patriotgamer148 says

Is he gonna brake a nail??

This is fucking funny.

Clinton asks for polling oversamnlpling:

What a girl! He could be president but without the balls to do it he just sends in the lawyers. He'd rather fight with a Miss Amexican tart than take charge of a nation!! Where did we come up with this guy? We need a man to do a job and we get Richie Rich in a party dress. Check this out. This is what Im talking about.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/10/in-the-land-of-raw-firepower-a-feeling-that-trump-is-out-of-ammo-214382

“With a big set of balls, they could stop any Supreme Court nominee—as many as she gives 'em, because the Constitution doesn’t say there needs to be nine justices,” Steve said. “The best thing that can happen in Washington is nothing, gridlock."

“Trump can’t win,” said Steve, who wouldn’t give his last name because he didn’t want his house blown up (who he was afraid of wasn't clear). Steve, whose accent suggested a hometown somewhere in New England, said that without women, blacks and Hispanics, Trump couldn’t overcome Hillary Clinton. “And that’s game over. He lost as soon as he picked his running mate. You can’t win with two white guys anymore. If he would have picked a woman, she would have been forced to defend him.”

"The politics of the semi-annual Knob Creek Machine Gun Shoot have always been both overt and too obvious to bear talking about openly. Almost by definition, someone who has driven 700 miles from Florida for the pleasure of firing a M2 Quad-50 believes in the inviolability of the 2nd Amendment. This is not a persuadable group that meanders to the polls with a list of pros and cons to weigh"

Just a regular guy knows what it takes. Richie Rich won't get his party dress messed up cuase he's too important to do what it takes to win. Fucking PUSSY!! Be a man and get it done!!

Ironman says

MSM news organizations

Anyone see a problem?

Booger says

Clinton asks for polling oversamnlpling

"oversamnlpling" ... uhh, duhh ... hurpa hurr durpa dur ...

No wonder Hillary is so hated - the two dozen years of making shit up about her is like a fucking mud machine that never stops.

Here's what Pew Research says about oversampling, which involves surveying higher numbers of, say, Basques or Zoroastrians or any other group so lightly represented in a standard random sample that you get no sense of what they think:

Oversampling

For some surveys, it is important to ensure that there are enough members of a certain subgroup in the population so that more reliable estimates can be reported for that group. To do this, we oversample members of the subgroup by selecting more people from this group than would typically be done if everyone in the sample had an equal chance of being selected. Because the margin of sampling error is related to the size of the sample, increasing the sample size for a particular subgroup through the use of oversampling allows for estimates to be made with a smaller margin of error. A survey that includes an oversample weights the results so that members in the oversampled group are weighted to their actual proportion in the population; this allows for the overall survey results to represent both the national population and the oversampled subgroup.

For example, African Americans make up 13.6% of the total U.S. population, according to the U.S. Census. A survey with a sample size of 1,000 would only include approximately 136 African Americans. The margin of sampling error for African Americans then would be around 10.5 percentage points, resulting in estimates that could fall within a 21-point range, which is often too imprecise for many detailed analyses surveyors want to perform. In contrast, oversampling African Americans so that there are roughly 500 interviews completed with people in this group reduces the margin of sampling error to about 5.5 percentage points and improves the reliability of estimates that can be made. Unless a listed sample is available or people can be selected from prior surveys, oversampling a particular group usually involves incurring the additional costs associated with screening for eligible respondents.

An alternative to oversampling certain groups is to increase the overall sample size for the survey. This option is especially desirable if there are multiple groups of interest that would need to be oversampled. However, this approach often increases costs because the overall number of completed interviews needs to be increased substantially to improve the representation of the subgroup(s) of interest

For most of our national surveys of the general public, we conduct telephone surveys using a random digit sample of landline and cellphone numbers in the continental United States. Some of our surveys include additional, larger samples of subgroups, such as African Americans or young people (these are called “oversamples”).

Oh, well: Back to yarns about Bill's tarmac haircut at LAX.

What percentage of the Clinton "scandals" are based on failure to comprehend the meaning of terms?

BTW: I found this using my Google Turbo Pro+ subscription, which costs only $400 a month and enables you to do learny-type things. Send me a check and I'll hook you up with Google Turbo Pro+!

PMI bears... rookies, lack of a currency/commodity background ..

We are on pace to have the longest expansion ever....

Logan Mohtashami says

We are on pace to have the longest expansion ever....

Whatcha mean brother?

thanks

Where is the dividend at now with ARLP? Is there anything special to know , tax wise?

SubOink says

Whatcha mean brother?

You get to mid 2018 with no recession, this is the longest economic expansion without a recession.

72 months of Job expansions that is by far the longest ever

https://loganmohtashami.com/2016/10/07/u-s-job-market-still-moving-forward/

The cycle itself has

- 43 year lows in unemployment claims

- Highest Job openings ever recorded in world history

- Longest monthly job expansion streak ever

All with a oil crash, commodity crash, weakness from Europe, Japan, Brazil, Russia and China too

Logan Mohtashami says

We are on pace to have the longest expansion ever....

Thanks Obama.

marcus says

Thanks Obama.

Thank the American economy and its people.

Presidents have very little capacity in an economic cycle due to their power structure.

I always found it amusing how much time is spent on fighting ideological battles but then again we are human, we are tribal.

Obama I would say is the best liberal Republican President I have ever seen in my life. If anything I can criticize him for not spending enough money in the Great Recession aftermath.

However, our demographics, our economy... even in a light demographic patch, we are still by far the best domestic economy in the world and our Dollar owns it

Longest expansion in history!!!

Exactly!

But wouldn't that be like a pretty comon sense thinking that big pull back is comming soon?

Ironworker says

But wouldn't that be like a pretty comon sense thinking that big pull back is comming soon?

Cycles don't die of old age, there are front line data reads to know if a recession is happening.

Zero for 2016.. but Jan 2016 the biggest amount of Americans bears came out because the stock market had it's worst Start to the year ever

So, price isn't everything, I know you investors here believe that but economics is more that just price, it needs confirmation data.

Hence why I wrote that model in the 2016 economic prediction article, zero recession data lines and this cycle can last a lot longer than anyone thinks... I mean a lot longer too.

Logan Mohtashami says

Obama I would say is the best liberal Republican President I have ever seen in my life.

Yes the fallout from Obamacare is tremendous, as is the fallout from Dodd Frank.

Logan Mohtashami says

If anything I can criticize him for not spending enough money in the Great Recession aftermath.

If the economy is doing so well then why did they need to spend any money?

Logan Mohtashami says

we are still by far the best domestic economy in the world and our Dollar owns it

Because our Dollar owns it, how successful would our economy be with the King Dollar?

indigenous says

If the economy is doing so well then why did they need to spend any money

Because regardless of economics, our infrastructure needs repair

I don't really put more weight on economic multiplier on repair projects.

I think MMT and the real hard left are as fraudulent on economic models as the Gold Bugs are on the right

But, we are very frugal in our direct spending and our mandatory payouts are most of our budget

That is at the federal level, infrastructure should be at the state level.

I have read (from your friend DS) that the infrastructure problem is overrated.

Jerry Brown rigs the game and pushes state liabilities for roads off on the Feds, which is how he rolls on everything.

One of the problems with increasing the money supply is that it influences people preferences away from investing in small business. As they prefer easier investing like buybacks and real estate.

Not that you will read this:

https://mises.org/blog/economic-growth-requires-more-low-interest-rates

Hey Logan,
We are planning a meet of all So Cal Patnetters. Dec 10. Please read Turtle Dove's original post.

It's all Obama's fault!!!

indigenous says

Not that you will read this:

Demographics and natural economic equilibrium is the story here and around the world not interest rates

Consumption levels are at all time highs, domestic investment isn't in terms of rate of growth

This is a natural process for older countries, their investment are much smaller in terms of economic output the older they get

Unless they're building out for a growing labor force

Building out for a growing labor force, consumption by younger people is the most powerful factor of demographics

Logan Mohtashami says

This is a natural process for older countries, their investment are much smaller in terms of economic output the older they get

Where is this from?

indigenous says

Where is this from?

Me

Strategist says

Dec 10. Please read Turtle Dove's original post.

Thumbs up

Logan Mohtashami says

Me

It would be nice to see some backup on this.

He might be an asshole, but he has a good grasp on how Americans actually feel about the issues. Not that he sympathizes or anything, but he understands the groundswell of public opinion that drives large political movements across America.

indigenous says

It would be nice to see some backup on this.

I just wrote it :-)

As a demographic guy, that is the number one thing I believe in

Labor force growth and the consumption vs domestic investment model.

This thesis is the main reason I said housing starts would never reach 1.5 Million in this cycle as everyone was calling for

https://loganmohtashami.com/2016/09/20/housing-starts-roof-being-tested/

All the housing people earlier in the cycle where using 50 year moving average but weren't adjusting to demographics

Logan Mohtashami says

As a demographic guy, that is the number one thing I believe in

Harry Dent just came out with a new book, he is predicting the apocalypse.

indigenous says

Harry Dent just came out with a new book, he is predicting the apocalypse

He uses demographics to sell Books and his work is based on a zero sum game where everything is a bubble

Why I pick on him a lot, he isn't a true demographic guy in the sense.