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Trump Disapproval was +21 pts on 12/15/17.
Trump Disapproval stands at +8pts as of 8/13/18.
Dems lead by 13 points around Christmas 2017
Dems lead has been chopped to a third of that, now 4 points as of Mid August 2018.
despite a full court press of Negative Media (which nobody in their right mind can deny) - Unheard for a President who is demonstrating success in hard numbers from GDP to Unemployment to Increasing Exports.
Who is suffering right now besides snowflake lefty assholes who don't understand how an election works?
The "Blue Wave" has turned into a trickling creek.
It’s a shame that Republicans make the laws here in the States. If they respected our Constitution and Americans way of life
8/14/18 Update: Rasmussen, which does Likely Voters rather than less reliable Registered Voters and certainly the laughable "All Adults", has Trump +1 Approval.
There’s nothing democratic about allowing certain gambling in some places yet not in others. Smells more like crony Capitalism to me
Republicans holding legislation hostage that protects our country, unless they get to force their Prohibition rider onto it, is anti-democratic.
United States is a Constitutional Republic.
There will be no "Blue Wave", change my mind!
Andrew Cuomo: ‘We’re not going to ‘Make America Great Again. It was never that great’ pic.twitter.com/VpPLbsAT9B
— BNL NEWS (@BreakingNLive) August 15, 2018
I never took you for an H.P. Lovecraft fan.
1996 Miskatonic University, BS Non-euclidean Geometry
Cook's final electoral map.
the results become catastrophic.
The most likely way it could manifest would be with higher turn out among democrats,
Particularly women.
We have an absolutely booming economy by every metric.
Not by every metric. Like real wages, for example. That is a pretty important economic indicator, wouldn't you say??
In order to produce a blue wave, Democrats need a coherent agenda
Not by every metric. Like real wages
eople are spending like crazy, apparent your wage claim means nothing...
Walmart's best sales in a decade show US consumer may be strongest in years because of the tax cut, jobs growth.
IMHO, we're undergoing a structural change in the economy which is independent of political parties. I believe we're in the early stages of mass automation where employees do not have any leverage on wage increases.
In order to produce a blue wave, Democrats need a coherent agenda,
That would be good but unnecessary. In this I agree with Steve Bannon it's all about Trump, who is most motivated to support or oppose.
in 2016, Democrats had TDS, and it was not enough. So, I do think Democrats need a coherent agenda to put Americans first.
emember that Trump was elected solely because the DNC went with Hillary.
lol--we're measuring health of the economy by spending at Walmart?? bwahahahahahaha.
Is it possible people are spending more at the cheapest, crappiest, lowest quality crap because they can't afford anything else?? Higher spending at Walmart probably indicates a crappier economy.
Hey, what IS the Democratic solution to outsourcing?
Because their manufacturing jobs were outsourced by Neoliberals?
Except far more have been automated away.
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Yesterday former Bill Clinton advisor Dick Morris told radio host on New York's AM 970 that he believes the "blue wave" that Democrats are expecting to give them back the Senate and House will not materialize, and polling has backed him up.
Last week, CNN's mid term poll showed that Democrats only had a 3 point advantage, well within the margin of error, and considering that CNN is known for "oversampling" Democrats in its own polls, this is troubling for the DNC.
Additionally, a recent poll from Reuters (left leaning) has shown that Millennials are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Democrat membership in the 18-34 demographic (the bread and butter of the DNC) dropped 9% over the past 2 years, most of them becoming "independents".
"I think that [Democrats] see fool’s gold in these scandals," Morris said. "They’re putting everything behind the Stormy Daniels scandal and Michael Cohen … and the country doesn’t give a damn."
That's when Morris dropped his prediction.
"There is no blue wave coming," Morris exclaimed. "There is a red wave. And what makes it red is the blood of the Democratic Party."
Here's my official take. I believe the GOP will LOSE seats in the house but will not give it up to the DNC. I believe the GOP will GAIN seats in the senate, keeping their majority. This will mean that Trump will have both houses of congress for his entire term.