patrick.net

mell says

That's crazy, did she have any history of drinking or hep b?

Everyone I hang with is the "textbook" definition of alcoholic. We all raise families and are responsible. Not that DUI's are a metric for health, but only one DUI in my core group of friends (not family....). My dad died of liver cancer and was a modest drinker. 12-16 drinks a week would be my guess if that.

Fact is alcohol is bad for the liver. BUT, the biggest X factor is when you mix it with other things which many/most do. First reaction of many of my friends is to pop a Tylenol the next morning to cure a hangover. You're quadrupling down on liver damage at that point. Anit-depressents mixed with alcohol same thing. People are sold on too many pills. Just golfed yesterday and my shoulder is torched. Like I can't raise my right hand, pain to the ear and foot from it. I'm taking nothing. I was drinking. Haven't taken a pain pill in over a decade.

When we know Covid is a flu bug, just take care of yourself. Hydrate. Eat good foods. A vaccine is not necessary at all for this virus.

WookieMan says

mell says

That's crazy, did she have any history of drinking or hep b?

Everyone I hang with is the "textbook" definition of alcoholic. We all raise families and are responsible. Not that DUI's are a metric for health, but only one DUI in my core group of friends (not family....). My dad died of liver cancer and was a modest drinker. 12-16 drinks a week would be my guess if that.

Fact is alcohol is bad for the liver. BUT, the biggest X factor is when you mix it with other things which many/most do. First reaction of many of my friends is to pop a Tylenol the next morning to cure a hangover. You're quadrupling down on liver damage at that point. Anit-depressents mixed with alcohol same thing. People are sold on too many pills. Just golfed yesterday and my shoulder is torched. Like I can't raise my right hand, pain to the ear and foot from it. I'm taking nothing. I was dri...

100% agreed. The number of alcoholics in the US, esp. womyn, is very high, probably higher than most other countries. They are also the ones who take acetaminophen (tylenol) and other drugs for anything. I'd say 80% of people who die prematurely of liver issues harmed themselves with their drinking and drugging. But 20% do have other causes (hep b, auto immune disorders, bad luck/genetics etc.). I think if you're otherwise healthy and carry enough weight 1-2, occasionally 3 glasses a day are fine if you go to regular check ups, but only if you don't mix with drugs and exercise regularly, which many don't know. Regular exercise is key to a healthy liver. Not always easy to keep moderation if you're around very good wine and good buddies - but as you get older hangovers intensify and last longer, so you hardly get really drunk anymore

mell says

Regular exercise is key to a healthy liver.

NAC (before drinking) helps some. Also sulforaphane in the diet.

just_passing_through says

mell says

Regular exercise is key to a healthy liver.

NAC (before drinking) helps some. Also sulforaphane in the diet.

Yeah I usually forget taking NAC, thx for the reminder!

I only do NAC when I feel something coming on, or when I'm sick. I know I've seen it listed in many spike protein treatments.
My wife's naturopath recommends she take it daily.

https://patrick.net/post/1347456/2022-09-16-this-is-all-russia-has-to-do-to-cry?start=1#comment-1879476

WookieMan says

Hydrate

Whenever I'm feeling run down, I make sure to drink as much water as possible that day. All day. It makes a huge difference in a couple few hours.

AMRS to $20 in 24 months.

I'll run for office and ask for patrick.net peeps for donations...that and hopes and prayers in 2040. I plan on getting term limits passed at the state level with a Constitutional amendment.

Jake Sullivan. You gotta be kidding me. The guy is slime.

I predict the govt will soon offer large subsidies/tax breaks to bug farms, and maybe also to food companies that make use of bug products, such as cricket flour, in their food.

Hircus says

I predict the govt will soon offer large subsidies/tax breaks to bug farms, and maybe also to food companies that make use of bug products, such as cricket flour, in their food.

It used to be that the government regulated how much bug parts could be in products like peanut butter. Now I guess they will regulate how much peanut butter can be in the bug paste.

The world will not be the same in a week.

The stock market will fluctuate.

I'll make a few predictions.

Europe will go through massive protests, and their economy will start to collapse.

The war in Ukraine will continue to at least June, 2023.

Ukraine will ultimately lose the conflict.

It will become generally accepted by 2024 that the vaccines were neither safe nor effective.

The democrats will mysteriously retain control of congress in both the house and senate this November.

Refresh your history memory a little bit.
The Japanese Empire which was vastly more capable tried for 8 years to defeat China and did not achieve this goal.
Of course China is vast compared to Ukraine.
But the difference between Japan's capabilities and China's was far more in favor of Japan; Chinese soldiers sometimes had to wear straw sandals instead of boots, sometimes no helmets, had shitty guns and training, etc.
Today Ukraine arguably has better (Western) missile and artillery technology than Russia, and its army is motivated while Russia's is forced to be there (conscript=not volunteer).

Ranked Countries Rate of Overweight or Obese Individuals (2015)

Saudi Arabia 71%
The United States 66%
Turkey 65%
Australia 62%
Great Britain 62%
Spain 58%
Germany 57%
Russia 57%
Brazil 56%
Canada 56%
Italy 50%
France 49%
China 28%
Japan 23%
India 20%

"Buddha, you fat fuck!"

ZipperTits says

richwicks says

Ukraine will ultimately lose the conflict.

Criteria, please. Because I can see mental gymnastics like "sure, they restored their borders, but they still lost because I say so".

richwicks says

It will become generally accepted by 2204 that the vaccines were neither safe nor effective.

I'm guessing you meant 2024. Or are you really that pessimistic about humanity?

California's sales tax rate goes to 15% or higher in 2023.

You see...California has been funding a large part of itself through funny money. Capital gains taxes make up an oversized portion of California's tax base. With the Fed now raising interest rates instead of having them hover near zero, it is causing the stock market to decline (so less free money for those taxpayers and less taxes for California), the number of house sales has also been greatly reduced so less taxes from that source too, taxes from crypto gains --- forget about it.

Sure they will layoff some people...but mostly things will fall onto the tax donkeys.

mell says

I think if you're otherwise healthy and carry enough weight 1-2, occasionally 3 glasses a day are fine if you go to regular check ups, but only if you don't mix with drugs and exercise regularly, which many don't know. Regular exercise is key to a healthy liver

My BIL died drinking a handle of vodka a day for YEARS. The big bottle if you're not a drinker. At 41. It takes a fuck ton of alcohol to kill you. My grandma was an alcoholic and lived to 94. Alcohol is awful, but I'm convinced that it's pills that bring you down. He had multiple rehab stints and put him on meds. That's when his health went to shit.

Put this way, how do you study an alcoholic in a controlled environment? You can't. They won't admit they have a problem and they lie. Then you don't know what they're mixing it with. One addiction generally leads to others. Pills, weed, etc. With modern medicine and prescription pills we've blurred the lines of liver damage in my opinion with regards to alcohol. It's bad for you obviously, but if you just drink and not mix is it that bad? Hell it was safer to drink a beer than water at one point in history.

As I've said in other comments, I'm at the alcoholic level for sure based on arbitrary data. I feel great. I can wake up at 4:30 in the morning and go till midnight, working, taking care of kids and hanging out. I drink beer, which I think is key. I'm almost at my high school weight. Never a hangover. Without doing beer bongs, it's a challenge to get trashed on beer. Hard liquor is the devil unless you're extremely disciplined. Wine can get you in a bad place too, though that's a bit harder in my opinion.

"All Western currencies are going to 0" sez one guy:

https://patrick.net/post/1347533?start=1#comment-1880796

Nukes! Nukes!

https://patrick.net/comment?comment_id=1882142

Tactical nuclear is not the Hiroshima bomb. And US better hope none of their proxy war opponents pull these out. We are way behind Russia and China in this area.

NuttBoxer says

Tactical nuclear is not the Hiroshima bomb. And US better hope none of their proxy war opponents pull these out. We are way behind Russia and China in this area.

We don't really need them. We have MOAB which Trump used and no nuke fallout or international reaction. Nuke will kill civilians no matter what and war crimes ensue. We're also a huge land mass, but basically an island to most the world really. You'd have to lob ICBM's at us. Good luck with that. We have subs in every hot spot in the world and could retaliate once we knew where they came from.

Our government is corrupt, but they do get the MIC right. We occupied a country for 20 years and lost fewer soldiers than Chicagoans shooting and killing each other. Across the planet. Love or hate war mongering, we have far superior means to destroy people. Which is generally the only thing the federal government should be doing, well infrastructure, but that's about it.

Eric Holder says

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

I predict that this thread is a trap, and Eric Holder will mock you later and damage
your credibility when your predictions don't turn out to be 100% true.

apex says

Eric Holder says

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

I predict that this thread is a trap, and Eric Holder will mock you later and damage
your credibility when your predictions don't turn out to be 100% true.

WookieMan says

Our government is corrupt, but they do get the MIC right.

West has been selling military secrets and tech since the 50's. We would get destroyed. This would make more sense if you knew the history of the Rothschild's.

NuttBoxer says

WookieMan says

Our government is corrupt, but they do get the MIC right.

West has been selling military secrets and tech since the 50's. We would get destroyed. This would make more sense if you knew the history of the Rothschild's.

West might be selling but it doesn't look like Ruscia was buying much of its tech and secrets (beyond stuff like ready-made French NV and German diesels). Why didn't they buy any good secrets? Why Uragan is such a primitive shit compared to HIMARS?

I predict Western Florida will be hit by a large hurricane today.

RWSGFY says

West might be selling but it doesn't look like Ruscia was buying much of its tech and secrets (beyond stuff like ready-made French NV and German diesels). Why didn't they buy any good secrets? Why Uragan is such a primitive shit compared to HIMARS?

If that's true, why hide behind Ukraine like a bitch, using Ukrainians for cannon fodder? Why not just roll in and fuck Russia up like we've been doing in the Middle East for 20+ years?

NuttBoxer says

RWSGFY says

West might be selling but it doesn't look like Ruscia was buying much of its tech and secrets (beyond stuff like ready-made French NV and German diesels). Why didn't they buy any good secrets? Why Uragan is such a primitive shit compared to HIMARS?

If that's true

There is no if. It's true.

clambo says

Today Ukraine arguably has better (Western) missile and artillery technology than Russia, and its army is motivated while Russia's is forced to be there (conscript=not volunteer).

Ukraine has a conscription army as well.

Russia has committed less than 15% of its force to the conflict. They don't have to do anything other than retain lines, and really, they don't even have to do that. Time is on their side. Ukraine has 2.5 military people for every 1 Russia commits to this conflict.

Remember this isn't really a war between Ukraine and Russia, it's a war between NATO and Russia. Europe doesn't have the infrastructure to abandon Russian energy, and even if they did, the US cannot supply them. Europe is fucked and it was stupid traitorous leaders that fucked Europe.

The aim was obviously to use the Ukrainians to weaken Russia - and that might happen, but at the expense of destroying Europe. It's said that Henry Kissinger once remarked “It may be dangerous to be America’s enemy, but to be America’s friend is fatal”. Europe is about to find out.

There is no morality in war, there are no good guys, or bad guys, there's just devastation.

RWSGFY says

ZipperTits says

richwicks says

Ukraine will ultimately lose the conflict.

Criteria, please. Because I can see mental gymnastics like "sure, they restored their borders, but they still lost because I say so".

Ukraine will eventually settle on an unconditional surrender.

It will not become part of the EU, it will expel NATO, the biological weapons labs will be removed, Russian majority cities will become part of Russia and no longer Ukraine, Crimea will be unquestionably part of Russia.

Ukraine MAY become a landlocked nation, Ukraine will likely have a Russian puppet as their "leader", they may be forced to drop all ties with the West.

I expect it to be absolutely devastating for Ukraine, and painful for Russia as well.

I also think it's possible that Russia will quit exporting energy to Europe entirely.

I'm not happy about this, I just predict it. I think this war could have, and should have, been easily avoided. I blame a Jewish mafia for starting this stupidity, and the fucking CIA. Everybody that dies in this conflict will have died in vain, but Russian and Ukrainian. I expect Ukrainian Jews to be hated by non Jewish Ukrainians in the end.

I further predict that resentment toward the United States will raise greatly in Europe after friends and family members die this coming winter. The US, in the end, may have greatly reduced influence and reach although Europe will be dependent on US energy and Middle Eastern energy (controlled by the United States) far more.

Karloff says

richwicks says

It will become generally accepted by 2204 that the vaccines were neither safe nor effective.

I'm guessing you meant 2024. Or are you really that pessimistic about humanity?

You got me, I corrected it before I noticed your reply hoping people wouldn't notice it.

I don't know if by 2204 if the people living them will know any of our true history. I'm kind of working on that as a project. How can I absolutely preserve history?

We live in an incredible time, an insanely remarkable time. We live in a time where our lives and actions can be recorded, entirely accurately, and PROVIDED this data can be preserved, can be observed 2000 years from now. We have the technology now. Imagine being able to see what the Roman civilization was actually like in 0 AD, that's humanity in 4000 AD. It's possible today, and there are ways to have WORMS (Write Once Read Many) that will not just last 1000 years, but millions of years.

Storage density in crystals is so dense, you may have a hard disk in 2030 where you NEVER delete anything from it, you just keep adding data and you just invalidate old data - you'd mark it as "deleted" but the data would be retained.

I was just doing some simple math, 1GB/hour is 1080p video quality (high quality). On a 10 TB hard disk (around $200 now), that's 10,000/1GB/hr = 10,000 hours of video. If you watched video 8 hours a day, 5 days a week, that's 5 years of video. $200. I've probably not consumed that much video in my lifetime, and I'm 51. Hard disks have a limited lifespan, but this LAB crystal storage method, it's like 500 TB or 500,000 GB, or 57 years of video, at 1080p 1 GB/hr 24 hours a day 7 days a week, and the storage basically lasts forever.

We're getting to the point where there's no point in deleting data. Is this a fucked up time or what?

We are getting into weird WEIRD times. An entire life, every interaction, everything a person sees and hears over their entire lifetime, can be permanently preserved. Don't know what the cost of the technology is right now, but it will be below a current hard disk in time. People can't wrap their head around how nuts this is.

Every TV show, every radio show, every song, every phone call, every book you've read, every conversation you had, and NOW be stored on an affordable hard disk. Didn't think this would happen in my lifetime, but we're here now.

We are moving from storage density, to longevity. We may be able to permanently record our history, and make it independent of any authority. There's negatives too, we can be recorded entirely too by the government, but if we can preserve SOME freedom, we can record the government just as easily.

richwicks says

RWSGFY says

ZipperTits says

richwicks says

Ukraine will ultimately lose the conflict.

Criteria, please. Because I can see mental gymnastics like "sure, they restored their borders, but they still lost because I say so".

Ukraine will eventually settle on an unconditional surrender.

It will not become part of the EU, it will expel NATO, the biological weapons labs will be removed, Russian majority cities will become part of Russia and no longer Ukraine, Crimea will be unquestionably part of Russia.

Ukraine MAY become a landlocked nation, Ukraine will likely have a Russian puppet as their "leader", they may be forced to drop all ties with the West.

(Quoting so it doesn't get edited later)

Care to specify a timeline? Will it happen some time this year, this decade, this century?

cisTits says

Eric Holder says

Care to specify a timeline? Will it happen some time this year, this decade, this century?

Can we settle for "when the war is over"? I mean, I would be impressed if he gave dates and they proved out. But not going to ask.

That's too vague. Besides, what war? Its a Schepeshal Military Opereyshun (SCHMO), remember? With stated goals changed at least 23.5 times already...

cisTits says

Ukraine is at the end of its ropes as far as men is concerned.

Eh? They have 8 mil mobilisation potential. Some ropes, LOL.

cisTits says

submarines that aren't germane at all

This is like... your opinion... man.

But yeah, since the subject of pigs has been brought up the submarines do look less relevant.